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Math 171 Project: THE AGE OF A COIN – Fall 2015 Have you ever wondered how long coins stay in circulation? Are you a collector? In this project you will explore descriptive and inferential statistics for the age of pennies and the age of quarters in circulation. Collect fifty quarters and fifty pennies and record the date that each was minted. Also record whether or not each quarter that you collect has an eagle on its “tails” side (note that quarters minted before 1999 had eagles, whereas those minted afterwards are part of special U.S. Mint programs). We are interested in the age of the coin so determine the AGE of each coin, in years. Part I: For each type of coin answer the following questions in paragraph form. This should be a narrative which addresses the bullet points below. How did you collect the coins? Do you think your data collection method could possibly introduce bias into your results? Why /why not? Describe the population, individuals, variables, and variable types involved in this project. Represent the distribution of the coin ages using an appropriate graphical summary. Your graphical summary should be detailed enough to show interesting features of the distribution but not so detailed as to lose any interesting features. Find the mean, standard deviation and five-number summary of the ages of the coins in your sample. Put this information in a single table for easy reading and comparison. Describe the distribution (shape, center, and spread) of the coin ages. Does the distribution have any outliers? Why do you think the distribution has the shape you have observed? Discuss any major differences and/or similarities of the distributions of the ages for each coin type. Explain whether you think that there is a difference in the mean ages of the coins from your graphical and numerical summaries. What about the distribution of all coins in circulation? Do you think that distribution is similar to the distribution of your samples? Explain your reasoning. Compute a 95% confidence interval for the mean age of all coins of each type. What is the margin of error for each of your estimates? Present this data in one table. Part II: Then we continue the project. Answer each question for the requested type of coin(s). This part is NOT in narrative form. Number and write each question. Show your reasoning and work for each question. Your answers should be clearly designated. 1. If you wanted to estimate the average age of pennies to within one year with 99% confidence, then how large of a sample size would you need to obtain? Use the standard deviation from your sample as your best estimate of the population standard deviation. 2. Suppose you want to estimate the proportion of pennies in circulation that are older than 20 years to within 2% with 98% confidence. Use your sample as a pilot study to determine the sample size necessary to achieve your goal. 3. Is the mean age of all quarters in circulation the same as the mean age of all pennies in circulation? You will need to use an appropriate inferential technique to the answer this question. Make sure that you show (and explain) all work that supports your conclusion. You should also produce a nice graphical representation of the distributions of the ages of your two coin types that makes it easy to compare the two distributions visually as well as discuss the assumptions necessary to run this inference test in your particular situation. 4. Working under the assumption that coins stay in circulation for thirty years and examining coin production figures from the last thirty years, I hypothesize that the proportion of quarters without an eagle on the “tails” side is 0.62. Use your data to address the validity of my hypothesis using an appropriate inferential technique. Math 171 Project: THE AGE OF A COIN Grading Rubric You may work in groups of three or fewer students for this project. Only one submission per group is necessary, but make sure to include a cover page listing everyone in your group who contributed to the project. This should be pledged. Choose your group mates wisely. DATES: Tuesday, Nov. 24 deadline to email list of coin ages and # of quarters with eagles DO NOT ATTACH—just paste list into e-mail NOTE – Send AGES, not dates If you are working in a group, nclude all names in subject line. Tuesday, Dec. 1 project due at beginning of class Your project will be graded according to the following rubric: Feature Cover Page Email list of coin ages/eagles to me. NO ATTACHMENTS PLEASE Correct use of English. Organization and Coherence. Correct description and use of statistics. Accuracy and Quality of Graphs and Tables Explanation Title, Name(s), Pledge if group Include one long column with coin type, then ages, for each coin type. You should use complete English sentences with proper spelling, grammar, and punctuation. PART I Your work should be clearly organized so that I can easily follow all statements and find any graphs or tables. Your narrative should flow nicely. Keep coins together in the narrative; do not separate into a penny narrative and a quarter narrative. Points 1 2 10 15 Self explanatory 15 Use SPSS for graphs. Tables should be clearly labeled. 21 PART II Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 7 7 13 9 Total 100 2