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Presentation to the State Council of Higher Education Barry DuVal, President & CEO OUR MISSION Our MISSION is to be the leading non-partisan business advocacy organization that works in the legislative, regulatory, civic and judicial arenas at the state and federal level to be a force for long-term economic growth in the Commonwealth. @vachamber OUR VISION Our VISION is to be the voice of the Virginia business community and the most influential business advocacy organization in the Commonwealth. @vachamber TOP GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS ASSOICATION • Recognized by Southern Political Report as top Government Affairs Association in Virginia VIRGINIA CHAMBER MEMBERS 2013 13,500 = 25 Virginia Chamber Members 2016 25,884 BLUEPRINT VIRGINIA IMPLEMENTATION 2015 Events Financial Forecast Chamber Day / ODA Best Places to Work Luncheon Energy & Sustainability Fantastic 50 Awards Annual Dinner Health Care Oil Export Event Trade & Infrastructure Early Childhood Luncheon Workforce Congressional Luncheon Economic Summit State of the Commonwealth Regional Rollouts TOTAL= 5,245 620 600 401 409 410 282 490 50 284 160 366 177 716 280 State Business Rankings Alabama Delaware Florida Georgia Kentucky Maryland Mississippi New Jersey New York North Carolina Pennsylvania South Carolina Tennessee Virginia West Virginia Forbes CNBC 45 17 20 11 28 33 49 41 29 2 36 25 19 7 50 38 37 10 8 35 30 47t 34 29 5 33 27 18 13t 47t Enterprising CEO Site States Magazine Selection 43 15 32 37 44 16 45 36 24 22 38 34 35 12 47 20 13 2 8 24 43 42 47 49 3 36 7 4 12 35 11 14 1 3 18 2 10 7 12t - Pollina Business Facilities 21 31 11 12 28 38 25 48 27 7 44 13 15 4 45 1 4 8 6 9 - State Business Rankings Virginia Over 10 Years of State Rankings 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Forbes CNBC - 13t 12 8t 5t 3 1 2 1 2 1 - 7 4 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 - Enterprising CEO Site States Magazine Selection 12 14 12t 12 11 10 5 7 8 3 6 5 6 7 4 2 4 4 7 3 4 8 9 4 7 12 9 11 Pollina 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 3 1 2 - Business Facilities 9 * * 5 3 3 2 5 6 7 - * The Business Facilities study only ranks the top 10 states each year. Years marked with an * show the years Virginia did not make the top 10. State Business Rankings A Closer Look: Virginia’s Strengths WORKFORCE & EDUCATION Virginia’s workforce is ranked in the top in the nation: Forbes #2 CNBC #3 Virginia’s schools are ranked in the top of the nation: CNBC # 5 Wallet Hub #7 State Business Rankings A Closer Look: Areas to Improve WORKFORCE & EDUCATION #41 – State/Local $ Per Full-Time College Student (Pollina; State Higher Ed Executive Officers) #28 – High School Completion (U.S. Census Bureau) • % of population, 25 years or older, completing high school or higher #28 – Grad. Rate for Associate’s Degree Students (NCES) #28 – College Affordability (Enterprising States) #21 – % of Associate’s Degrees Awarded (NCES) #22 – Higher-Ed Degree Output (Enterprising States) • Measures degree output and talent production HOW’S VIRGINIA DOING? 85 percent of job growth in Virginia over the last two years came from low- and medium-wage jobs Our unemployment rate is below the national average But our labor force participation rate is at an alltime low, even as the national rate has begun to rebound HOW’S VIRGINIA DOING? Employment is expected to grow more slowly in the next two fiscal years: Source: Secretary Ric Brown presentation to budget committee https://finance.virginia.gov/media/6752/ric-jmc-8-26-16-final-wappendix.pdf Months Required to Re-establish Peak Employment Levels Change from Pre-Recession Peak 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 U.S. 3.10% Virginia 1.05% U.S. and Virginia Real GDP Forecasts (2015 and 2016) 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 U.S. 2.40 2.98 2.0 1.98 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 Virginia 1.33 US Real GDP VA Real GDP -3.0 -4.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Months Required to Re-establish Peak Employment Levels: Virginia and the Major Metros Change from Pre-Recession Peak 4% 1 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 RICH 2% 0% VIRGINIA ROAN -2% -4% HROADS -6% LYNCH -8% -10% Hampton Roads Richmond Lynchburg Roanoke VA You Are a Virginian. Were You Born in Virginia? 1900-2012 VIRGINIA’S TALENT PIPELINE By 2022, about 500,000 new jobs will be created in VA will be needed Over workers to replace Virginia’s 930,000 retiring workforce VIRGINIA’S MIDDLE-SKILL GAP Jobs and Workers by Skill Level in Virginia High-Skill Jobs High-Skill Workers 49% Middle-Skill Jobs Middle-Skill Workers Low-Skill Jobs Low-Skill Workers 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Source: NSC analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment Statistics by State, May 2012 and American Community Survey data, 2012. 50% HOW’S VIRGINIA DOING? Our Challenges • Competition • Federal Budget Cuts • Health Care Reform • Traditional Industries in Southside & Southwest Virginia have disappeared • Workforce Shortage & Skills Gap Five keys to economic success for your region: • Connected to the outside world • Competent workforce • Intellectual Capacity • Investment in Infrastructure • Pro Business Environment/ Entrepreneurship 2016 GENERAL ASSEMBLY UPDATE EDUCATION REFORM Early Childhood Education: HB 46 - Establishes School Readiness Committee and names Virginia Chamber as a member • Will provide a business community voice on credentialing and improving early childhood resources K-12: HB 895/SB 336 - Aligns high school graduation requirements with college and career readiness needs Higher Education: HB 66/SB 576 - Establishes the New Economy Workforce Credential Grant Program • Creates a demand-driven credentialing program for high-demand jobs • Reimbursements up to $3,000 per student. Virginia International Trade Corporation • Idea came from Chamber Foundation study • Fulfills Blueprint goal of strengthening international trade promotion • NEXT: Legislation gives the administration until December to establish GO VIRGINIA Update • Bipartisan support in the House & Senate • Fulfills Blueprint goal of regional leadership for private sector development • NEXT: Regional councils to identify and advance projects BLUEPRINT VIRGINIA BLUEPRINT VIRGINIA: By the Numbers REGIONAL BRIEFINGS HOSTED IN MORE THAN SIGNED UP AS STAKEHOLDERS BLUEPRINT VIRGINIA ENGAGED MORE THAN WHERE DO WE WANT TO BE IN 8 YEARS? DEVELOPING THE TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE FOR A COMPETITVE ECONOMY IMPROVING EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT AND WORKFORCE READINESS BUSINESS STRENGTHENING CLIMATE & VIRGINIA’S BUSINESS CLIMATE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DELIVERING QUALITY, COST-EFFECTIVE HEALTHCARE FOSTERING INCREASING MANUFACTURING JOBS WITH PROBUSINESS POLICIES PRESERVING OUR PROTECT, CONSERVE MILITARY ASSETS AND DEVELOP OUR AND SUPPORTING NATURAL RESOURCES OUR VETERANS ENSURING OUR INNOVATION AND ENERGY SECURITY ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND SUSTAINABILITY BLUEPRINT VIRGINIA IMPLEMENTATION 2013 Virginia Economic Summit November 29th, 2013 WHY THE BLUEPRINT? UNIFIED VOICE LONGTERM ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PLAN NONPARTISAN NOTE: 2017 UPDATE PLANNED • Build on one of state government’s core assets—the Virginia Community College System—as a critical gateway to both postsecondary education and the workforce for high school graduates and mid-career adults. • Support the Virginia Business Higher Education Council’s Grow By Degrees coalition’s objectives, including its “College, Knowledge and Jobs” policy agenda and sustained implementation of the “Top Jobs” Act of 2011. • Prioritize the “Top Jobs” components with the most business salience — increased STEM-H education and career readiness, including industry certification and licensure for high-demand, high-skilled jobs. December 2nd, 2016 – Kickoff Presentation to the State Council of Higher Education Barry DuVal, President & CEO