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Assignment #11 Inferences About Means and Proportions Using z tests Use the Inferential Tests in Excel spreadsheet to answer these questions. You may also use a graphing calculator such as a TI-83 if you prefer. You may work on solving these problems together with your partner. Each of you should then complete an Inferential Statistics Answer Sheet on four of these problems. Therefore, for the purposes of completing the answer sheets, divide the problems between you and your partner, completing worksheets on different problems. You may work together and have some discussion about each problem but each person should turn in the numeric answers to all problems as well as a completed answer sheet on four of the problems. Along with the numeric answers, mention the type of test you used to solve the problem, and whether it was a one tailed or two tailed test. You may need to refer to the textbook and the Decision Tree for some of the information required by the answer sheet. 11.1 Medical researchers know from many large nationally representative studies that the duration of a bout with the common cold is normally distributed with a population mean of about 4 days and a standard deviation of about 2 days. A researcher wants to test whether a new medication will shorten the duration of a bout with the common cold. Subjects were randomly selected and then randomly assigned to receive the new drug or a placebo and then were infected with the cold bug. Using the following data, test whether it is reasonable to conclude that the drug is effective. n Mean Days Duration SD Drug Group 20 2.97 2.05 Placebo Group 20 4.14 1.95 11.2 A psychologist suspects that people who attend his workshops on cognitive behavior modification are more depressed than the general population. He takes a random sample of attendees to his workshops and administers a depression inventory to them. Given the following information, can we reject Ho and conclude that the attendees are more depressed than the national average? The sample of depression scores is distributed approximately normally and higher scores indicate more depression. Sample Depression Scores Population Norm Depression Scores Mean = 58.56 Mean=50 SD=10.79 SD=10 n=100 11.3 In a commentary on the educational level of the American workforce, a radio talk show host made the claim, “The average young person in this country can’t even balance a checkbook.” The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) says that a score of 275 or higher on its quantitative test reflects the skill needed to balance a checkbook. The NAEP random sample of 840 young people had a mean score of 272.69 (sample standard deviation=59.62), a bit below the checkbook-balancing level. Is this sample result evidence enough to conclude that the mean for all young people is less than 275 (population standard deviation=60)? 11.4 A survey was conducted using a random sample of undergraduate students from UNC Charlotte. The study found that approximately 30% of the students report that they suffer from allergies. The study contained 200 respondents. Assuming that the students who responded are similar to the population of undergraduate students as a whole, conduct a test to determine if there is a difference between students at UNC Charlotte and the national CDC statistics for the population of undergraduate college students, which report that 34% report allergies. 11.5 The concentration of lead in the drinking water from 100 randomly sampled homes drawn in each of two different sections of Charlotte revealed the following means (in parts per million or ppm): n Mean SD Sample 1 100 34.11 5.97 Sample 2 100 36.03 6.02 We have reason to believe that the population standard deviation is 6 and that the data is normally distributed. Conduct a statistical significance test to determine if there is a difference in lead concentration between the two sections of the city. 11.6 Jobey Thomas made 44% of his three point attempts for his entire basketball career including his first two years at UNC Charlotte. Over the summer, Coach Lutz detected a slight mechanical flaw in his release and suggested a change to Jobey’s jump shot. During this season, his junior year of Conference USA play, Jobey is 26 for 51 from behind the three-point line. Did Coach Lutz make a difference in Jobey’s success in shooting three pointers? 11.7 An elementary Principal was charged by the Superintendent with the task of reporting on the state of the quality of kindergartens in a large school system. She decided to have trained observers collect Assessment Profile scores on a random sample of 30 classrooms from across the district. Each Assessment Profile scale score is scaled to have a normal distribution and national norms with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 10. The sample data for each scale is distributed approximately normally. Given the data below, is she justified in concluding that kindergarten classrooms in the system are different from the national average in quality for the scale score listed below? Learning Environment 11.8 mean=57.34 SD=9.89 A bag of M&Ms contains 10 red out of 58 total M&Ms. If the manufacturer assures us that typical bags contain 27% M&Ms, did this bag come from the typical batch? 11.9 The Diana-Dusseldorf School System is interested in conducting a study to determine the effect of the Pillow Talk Test Prep Kit. The kit consists of several magic bullets that are stored in a small Ziploc bag and placed under a student’s pillow the night before an EIEIO test. One hundred third grade students are selected at random from across the county. Fifty are randomly assigned to the Pillow Talk group and fifty are assigned to the control group. All study children are informed that a mock State EIEIO Test will be given in one week. The Pillow Talk children are given the kits along with instructions for their parents regarding the proper methods of subpillow placement. The EIEIO test is scaled to have a normal population distribution, a population mean of 50, and a population standard deviation of 10. Use the data below from the practice test to conduct a statistical significance test to determine if the magic bullets are effective. Mean SD Treatment Group Control Group 52.45 10.42 49.78 10.38 11.10 A high school Principal had just received the test scores of 100 seniors on the new achievement test. The mean test score of the seniors was 106.78 and the standard deviation was 29.76. The mean of the test scores for all students who took the test was 100 with a standard deviation of 30. The principal was very proud. Was the principal justified? That is, did the seniors in her high school score statistically significantly higher than the mean of all students who took the test? 11.11 A national politician made a speech in which he railed against the drinking habits of today’s college students. He implied that the majority of undergraduate college students in America are problem drinkers. You discover the 1995 Harvard School of Public Health College Alcohol Study, which examined alcohol use among college students. The study asked students about their drinking habits and then classified students as social drinkers, binge drinkers, and problem drinkers based on their responses. Using a nationally representative, simple random sample of 17,592 college students, they reported the following results: Respondents who reported the behaviors of social drinkers: 15,678 Respondents who reported the behaviors of binge drinkers: 7,741 Respondents who reported the behaviors of problem drinkers: 2,549 You find the following survey results from Queens College, using a sample of 150 of their students: Respondents who reported the behaviors of social drinkers: 137 Respondents who reported the behaviors of binge drinkers: 68 Respondents who reported the behaviors of problem drinkers: 11 Assume that the Harvard study, given its large nationally representative sample, is giving you the true population percentages. Are Queens College students different from students nationally in the social drinking category? 11.12 A study was undertaken to investigate whether it is more difficult for children with learning disabilities (LD) to make friends if they are placed in a separate special class for LD children or in an integrated classroom. LD children were randomly selected and then randomly assigned as follows: 45 were placed in separate LD classes and 45 were placed in integrated classrooms. At the end of 7 months, the number of friends made by each student was recorded with these results: n Mean SD Sample 1 45 5.09 2.92 Sample 2 45 5.32 2.89 We have reason to believe that the population standard deviation is 3 and that the data is normally distributed. Conduct a statistical significance test to determine if there is a difference between the two groups of children in their ability to make friends.