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Globalattitudesaboutwomenasnationalleaders Background Throughouthistory,politicshasbeenlargelyaman’sworld.The20thcenturywitnessedsignificantchanges, throughwomen’ssuffrageandtheemergenceofwomenasleadersofpartiesandnations,albeitataslowpace andunevenlyacrosstheglobe.Today,intheearly21stcentury,onlyahandfulofcountrieshavehadwomenas politicalleaders.Justacoupleofmonthsago,awomancandidatefelljustshortofbecomingtheUSA’sfirstfemale President. Theabsenceofwomenasnationalleadersisanundisputedreality,butwhatliesbehindthis?Howmuchofitcan beattributedtopoliticalsystemsandinstitutionalbarriers,andhowmuchisduetocultureandpublicopinion? TheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearchexaminedthelatterdimensionthroughapublicopinionsurvey conductedin60countriesattheendof2016.ThesurveywasconductedinpartnershipwithEnvironics CommunicationsandEnvironicsAnalytics(twoleadingmarketingandcommunicationscompaniesthatarepartof thecommercialEnvironicsGroupsofCompanies).Thesurveyposedthefollowingquestiontoarepresentative sampleofroughly1,000citizensineachcountry: Doyoutotallyagree,agree,disagreeortotallydisagreewiththefollowingstatement: “Womenarejustasqualifiedasmentoleadourcountry.” Thesurveywasconductedonlineineachofthe60countries,usingRIWICorp.'sproprietaryRDITplatformthat makesitpossibletoconductsurveyswithgeneralpopulationsthroughlaptopsandsmartphones,withoutreliance onrecruitedonlinepanels(furtherdetailscanbefoundathttps://riwi.com/how-rdit-works/).Atotalof62,918 surveyswerecompleted(approximately1,000ineachcountry)betweenNovember4andDecember10,2016.The marginofsamplingerrorforeachcountrywillbeplusorminus3.0percentagepoints,in19outof20samples. ExecutiveSummary Despitetherarityoffemalenationalleadersglobally(mostcountrieshaveneverallowedit),thissurveyrevealsa surprisinglevelofpublicsupportfortheideathatwomenarejustasqualifiedasmentoleadonescountry.Aclear majorityinalmostallofthe60countriessurveyedagreewiththisidea,andinmanyatleasthalf“totally”agree.By comparison,inonlyahandfulofcountriesdomorethanoneinsixtotallydisagreewiththepremise. Opinionsvarybyregionandcountry,largelyasafunctionofculture.Agreementthatwomenareasqualifiedas menismostpronouncedincountrieswithtraditionalpatriarchalsocietiesinLatinAmerica,SouthernEuropeand somepartsofEastAsia;evenmoresothaninmostoftheprogressivewesterncountriesofWesternEuropeand NorthAmerica(wherefeministvaluesarestrongest).Disagreementwiththestatementstandsoutmostina handfulofMuslimcountries,notablySaudiArabiaandAlgeria.Genderplaysonlyamodestrole(andnotinall countries),whileageandeducationseemtomakelittledifferenceinattitudesaboutwomenleaders. Thesefindingsdonotmeanweshouldexpecttoseeaspateofemergingwomennationalleadersacrosstheglobe anytimesoon.Buttheydosuggestthatcitizensinmostoftheworlddonotbelievethatwomenintheircountry lackthequalificationstoleadthem. 2/… TheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearch,2017 FINALREPORTFeb28-2017 SurveyResults Globalresults.Despitethefactthattheoverwhelmingproportionofnationalleadershavebeenandcontinueto bemen,thereisasurprisinglevelofagreementaroundtheworldthatwomenarejustasqualifiedasmentolead onescountry.Closetoeightintensaytheytotallyagree(52%)oragree(26%)withthisstatement,comparedwith justoneinfivewhodisagree(10%)ortotallydisagree(12%).The“totallyagree”percentageprovidesthebest indicatorofpublicsentiment,asitrepresentsadefinitiveopinionthatisnotaslikelyinfluencedbysocial desirability–itisthismetricthatisusedfortherestoftheanalysispresentedbelow. Regionandcountryresults.Perspectivesonthisissuevarynoticeablyacrossregionsandindividualcountries,in apatternthatinsomecasesiscounter-intuitive.Byregion,totalagreementinwomenbeingasqualifiedasmenis mostwidespreadinLatinAmerica(62%),SouthAsia(61%)andWesternEurope(59%),withthisviewleastaptto besharedinNorthAmerica(45%)andWestAsia(43%).Thereisconsiderablevariationwithinsomeregions, notablyAfrica,EastAsiaandWestAsia. Bycountry,totalagreementwiththestatementismostpronouncedincountriesspanningseveralcontinents: Spain(72%),Portugal(71%)andItaly(65%)(allinSouthernEurope),aswellasVenezuela(68%),Kenya(66%),and Canada(62%).LowagreementinwomenbeingasqualifiedasmenisevidentinsomeMuslimcountries,suchas Algeria(22%),SaudiArabia(24%)andJordan(29%),butalsointheEastAsiancountriesofSouthKorea(26%)and Japan(27%).Majorworldpowersmostlyfallsomewhereinthemiddle,includingGermany(52%),China(49%), Russia(45%),andtheUSA(43%). Howopinionsvarybygender.Atagloballevel,thereisapredictableifnotdramaticgendergapinattitudeson thisquestion,withwomen(57%)morelikelythanmen(47%)tototallyagreethatwomenarejustasqualifiedas men.Butthisgapisbynomeansconsistentaroundtheworld.ThegendergapismostpronouncedinCentraland EasternEurope,includingGreece(19points),Kazakhstan(21),Russia(19),Austria(19)andPoland(18),aswellas inTaiwan(19).Incontrast,thereislittleornodifferenceintheopinionsofmenandwomenonthisquestionin Ethiopia(0points),Japan(1),thePhilippines(4%)andVietnam(5).Notably,thegendergapissimilarincountries withverydifferentviewsaboutwomen’s’roleinsociety,suchasSweden(8)andSaudiArabia(7) Doesitmatterifcountrieshavehadwomenleaders?Ahandfulofthecountriesincludedinthissurvey currentlyhave,orhavehadinthepast,womennationalleaders(asPrimeMinisterorPresident).Thisexperience doesnotappeartohavehadanynoticeableimpactonpublicattitudesaboutthequalificationsofwomen comparedwithmen.Inthe12countriesthathave(orhavehad)womenleaders,51percentofthepublictotally agreeswiththestatementaboutwomenbeingasqualifiedasmen,comparedwith49percentintheremaining48 countriesthathavehadnosuchexperience. Howopinionsvarybyageandeducationlevel.Somemightpositthatattitudesaboutwomenasnational leaderswillbeafunctionofageandeducationlevel(i.e.thatyoungerandmoreeducatedindividualswillhold morepositiveviewsaboutwomens’capabilities).Resultsfromthissurveydonotsupportthishypothesis:Ageand educationmakeanoticeabledifferenceinsomecountriesbutnotinothers,andthenatureoftherelationshipis bynomeansuniform. Withrespecttoage,atagloballevelthereisasmalldifferenceinthelikelihoodoftotallyagreeingwiththe statementaboutwomenbeingqualifiedasnationalleaders,withapositiveviewexpressedbyindividualsunder45 (52%)abitmoreevidentthanamongthose55andolder(45%),whilethose45to54yearsofagearethemost positiveofall(62%).Inonlyafewcountriesisthereanoticeablegapbetweenyoungerandolderonthisquestion –thelargestbeinginSweden(11points)andSpain(10points),andinbothcasesitistheoldercohortwhoare moststronglyinagreementaboutwomenbeingcapableleaders. 3/… TheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearch,2017 2 Agree–Disagree:“Womenarejustasqualifiedasmentoleadourcountry.” TheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearch,2017 3 Intermsofeducationlevel,onceagainthereisonlyamodestlinkwithattitudesaboutwomenleaders.Individuals whohavenotcompletedsecondaryschool(highschoolinNorthAmerica)areleastapttototallyagreewiththe statement.Butthereislittledifferenceinviewpointamongthosewhohaveasecondaryschoolorpost-secondary degree(itisthoseattheBachelor’slevelwhoaremostapttototallyagreeaboutwomenbeingcapable(57%)). Inahandfulofcountries,supportforwomenasbeingqualifiedincreasesnotablywitheducationalattainment– thisincludesCanada(26pointgap),Colombia(25),Greece(22)andSpain(22).Butthereversealsoappliesinafew othercountries,whereitisthosewithlesseducationwhoaremostapttoagreethatwomenarejustasqualified tobeleaders–thisincludesMorocco(24points)andIraq(6).Andinmanycountriesthereislittletonogap betweenthosewithmoreandlesseducationalattainment. Howopinionsinterplaywithpatriarchy.Finally,howdoopinionsaboutthequalificationsofwomenleaders relatetosocialvaluessurroundingpatriarchy(beliefintheviewthat“thefathershouldbethemasterinhisown home”)?Inthiscasethereisanotablerelationship,butnotinaconsistentwayacrosscountries.Globally,total agreementwithwomenbeingascapableasmentobenationalleadersisactuallymoreprevalentamongthose whoexhibitstrongpatriarchicalvalues(67%),comparedwiththosewhorejectthisperspective(53%). Thepatternbreaksintwodirectionsdependingonthecountry.AmongwesternEuropeancountries,total agreementaboutwomenleaders’capabilitiesisstrongestamongthosewhorejectpatriarchy,insuchcountriesas Sweden,theNetherlands,UnitedKingdomandHungary.ButthereversepatternemergesinsomeAsiancountries: beliefinthequalificationsofwomenleadersisstrongestamongthosewhoareamongthemostpatriarchalin outlook–Japan,Vietnam,HongKong,India,BangladeshandthePhilippines.Theseresultssuggesttherearetwo distinctperspectivesonwomenasnationalleaders:intheWestitisafunctionofafeministperspectiveonwomen beingequaltomeninallrespects;butincountrieswithastrongpatriarchalculture,itmaybeadaughterorwife who,intheeventofanemergencyortheabsenceofamaleheir,canstepinandbeagoodleader(e.g.,Indira Gandhi,EvaPeron). Formoreinformationaboutthisresearch: Dr.KeithNeuman ExecutiveDirector [email protected] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ AbouttheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearch TheEnvironicsInstituteforSurveyResearchwasestablishedbyMichaelAdamsin2006topromoterelevantand originalpublicopinionandsocialresearchonimportantissuesofpublicpolicyandsocialchange.Thefocusofthe Institute’smandateistosurveyindividualsandgroupsnotusuallyheardfrom,askingquestionsnotnormally asked.Forfurtherinformationseewww.EnvironicsInstitute.org. 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