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Topic: Section 2.1- Name: Density Curves Subject: AP Statistics Date: Density Curves How do you construct a density (smooth) curve for a distribution? Define mathematical model Why is it easier to work with a smooth curve than with a histogram? What do the areas of the bars in a histogram represent? What value should the total area under the curve equal? What percentage of the data values does this represent? Definition of density curve: A density curve is a _____________________ for a distribution. The area under a density curve is ______, representing _____% of the data values in the distribution and shaded areas under the curve represent ________________________________________________________. Example: Interpreting a density curve The histogram below represents the final grades for Miss Paul’s Geometry classes. 1. What proportion of students had scores below 70? Answer: 2. What proportion of students had scores between 75 and 100? Answer: As data sets become larger, we can draw a curve which describes the overall pattern of the distribution. Draw a smooth curve on the diagram of the histogram above. 3. About what proportion of this curve lies below 70? Answer: 4. About what proportion of this curve lies between 70 and 75? Answer: 5. If the proportions represented by each bar in the histogram were equal to the area of each bar, then what is the total area under this curve? Answer: Shape of a Density Curve What shape-attributes can a density curve have? A density curve that is symmetric is called a _________________ curve. Picture: If the tail of a density curve has been pulled to the right, the curve is said to be _______________________. Picture: If the tail of a density curve has been pulled to the left, the curve is said to be _______________________. Picture: True or false: outliers are described by a density curve. Explanation: Mean & Median of a Density Curve What does the median of a density curve represent? How do you find the quartiles of a density curve? What does the mean of a density curve represent? Locate the mean and median in these density curves: What shape does a density curve take if its median is equal to its mean? True or false: we can identify the standard deviation of a density curve by eye. Explanation: Notation for mean & median: The Greek symbol (mu) _____ represents ______________, while the symbol (sigma) _____ represents ________________ for a density curve. Summary of Density Curves: Highlight 5-10 critical words and phrases from the notes above and use them to write a 3-4 sentence summary of density curves. Homework: Exercises 2.1 and 2.4 pg 83 Topic: Section 2.1- Name: The Normal Distribution Subject: AP Statistics Normal Distributions Define normal distribution. How do you describe the exact density curve for a particular normal distribution? What happens if you change changing σ? Draw a picture. What happens if you change changing μ? μ without σ without Draw a picture. Which is more spread out: a distribution with a large σ or a figure with a small σ? Draw a picture. How can you locate μ by eye on a normal distribution? How can you locate σ by eye on a normal distribution? What are inflection points? Are all density curves described by their μ and σ? Why are normal distributions important in statistics? Date: The Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7) State the empirical rule (or, as it is also called, the 68-95-99.7 rule) Draw a picture of the 68-95-99.7 rule: Give the short notation for a normal distribution with mean, μ and standard deviation, σ. Write the short notation describing the following distribution: The scores on the math portion of the SAT exam are normally distributed with a mean score ( ) of 500 points and a standard deviation ( ) of 50 points Describe each quartile of a distribution in terms of percentiles. The 1st quartile is the ______-th percentile. The median is the ______-th percentile. The 3rd quartile is the ______-th percentile. Summary of Normal Distributions: Highlight 5-10 critical words and phrases from the notes above and use them to write a 3-4 sentence summary of normal distributions. Homework: Exercises 2.6 and 2.7 pg 89, and Exercises 2.15 and 2.16 pg 91 Topic: Section 2.2- Name: Standard Normal Calculations Subject: AP Statistics Date: Standard Normal Calculations What does it mean to standardize a normal distribution? Define z-score: What is the significance of a z-score? A z-score tells us how many ___________________________ the original observation falls away from the _________________. Observations larger than the mean are ________________, while observations smaller than the mean are ________________. Example: Use z-scores to answer the question to the right. Recall that the larger the z score , the less “usual” the observation, since the mean represents the average measurement. 1. Former NBA star Michael Jordan is 78” tall, while WNBA player Rebecca Lobo is 76” tall. Men’s heights have a mean of 69 in, and a standard deviation of 2.8 in. Women’s heights have a mean of 63.6 in, and a standard deviation of 2.5 in. Which player is relatively taller? In other words, which player is taller in comparison to their gender? *Note* We use absolute value because a zscore of -1.5 is farther from the mean than a z-score of 1.1) 2. Former NBA player Mugsy Bogues is 63 in. tall. Whose height is more “unusual”, Mugsy’s or Michael’s? Define standard normal distribution: The standard normal distribution is the normal distribution with mean____ and standard deviation_____, shown below. Standard normal distribution: N 0,1 Notation: If the variable x has any normal distribution N , with mean, , and standard deviation, , then the standardized variable, z has the standard normal distribution. Here, z = x . Normal Distribution Calculations How can we find what proportion of observations lie in some range of values in a normal distribution? Shade the portion of the area under the standard normal curve given by the z-value in a z-table: z What is the best strategy (key) to doing a normal calculation (page 100)? Examples: Find the proportion of observations from the standard normal distribution less than 1.7 and sketch a picture of the area you have found. Area: Picture: Find the proportion of observations from the standard normal distribution greater than -2.0 and sketch a picture of the area you have found. Area: Picture: Find the proportion of observations from the standard normal distribution between -1.2 and 2.57, and then sketch a picture of the area you have found. Area: Picture: Beware!! Avoid this common mistake: Finding Normal Proportions Step 1: To get full credit on any normal calculation, you must include each of the following steps: Step 2: Step 3: Step 4: What do you do of you need to find a z-value that falls outside the range of the z-table? What do you do if you are given a value for z and need to find the observation that matches your zscore? Summary of Normal Calculations: Highlight 5-10 critical words and phrases from the notes above and use them to write a 3-4 sentence summary of normal distributions. Homework: Exercises 2.20 pg 95, and Exercises 2.23-2.25 pg 91 Topic: Section 2.2Assessing Normality Name: Subject: AP Statistics Date: Assessing Normality Describe two methods for determining if a distribution is approximately normal. Method 1: Method 2: How do you construct a normal probability plot? Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Draw an example of a normal probability plot drawn for a distribution that is approximately normal and for a distribution that is not normal. If a distribution is not normal: We can still get information about the shape of the distribution from the normal probability plot. Approximately normal: Not close to normal: What we know about shape: If the bulk of the x-y values of the normal plot lie on an imaginary, straight line with only a few data values falling above or below the line, then those points are likely outliers. What it looks like: Possible outliers Possible outliers If both ends of the normality plot bend above an imaginary line passing through the bulk of the x-y values of the probability plot, then the population may be skewed right. If both ends of the normality plot bend below an imaginary line passing through the bulk of the x-y values of the probability plot, then the population may be skewed left. Summary of Assessing Normality: Highlight 5-10 critical words and phrases from the notes above and use them to write a 3-4 sentence summary of normal distributions. Homework: Exercise 2.27 pgs 108-109 and Exercise 2.35 pg 111: Please ensure responses are complete!