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Maximizing the Prevention Benefit of ART in Asia Ying-Ru Lo, MD, DTM&H World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific, Manila, Philippines Track C WESY02 Treatment as Prevention in Asia International AIDS Society Conference, 3 July 2013 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Content Epidemiology and new evidence Programmatic challenges Conclusions 2| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Estimated no. of PLHIV by region, 2011 25,000,000 Estimated no. of PLHIV 20,000,000 Asia bears the 2nd highest burden of HIV (4.9 million of global total of 34 million) 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 SubSaharan Africa Source: GARP 2012 3| East South and SouthEast Asia Latin America & Caribean Europe and Central Asia Middle East and North Africa Oceania World Health Organization Western Pacific Region ART coverage in selected countries in Asia, 2011 All ages 100% 95% Only 1 country reached > 80% coverage 90% % ART coverage 80% 58% 60% 53% 50% 51% 43% 38% 40% 37% 32% 31% 30% 71% 68% 70% 24% 27% 24% 21% 20% 10% 0% Source: GARP 2012 4| By the end of 2012 number of people receiving ART • Globally, 9.6 million (64% of global target) • In Asia, 1.3 million Country World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Evidence from HPTN 052 HPTN 052 confirms that earlier ART reduces HIV transmission by 96% among discordant couples in stable relationship (Cohen et al, NEJM 2011) Health Affairs 2012 5| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Modelling suggests that HIV testing and ART can avert new HIV infections in Asia China 10-fold increase in ART could decrease the number of HIVrelated deaths by 58% and the number of new infections by one-quarter by 2015 (Zhang et al, Sexual Health 2011) Thailand > 60 % reduction of new HIV cases with increased uptake of HIV testing among key populations and immediate treatment of all HIV-infected people (Peerapatanapokin et al. personal communication) Vietnam Annual HTC and immediate treatment for key populations, combined with scale-up of methadone maintenance therapy and condom use, will reduce new infections by 81% compared to current interventions (Kato et al, JAIDS 2013) 6| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region A combination of interventions has greater impact than an intervention delivered alone 7| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Effect of ART at population level depends on …….. Uptake along the cascade from HIV testing to treatment Communication across the cascade with improved monitoring and evaluation Dealing with acute and early HIV infection Prevention and surveillance of HIV drug resistance 8| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Metrics to monitor efficiency of the treatment cascade China 2011 % of people living with HIV % of people living with HIV Vietnam 2011 Source: UNAIDS 2012, VAAC 2011 Source: UNAIDS 2012, NCAIDS 2011 People with HIV do not know their status Loss of individuals from HIV testing to care and ART 9| World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Treatment cascade, Cambodia 2012 Estimated # PLHIV 74,572* (100%) # HIV tested ? ? ? # on ART 48,913 (66%) # in HIV care 6587 (9%) * 2011 Estimates Source: NCHADS 2012 • Increasing # of individuals who know their HIV status • Invest in monitoring 10 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Treatment cascade, Thailand, 2008-2011 No. of people 250,000 2008 2010 200,000 150,000 100,000 ?? 2009 2011 71% viral load suppression with > 6 months on ART 50,000 0 Source: Adapted from Bhakeecheep (Personal Communication), National Health Security Office Thailand 2012 11 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Communicating across the treatment cascade To achieve full impact of treatment, communication across services is critical The cascade, although broken down by indicators, must be considered as a whole to estimate population-level impact Requires coordinated programme approach 12 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Note on need for unique identifier codes As we move forward to develop and implement a national unique identifier code for use in the HIV testing, care and treatment cascade, we propose a running number plus additional identifying information, such as year, month, and province of birth, to identify persons as they make their way through the treatment cascade in confined clinical settings Frits van Griensven, Cambodia mission, January 2013 13 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region 2012 Individuals with acute HIV infection have 8 to 26-fold higher risk for transmitting HIV vs. those with chronic HIV infection (Pilcher et al, Curr HIV/AIDS Rep 2006, Hollingsworth et al, J Infect Dis 2008, Cohen et al, NEJM 2011) Relative contribution of early phase of HIV infection (3-6 months after infection) has been extensively modelled with differing results varying between 38% during first 4.8 months of HIV acquisition (Powers et al, Lancet 2011) and 2% during first month of HIV acquisition (Williams and Dye in Cohen et al, Plos Medicine 2012) 14 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Monitoring adverse events during earlier ART HIV drug (antiretroviral) resistance impact of longer treatment required for earlier ART on resistance is unknown monitor early warning indicators Adverse drug reactions Risk behavior compensation (WEPDB0105, Doyle et al; MOLBPE30, Bavinton et al) 15 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Low levels of transmitted HIV drug resistance in Asia, 2005-2010 % of HIV drug resistance among ART –naive individuals from the published literature, by year and region (% with at least one drug resistance mutation), 2004–2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1.0 1.3 3.3 2.9 … 1.0 SouthEast Asia (0.6-4.0) (0.1 - 3.5) (2.8-18.9) (0.6-8.2) Western Pacific 1.8 (0.2-4.5) 3.3 1.9 (1.0-6.6) (0.6-3.7) 4.0 5.6 (0.0-5.8) 0.0 (1.6-8.2) (3.2-8.7) (0.0 -16.1) Pvalue NS NS NS: Not statistically significant. Source: WHO HIV Drug Resistance Report 2012. 16 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region HIV drug resistance surveillance As ART roll out continues, increased rates of HIVDR may occur Routine, standardized, population-based surveillance of HIVDR is imperative and must be in place to detect potential future increase of HIVDR in a timely manner 17 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Why ART as prevention implementation research in Asia? Role of ART as prevention in concentrated HIV epidemics in Asia (SW, IDU, MSM) has not been addressed What needs to be done differently to achieve the level of effectiveness observed in discordant couples in concentrated epidemics? What is the cost of expanded HIV testing and earlier ART? It is likely that earlier ART can be implemented as the pool of infected people to treat is small compared to generalized epidemics 18 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Planned implementation research (January 2013) Thailand Indonesia Cambodia Vietnam China Population MSM MSM IDU++ All SD couples All SD couples IDU++ All SD couples MARPs Treat all Goal To guide future national policy & strategy on earlier ART for MSM and/or FSW To guide future national policy & strategy on earlier ART for SD couples, SWs, MSM and/ or IDU Improve existing policy & strategy Primary objective Feasibility of repeat testing, immediate ART New HTC approaches & uptake Adherence immediate ART Feasibility of identifying partner (network approach), early ART, repeat testing Feasibility improved implementation cascade Programme strengthening ART criteria Irrespective CD4 TDF-based Irrespective CD4 TDF-based Irrespective CD4 or CD4<500 Irrespective CD4 TDF-based (possibly FDC) Irrespective CD4 TDF NGO and public services for MSM and IDU HTC ART HTC Methadone sites Pre ART HTC ART Outreach internet peers Inter-country workshop on optimizing HIV treatment through Enrollment the Treatment 2.0 Initiative, Yangon, Sept 13-14, 2012 Challenges HIV testing and counselling uptake is low among key populations Substantial number of people diagnosed are not effectively linked to care Attrition is high and adherence suboptimal Monitoring and evaluation systems do not allow communication across the treatment cascade HIV drug resistance surveillance is not sustained 20 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Treatment as (for) Prevention Gathering necessary information to inform programmes and WHO guidelines Serodiscordant couples & programmatic update Metrics Support countries on implementation research • WHO/NIH Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam • TREAT Asia/WHO Treatment as prevention of HIV workshop • WHO China Treatment as Prevention workshop Implementation & scale-up in countries Impact evaluation How to improve efficiency of the HIV testing, care and treatment cascade? • WPRO metrics workshop • Support to implementation research in countries • Piloting Unique Identifier Codes • WHO 2013 Guidelines: The use of ARVs for Treating and Preventing HIV 2012 21 | 2013 2014 2015 World Health Organization Western Pacific Region Acknowledgements Sorakij Bhakeecheep, National Health Security Office (NHSO), Bangkok, Thailand Suwat Chariyalertsak, Research Institute for Health Sciences (RIHES), Chiang Mai University, Chiangmai, Thailand Nittaya Phanuphak, Thai Red Cross AIDS Research Centre, Bangkok, Thailand Duong Duc Bui, Viet Nam Administration of HIV/AIDS Control (VAAC), Ministry of Health, Hanoi, Vietnam Seng Sopheap, National Centre for HIV/AIDS, Dermatology and STD (NCHADS), Ministry of Health, Phnom Penh, Cambodia, Zunyou Wu, Ye Ma, Fujie Jang, National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China Masami Fujita, WHO Cambodia, Phnom Penh, Cambodia Masaya Kato, WHO Vietnam Country Office, Hanoi, Vietnam Razia Pendse, WHO Regional Office for South-East Asia, New Delhi, India Dongbao Yu, WHO Regional Office for the Western Pacific Region, Manila, Philippines 22 | World Health Organization Western Pacific Region