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Chapter 7 Measuring Domestic Output and National Income McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Objectives • • • • • Define and measure GDP GDP and income relationships The GDP price index Nominal GDP vs. real GDP Limitations of the GDP measure 24-2 National Income Accounting • Bureau of Economic Analysis compiles National Income and Product Accounts –Assess health of economy –Track long run course –Formulate policy 24-3 Gross Domestic Product • Measure of aggregate output • Monetary measure • Avoid multiple counting –Market value final goods –Ignore intermediate goods –Count value added 24-4 Gross Domestic Product • Exclude financial transactions –Public transfer payments –Private transfer payments –Stock (and bond) market transactions • Second hand sales –Sell used car to a friend 24-5 Two Approaches to GDP • Income approach –Count income derived from production –Wages, rental income, interest income, profit • Expenditure approach –Count sum of money spent buying the final goods –Who buys the goods? 24-6 Two Approaches to GDP Consumption by Households Wages Investment by Businesses Rents + + Government Purchases + Expenditures By Foreigners G = D= P + + + + Interest Profits Statistical Adjustments 24-7 Expenditure Approach • Personal consumption expenditures (C) –Durable consumer goods –Nondurable consumer goods –Consumer expenditures for services –Domestic plus foreign produced 24-8 Expenditure Approach • Gross private domestic investment (I) –Machinery, equipment, and tools –All construction –Changes in inventories • Creation of new capital asset • Noninvestment transactions 24-9 Expenditure Approach - Gross Investment Depreciation = Net Investment Gross Investment Net Investment Depreciation Increase Stock of Capital Consumption & Government Spending Stock of Capital January 1 Year’s GDP December 31 24-10 Expenditure Approach • Government purchases (G) – Expenditures for goods and services – Expenditures for social capital – Excludes transfer payments • Net exports (Xn) – Add exported goods – Subtract imported goods – NX = exports - imports • GDP = C+Ig+G+Xn 24-11 U.S. Economy 2009 In Billions Receipts Expenditures Approach Allocations Income Approach Personal Consumption (C) $10,089 Compensation $ 7792 Gross Private Domestic Rents 268 788 Investment (Ig) 1628 Interest Government Purchases (G) 2931 Proprietor’s Income 1041 Net Exports (Xn) -392 Corporate Profits 1309 Taxes on Production and Imports National Income 1090 $12,288 Net Foreign Factor Income (-) 105 Statistical Discrepancy (+) 209 Consumption of Fixed Capital (+) Gross Domestic Product $ 14,256 LO2 Gross Domestic Product 1864 $ 14,256 7-12 Comparative GDP LO2 7-13 Components of National Income • • • • • Compensation of employees Rents Interest Proprietor’s income Corporate profits – Corporate income taxes – Dividends – Undistributed corporate profits • Taxes on production and imports 24-14 Income Approach • From national income to GDP – Net foreign factor income – Statistical discrepancy – Consumption of fixed capital • Other national accounts – Net domestic product (NDP) – National income (NI) – Personal income (PI) – Disposable income (DI) – DI = C + S 24-15 U.S. Income Relationships 2009 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Less: Consumption of Fixed Capital Equals: Net Domestic Product (NDP) Less: Statistical Discrepancy Plus: Net Foreign Factor Income Equals: National Income (NI) Less: Taxes on Production and Imports Less: Social Security Contributions Less: Corporate Income Taxes Less: Undistributed Corporate Profits Plus: Transfer Payments Equals: Personal Income (PI) Less: Personal Taxes Equals: Disposable Income (DI) LO2 $ 14,256 1864 $ 12,392 209 105 $ 12,288 1090 967 315 418 2528 $ 12,026 1102 $ 10,924 7-16 Class Exercise Form groups of 4 to 5 students. Working together, and using the data listed on the board solve for GDP, NPD, NI, PI and DI (use Expenditure Approach for GDP) Each group should assign a spokesperson to review the solution with the class……. 24-17 •Transfer Payments $16 (Dollars in Billions) •Government Purchases 80 •Personal Taxes 38 •Corporate Income tax 28 •Taxes on Production and Imports 15 •Social Security contributions 8 •Undistributed corporate profits 19 •Proprietor’s income 25 •Compensation of employees 258 •Personal consumption expenditures 322 •Consumption of fixed capital 4 •Rents 10 •U.S. Exports 14 •Corporate profits 70 •Interest 12 •Dividends 23 •Imports to U.S. 17 •Gross private domestic investment 63 •Net foreign factor income 10 •Statistical Discrepancy 35 24-18 Nominal vs. Real GDP • GDP is a dollar measure of production • Using dollar values creates problems • Nominal GDP –Use prevailing price • Real GDP –Reflect changes in price –Use base year price 24-19 GDP Price Index • Use price index to determine real GDP Price Index In Given Year Real GDP = = Price of Market Basket In Specific Year Price of Same Basket In Base Year x 100 Nominal GDP Price Index (in hundredths) 24-20 NOMINAL GDP vs. REAL GDP Nominal Values • Deflate GDP when prices rise • Inflate GDP when prices fall • Nominal GDP • Calculating Real GDP (4) (2) (3) (5) Unadjusted, (1) Price Price Index or Nominal, Adjusted, Units of Pizza Year 1 = Or Real, GDP, Year Output Per Unit 100 GDP (1)x(2) 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 10 11 $ 10 20 25 30 28 100 200 250 - $ 50 140 200 - $ 50 70 80 24-21 Shortcomings of GDP • • • • • • Nonmarket activities Leisure Improved product quality The underground economy GDP and the environment Composition and distribution of the output • Noneconomic sources of well-being 24-22 Underground Economy As a percentage of GDP, Selected Nations, 2007 Percentage of GDP 0 Mexico South Korea India Italy Spain China Sweden Germany France United Kingdom Japan Switzerland United States 5 10 15 20 25 30 Source: Open Assessment, E-Journal 24-23 Sources of BEA Data • Consumption – Census Bureau’s Retail Trade Survey – Census Bureau’s Survey of Manufacturers – Census Bureau’s Service Survey • Investment – All Consumption data sources – Census Bureau’s Housing Starts Survey and Housing Sales Survey – Retail Trade Survey – Wholesale Trade Survey – Survey of Manufacturing 24-24 Sources of BEA Data • Government Purchases – Office of Personnel Management – Construction Surveys – Census Bureau’s Survey of Government Finance • Net Exports – U.S. Customs Service – BEA Surveys and Analysis 24-25 Key Terms • national income accounting • gross domestic product • intermediate goods • final goods • multiple counting • value added • expenditures approach • income approach • personal consumption expenditures • gross and net private domestic investment • government purchases • net exports • taxes on production and imports • national income • consumption of fixed capital • net domestic product • personal income • disposable income • nominal GDP • real GDP • price index 24-26