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Integrated Land Ecosystem Atmosphere Process Study Outgoing Co-Chair: Alex Guenther, UC Irvine Co-Chair: Hans C Hansson, Stockholm Univ. Incoming co-chair: Eleanor Blyth, CEH iLEAPS Focus on core science of land ecosystem – atmosphere interactions Atmosphere Ensure the social science aspects in initiatives and projects Biosphere Anthroposphere iLEAPS Science H2O, CO2, CH4 N2O, VOCs, pollen, NOx O3, N2, Aerosols Undisturbed forest Managed forest Tropical, Boreal Temperate Husbandry Tree species Interaction Crops Farming practice Crop type Vulnerable, marginal or extreme environments Cold, dry wetlands, mountains Issues: Human Health, Biodiversity, Climate mitigation, Food and fuel security 1. How changing land-use and farming and forestry practice (irrigation, tillage, fire, draining, fertilisers, grazing, forest husbandry, pest and weed control, choice of crops or trees) affects the atmospheric chemistry, air quality and climate (N2O, CO2, H2O, CH4, VOCs, pollen etc) 2. How anthropogenic changes in atmospheric chemistry (CO2, O3) affects plant productivity (ozone damage, CO2 fertilisation) 3. How vulnerable and marginal ecosystems (very cold, very dry) will be affected by changes in climate (T, H2O, CO2) 4. How ecosystems (including fire, wetlands and vegetation) emit short lived carbon: e.g. isoprenes and methane as well as carbon dioxide and its impact on the atmospheric chemistry iLEAPS organization • IPO at Nanjing University, China – since March 2015 – Nurmira Zhamangulova (Exec. Officer), Aijun Ding (PI) • Regional offices/nodes – Regional Future Earth offices – Node for the MENA countries at the Cyprus Institute – Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMKIFU), Garmisch-Partenkirchen? – Other possibilities? • National offices: Japan, Korea, China Regional responses to human intervention Regions where emissions of reactive compounds, fire, irrigation, or land-cover change distort the predictions of global models. Adapted from Pitman et al. 2011b. iLEAPS organization Future Earth ILEAPS Governing Council Initiatives Endorsed projects Scientific Steering Committees Scientific / Engagement Committees International PO Stakeholders Regional nodes / IPO National Funding Agencies Regional PO National committees iLEAPS organization • Future Earth – engagement and application – branding and products • Close cooperation with relevant projects - Former IGBP: IGAC, SOLAS, GEIA - WCRP: GEWEX and GLP iLEAPS organization GEWEX A: climate predictability AIMES B: Biogeochemistry of Earth system and interaction with humans Global Land Project Land surface models, observations Reanalysis of state of land Global Carbon Project C: Annual carbon budget B: Derive global land cover Interaction of land with Socioeconomic systems iLEAPS C: Interaction of land with atmospheric chemistry Role of humans Air Pollution IGAC A: Atmospheric Chemistry Land cover and land use change Climate Change and Food Security D: Food security Global Environmental Change And Human Health D: Human Health Project Example: CANEXMIP Canopy EXchange Model Intercomparison Project Canopy models: exchange of reactive compounds Lead: Laurens Ganzeveld chemistry turbulence Canopy-top flux emissions dry deposition emissions Project example: Interactions among Managed Ecosystems, Climate, and Societies (IMECS) iLEAPS-ESA project: Multivariate analysis of Earth Observations to produce a Biosphere-Atmosphere Index including Fire, Soil water stress, Evapotranspiration, Photosynthesis, Crop productivity, Land use change Earth Observation Product Multi-variate Analysis Product Example: LULC /Air quality interaction research Lead: HC Hansson Air Quality Climate Natural ecosystems Food / Forestry productivity Land use / change Products: Land use/change index (in effect on CO2, O3, BVOC) Air Quality effect on Ecosystem index ( in effect on productivity CO2, H2O flux) That is iLEAPS! References: • iLEAPS Action Plan (2014-2017) • iLEAPS transition plan (2015) • Suni et al. “The significance of land-atmosphere interactions in the Earth system – an iLEAPS perspective” submitted to special issue of Anthropocene LAND-ATMOSPHERE FEEDBACKS • Increased C release from soil • Permafrost mel ng • Deser fica on • Species & tree line migra on • Other feedbacks in the climate system RADIATIVE FORCING • Direct anthropogenic • Indirect anthropogenic • Natural Biodiversity loss Air quality Urbaniza on Fresh water Food supplies Energy Changes in emissions and land use Climate Change Deforesta on Permafrost mel ng GLOBAL CHANGE • Climate warming • Extreme events • Sea-level rise • Global environmental change Chemicalisa on SOCIETY AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES • Food and water availability • Economic development / Deteriora on • Migra on pa erns • Energy produc on • New land management prac ces ecosystem services Popula on Increase Global warming Impacts on