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Chapter 7 Notes 7.1- Discrete and Continuous Random Variables - Discrete random variable o Has countable number of possible values o Probabilities for each number (X) must be between 0 and 1 o The sum of all probabilities equals 1 o Probability histograms can be used to display this - Continuous Random variable o Takes all values in an interval of numbers o Shown best by a density curve o The probability of every individual outcome is 0 - Normal Distributions as Probability distributions o N (mean, standard deviation) o Standardized Z= X-mean/st. deviation o In discrete just draw curve above histogram 7.2- Means and Variances of Random variables - Mean of a Discrete random variable o Multiply each possible value by its probability then add all the products o Mean often called expected value o Mean(X) = x1p1+x2p2+…+xkpk - Variance of a Discrete Random variable o Variance = (x1-mean(x))^2*p1+ (x2-mean(x))^2*p2… o Standard deviation is the square root of above - Law of large numbers o States that as SRS grows the observed mean will approach the expected values for mean o Intuition is bad at distinguishing random behavior from systematic influences (possible at random- 9,9,9 o What constitutes a large number is different for each situation - Rules for Means o If random variables a and b are fixed numbers Mean(a+bx) = a+b(meanx) o If X and Y are random variable MeanX+Y= MeanX+MeanY o Meanx+x+x=Mean3x - - Rules for Variances o If X is a random variable and a and b are fixed numbers Variance(a+bx)= b^2*Variance(x) o If X and Y are independent Variance(X+Y) = Variance(x) + Variance(y) Variance(X-Y) = Variance(X) + Vaniance(Y) o Always use variance to find standard deviation(square root of above formulas) - For fair game o Expected value must equal zero