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Chapter S7 The normal distribution Learning Objectives – Identify the properties of the normal distribution and normal curve – Identify the characteristics of the standard normal curve – Understand examples of normally distributed data – Read z-score tables and find areas under the normal curve – Find the z-score given the area under the normal curve – Compute proportions – Check whether data follow a normal distribution © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 1 1 Chapter S7 The normal distribution Learning Objectives continued... – Understand and apply the Central Limit Theorem – Solve business problems that can be represented by a normal distribution – Calculate estimates and their standard errors – Calculate confidence intervals for the population mean © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 2 2 Normal distribution When the frequencies of observations for a large population result in a frequency polygon that follows the pattern of a smooth bell-shaped curve that population is said to have a normal distribution. © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 3 3 Normal distribution bell-shaped symmetrical about the mean total area under curve = 1 approximately 68% of distribution is within one standard deviation of the mean approximately 95% of distribution is within two standard deviations of the mean approximately 99.7% of distribution is within 3 standard deviations of the mean Mean = Median = Mode © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 4 4 Normal curves same mean but different standard deviation © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 5 5 Standard score (z-score) The z-score of a measurement is defined as the number of standard deviations the measurement is away from the mean. The formula is: observed value - mean Standard score z standard deviation © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 6 6 Standard score (z-score) If a distribution has a mean of μ and a standard deviation of σ the corresponding z-score of an observation is: z x- © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 7 7 Conversion to raw scores Z-score is calculated to determine the appropriate areas under any normal curve. – To convert raw score of x (from a distribution with a mean μ and standard deviation σ to a z-score, subtract the mean from x and divide by the standard deviation. – To convert a z-score to a raw score x, multiply the z-score by the standard deviation and add this product to the mean. In equation form: x Ζ © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 8 8 The Central Limit Theorem If random samples of size n are selected from a population with a mean μ and a standard deviation σ , the means of the samples are approximately normally distributed with a mean μ and a standard deviation n ,even if the population itself is not normally distributed, provided that n is not too small. The approximation becomes more and more accurate as the sample size n is increased. © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 9 9 Confidence intervals Point estimates – a single estimate of an unknown population mean can be obtained from a random sample – different random samples give different values of the mean – a single estimate is referred to as a point estimate – accuracy depends on: • variability of data in the population • size of the random sample © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 10 10 Standard error of mean Standard error of the mean provides the precise measure of accuracy of a point estimate of the mean Standard error of the mean n Where: σ = population standard deviation n = size of random sample © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 11 11 Confidence intervals A range of values in which a particular value may lie is a confidence interval. The probability that a particular value lies within this interval is called a level of confidence. © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher Slide 12 12