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Macintosh HD:Users:bethcastro:Desktop:WLR Fall 2009:Brazil Mining.doc Brazil’s New Mining Regulatory Framework Affonso Aurino Barros da Cunha Partner Responsible for the Mining Practice Group at TozziniFreire Advogados [email protected] The Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) is preparing a draft of a Bill of Law to be examined by the President of the Republic’s cabinet and then submitted to voting by the Congress. The draft Bill aims to replace the present Mining Code, enacted in 1967, which no longer meets Brazilian political, social and economic scenario. The draft Bill’s wording has not yet gone public but society has already started discussions about what seems to be the main innovations to be voted in Congress. Some experts anticipate that the new regulatory framework will be, at least in some aspects, similar to the one enacted for the energy sector. It would include the transformation of the Brazilian Department of Mineral Production (DNPM), a governmental agency operating within MME’s structure, into an independent regulatory agency, thus reducing today’s great political influence over the entity. One of the most debated subjects is how to transform the present system for obtaining exploration authorizations (based on the granting of priority rights over an unencumbered area to the first applicant) into a bid process. This has been dealt with by Normative Rules enacted in July, 2008 by the DNPM, but the theme should be consolidated in the new Mining Code nonetheless. On the other hand, if approved, the new bidding system might raise the need of a vast program by the Federal Government to level geological information available in the several Brazilian States. Remunerating mining companies for investments made for identification of areas with mineral potential could be an alternative. In this case, such mining companies would not automatically take the priority right over the area (as occurs today). They would have to participate in the bid process and would still be somehow reimbursed for investments made if they do not win. One topic that could mean good news for foreign mining companies investing in Brazil concerns their activities within the country’s border zone. The rules could become more flexible for companies that not only exploit the area, but also industrialize their products within Brazil, advancing one step further into the production chain. Even though the MME understands that a consolidated piece of legislation would be desirable, it is unlikely that a single law will be enacted to govern all of the legal aspects of the sector. There are too many sensitive issues to be discussed, such as mining activities in indigenous reserves. The market believes that the Government’s strategy will be to enact one or more laws to trigger the sector’s modernization process, while laws on the more difficult subjects are under discussion in the Congress. The draft wording of the Bill may become available for public consultation. In addition to a general simplification of the process for obtaining the mineral exploitation, concession players expect to find other important aspects, such as: the creation of a Federal Consulting Brazil Mining.doc 2 Council to supervise and help planning and defining a national development program for the sector; the regulation of the use of mining rights as security for bank loans; the improvement of the applicable environmental legislation, especially rules governing the recovery of environmental damages and contaminated lands; and the reformulation of the tax system applicable to mineral activities, especially as regards the levying and destination of mining royalties (CFEM). The presentation of the draft Bill to the President of the Republic’s cabinet is expected to take place soon. However, many players and even congressmen show some concern as to the timing for its delivery to Congress, once Congress’s agenda is full for the second half of 2009 and 2010 will be a busy year due to the presidential election. Nevertheless, in case the Bill is sent for voting still this year, Brazil might have its new mining regulatory framework already in 2010. ***** Brazil’s national government is making big plans to reform the country’s mining code. In the process it is likely to raise the royalties paid to the government by mining companies. In the view of the government’s current leadership, the reforms are designed to help ensure Brazil can be competitive with other countries for new mining sector investments. Brazil's minister of mines and energy Edison Lobao declared there is a real need for a new approach to mining in the country. The government, in his view, needs to make regulatory bodies more agile and it must better protect the interests of the home market. "The regulatory framework being drafted is intended to replace an obsolete model," he explained. Mining in Brazil Despite the fact that mineral extraction and metallurgy constitute only 5% of Brazil’s GDP, it is still one of the Brazilian economy's most important industries. Brazil’s ranking in worldwide reserves makes it the most important mineral producer in Latin America. The country is now the world’s largest exporter of iron ore and niobium alloys – and it enjoys the benefits of a broadly diversified mineral production that spreads into many parts of Brazil’s vast geography. Scope for growth Brazil’s Mining Institute (which is known as Ibram) has lately boosted its forecast for mining investments, mainly because of sustained output and sales growth. Ibram president Paulo Camillo Penna said both Brazilian and global investors are likely to spend more than the $47bn, which is now budgeted for mining through to 2013. The primary cause of their expanded forecast is the country’s rapid recovery from the global economic crisis. "Brazilian and global investors are likely to spend more than the $47bn, which is now budgeted for mining through to 2013." While macroeconomic stability has laid the foundations for sustained economic expansion, Brazil's average growth has remained below global and Latin American averages – this was true even before the global financial crisis hit the country's economy. Nevertheless, Penna said investors had reduced spending early in 2009, backing away from some of their previous investment commitments. This occurred as demand shrank due to the economic slowdown. Budgets were cut, primarily in iron ore projects, which usually account for two thirds of the total. Penna said that production recovery has been fastest in phosphates, which are used in fertilisers, and in industrial minerals, which are used in construction. Strength and expansion Despite the huge environmental damage wrought by poorly supervised mining operators - which Brazil’s government has done little to prevent or ameliorate the government is making moves to strengthen its leading position since it is also one of the major producers of niobium, iron, kaolin, tantalite, bauxite, graphite, asbestos, cassiterite, magnesite, vermiculite, ornamental rocks, talc, phosphate rock and gold. The mineral exploration spending and objectives outlined by the Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy are to: triple mineral production value, to $50bn by 2020 increase by six times the mining royalty revenue collecting though the widening of the fiscal basis and more efficiency in royalty payment control, increasing the total annual value from $809m to $4.8bn by 2020 generate 460,000 new direct jobs in the mining sector and about 4.3m additional jobs in the mining, to increase total mining labour force to 7.3m employees by 2020 invest $57bn 2020 – 80% in iron, nickel and bauxite and alumina. Consequences Consider for a moment the situation in the gold sector: the Amazon region has been responsible for a major share of Brazilian gold production in recent years. The region has witnessed a sizable gold rush, comparable only to the California gold rush last century. "Development of new mines and exploration is expected to increase significantly in the next few years." Brazil's gold rush has spawned a powerful informal mining sector and has attracted many people, some who have come to the region in search of wealth and some who were already there, but were displaced from other, unsuccessful economic activities. What these people encounter at the mining sites are dreadful living and working conditions. Gold mining causes substantial environmental problems, which may persist whether gold deposits exist or not. There have been severe environmental effects of gold mining in the region, one of which is mercury pollution. Mercury, an important input in gold extraction, is being discharged into the atmosphere and rivers at alarming rates, and the environmental costs of the present extraction technology will be faced primarily by future generations because of natural chemical processes. Change must come There are near-term changes coming to the mining sector, in part because Brazil is now keenly interested in diversifying the sources from which it procures both equipment and services. Driving this need for new equipment, development of new mines and exploration is expected to increase significantly in the next few years. With increased mining activity there is a tendency to outsource services and equipment. Most machinery and equipment used by the mining industry is produced domestically, either by branches of international capital goods companies or by Brazilian firms using imported technology. There are as many manufacturers of mass-produced equipment as there are tailor-made. Where will Brazilian mining companies be investing? Equipment – sample analysis mining laboratory equipment, trucks, shovels, drilling equipment, front loaders, wheel dozers and environmental control equipment. Services – drilling, exploration, airborne geophysics, contract mining and engineering services, materials handling and environmental management. Software – mining, exploration and geophysics. Brazilian miners Vale and MMX could benefit from planned changes to the country's mining concession rules that could favor existing domestic producers over newcomers, Banif analysts said in a note to clients. The Mining and Energy Ministry is working on a proposal to revamp mining rules in its mining industry, including the introduction of auctions to award exploration permits, Valor Economico newspaper said on Thursday. Currently, the government awards permits based on requests put forward by miners. According to Banif, the new rules could present an advantage to companies that offer the most for the concessions, commit to investing more in the early years of a project and hire more local suppliers. Market incumbents like Vale, the world's biggest iron-ore miner, would be better positioned to meet all the new industry conditions than newcomers, Banif noted. "We see this potential change as a good advantage for investors in Vale and MMX, as we foresee that local players will have a competitive advantage," the bank said. The government unveiled plans on March 9 to improve regulatory oversight and shorten the duration of mining concessions to discourage speculation in mineral properties. A draft should be sent to lawmakers as early as April, Valor said. More than 150,000 concessions will be auctioned off as part of the plan, Valor said, quoting Claudio Scliar, a top ministry official. He added that the plan also aims to reduce Brazil's dependence on imported mining equipment, Valor reported. According to Banif, Vale and MMX have greater knowledge of the local mining reserves and market, more proximity to local suppliers, and lower cost production that could spur expanded capital expenditures in the early stage of the projects. The government's proposal seeks to create a new regulatory agency and would also require holders of concessions for areas with commercial mineral potential to start exploring for and exploiting deposits in a shorter time than required now. China imported 405 million tons of iron ore so far this year, an increase of 30% from 2008. Much of this iron ore came from Brazil—specifically from Brazil’s gargantuan iron miner Vale SA. Vale has ridden the commodity-toChina wave and has made a tremendous amount of money in the process. Its year-to-date stock price is up 120% (compared to the S&P roughly 20% rise) and its market capitalization today is roughly US$140 billion. Things may soon change, however. Brazilian legislators are considering the implementation of a new royalty payment system in the mining sector. This royalty could increase fees that mining companies like Vale pay to the Brazilian government, especially those that simply export ore and do not “add value in Brazil.” Miguel Nery, Head of Brazil’s National Production of Mineral Production (DNPM), stated that the plans are in motion to send the new royalty laws to Brazil’s Congress, along with other, wide-ranging changes to Brazilian mining laws. “It hasn’t been decided yet, but the royalty rate will likely be higher for mining companies that do not add value to the raw material in Brazil,” said Nery, who argued that he does not believe that the laws will in any way slow down new investments in the mining sector. Brazilian mining companies, meanwhile, chafe that new royalty payments will make certain new projects less financially viable. Vale, the world’s largest iron ore mining company, has been especially singled out. The pressure could force Vale (NYSE: VALE) to take larger stakes in Brazil’s steel companies. Last week, Vale’s CEO met with Brazil’s President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva following strong government criticism that the company was not doing enough to advance the country’s steel industry. Lula insists that Vale should not simply export raw materials but should also develop higher valueadded products. To its credit, Vale has made minority investments in the Brazilian steel industry. But the company insists it wants remain a minority shareholder in most of its projects in order to avoid competing with its clients. ¨