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ENHANCING HEALTH POLICY THROUGH EPIDEMIOLOGY R.A. Spasoff, MD University of Ottawa 1 Policy • A set of principles guiding decision-making • Public Policy: policy of governments • Health Policy: health promotion, health protection, health services (plus…) 2 Healthy Public Policy • From health promotion movement • Use of policy in all sectors to promote health • Policy can also contribute to disease prevention and treatment at all levels 3 Policy Instruments • Legislation and regulations • Taxation and financial incentives • Information and coordination • Provision of direct service 4 The Basis of Policy • • • • Values Ideology Politics Evidence – Not usually the main influence on policy, but worth fighting for – The main contribution of epidemiology 5 Premise of this presentation • Decisions must be made, regardless of the quality of the supporting evidence • Some evidence is better than no evidence • Epidemiology can provide much of the important evidence 6 Policy Analysis • The process of predicting the impacts of possible policies and evaluating past policies • Epidemiology can make a major contribution to both steps 7 Tugwell’s Iterative Loop • • • • • • • 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Burden of illness Aetiology or causation Community effectiveness Efficiency Synthesis & Implementation Monitoring of Program Reassessment 8 Policy Cycle • 1. Assessment of population health • 2. Assessment of potential interventions • 3. Policy choices • 4. Policy implementation • 5. Policy evaluation 9 1. Assessment of population health • Demography, population dynamics • Descriptive epidemiology: – – – – – Measure the health of the population Identify trends and patterns Assess health risks Assess health needs Identify priority targets for policy development • Analytical epidemiology – Individual-level and population-level causes 10 2. Assessment of potential interventions • Identify potential policy interventions • Synthesize existing knowledge regarding their effectiveness • Contribute relevant new research • Assess the potential of each approach 11 3. Policy choices • Project impact of potential interventions on the health of the population – Computer simulations of different interventions • Assist the process of consensus development 12 4. Policy implementation • Help to set targets for the chosen policies • Inform needs-based resource allocation for health services • Guide development of information systems 13 5. Policy evaluation • Assess the impacts of policies • Monitor future health 14 Epidemiology & Health Policy: three examples • Healthy People 2010 (and Health 21) – goal-setting, targets • Global Burden of Disease – ethical basis, DALYs • Public Health Status and Forecasts in the Netherlands – integrated process 15 Why epidemiology has had a limited influence • Our fault – – – Emphasis on aetiologic research Grime avoidance Focus on individual-level risk actors • Not our fault – Different backgrounds from policymakers – Different values – Different time scales – Lack of credibility (often not “real MDs”) 16 Towards a larger role: relevant expertise • • • • • • • • Policy and its formation Descriptive epidemiology Population health data Social determinants of health Health and disease modelling Geographical information systems Multilevel modelling Population dynamics 17 Towards a larger role: a developing discipline • • • • Teaching (see course description) Professional societies Broadened role for journals Policy-relevant research – – – – Inequalities in health Measuring health needs Multilevel analyses of health Health and disease modelling • Communication skills, research transfer • Working with policy-makers 18 Epidemiology for Health Policy: Objectives • To provide students with: • 1. knowledge of how health policy is developed and used; • 2. knowledge of epidemiologic methods relevant to the development of health policy; and • 3. the skills to use that knowledge, in collaboration with policy-makers 19 Epidemiology for Health Policy: Topics (1) • • • • • • • Policy and Health Policy Policy Formulation Ethics, Politics & Communication Measuring Population Health Health Burden and Health Needs Assessing Causation Assessing Interventions 20 Epidemiology for Health Policy: Topics (2) • • • • Disease Control Disease Modelling Priority-setting Impact Assessment & Goalsetting • Resource Allocation • Policy Evaluation 21 Policy-relevant thesis topics • • • • Small-area estimation of health Adapting “Prevent” to Ontario Small-area variations in health care Evaluating a restricted driver licensing policy • Modelling mammographic screening beyond age 69 • Economic burden of breast-feeding • Income inequality and health (two theses, one using multilevel analysis) 22 Relevant resources: Books • Spasoff, Epidemiologic Methods for Health Policy, 1999 • Brownson/Petitti, Applied Epidemiology, 1998 • Young, Population Health, 1998. • Petitti, Meta-Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Cost-effectiveness Analysis (2nd ed), 2001 • Gray, Evidence-based Healthcare, 1997 23 Relevant resources: Journals • International Journal of Epidemiology • Journal of Epidemiology and • • • • Community Health British Medical Journal Journal of Public Health Policy Public Health Reports American Journal of Public Health 24