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Quality: Statistical Process Control Common Causes n ∑x x= ∑(x − x) 2 i σ= i =1 n 425 Assignable Causes Grams Average Grams Assignable Causes Average (c) Shape n−1 Assignable Causes Average (a) Location i Grams (b) Spread Grams Effects of Assignable Causes on Process Control Out of control (assignable causes present) Sample Means and the Process Distribution Effects of Assignable Causes on Process Control Mean Process distribution In Control (no assignable causes) 425 Sample Means and the Process Distribution Mean Grams The Normal Distribution Distribution of sample means σ = Standard deviation Process distribution 425 Mean –3σ –2σ –1σ +1σ +2σ +3σ 68.26% 95.44% 99.74% Grams Control Charts UCL 1 Assignable causes likely 2 Samples Using Control Charts for Process Improvement Nominal • • LCL • • 3 Measure the process When changes are indicated, find the assignable cause Eliminate problems, incorporate improvements Repeat the cycle Control Chart Examples Variations UCL Nominal LCL Sample number LCL Control Chart Examples Nominal LCL Sample number UCL Variations UCL Variations Nominal Sample number Control Chart Examples Nominal LCL Sample number Control Chart Examples Control Limits and Errors UCL Variations UCL Variations Control Chart Examples Type I error: Probability of searching for a cause when none exists Type II error: Probability of concluding that nothing has changed Nominal UCL LCL Shift in process average Sample number Process average LCL Two-sigma limits Control Charts for Variables Special Metal Screw Sample Number 1 2 3 4 5 1 0.5014 0.5021 0.5018 0.5008 0.5041 Sample 2 3 0.5022 0.5009 0.5041 0.5024 0.5026 0.5035 0.5034 0.5024 0.5056 0.5034 Control Charts for Variables Control Charts – Special Metal Screw R-Charts 4 0.5027 0.5020 0.5023 0.5015 0.5047 R = 0.0021 UCLR = D4R LCLR = D3R Control Charts for Variables Control Chart Factors Size of Sample (n) Factor for UCL and LCL for x-Charts (A2) Factor for LCL for R-Charts (D3) Factor UCL for R-Charts (D4) 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.880 1.023 0.729 0.577 0.483 0.419 0 0 0 0 0 0.076 3.267 2.575 2.282 2.115 2.004 1.924 Control Charts for Variables Control Charts—Special Metal Screw R-Charts R = 0.0021 UCLR = D4R LCLR = D3R D4 = 2.282 D3 = 0 UCLR = 2.282 (0.0021) = 0.00479 in. LCLR = 0 (0.0021) = 0 in. Control Charts for Variables Range Chart Special Metal Screw Control Charts—Special Metal Screw x-Charts R = 0.0021 x= = 0.5027 A2 = 0.729 UCLx = x= + A2R LCLx = x= - A2R UCLx = 0.5027 + 0.729 (0.0021) = 0.5042 in. LCLx = 0.5027 – 0.729 (0.0021) = 0.5012 in. x-Chart— Special Metal Screw x-Chart— Special Metal Screw • • • • Control Charts for Variables Using σ UCLx = x= + zσx LCL = x= – zσ x σx = σ / n x Sunny Dale Bank = x = 5.0 minutes σ = 1.5 minutes n = 6 customers z = 1.96 Measure the process Find the assignable cause Eliminate the problem Repeat the cycle Control Charts for Variables Using σ UCLx = x= + zσx LCL = x= – zσ x x σx = σ / n Sunny Dale Bank = x = 5.0 minutes σ = 1.5 minutes n = 6 customers z = 1.96 UCLx = 5.0 + 1.96(1.5)/ 6 = 6.20 min UCLx = 5.0 – 1.96(1.5)/ 6 = 3.80 min Control Charts for Attributes Control Charts for Attributes Hometown Bank Hometown Bank UCLp = p + zσp LCLp = p – zσp σp = p(1 – p)/n Sample Number Wrong Account Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 σ12 p = Total 15 12 19 2 19 4 24 7 10 17 15 3 UCLp = p + zσp LCLp = p - zσp Control Charts for Attributes Control Charts for Attributes Hometown Bank Hometown Bank n = 2500 p = 0.0049 n = 2500 Total defectives p = Total observations UCLp = p + zσp LCLp = p – zσp σp = p(1 - p)/n 147 Control Charts for Attributes p(1 – p)/n p-Chart Wrong Account Numbers Hometown Bank n = 2500 p = 0.0049 UCLp = 0.0049 + 3(0.0014) LCLp = 0.0049 – 3(0.0014) σp = 0.0014 p-Chart Wrong Account Numbers • • • • Measure the process Find the assignable cause Eliminate the problem Repeat the cycle Control Charts for Attributes Woodland Paper Company Control Charts for Attributes Woodland Paper Company c = 20 Control Charts for Attributes Woodland Paper Company z=2 UCLc = c + z c LCLc = c – z c • • • • Woodland Paper Company Control Charts for Attributes Measure the process Find the assignable cause Incorporate the problem Repeat the cycle Process Capability Nominal value Process distribution Lower specification 800 Upper specification 1000 1200 Hours (a) Process is capable Process Capability Process Capability Nominal value Six sigma Nominal value Four sigma Process distribution Lower specification 800 Upper specification 1000 (b) Process is not capable 1200 Two sigma Lower specification Upper specification Hours Mean Process Capability Process Capability Lightbulb Production Lightbulb Production Upper specification = 1200 hours Lower specification = 800 hours Average life = 900 hours σ = 48 hours Upper specification = 1200 hours Lower specification = 800 hours Average life = 900 hours σ = 48 hours Cp = Upper specification Lower specification 6σ Process Capability Ratio Process Capability Process Capability Lightbulb Production Lightbulb Production Cp = 1.39 Upper specification = 1200 hours Lower specification = 800 hours Average life = 900 hours σ = 48 hours Cp = 1.39 Upper specification = 1200 hours Lower specification = 800 hours Average life = 900 hours σ = 48 hours Cpk = Minimum of x= – Lower specification 3σ Process Capability Index Process Capability Lightbulb Production Upper specification = 1200 hours Lower specification = 800 hours Average life = 900 hours σ = 48 hours Cpk = 0.69 Cp = 1.39 Process Capability Index Process Capability Ratio Upper specification – = x 3σ ,