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Presentation 3 More about the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean and introduction to the t-distribution 1 Brief Review of Sampling Distributions Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion: Each member of the population has a trait of interest with probability p (population proportion). Suppose a random sample of size n is obtained form the population. The sample proportion p-hat is a logical estimator of p, number of element in the sample with trait pˆ total sample size If the sample is large enough, np and n(1-p) >5, then pˆ p (1 p ) ~ N p, Z n approx . pˆ p approx . ~ N (0,1) p (1 p ) n 2 Sampling Distribution of Sample Mean Let X be a random variable and the statistic be the sample mean of X in a random sample of size n. We examine the sampling distribution of in the following three scenarios: 1. When X is a normal random variable, E(X)=µ and s.d.(X)= σ are both known. 2. When X is not a normal random variable, E(X)=µ and s.d.(X)= σ are both known and the sample size is large, n ≥ 30. 3. When X is a normal random variable, E(X)=µ is known, s.d.(X)= σ is unknown and the sample size is large, n ≥ 30. So far we have seen the first two cases. 3 Case 1: E (X ) 2 X 2 Var ( X ) X ~ N , ~ N (0, 1) n n X normal r.v. Case 2: E (X ) Var ( X ) 2 X n 30 2 X approx ~ N , ~ N (0, 1) n n approx Case 3: E (X ) X sample s.d.(X ) s ~ t n 1, where tn-1 denotes the s n t-distribution with n -1 X normal r.v. degrees of freedom. 4 Properties of the t-distribution There are infinitely many t-distributions, each characterized by one parameter, the degrees of freedom. The degrees of freedom are positive integers, e.g. t1, t2 , t3,…, t10,… Random variables with t-distribution are continuous. The density curve of a t - distribution is symmetric, bell-shaped and centered at zero (similar to the standard normal curve). There are tables for the probabilities related with a t – random variable. In will see how to use them later in the course. As the degrees of freedom increase, the variance of the t -random variable decreases, i.e. the density curve is less spread, and actually it approaches the standard normal density. 5 Properties of the t-distribution Z~N(0,1) t10 t3 t1 6