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Ecosystem Approaches to Management: The EGT’s Work in Progress Characteristics of Ecosystem Approaches to Management (EAM) A Science Strategy Supporting EAM EGT’s Way Forward Steven Murawski NOAA Ecosystem Goal Team Lead …XI-XV How to Implement Ecosystem Management There is no manual for what we are attempting! 10 Common Myths Regarding EAM • EAM is not well defined and we don’t know how to do it….. [nonsense!] • Complex models of species interactions are necessary to guide EAM • MPAs are an essential component of EAM (=equivalent) • There is insufficient information for any area to answer all ecosystem questions for EAM • There are no good examples of EAM in practice anywhere in the world myths, continued…. • EAM is too difficult to apply in multinational settings • EAM can only apply to a few developed countries in the world because of the technical and financial resources required • There are no good sets of principles or guidelines for implementing EAM • It is impossible to establish boundaries necessary to implement EAM • EAM only pertains to biological interactions among components but not other complex phenomena including social-economic relationships, climate change, etc. Ecosystem Mandates: A Paradigm Shift or Evolution? Current Mandates Individual Species Narrow Perspective & Scale Human Activities Evaluated for Individual activities Resource Management by Sectors Scientific Monitoring programs Focused narrowly Single Use and Purpose Observations Focus on Managing Ecosystem parts Future Mandates Multiple Species Broad Perspective & Scale Humans Integral to Ecosystem Integrated Resource Management Adaptive Management Based On Scientific Monitoring Shared and Standardized Observations Focus on Ecosystem Relationships, Processes, and Tradeoffs Growing Consensus on What Objectives of EAM IUCN – 12 Principles of the Ecosystem Approach* • Objectives of land, water and LR management are a matter of societal choice • Management should be decentralized to the lowest level possible • Managers should consider effects on adjacent ecosystems • Consider economic effects to: - reduce market distortions that adversely affect ecosystems - align incentives that promote biodiversity - internalize costs and benefits in a given ecosystem • Conservation of ecosystem structure & function to maintain services should be a priority * Shepherd, 2004 IUCNs Ecosystem Approach – cont. • Ecosystems managed within limits of their functioning • EA undertaken at appropriate spatial and temporal scales • Recognizing temporal variability & lag effects, objectives should be set for the long term • Management must recognize that change is inevitable • EA should seek the appropriate balance between & integration of conservation and use of biodiversity • EA should consider all forms of relevant information, including scientific and ingigenous and local knowledge • EA should involve all relevant sectors of society & scientific disciplines NOAA Working Definitions for EAM* • An ecosystem is a geographically specified system of organisms (including humans), the environment, and the processes that control its dynamics. • Characteristics of EAM are: - adaptive, - incremental, - takes account of ecosystem knowledge and uncertainties, - considers multiple external influences, - strives to balance diverse social objectives, and - geographically specified. * NOAA’s Ecosystem Goal Team (EGT) Operational Objectives for EAM (1) Develop broad Stakeholder-Based Governance system (2) Conserve essential Parts of the ecosystem (3) Conserve essential ecosystem Processes Question, if (2) is done well, is (3) necessary? Many Recent Publications Proposing General Objectives for EAM, EBM Develop Ecosystem Governance System Manage Tradeoffs - among fisheries sectors, optimize fishery benefits, prevent sequential depletion/effort transfer, use management processes that are fair, equitable and transparent, consider cumulative impacts, evaluate impacts of non-fishery sectors, include diverse stakeholder views Use Adaptive Approaches to Management - consider multiple causes for observed changes and sources of uncertainty in assessment & prediction, reverse burden of proof where consequences are great, imbed experiments in management approaches to increase ecosystem knowledge Establish Appropriate Ecosystem Boundaries - allows for interconnections between adjacent ecosystems, allows for imports and exports, includes multiple spatial scales depending on issue - paradox of scale Elements of Regional Ecosystem Governance Fishery Management (council, state, state Commissions, International agreements) Protected Resource Management (MMPA, ESA, Birds Etc.) interaction Water Quality Management (EPA, states, etc.) Coastal & EEZ Modifications (COE, MMS, etc.) Need for coordination Other management authorities for navigation, food quality/safety, International agreements, climate change, etc. • synthesizes observations • conducts process research to link dynamics between components • develops status indicators for individual components & ecosystems • provides forecasts of status & trends Management Decision Support Systems communication • evaluate effects of policy choices/tradeoffs • provides forum for resolving conflicting uses of ecosystems • develops management measures to achieve strategic goals for species & ecosystems Integrated Ecosystem Governance Systems • develop management options to achieve goals Communication Outreach Inputs from Multiple, Diverse Stakeholders • provides users perspectives on desired outcomes for decisions Biological, Economic, Social Ecosystem Observing System (e-IOOS) • develop types, frequency & spatial density of observations Science Components Supporting Ecosystem Approaches to Management Geographically Specified -2- Geographic Continuum - Scales of Ecosystem Processes Whales Surface chlorophyll Time/Space Scales Marine Ecosystem Geography Global Oceans Ocean Basins International Waters LMEs EEZs Territorial Waters Open Coasts Inland Seas Watersheds Bays & Estuaries Private Local Regional State State Federal Property Govt. Govt. Govt. Compact Govt. RMO IMOs NGOs Academia RSO ISOs Governance Hierarchy & Advisory Services Marine Ecosystem Geography Global Oceans Ocean Basins International Waters LME Level Mgt. LMEs EEZs Territorial Waters Open Coasts Inland Seas Watersheds Bays & Estuaries Private Local Regional State State Federal Property Govt. Govt. Govt. Compact Govt. RMO IMOs NGOs Academia RSO ISOs Governance & Advisory Services Coastal Large Marine Ecosystems of the United States Harvesting Affects Distributions & Abundances of Species Atlantic cod 2003 Groundfish Trawl Fishing Effort MPAs In New England Vessel Hours = 1-8 = 9-25 = 26-63 = 64-145 = 146-309 Conserve & Manage Ecosystem Parts Conserve and Manage Species - Target species, assemblages, non-target species, PET* species, biodiversity protection Minimize Bycatch - Target, non-target & PET species, and minimize waste * PET = Protected, Endangered or Threatened Species Alaskan Groundfish Stock Status 2002 F2001/FMSY 2.0 over 1.5 over 1/2 BMSY EBS P-Cod 1.0 GA Sable GA Pol no 0.5 over GA POP overfishing not overfished GA P-Cod AI POP EBS Pol A Mack 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 FMSY no overfishing not overfished GA Thorny EBS YF Sole EBS EBS EBS R Sole O Flats Turbot EBS F Sole EBS Arrow GA Arrow 1.5 2.0 B2001/BMSY 2.5 3.05.0 Stratified Mean Number per Tow 3 Non-Resource Species: Barndoor Skate 2 1 Goal 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Account for Ecosystem Processes Evaluate & Inform Feedback Effects - predator-prey relationships, gear impacts on habitat productivity, irreversibility of fishing impacts, harvestinginduced regime change Maintain Ecosystem Productivity, Balance Ecosystem Structure - evaluate ecosystem carrying capacity, maintain resilience/resistance to perturbations, attain trophic balance Account for Climate Variability – low-frequency variation (decadal scale changes), highfrequency variation (year-to-year or more frequent), climate-based regime change The Chesapeake Bay Ecosystem – basis for FEP Conserve & Manage Ecosystem Parts Conserve and Manage Species - Target species, assemblages, non-target species, PET* species, biodiversity protection Minimize Bycatch - Target, non-target & PET species, and minimize waste * PET = Protected, Endangered or Threatened Species Cold-water Coral Research and Protection Habitat of Particular Concern Key Science Needs Supporting EAM Operational Ocean Observation System integrating biology, physical oceanography, chemistry, oceanatmosphere links and socio-economic data (at appropriate geographic scales) ~ ½ built Systematic reporting on the status of marine and coastal ecosystems through Integrated Ecosystem Assessments (IEAs), including key indicators of pressures on ecosystems and their state Ecosystem research plan that enables linking of human activities to incremental change in ecosystem state indicators Modeling, experimental ecology, and observation systems linked to support adaptive approaches to human uses of marine ecosystems consistent with goals of sustainable use Need to Link High-Level Principles to Informative Performance Measures -High-Level Principles e.g., healthy and productive ecosystems… -Operational Objectives -Indicators -Reference Points -Performance Measures Sainsbury & Sumaila 2003 In many cases indicators, reference points and performance measures are not yet well specified for many ecosystem-level objectives, but likely will not be used as traditional fish stock reference points (F and biomass) Characteristics of Ecosystem Indicators – (ICES WG on Ecosystem Effects of Fishing) Easy to Understand Responsive to Manageable Human Activities Responses Linked in Time to Management Action Easily and Accurately Measured Low Responsiveness to Other Factors Measurable Over Large Portion of Area Existing Data to Provide Historic Dynamics (DESIRABLE, not NECESSARY Conditions) Indicators & Decision Criteria • Most indicators are not yet usable as reference points. • Empirical use of state indicators (e.g. biomass) as a function (or partial function) of pressure indicators (e.g. fishing rate) can help establish specified thresholds or Limit Reference Points. • Development of empirically based indicator thresholds needs further development, but can be used NOW to establish some intermediate decision criteria. Decision support tools for EAF • Links governance to key issues, e.g. data, indicators, models, socio-economic analyses, etc. • Management Strategy Evaluation is one example of a decision support tool that could be used for EAF • Tool to help a broad and diverse set of stakeholders understand the likely consequences of alternative management actions and the tradeoffs across management objectives. Decision Support Tools for EAF • Decision support system would include tools such as: – Management information system (data collection, management, and use) – Indicators – Bioeconomic, ecosystem, social choice, stock assessment models – Risk assessment What is an “Integrated Ecosystem Assessment”? • Compile and archive all relevant data sets for a defined ecosystem • Report on current conditions and trends in relevant time series of physical, biological and human use information • Synthesize time series information to link important ecological responses to changes in climate and human use drivers, • Evaluate data time series to provide suites of key indicators of ecosystem state (status), and propose reference levels for the desired state of marine ecosystems • Forecast the relationship between state indicators and pressure indicators (e.g., pollution, climate change, fishingrelated removals, coastal development, etc.) • Provide periodic ecosystem assessment updates to inform the managers, stakeholders and the public on the state of marine ecosystems Integrated Data Products for Alaskan Ecosystems IOOS is not Just about Sampling Physical, Biological and Social Components to produce Integrated Ecosystem Assessment Account for Ecosystem Processes Evaluate & Inform Feedback Effects - predator-prey relationships, gear impacts on habitat productivity, irreversibility of fishing impacts, harvestinginduced regime change Maintain Ecosystem Productivity, Balance Ecosystem Structure - evaluate ecosystem carrying capacity, maintain resilience/resistance to perturbations, attain trophic balance Account for Climate Variability - low-frequency variation (decadal scale changes), High-frequency variation (year-to-year or more frequent), climate-based regime change Gulf of Alaska LME North Pacific Canada United States US EEZ California Current LME Mexico PaCOOS Mission Provide ocean information needed for management of: - Fishery Resources - Protected Marine Mammals - Sea turtles Forecast the ecosystem consequences of: - Fishery Removals - Environmental Variability - Climate Change In the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) off the West Coast. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) critical to EAM Scalable Ecosystem Observation & Research • Combination of observations at fixed locations (e.g., NMSs NERRS sites, local interests) and ecosystem-wide observation Overlay of All Observing? • The whole must be more than the Sum of the parts (avoid discontinuities in sampling density or type at political boundaries) • Priorities for observing are: - Coordinating sampling, - DMAC, - Products Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Data Inputs Catch Data Trip Species Pounds Analyses Assessments Effort displacement Explore options Sightings ID Species Count Species-level Distributions Bathymetry Lat Long Depth Evaluate Management Plans Substrate ID Area Type Temperature Lat Long Temp Species richness Date Species AdultHab JuvHab LarvalHab External Models Matlab Ecopath etc. PaCOOS Current Status Web Site Established: www.pacoos.org Science Plan Approved and Posted Charter Approved and Posted Interim Governing Board Established Adding Partners Represented on Regional Observing Assoc.’s Regional Obs. Assoc.’s on PaCOOS Board PICES Presentation Instituto Nacional de Pesca Presentation Climate & Ecosystems • • • • • • Ocean acidification Loss of sea ice Distribution, abundance, recruitment Sea level rise Coral bleaching Oscillating systems vs. trends Changing climate: Bering Sea ice extent and duration has changed and impacts summer distribution of pollock Percent ice coverage 8 Role of Correlation: PDO & Pollock Recruitment Regional Climatology Affects Ecosystems -8- Woods Hole Temperature - NAO 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 -3 -3 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 Courtesy D. Mountain Both series smoothed Conclusions & Suggested Actions Need to invest local, national, and international management venues with similar or complementary principles for management. One strategy we can use is to develop a standard definition, objectives and requirements into the reauthorization of federal (and state) legislation: e.g., - Coral Reef Protection Act - Marine Sanctuaries Act - National Aquaculture legislation, others… Science venues such as IOOS: need to provide a coordinated vision and investments for monitoring & research for Ecosystem Goods and Services (e.g., PaCOOS, Regional Associations…) Our community must do a better job of explaining what ecosystems are and what specific outcomes will result from EAM – a Communication strategy is essential EAM: “Peeling the Onion” • Characteristics: - Activities/Behaviors - Benefits - Not Being / Good - Being / Great e.g., strives to balance diverse societal objectives • Examples and best practices