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Faculty of Economics & Political Science Cairo University EuroMed Programme EU Policies EU Economic Policies Prepared by Ehab Shalaby, PhD Faculty of Economics and Political Science EUROMED Prog. Cairo University April 2015 ABOUT THE LECTURER Dr. Ehab Shalaby ABOUT THE COURSE • The Overall EUROMED Prog. Objectives. • The EU Policies Course Objectives. • Previous Curriculum developed by P.Dr. A. GHONEM • EU Policies Course at the institute of European studies at the university of Vrije Brussels. • Consultation with Prof. Dr. Roland F. the deputy director at the center for European studies in Brussels. • Consultation With Marina Alfons. A current MASTEUOROMED. ABOUT THE COURSE AIMS AND OBJECTIVES • Why ? • Impact; To Enhance Economic Cooperation Between Egypt and the EU. • How ? • Output ; 1. 2. 3. Understanding and Analyzing the EU Economic Particulars and dynamics. Understanding and analyzing the EU key Economic Interests, Motivations, Ideas and Values. Analyze current cooperation dynamics and forecast future cooperation potential . ABOUT THE COURSE AIMS AND OBJECTIVES • Outputs : 1. Understanding of the EU Integration from a Political Economy perspective. 2. Understanding Key EU Economic institutions, strategies and policies. 3. Analyzing current and Future Economic Challenges Facing the EU. 4. Understanding and analyzing EU international economic relations. 5. Understanding and analyzing current Egypt-EU relations and future cooperation potentials . About the course content Input 1. Basic Macroeconomic Concepts. Process • Lecturer Sources and References •Lecture notes 2. Basic Facts about current and Future EU Economic landscape. • Lecturer & Students •Lecture notes, text book and digital resources. 3. EU History and institutions. •Lecturer & Students •Text book, articles 4. EU SD Strategy 2050 •Lecturer •Strategy papers, European SD network 5. Common policies 6. EU Monetary policy and institutions. Students Lecturer •Lecture notes, text and articles. •Text book, lecture notes and articles. 7. EU Fiscal Policy and growth and stability pact & Juncker’s investment plan . Lecturer •Strategy papers and articles. About the course content Input •8. Current and future challenges •Future of Euro zone •Greece , UK & Catalonia. •Completing the single market; •Creating a single digital market; •Energy union Process • Lecturer • Lecturer &Guests •Articles , papers, Guest Speakers. •Articles •Articles, strategy papers •Lecturer •Articles, strategy papers •Articles, strategy papers 9. International trade agreements promoting growth, (TTIP) with the US 10. EGYPT-EU Relations. • A Partnership for Democracy And Shared Prosperity With the Southern Mediterranean •Future cooperation potentials Sources and References Lecturer & students Students •Strategy papers, articles •Student inputs GRADING METHOD • Overall grading scale: 0 -100 • EU economic policies G.S: 0 - 50 • Final Paper Exam: 35 points • Participation and presentations: 10 points • Written paper : 5 points 1. BASIC MACROECONOMIC CONCEPTS 1. GDP & GDP per capita 2. Aggregate Demand 3. Aggregate Supply 4. National income 5. Balance of Payment 6. Budget surplus and deficit 7. Fiscal policy 8. Monetary Policy 9. Inflation & Recession (gaps) 10. Unemployment CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND EXPENDITURE Millions Germany France United Kingdom Italy Spain Poland Netherlands Greece Portugal Belgium Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Denmark Solvakia Finland Ireland Lithuania Latvia Slovenia Estonia Cyprus Luxembourg Malta China India EU-25 and Eurozone USA Japan 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Figure 2.1 population of the EU, its constituent members, and selected other ‘major’ economic, 2005 Source: Eurostat, world Development Indicators 1200 1400 Italy Germany Greece Slovakia Belgium France Portugal EU-25 Spain United Kingdom Luxembourg Estonia 2005 2050 Finland Austria Hungary Denmark Slovenia Lithuania Netherlands Czech Republic Malta Poland Cyprus Ireland Sweden 0 10 20 30 40 Figure 2.2 Current and projected EU old age Dependency ratios 50 60 70 80 EU-25 United States Japan China 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Figure 2.3 gross domestic product, at current market prices, evaluated at current exchange rates, in the Eu and selected other major economies, 2005 (billion Euros) United Kingdom France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Sweden Austria Polannd Denmark Greece Ireland GNI Finland GDP Portugal Czech Republic Hungary Slovakia Slovenia Luxembourg Lithuania Cyrpus Lativa Estonia Malta 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Figure 2.4 Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product, at current market prices, evaluated at current exchange rates, for the economies in the EU, 2005 (billion Euros) 2500 Germany United Kingdom France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Sweden Austria Polannd Denmark Greece GDP PPs prices GDP market prices Ireland Finland Portugal Czech Republic Hungary Slovakia Slovenia Luxembourg Lithuania Cyrpus Lativa Estonia Malta 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Figure 2.5 GDP at current market prices, evaluated at current exchange rates, and in PPS, EU Member states, 2005 (billion Euros ireland sweden austria finland france italy GDP market prices GDP PPS spain greece portugal czech republic estonia poland latvia 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 Figure 2.6 GDP per capita at current market prices, evaluated at current exchange rates, and in PPS, EU member states, 2005 (Euros) Estonia Ireland Slovkia Slovenia Greece Spain GDP per capita GDP aggregate Sweden Cyprus EU-25 Portugal France Germany Malta 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Figure 2.7 growth in aggregate and in per capita GDP, EU member states, 1996-2005 8 9 Greece Latvia United Kingdom Ireland Italy Malta EU-25 Netherlands Luxembourg France Denmark Sweden Hungary 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Figure 2.8 income inequality, EU member states, 2003 (ratio achieved by deciding the total income received by the topearning 20 per cent of the population by that received by the lowest-earning 20 per cent in each member state) 7 8 Series 1 greece slovakia latvia cyprus czech republic poland slovenia ireland denmark netherlands eu-25 sweden belgium luxembourg 0 1 2 3 4 Figure 2.9 gross value added, agriculture, EU member states, 2004 5 6 7 Series 1 czech republic slovenia ireland slovakia poland hungary lithuania germany finland sweden austria estonia italy eurozone malta EU-15 EU-25 belgium denmark spain netherlands portugal united kingdom latvia france greece cyprus luxembourg 0 5 10 15 20 Figure 2.10 gross value added, industry (including energy), EU member states, 2004 25 30 35 EU-15 united states japan luxembourg belgium finland united kingdom denmark austria greece malta cyprus portugal slovakia estonia Latvia 2005 GDP per person 2003 GDP per hour 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 poland spain greece france estonia eurozone czech republic belguim portugal slovenia denmark luxembourg united kingdom ireland 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Figure 2.12 standardized unemployment rate, EU member states,2005 16 18 20 7000 6000 5000 4000 Exports Imports 3000 2000 1000 0 EU-25 (intra) EU-25 (intra) USA China Figure 2.13 EU merchandise imports and exports, 2005 (billion Euros) Japan Usa Germany China Japan France exports imports UK Italy Netherlands Canada Belgium 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Figure 2.14 the world’s top ten merchandise traders, 2005 (billion Euros) 1800 2000 USA China Russia Japan Norway Swizerland Turkey Korea Taiwan Brazil 0 20 40 60 80 100 Figure 2.15 the EU’s top ten sources of imports (billion Euros),2005 120 140 160 180 Series 1 USA Switzerland Russia China Japan Turkey Norway UAE Canada Romania 0 50 100 150 200 Figure 2.16 the EU’s top ten export partners (billion Euros) , 2005 250 300 ASSIGNMENTS 1. Updating the EU fact figure to 2014 Sources: www.euobserver.com www.euractiv.com www.bbc.com/news/world/europe/ www. Europa.eu 2. Preparing for the second lecture: EU history and institutions: Text book chapter 1: distributed by Article: What Is European Integration Really About ? A Political Guide for Economists* Enrico Spolaore Tufts University, NBER, CESIfo and CAGE June 2013 • Thank you