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ITM 210 Spring 2011 Project Nicholas Brunner University of Tampa Table of Contents Chapter 1 ………………………………………………………………...........................3 Chapter 2 ………………………………………………………………...........................3 Summary Table of Number of Transactions per Distribution Channel….…..…..3 Pareto Diagram of the Number of Transactions per Product……..………….…..4 Bar Chart for Percentage of Quantity per Product………………….………..…..5 Pie Chart of Total Revenue per Area…………………………………...………..6 Steam & Leaf Plot of Revenue of 1 Kg Nut Muesli……………………………..6 Chapter 3 ………………………………………………………………...........................7 Descriptive Measures of Price, Quantity and Revenue…………………….…….7 Price Boxplot……………………………………………………………….…….7 Quantity Boxplot…………………………………………….……………….…..8 Revenue Boxplot…………………………………………………………………8 Chapter 4 …………………………………………………………………………...........9 Revenue and Quantity per Area and Channel Distribution…………………....…9 Quantity per Product and Quarter……………………………………....………...9 Avg Price and Revenue per Area and Product…………………….…………….10 Avg Price per Product and Distribution Channel………………………………..10 Chapter 6 ………………………………………………………………………...............11 Price Normality Analysis………………………………………………………...11 Quantity Normality Analysis…………………………………………………….11 Revenue Normality Analysis…………………………………………………….11 Chapter 8 ……….…………………………………………………..................................12 Quantity Confidence Intervals…………………………………………………...12 Price Confidence Intervals……………………………………………………….12 Revenue Confidence Intervals…………………………………………………...13 Chapter 9 – 10 ……………………………………………...…………………………...13 One Sample, Upper Tail t Test…………………………………………………..13 One Sample, Two Tail t Test…………………………………………………….14 Related Population, Lower Tail t Test…………………………………………...15 Independent Population, Two Tail t Test…………….…………………………..15 Chapter 12-13 ……………………………………………………………………………16 Simple Linear Regression………………………………………………………..16 Mulitple Regression……………………………………………………………...17 2 Ch. 1 Data Collection The dataset contains a total of eleven variables including categorical, numerical, discrete and continuous. Of the dataset the categorical variables include transaction number, quarter, company code, distribution channel code, distribution channel, area, product, and customer code. These variables are categorical variables because the data cannot be added or put into numerical data evaluation (mean, median, standard deviation). The remaining variables are classified as numerical variables, and are further classified between continuous or discrete variables. The variables classified as numerical, continuous within the dataset are price and revenue. Price is numerical because the data can be evaluated through mean, median and standard deviation. Price is continuous because the data is not set on a numbering scheme and can be a decimal. Like price revenue can also be evaluated and is not set on a data scheme and can be a decimal. The only numerical, discrete variable within the dataset is quantity. Quantity must be a whole number, making it a discrete variable. Ch. 2 Presenting Data in Tables and Charts Summary Table of Number of Transactions per Distribution Channel Distribution Channel Grocery Chain Hypermarket Independent Grocer Total Number of Transactions 345 70 555 970 Percentage 35.57% 7.21% 57.22% 100.00% The above summary table shows the frequency and percentage of the number of transactions per distribution channel. As seen in the chart, the Independent Grocer was the most used followed by the Grocery Chain and the Hypermarket. 3 Pareto Diagram of the Number of Transactions per Product 45% 40% 85.67% 100.00% 80% 70% 69.38% 30% 60% 58.04% 25% 50% 40.31% 40.31% 40% 15% 10% 100% 90% 78.45% 35% 20% 90.93% 95.77% 30% 20% 17.73% 5% 11.34% 9.07% 7.22% 0% 5.26% 4.85% 4.23% 10% 0% Product Product 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli Grand Total Frequency Percentage 391 172 110 88 40.31% 17.73% 11.34% 9.07% Cumulative Pct. 40.31% 58.04% 69.38% 78.45% 70 51 47 7.22% 5.26% 4.85% 85.67% 90.93% 95.77% 41 4.23% 100.00% 970 100% popular is 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli. The pareto di The Pareto diagram above shows the of number of transactions per product. With this graph, it is shown that the most popular product is 500g Original Muesli and the least 4 Bar Chart for Percentage of Quantity per Product 500g Strawberry Muesli 3.33% 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 3.43% 500g Blueberry Muesli 3.93% 500g Raisin Muesli 9.89% 1 Kg Original Muesli 13.62% 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 15.25% 1 Kg Nut Muesli 19.04% 500g Original Muesli Product 500g Original Muesli 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli TOTAL 31.51% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% Quantity 194339 117403 94051 Percentage 31.51% 19.04% 15.25% 84015 61008 24242 13.62% 9.89% 3.93% 21172 3.43% 20470 3.33% 616700 30.00% 40.00% The above bar chart shows the percentage of sales between each product. The chart shows that that most popular product sold was 500g Original Muesli at 31.51% and a quantity of 194339. 100% 5 Pie Chart of Total Revenue per Area 28.14% 38.92% SOUTH NORTH WEST 32.94% Area SOUTH NORTH WEST TOTAL 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Revenue $2,802,200.47 $2,371,454.39 $2,025,626.79 $7,199,281.65 Percentage 38.92% 32.94% 28.14% 100.00% The above pie chart examines the area that produced the highest revenue. As noted in the chart, the South had the highest revenue with $2,802,200.47 or 38.92% of all revenue. Steam & Leaf Plot of Revenue of 1 Kg Nut Muesli 035.92, 826.80 590.00 750.42 880.88 730.51, 815.82 186.80, 893.42 086.49, 090.98, 099.96, 144.86, 144.86, 194.25, 203.23, 203.23, 239.15, 257.11, 272.07, 323.12, 344.32, 355.89, 441.20, 468.14, 468.14, 505.44, 548.96, 575.90, 589.37, 616.31, 634.27, 647.74, 647.74, 724.07, 777.95, 876.73, 926.12, 935.10, 935.10, 939.59, 997.96 056.33, 101.23, 200.01, 213.48, 312.26, 339.20, 343.69, 379.61, 406.55, 424.55, 469.41, 541.25, 581.66, 613.09, 622.07, 653.50, 765.75, 770.24, 837.59, 891.47, 904.94, 913.92, 927.39, 972.39, 981.27, 981.27 021.68, 044.13, 062.09, 062.09, 071.07, 075.56, 147.40, 187.81, 309.04, 313.53, 385.37, 389.86, 443.74, 493.13, 502.11, 515.58, 573.95, 591.91, 605.38, 704.16, 767.02, 802.94, 847.84, 861.31, 964.58 025.28 6 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 098.00, 233.68 845.52 015.12, 027.84, 765.60, 892.80 041.20 054.44 059.44, 097.60, 195.12, 233.28 The above chart shows the distribution of all revenue earned by the sale of 1 Kg Nut Muesli. The chart is set with the stem in thousands of dollars, for example the highest value 20 233.28 is equal to $20,233.28. The chart shows that the majority of revenue is between $8,000 and $10,000 with outliers at $17,000 through $20,000. Ch. 3 Numerical Descriptive Measures Price Revenue 4.60 4.41 2.01 0.49 0.24 0.11 4.37 4.65 0.28 Mean Median Range Standard Deviation Variance Coeffiecient of Variation Q1 Q3 Interquartile Range 7421.94 5896.96 20735.88 3282.06 10771913.8 0.44 5204.67 9281.19 4076.52 Quantity 1631.02 1331 5269 731.73 535435.62 3.23 1130 2038 906 Price Boxplot Price 3 4 5 6 7 7 Price Five-number Summary Minimum 3.87 First Quartile 4.37 Median 4.41 Third Quartile 4.65 Maximum 5.88 The boxplot for price shows that the data for price is skewed to the right. Quantity Boxplot 0 1000 2000 3000 Quantity 4000 Quantity Five-number Summary Minimum 8 First Quartile 1132 Median 1334.5 Third Quartile 2044 Maximum 5277 5000 The boxplot shows that the data for quantity is skewed to the right. Revenue Boxplot Revenue 30 5030 10030 15030 20030 8 Revenue Fivenumber Summary Minimum 35.92 First Quartile Median Third Quartile Maximum The boxplot shows that the data for revenue is skewed to the right. 5208.56 5906.055 9312.26 20771.8 Ch. 4 Basic Probability Revenue and Quantity per Area and Channel Distribution Area and Distribution Channel NORTH Grocery Chain Hypermarket Independent Grocer SOUTH Grocery Chain Hypermarket Independent Grocer WEST Grocery Chain Hypermarket Independent Grocer Total Quantity 520633 222930 40467 257236 616700 273087 153639 189974 444752 211368 33226 200158 1582085 Revenue 2371454.39 1010476.2 198935.96 1162042.23 2802200.47 1240904.59 694283.95 867011.93 2025626.79 933937.58 157884.21 933805 7199281.65 The pivot table to the left examines the quantity and revenue per Area and per Distribution Channel within each Area. For example, the Grocery chain in the South had a total quantity of 273087 units sold and $1240904.59 in revenue. Quantity per Product and Quarter Quantity Product 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli Total Quantity 100000 100000 Quarter 2 150000 70000 Total Quantity 250000 170000 100000 8269 100730 55882 200730 64151 25000 243538 67244 27741 313013 171331 52741 556551 238575 23880 667931 25457 914154 49337 1582085 Quarter 1 The pivot ta to The table above examines the quantity of units sold per product per quarter. The chart shows the most popular product per quarter and in total. Avg Price and Revenue per Area and Product 9 Area and Product NORTH 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli SOUTH 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli WEST 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli Total Average of Price 4.57 4.46 4.12 5.36 5.63 5.18 4.37 4.39 5.68 4.60 4.41 4.03 5.30 5.51 5.14 4.35 4.37 5.61 4.63 4.47 4.10 5.34 5.62 5.18 4.33 4.38 5.65 4.60 Total Revenue 2371454.39 321704.93 153325.8 363099.37 126450.01 69735.75 859396.97 468170.76 9570.8 2802200.47 514361.97 335927.55 495278.93 131733.4 107944.75 839028.04 263918.98 114006.85 2025626.79 269555.6 199120.65 203656.1 95363.22 92675 706237.03 305859.93 153159.26 7199281.65 The pivot table to the left examines the average price and total revenue of sales per area and product. For example, 1 Kg Nut Muesli in the North had an avg price of $4.46 and total revenue of $321704.93. Avg Price per Product and Distribution Channel Distribution Channel Product 1 Kg Nut Muesli 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 500g Blueberry Muesli 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli Total Grocery Chain 4.49 4.12 Hypermarket 4.24 3.87 5.43 5.28 5.18 Total Avg Price per Product 4.44 4.07 Independent Grocer 5.75 5.33 5.59 5.00 4.16 4.14 5.25 4.40 4.43 5.16 4.35 4.38 5.43 4.55 5.68 4.62 5.64 4.60 4.65 10 The pivot table above examines the average price of each product and each distribution channel. For example, the average price of 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli is $5.33 and $5.43 for one unit of 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli sold in the Grocery Chain. Ch.6 Accessing Normality Quantity Mean –1631.02 - 731.73 1- Range 899.29 – 2,362.75 773 units are within 1 773/970 = 79.69% 2- Range 167.56 – 13986.059 917 units within 2 917/970 = 94.5% 3- Range 0 – 17268.119 940 units within 3 940/970 = 96.9% The empirical rule states that 68% of data sets should lie between 1 standard deviation from the mean, 95% between 2 standard deviations and 99.7% between 3 standard deviations. Using the calculations, the quantity data set seems to be close but not perfectly normal. To be sure of my conclusion I also completed a test using the interquartile range. Q3 - 2038 Q1 - 1132 - 731.73 Interquartile Range = Q3 – Q1 IR= 2038 – 1132 IR = 906 IR/= 906/731.73 IR = 1.23 A normally distributed data set has an interquartile range of 1.33 standard deviations. The distribution of the quantity of each transaction has an interquartile range standard deviation 1.23. This means that the data set for quantity is close to being normally distributed. Price Q3 - $4.65 Q1 - $4.37 - $0.49 Interquartile Range = Q3 – Q1 IR=$4.65 - $4.37 IR = 0.28 IR/= 0.28/0.49 IR = 0.57 A normally distributed data set has an interquartile range of 1.33 standard deviations. The distribution of the price of all the products has a standard deviation of 0.57, this means that the data set for price is not normally distributed. Revenue Q3 - $9,294.72 Interquartile Range = Q3 – Q1 11 Q1 - $5,168.80 - $3282.06 IR=$9,294.72- $5,168.80 IR = 4125.92 IR/= 4125.92/3282.06 IR = 1.257 A normally distributed data set has an interquartile range of 1.33 standard deviations. The distribution of the revenue from each transaction of has a standard deviation of 1.257, this means that the data set for revenue is perfectly normally distributed but very close. Ch. 8 Confidence Intervals CI = Mean +/- t(S/n) Quantity Mean- 1631.02 S - 731.73 n – 970 90% 1631.02 + 1.6449 (731.73/970) = 1669.67 1631.02 - 1.6449 (731.73/970) = 1592.37 95% 1631.02 + 1.96 (731.73/970) = 1677.07 1631.02 - 1.96 (731.73/970) = 1584.97 99% 1631.02 + 2.5758 (731.73/970) = 1691.54 1631.02 - 2.5758 (731.73/970) = 1570.5 - We are 90 percent confidant that population of quantity of each transaction falls between 1592.37 and 1669.67 units. - We are 95 percent confidant that population of quantity of each transaction falls between 1584.97 and 1677.07 units. - We are 99 percent confidant that population of quantity of each transaction falls between 1570.5and 1691.54 units. Price Mean – 4.597 S – 0.491 n – 970 90% 4.597+ 1.6449 (0.91/970) = 4.62293 4.597 - 1.6449 (0.91/970) = 4.57107 95% 4.597+ 1.96 (0.91/970) = 4.6279 4.597 - 1.96 (0.91/970) = 4.5661 99% 4.597+ 2.5758 (0.91/970) = 4.63761 4.597- 2.5758 (0.91/970) = 4.55639 - We are 90 percent confident that the population of price of every product is between $4.57107 and $4.62293. 12 - We are 95 percent confident that the population of price of every product is between $4.5661 and $4.6279. - We are 99 percent confident that the population of price of every product is between $4.55639 and $4.63761. Revenue Mean – 7421.94 S – 3282.06 n – 970 - 90% 7421.94 + 1.6449(3282.06/970) = 7595.28 7421.94 - 1.6449(3282.06/970) = 7248.6 95% 7421.94 + 1.96 (3282.06/970) = 7627.61 7421.94 - 1.96 (3282.06/970) = 7214.51 99% 7421.94 + 2.5758 (3282.06/970) = 7693.38 7421.94 + 2.5758 (3282.06/970) = 7150.5 We are 90 percent confident that the population of revenue of each transaction is between $7248.6 and $7595.28. We are 95 percent confident that the population of revenue of each transaction is between $7214.51and $7627.61. We are 99 percent confident that the population of revenue of each transaction is between $7150.5and $7693.38. Ch. 9 – 10 Hypothesis Testing Null and Alternate Hypothesis H0: 4.38 H0: The average price of 500g Raisin Muesli is greater than or equal to the $4.38 (the sample 100 units of 500g Raisin Muesli) HA: < 4.38 HA: The average price of 500g Raisin Muesli is less than $4.38 (the sample average of all prices) One Sample, Upper Tail t Test Data Null Hypothesis = 4.38 Level of Significance 0.01 Sample Size 171 Sample Mean 4.382047 Sample Standard Deviation 0.115626 Intermediate Calculations Standard Error of the Mean 0.008842 Degrees of Freedom 170 t Test Statistic 0.231481 Upper-Tail Test Upper Critical Value p-Value Do not reject the null hypothesis 2.348483 4.49 Type of test and level of significance One Sample, Upper Tail t Test = 0.01 Critical Value Critical Value = 2.35 Test Statistic of Sample t STAT = 0.23 Decision Do not reject null hypothesis Conclusion There is sufficient evidence that 13 the average price of 500g Raisin Muesli is greater than or equal to $4.38. Null and Alternate Hypothesis H0: = 5948.53 H0: The mean revenue of transactions in the north area is equal to $5948.53 (the 100 sample average of North revenue) HA: 5948.53 HA: The mean revenue of transactions in the north area is not equal to $5948.53 (the 100 sample average of North revenue) t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean Type of test and level of significance One Sample, Two Tail t Test = 0.10 One Sample, Two Tail t Test Data Null Hypothesis = 5948.53 Level of Significance 0.1 Sample Size 343 Sample Mean 6913.861195 Sample Standard Deviation 2809.052564 Critical Value Critical Value = 1.64932126 Test Statistic of Sample t STAT = 6.36 Intermediate Calculations Standard Error of the Mean 151.6745817 Degrees of Freedom 342 t Test Statistic 6.364488923 Decision Reject Null Hypothesis Conclusion There is not sufficient evidence that the mean revenue of transactions in the north area is equal to $5948.53 Null and Alternate Hypothesis H0: Quarter1 - Quarter 2 -500.91 HA: Quarter1 - Quarter 2 > -500.91 Two-Tail Test Lower Critical Value Upper Critical Value p-Value Reject the null hypothesis -1.64932126 1.64932126 6.29902E-10 H0: The revenue from quarter one is less than the revenue from quarter two by $500.91 or more. HA: The revenue from quarter one is not less than the revenue from quarter two by $500.91 or more. Type of test and level of significance Related Population, Lower Tail t Test = 0.10 Critical Value Critical Value = -1.28 t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean 14 Test Statistic of Sample t STAT = 3.79 Decision Do not reject the null hypothesis Conclusion There is sufficient evidence that the revenue from quarter one is less than the revenue from quarter two by $500.91 or more. Related Population, Lower Tail t Test Data -500.91 Null Hypothesis = Level of Significance 0.1 Sample Size 404 Sample Mean 295.7825 Sample Standard Deviation 4222.946339 Intermediate Calculations Standard Error of the Mean 210.099433 Degrees of Freedom 403 t Test Statistic 3.791978344 Lower-Tail Test Lower Critical Value p-Value Do not reject the null hypothesis -1.28365579 0.999913836 Null and Alternate Hypothesis H0: 1 - 2 = -143.38 H0: The revenue of 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli is $143.38 less than the revenue of 1 Kg Original Muesli HA: 1 - 2 -143.38 HA: The revenue of 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli is not $143.38 less than the revenue of 1 Kg Original Muesli Type of test and level of significance Independent Population, Two Tail t Test = 0.05 t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean Independent Population, Two Tail t Test Data -143.38 Null Hypothesis = Level of Significance 0.05 Sample Size 70 Sample Mean 1815.091286 Sample Standard Deviation 2613.753483 Intermediate Calculations Standard Error of the Mean 312.403294 Degrees of Freedom 69 t Test Statistic 5.351132071 15 Two-Tail Test Lower Critical Value Upper Critical Value p-Value Reject the null hypothesis -1.99494539 1.99494539 1.07789E-06 Critical Value Critical Value = 1.99 Test Statistic of Sample t STAT = 5.35 Decision Reject the null hypothesis Conclusion There is not sufficient evidence that the revenue of 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli is $143.38 less than the revenue of 1 Kg Original Muesli Ch. 12-13 Simple Linear and Multiple Regression Simple Linear Regression X=Quantity Y = 352.37 + 4.33x Y= Revenue Interpretation of coefficients: - Y intercept – With a quantity of zero, the revenue equals $352.37. This statistic is not practical as revenue would not be earned if zero units were sold. - B1 X – For every change in the quantity by one unit is an increase of $4.33 in revenue. Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.966367456 R Square 0.933866061 Adjusted R Square 0.93379774 Standard Error 844.4673076 Observations 970 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Intercept Quantity 1 968 969 SS 9747679435 690305032.6 10437984467 MS 9747679435 713125.0336 F 13668.96263 Significance F 0 Coefficients 352.3669118 4.334461009 Standard Error 66.26881657 0.037073819 t Stat 5.317235619 116.9143389 P-value 1.3085E-07 0 Lower 95% 222.3198167 4.261706693 16 Upper 95% 482.414007 4.407215325 Scatter Plot of Revenue of the Population $25,000.00 $20,000.00 Revenue $15,000.00 $10,000.00 $5,000.00 $0.00 0 1000 2000 Predictions: Estimated Revenue of 2147 units Y = 352.37 + 4.33(2147) Y = 9648.88 The estimated Revenue of 2147 units is $9648.88 3000 Quantity 4000 5000 6000 Estimated Revenue of 1050 units Y = 352.37 + 4.33(1050) Y = 4903.07 The estimated Revenue of 2147 units is $4903.07 Estimated Revenue of 1237 units Estimated Revenue of 2600 units Y = 352.37 + 4.33(1237) Y = 352.37 + 4.33(2600) Y = 5713.53 Y = 11620.80 The estimated Revenue of 2147 units The estimated Revenue of 2147 units is $5713.53 is $11620.80 Multiple Regression X1 = Product Coded Y = 800.36 - 69.03 X1 + 4.23 X2 X2 = Quantity Y = Revenue Product Code: Product Product Code 1 Kg Nut Muesli 0 1 Kg Original Muesli 1 1 Kg Strawberry Muesli 2 500g Blueberry Muesli 3 17 Interpretation of coefficients: 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli 500g Original Muesli 500g Raisin Muesli 500g Strawberry Muesli - 4 - Y intercept – With a quantity of zero 5 and no product, the revenue equals $800.36. 6 This statistic is not practical as revenue would 7 not be earned if zero units were sold. - B1 X – For a change of product from 1 Kg Nut Muesli to 1 Kg Original Muesli and the quantity held constant, the revenue decreases by $69.03. B2 X - For every change in the quantity by one unit and with the product held constant, the revenue increases by $4.23. Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.967095968 R Square 0.935274611 Adjusted R Square 0.935140742 Standard Error 835.8578422 Observations 970 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Intercept Product Coded Quantity 2 967 969 SS 9762381860 675602607.4 10437984467 MS 4881190930 698658.3324 F 6986.520741 Significance F 0 Coefficients 800.3553684 -69.03237581 4.229048078 Standard Error 117.641054 15.04841479 0.043296896 t Stat 6.803367881 -4.587352009 97.67554783 P-value 1.78915E-11 5.07877E-06 0 Lower 95% 569.4941889 -98.5636888 4.144081374 Predictions: Estimated revenue of 1130 units of 500g Mixed Fruit Muesli Y = 800.36 - 69.03 X1 + 4.23 X2 Y = 800.36 - 69.03 (4) + 4.23 (1130) Y = $5304.14 Estimated revenue of 2428 units of 500g Original Muesli Y = 800.36 - 69.03 X1 + 4.23 X2 Y = 800.36 - 69.03 (5) + 4.23 (2428) Y = $10725.70 Estimated revenue of 1535 units of 1Kg Strawberry Muesli Y = 800.36 - 69.03 X1 + 4.23 X2 Y = 800.36 - 69.03 (4) + 4.23 (1535) Y = $7017.29 Estimated revenue of 1000 units of 500g Blueberry Muesli Y = 800.36 - 69.03 X1 + 4.23 X2 Y = 800.36 - 69.03 (5) + 4.23 (1000) Y = $4685.21 18 Upper 95% 1031.216548 -39.50106282 4.314014782