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NS3040 Examples Market Imperfections Neutral Carbon Tax I • Greg Ip, A Carbon Tax that Won’t Hurt Growth, Wall Street Journal, September 29, 2016 • Obama administration has been attempting to reduce green-house gas emissions through regulation • Emission targets for coal burning power plants, mandated fuel efficiency • Being challenged by a number of state governors and business groups • However likely that reducing emissions through regulation comes at the expense of economic growth. Or at least it is perceived to do so. • Higher car prices, electricity bills, cost of replacing coal power plants 2 Energy Trilemma • Classic energy trilemma 3 Neutral Carbon Tax II • Washington state has an initiative that overcomes the growth/environment tradeoff • Carbon tax that • It is revenue neutral – Overall taxes same as before • Embeds the cost of carbon emissions in price paid for energy • Automatically encourages conservation • Makes renewable energy more appealing without regulations and subsidies that distort investment and undercut growth • Revenue is used to cut other taxes, so does not reduce incomes or undermine business competitiveness 4 Neutral Carbon Tax III • Ironically, much of the opposition coming from environmental groups • Want to use carbon taxes to • Fund renewable energy and green technology • Bolster incomes of workers and communities they feel are most hurt by climate change • Effect is to equate climate policy with bigger government – hard to achieved broad based support 5 Neutral Carbon Tax IV • Operation of the tax • Impose $15 tax per ton of carbon dioxide first year, $25 in second year, thereafter 3.5% after inflation until it reaches $100 in current dollars • Would add 25 cents to price of gasoline • Average monthly electric bill up by $8 • All revenue returned • To taxpayer via one percentage point cut is state sales tax • Elimination of a business tax and • A tax rebate of up to $1,500 a year to 460,000 low income workers 6 Neutral Carbon Tax V • Similar to a 2008 carbon tax in British Colombia • Tax has curbed average person’s fuel consumption by 7% and increased average car’s fuel efficiency by 4% • British Colombia’s growth has not declined as a result of the tax. 7 Neutral Carbon Tax VI 8 Antibiotics: Market Failure I • Lawrence Fisher, Antibiotics: Poster Child for Market Failure, Milken Institute Review August 15, 2016 • Problem: increase in antibiotic-resistant infectious diseases • Despite the need for new medicines in the area, companies prefer to pursue R&D efforts for treating chronic diseases • Reason: • When treatments for infectious diseases work, work rapidly • Producers must cover R&D costs over relatively few doses • Public outraged at paying thousands of dollars for a few pills or injections • Often infectious diseases most prevalent in populations that can least afford them. 9 Antibiotics: Market Failure II • Result • Large and growing gap between private returns to antibiotic development and value to society • UK study estimates 700,000 people dying each year from infections resistant to widely available antibiotics • Absent major intervention, by 2050 ten million will die each year – more than currently die from cancer • Estimates by 2050 will have drained $100 trillion from the global economy or about $10,000 for every human alive today 10 Antibiotics: Market Failure III • Somehow problem has yet to translate into decisive action • Funding for antibiotic development actually declined 19% in five years ending in 2013, compared with previous five years. • Problem companies and investors go where the money is – drugs for widespread chronic conditions, cancer, diabetes etc., not antibiotics • “The market looks at this and says not only do I have a straightforward path to approval with oncology drugs, but I can charge whatever I want.” • “People just not used to paying big dollars for antibiotics” 11 Antibiotics: Market Failure IV • Market for pharmaceuticals rife with inefficiencies and inconsistencies • Some cases promotes over-use while others choke off innovation even when societal return is high. • Health care driven by uneasy mix of: • Technocratic public policy • Political lobbying and • Private decision making • Decisions often made with limited knowledge by parties who won’t suffer much if they are wrong. 12 Antibiotics: Market Failure V • Related problem is that problem more chronic than acute. • As with climate change, economic symptoms slow to manifest and • There are rarely immediate consequences for countries that fail to take action 13