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NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO 3297 Topographic Effects on a Wintertime Cold Front in Taiwan FANG-CHING CHIEN Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan YING-HWA KUO Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado (Manuscript received 19 August 2005, in final form 27 January 2006) ABSTRACT This paper describes an observational and numerical study of an intense wintertime cold front that occurred in Taiwan on 8 January 1996. The front was associated with rope clouds at the leading edge, and a broad area of stratiform clouds behind. The front was blocked by the Central Mountain Range of Taiwan and divided into two sections on each side of the mountain range. As the cold air moved southward along the east coast, the increasing westward Coriolis force induced a landward acceleration. After the cold air piled up against the mountains, a coastal pressure ridge developed. The cold air damming yielded a geostrophic balance between the westward Coriolis force and the eastward component of the pressure gradient force in the x direction, and a southward acceleration in the y direction mainly caused by the southward pressure gradient force component. Over the Taiwan Strait, southward pressure gradient forces increased when the low-level stable cold air was confined over the Taiwan Strait, leading to a southward acceleration of the cold air. The formation of a windward ridge off the northwest coast of Taiwan contributed to a large southward acceleration, resulting in the development of a coastal jet. Over the Taiwan Strait, the cold air moved southward the fastest due to the channeling effect. The air parcels along the east coast of Taiwan experienced a downgradient acceleration from the cold air damming and advanced at a slower speed. Those traveling over the western plains and the nearshore coast advanced at the slowest speed. Two sensitivity runs, one without Taiwan’s topography (flat land only) and the other without Taiwan’s landmass, demonstrated the influences of Taiwan’s terrain and water–land contrast on the airflow. The run with no surface fluxes showed that the ocean modified the low-level cold air by supplying surface heat and moisture fluxes. This weakened the front, reduced low-level stability, and increased forced shallow convection (formation of rope clouds) at the leading edge. 1. Introduction The influence of mountains on fronts has been intensively addressed by researchers around the world since the early twentieth century. From a theoretical point of view, Egger and Hoinka (1992) provided an extensive review. Bannon (1983), Zehnder and Bannon (1988), and Williams et al. (1992) showed the weakening (or retardation) and strengthening (or acceleration) of the front on the upslope and downslope of a mountain, respectively. These studies indicated that mountaininduced divergence and convergence modify the inten- Corresponding author address: Fang-Ching Chien, Dept. of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, 88, Section 4, Ting-Chou Rd., Taipei 116, Taiwan. E-mail: [email protected] © 2006 American Meteorological Society MWR3255 sity of the front when it passes a mountain. Frontal retardation and deformation by topography were examined in idealized modeling studies (e.g., Davies 1984; Schumann 1987; Gross 1994). Braun et al. (1999a,b) documented the deceleration on the upstream crosscoast flow, which reduced the frontal speed. They also showed an along-coast jet that was intensified by the Coriolis force and weakened by friction. Blumen and Gross (1987a,b) used a simple three-dimensional model to show that a front, represented by a passive scalar, can experience horizontal distortion due to anticyclonic flow around the mountain. Li et al. (1996), in a threedimensional numerical study, showed that large frontal distortion can occur for smaller circular barriers (width: 200–500 km) and the front can regain its intensity after passing a mountain. A large number of observational studies addressed 3298 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW FIG. 1. Terrain height of Taiwan. Shading starts at 200 m, with an interval of 200 m. The frontal positions were drawn chronologically from 2200 UTC 7 Jan to 0800 UTC 8 Jan 1996. the effect of topography on a front. Smith (1986) provided a comprehensive review on many phenomena associated with fronts approaching the Alps, including prefrontal shallow foehn winds, frontal distortion, flow splitting, and postfrontal bora winds. Observational studies of Freytag (1990), Kurz (1990), and Hoinka and Heimann (1988) showed the retardation and modification effects of the Alps on synoptic-scale fronts. There has also been a significant number of studies dealing with mountain effects on fronts in North America. For example, Colle and Mass (1999), Chien et al. (2001), and Doyle (1997) examined mesoscale phenomena resulting from frontal modification by coastal mountains of the western United States. Hartjenstein and Bleck (1991) and Colle and Mass (1995) studied orographically influenced cold fronts by the Rockies. Schumacher et al. (1996) and O’Handley and Bosart (1996) examined the frontal retardation effects of the Appalachians. There have also been many studies examining the processes associated with cold fronts that were modified by the terrain in other parts of the world, such as New Zealand (Smith et al. 1991), Australia (Colquhoun et al. 1985; Howells and Kuo 1988), and southern Africa (Anh and Gill 1981). Like the aforementioned regions around the world, Taiwan is also ideally suited for studying the influence of terrain on a front. As shown in Fig. 1, Taiwan is surrounded by ocean, with complex terrain consisting of steep mountains (exceeding 3000 m) such as the Cen- VOLUME 134 tral Mountain Range (CMR). The unique terrain of the CMR often plays an important role in modifying a front and produces mesoscale phenomena that could be different than those in other regions. Since the Taiwan Area Mesoscale Experiment (TAMEX; Kuo and Chen 1990) held in 1987, many studies of terrain effects have focused on the mei-yu fronts that usually occurred in early summer in east Asia. Chen et al. (1989) and Chen and Hui (1990, 1992) show that the front is blocked and distorted as the shallow cold air moves around the mountains. This modification can lead to the formation of low-level jets northwest of Taiwan (Wang and Chen 2002; Yeh and Chen 2003) and influence local rainfall characteristics (Yeh and Chen 2002; Yu et al. 2001; Chien et al. 2002). Trier et al. (1990) show that the CMR acts as a barrier to both pre- and postfrontal flows, modifying the frontal intensity. The mei-yu front is often split by the CMR into two segments as it approaches northern Taiwan, with the portion along the east coast of Taiwan moving faster than that along the west coast (Trier et al. 1990; Chen 1992; Chen and Li 1995). In contrast to the many studies of mei-yu fronts and the accompanying mountain effects, little study has been done on the wintertime cold fronts in Taiwan. Lau and Chang (1987) reviewed the cold surges in east Asia based on the Winter Monsoon Experiment (WMONEX; Greenfield and Krishnamurti 1979). Chen and Lin (1999) conducted a diagnostic case study of a low-level front over southern China. Chen et al. (1999) performed an observational study of an east Asian cold front associated with roll clouds as the front passed northern Taiwan. Chen et al. (2002) examined an east Asian cold surge event. All these studies dealt with wintertime cold fronts from a large-scale point of view. The cold front described in Chen et al. (2002) was associated with a clear cloud pattern that included rope clouds near the leading edge, stratiform clouds behind, and cellular clouds farther behind the front. The front was significantly modified by the CMR when it moved over the island, which made it an excellent case for studying Taiwan’s terrain effects on a cold front. Although Chen et al. (2002) partially addressed this subject by comparing the weather at different locations, they did not examine the details of the cold front’s mesoscale structures and how these structures are modified by the mountain barrier. Using the fifthgeneration Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5), we carried out a modeling study on this same event. We primarily focused on the evolution of the three-dimensional frontal structure, fron- NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO tal speed, and force balances when the front was influenced by Taiwan topography. We also examined the effects of ocean surfaces and land–water contrasts on the cold front. Wintertime cold fronts are different from mei-yu fronts generally in terms of having larger baroclinity, higher static stability, lower moisture, and stronger winds. Thus, the terrain effects of the two could be very different. We will compare our results with the previous mei-yu frontal studies in Taiwan. 2. Synoptic overview of the event Chen et al. (2002) discussed the large-scale analyses of the January 1996 frontal case in great detail. Since we focus primarily on the mesoscale features, only necessary synoptic analyses are presented here. At 1200 UTC 7 January 1996, a continental high of 1056 hPa was located in Mongolia. A midlatitude cyclone of 1015 hPa formed over the Sea of Japan (Fig. 2a). A cold front stretched from the center of the low southwestward to southeast China. Surface winds behind the cold front were northwesterly. Prefrontal winds were very weak. Twelve hours later, the low had deepened to 1000 hPa and moved to the west of Japan. The cold front moved southeastward to arrive at northern Taiwan (Fig. 2b). Cold air behind the front rushed off the continent, resulting in strong northerly or northeasterly winds over the ocean. Upper-level analyses revealed a short-wave trough moving eastward from northeastern China to Japan during this time period (not shown). The visible satellite picture at 0033 UTC 8 January 1996 (Fig. 3a) showed rope clouds over the western Pacific at the leading edge of the front. Behind the front, there was a broad area of stratiform clouds 400– 500 km wide. Over the East China Sea, cellular clouds were clearly visible as the continental cold air moved over the ocean. The size of the cellular clouds was progressively larger as the air flowed southward. At around 30°N, the cloud fields changed into a very different structure, with some deep convective cells embedded within the generally stratiform clouds. Because of the steep topography of Taiwan, the cold front and its clouds were blocked by the CMR. They were split into two parts on the two sides of the CMR. The eastern section had a clear leading edge and a small cloud-free area immediately off the coast near Hualien. The clouds associated with the western portion of the cold front were relatively detached and the leading edge was fuzzy. Along the east coast of Taiwan, surface winds behind the cold front were very strong, generally 30–40 kt. The 3299 rope clouds and the front moved southward rapidly with a speed of about 50 km h⫺1. They reached the southeast coast of Taiwan by 0233 UTC 8 January (Fig. 3b). Cold air damming along the east coast of Taiwan played an important role in determining the fast frontal speed. The cloud-free area appeared at nearly the same location as 2 h earlier, although the front had moved southward. Its stationary nature indicated a link with topography. The central mountain areas, southern low plains, and nearshore western ocean were all free of clouds at this time. As the front crossed Taiwan, hourly frontal positions were plotted using all available data (see Fig. 1). The front was deformed when making landfall in northern Taiwan at about 2200 UTC 7 January 1996. After 0000 UTC 8 January, the front was blocked by the CMR, separating into eastern and western portions. The eastern part of the front quickly moved southward along the coast. The western part was delayed over the western plains. After 0400 UTC 8 January, the western part of the front weakened. Its passage was barely detectable. Figure 4 presents time series plots for sea level pressure, surface temperature, and wind at five selected surface stations in Taiwan: three on the east coast and two on the west coast. Frontal passage at Keelung was clearly evident at about 2200 UTC 7 January 1996 by the sharp temperature drop, pressure rise, and rapid wind shift from southwesterly to northerly. Six hours later, the temperature at Keelung had dropped to 12°C. Farther south, the cold front passed Hualien at about 0100 UTC 8 January, as indicated by a gentle temperature drop and clear wind shift. In southeastern Taiwan, Dawu experienced a sharp temperature drop at 0400 UTC (noon local time) on 8 January as the heated air in the morning increased the temperature difference before and after the frontal passage. At this station, surface winds shifted to northeasterly 2 h before the arrival of the front, but wind speeds did not increase until the front passed. Pressure changes within these three eastern stations overall show that pressure rose after the frontal passage and the amount decreased as the front moved progressively to the south. Hsinchu, a northwest coastal station, observed a temperature drop and an increasing northerly wind shortly after 2300 UTC 7 January. The front, indicated by a weak temperature drop, passed Wuchi before 0100 UTC 8 January. Much earlier, winds had shifted to northeasterly. On the southwest low plains, the frontal passage was hardly identified at most stations (not shown). During frontal passage, there was scattered light rainfall at the north coast of the island. 3300 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW FIG. 2. Surface analyses at (a) 1200 UTC 7 Jan and (b) 0000 UTC 8 Jan 1996. The contour interval for sea level pressure (solid lines) is 4 hPa. Frontal symbols and station models follow standard plotting conventions. For winds, full barbs are 10 kt and half barbs are 5 kt. VOLUME 134 NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO 3301 in the vertical. The initial and lateral boundary conditions were obtained from the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) global spectral model (Liou et al. 1997) with 1° horizontal resolution. An objective-analysis procedure based on successive correction (i.e., the Cressman scheme) was performed in D1 to incorporate traditional upper-air and surface observations. The MM5 was initialized at 0000 UTC 7 January 1996, about 24 h before the cold front made landfall at Taiwan. The model was run for 48 h. In the model simulations, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction’s (NCEP’s) Medium-Range Forecast model (MRF) PBL parameterization scheme was used to represent planetary boundary layer processes (Hong and Pan 1996). The hydrological cycle included the Kain–Fritsch subgrid-scale convective parameterization (Kain and Fritsch 1993), and a gridresolvable explicit moisture scheme in which cloud water, rainwater, and ice were predicted (Grell et al. 1994; Dudhia 1993). Other schemes used in the MM5 simulation included the shallow convection, the cloud radiation, and the two-way interactive nested-grid schemes. The control experiment (CT) used all of the physics options described above. Simulation data of this run were used to examine the three-dimensional structure of the front during its passage over Taiwan. To determine the effect of Taiwan’s topography, land–water contrast, and surface fluxes on the front and its movement, we performed three other experiments: the noTaiwan terrain (NT), the no-land (NL), and the nosurface fluxes (NF) runs. The terrain height of Taiwan island was set to zero in the NT run. In the NL run, the land of Taiwan was completely removed (land was replaced by ocean). In the NF run, surface heat and moisture fluxes were excluded during the simulation. 4. Results of the control run In this section, the output of the CT run is used to describe and diagnose the three-dimensional structural evolution of the front and the influence of terrain. a. Surface evolution FIG. 3. Visible satellite imaginary at (a) 0033 UTC 8 Jan and (b) 0233 UTC 8 Jan 1996. 3. Model and experimental design The model used in this study was the MM5. The domain settings included three nested domains: D1 (45 km), D2 (15 km), and D3 (5 km), with 32 sigma levels Figure 5a shows that the simulated synoptic pressure pattern at 12 h compared very well with the observation at 1200 UTC 7 January 1996 (Fig. 2a), including locations and intensities of both the continental high and the low over the Japan Sea. The cold front extending from the low center to southeastern China was also well reproduced in the simulation. The northerly or northeasterly winds behind the cold front were stronger than those observed at the surface stations over land. This is 3302 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW FIG. 4. Time series of sea level pressure (solid lines, hPa), surface temperature (dashed lines, °C), and wind (kt) from 0000 UTC 7 Jan to 1200 UTC 8 Jan 1996 at five selected stations: Keelung, Hualien, Dawu, Hsinchu, Wuchi. See Fig. 1 for locations of the stations. Times of frontal passage denoted by rhombuses are defined by a sharp temperature drop, pressure rise, and wind shift. VOLUME 134 NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO FIG. 5. Simulated sea level pressure (solid lines in 4-hPa intervals), temperature at 100 m MSL (dashed lines with shading at 5°C intervals), and 10-m winds (kt) in domain 1 at (a) 12 and (b) 24 h into the simulation. 3303 3304 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW because they were 10-m winds obtained by extrapolating model winds to the height of 10 m MSL. Observed winds were generally taken at a height of 1–2 m. Twelve hours later, the high had moved southward, resulting in a cold air surge and the southeastward movement of the cold front (Fig. 5b). On the synoptic scale, this agreed very well with the observations at 0000 UTC 8 January (Fig. 2b). In addition to sea level pressure and winds, vertically integrated cloud water and ice quantitatively representing the simulated cloud is presented in Fig. 6 for domain D2. The frontal positions shown here and after were defined by examining the simulated temperature distribution. By 24 h into the simulation, the front had reached northern Taiwan (Fig. 6a). It had strong northerly winds (⬃30 kt) and was followed by cold air rushing over the ocean. Compared with Fig. 1 at 0000 UTC 8 January, the simulated front was slightly delayed (for less than 1 h). The cloud pattern was similar to that in the satellite picture: a broad band of stratiform clouds (⬃450 km) behind the front and a narrow belt of denser clouds1 near the leading edge of the front. A close comparison, however, showed noticeable differences between the simulation and observations. First, there were no ribbonlike rope clouds (⬍5 km width) near the simulated front. Instead, the simulation showed a wider belt of dense clouds at the leading edge of the front. Second, the cloud belt was broken near shore northeast of Taiwan. The wide cloud belt was to be expected because it is not possible for a 15-km grid to reproduce the rope clouds of ⬍5 km width. The latter was a failure of the model probably resulting from deficiencies in the simulation. Compared with the front farther to the northeast where wind shifts and clouds were better simulated, the front near Taiwan had very weak wind shifts in the simulation. This might be the reason why convection did not extend toward the northeast coast of Taiwan. Four hours later, the front was split into two parts by the CMR (Fig. 6b), similar to the observations. Compared with Figs. 1 and 3b, the simulated front had a phase delay of about 1 h. We will take into account this difference in making comparisons between the simulation and observations. Similar to that at 24 h, clouds near the front, at this time, became thinner near the east coast of Taiwan. Northerly winds in the cold air were strong (about 12–15 m s⫺1), with large wind shifts appearing only approximately east of 125°E. West of 125°E, winds showed only speed differences across the 1 Dense clouds are represented by high integrated hydrometeor content. VOLUME 134 front. At this time, the wind direction turned northerly or northeasterly ahead of the front. This was because of a continuous north-to-south pressure gradient across the front. Off the east coast of Hualien, there was a cloud-free region that matched the satellite picture (e.g., Fig. 3b). The CMR blocked the low-level cold air in northern Taiwan, resulting in dense clouds on the windward side and clear sky over the southwest plains on the leeward side. The western part of the front moved southward along the Taiwan Strait. Its position was difficult to identify by wind or pressure patterns. The three-dimensional frontal structures were further examined using the simulation of D3 (the 5-km grid). At 24 h, a narrow band of dense clouds extended behind the front from the northeast coast of Taiwan toward the Taiwan Strait (Fig. 7a). The leading edge of the cold air was not clear because clouds also formed far ahead of the front. Twenty-eight hours into the simulation, the eastern portion of the front had approached the southeast coast of the island (Fig. 7b). Behind the front, a pressure ridge formed along the east coast as a result of cold air damming. The cold air was blocked against the steep terrain on the right-hand side as it surged southward. Offshore of Hualien near 24°N, the cloud-free region was clearly present within the broad cloud band behind the front. This area was located in the lee of the gap between two major peaks of the CMR. Westerly flow above the cold air in the upstream passed through the gap and resulted in leeside subsidence that suppressed cloud development in this small region close to the land (not shown). b. Cross sections Figure 8 shows potential temperature, cloud (water plus ice) mixing ratio, and winds for D2 at 28 and 30 h for cross section A (see Fig. 6b for position of the cross section). It is evident from Fig. 8a that while moving southward, cold air behind the front was blocked against the CMR within ⬃120 km of the east coast. The isentropes tilted upward along the steep mountain slope. The strongest northerly wind (⬃18.8 m s⫺1) was found at a low level within the core of the cold air, and it increased to ⬃19 m s⫺1 at 30 h (Fig. 8b). These findings suggest that cold air damming produced the pressure ridge along the east coast shown in Fig. 7b, resulting in a southward acceleration of the cold air. Low clouds were found above the well-mixed layer. To the west of the CMR over the strait, cold air was well mixed below ⬃800 m MSL and was confined between the CMR and the continent of China. The isentropes bulged upward toward the slope of the wedge of the colder air over land. In addition to the cold air surging NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO FIG. 6. Simulated sea level pressure (contour lines at 1-hPa intervals), integrated cloud water (shading), and 10-m winds (kt) in domain 2 at (a) 24 and (b) 28 h into the simulation. Line A in (b) represents the position of the cross section presented in Fig. 8. 3305 3306 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 134 FIG. 8. Potential temperature, cloud mixing ratio, normalsection wind, and along-section circulation of D2 at (a) 28 and (b) 30 h for cross section A shown in Fig. 6b. Shading index of cloud mixing ratio (g kg⫺1) is denoted in bottom. Contour intervals for potential temperature (thick lines) and normal-section wind (dashed lines, minus sign represents out-of-section direction) are 1 K and 2 m s⫺1, respectively. Wind vectors denote along-section wind and vertical wind components, with scales shown in bottom. FIG. 7. Simulated sea level pressure (contour lines at 1-hPa intervals), integrated cloud water (shading), and 10-m winds (kt) in domain 3 at (a) 24 and (b) 28 h into the simulation. Lines B and C in (b) represent the positions of cross sections presented in Fig. 9. southward down the strait, there was also cold air rushing off the coast in southeast China, enhancing the intensity of the cold air over the ocean. By 30 h (Fig. 8b), cold air over the strait had reached a minimum potential temperature of ⬃285 K, and the maximum lowlevel northerly winds had increased from ⬃17.5 to ⬃18 NOVEMBER 2006 3307 CHIEN AND KUO m s⫺1. The increase in northerly winds was due to a channeling effect that resulted from the low-level stable cold air traveling over the ocean with the Wu-yi Mountains of China on the right and the CMR on the left. A similar type of gap flow was documented for southwesterly monsoonal flow during the mei-yu season (e.g., Chen and Li 1995) and for northeasterly flow associated with a typhoon (Lin et al. 2002). With low-level cold air being more stable, the channeling effect in winter could be more prominent than in the other seasons. Two other cross sections (along lines B and C in Fig. 7b) of D3 are shown to examine the vertical structure of the front. The western cross section B, along the strait, shows that convection was weak and the associated cloud pattern was detached near the leading edge of the front at approximately the 100-km mark (Fig. 9a). Capped by a very stable layer about 1 km MSL, the cold air was heated below by the ocean surface and became well mixed below 600 m. As a result, stratiform clouds developed above the mixed layer. The eastern cross section C shows that the surface front was located near the 140-km mark (Fig. 9b). About 30 km behind, a narrow region of forced convection associated with a large cloud mixing ratio occurred in the low troposphere. Between the 200- and 280-km marks, evident from the undulated potential temperature pattern at 1–2 km MSL, clouds were suppressed by leeside subsidence from over-mountain flow through the gap of the CMR. North of the 280-km mark, stratiform clouds with gentle upward motion were evident from 700 to 2100 m MSL. A shallow layer (⬃100 m) of unstable air was observed near the surface in the cold air because of heat fluxes from the warm ocean beneath. Above, air was well mixed with a depth of about 500 m. c. Force balances Figure 7b shows a pressure ridge forming behind the front along the east coast of Taiwan. This was similar to that described for cases over the western United States (Chien et al. 1997), southeastern Australia (Colquhoun et al. 1985), and southern Africa (Anh and Gill 1981). These studies documented that the coastal ridge, with mountains on the right (for the Northern Hemisphere), created a downgradient acceleration along the coast. We, therefore, computed the pressure gradient force (PGF), the Coriolis force (CF), and the u component of the ageostrophic winds in order to examine the force balances along the east and west coasts. Figure 10a shows that to the northeast of Taiwan there was a northeast–southwest-oriented region (shading) with a large westerly ageostrophic wind component behind the front at 24 h. From FIG. 9. Potential temperature, cloud mixing ratio, relative humidity, and winds of D3 at 28 h along cross sections (a) B and (b) C shown in Fig. 7b. Shading index of the cloud mixing ratio (g kg⫺1) is denoted at the bottom. Contour intervals for potential temperature (thick lines) and relative humidity (dashed lines) are 1 K and 10%, respectively. Wind vectors denote along-section wind and vertical wind components, with scales shown at the bottom. d V ⫽ ⫺gz ⫺ f k ⫻ V ⫹ residual dt ⫽ f k ⫻ Va ⫹ residual, 共1兲 where V is the wind vector, g is gravity, z is geopotential height, f is the Coriolis parameter, and Va is the 3308 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 134 FIG. 10. The 1000-hPa pressure gradient force (thick arrow), Coriolis force (thin arrow), and u component of ageostrophic wind (contour and shading) of D3 at (a) 24, (b) 26, and (c) 28 h. Vector scales (10⫺4 m s⫺2) are shown at the bottom. The contour interval is 10 m s⫺1, with dark shading representing positive (⬎10 m s⫺1) values and light shading used for negative values (⬍⫺10 m s⫺1). Those values below ground level and the zero line are omitted. ageostropic wind vector, the westerly ageostropic wind indicated a large southward acceleration of cold air, if residual (or friction) terms are neglected. The southeastward PGF and the westward CF contributed to the acceleration. Along the northeast coast of Taiwan, the cold air was advancing farther southward. Cold air was blocked over northern Taiwan where the ageostrophic winds were weak westerly, or even easterly, as a result NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO of weak PGFs. Over the strait, the southward PGF component contributed to an along-strait acceleration, which was especially large near the front. The acceleration was toward the southwest behind the cold front near the coast of China. At 26 h, the area of large southward acceleration (or westerly ageostrophic wind) along the east coast had moved with the front to the south of 24°N (Fig. 10b). The large southward PGF dominated the force balances. Behind the front, cold air increased its southerly speed. Consequently, the increasing westward CF induced a landward acceleration of cold air, and the cold air piled up against the mountains and resulted in a coastal pressure ridge. The cold air damming produced a geostrophic balance between the westward CF and the eastward component of PGF in the x direction, and a southward acceleration in the y direction, mainly contributed by the southward PGF component. Over most of the strait, the along-strait acceleration of cold air increased from 2 h earlier as a result of the increasing southward PGF component. The forces in the crossstrait direction were nearly in geostrophic balance between the westward CF and the eastward PGF component. Two hours later at 28 h (Fig. 10c), the large southward acceleration region off the east coast had moved farther south to the southeast coast. Behind the front, there was an area of weak PGF as a result of a small pressure variation as shown in Fig. 7b. The force balances show a westward acceleration that was mainly contributed by the CF. There was neither cold air damming nor was there coastal pressure ridge development in this region because cold air was still accelerating toward the coast. This was another reason, besides lee subsidence, to explain why there was no cloud formation around this area. Farther north, cold air damming and the pressure ridge were both prominent, resulting in significant southward acceleration of cold air. To the north and northwest of Taiwan, blocking on the windward slope reduced the southward acceleration. The formation of a windward ridge (Fig. 7b) off the northwest coast of Taiwan contributed to large positive ua near the region. This resulted in a large southward acceleration and a coastal jet offshore of the northwest coast. This was similar to the barrier jet, but under the southwesterly flow condition during a mei-yu season (Yeh and Chen 2003). Over the strait was a wide area of westerly ageostrophic winds (southward acceleration) in the cold air. The large southward pressure gradient, resulting from confined low-level cold air, was responsible for the southward acceleration. 3309 FIG. 11. Trajectories of air parcels (from 24 to 34 h) that are released behind the front at ⫽ 0.9 in domain 3. Arrows denote the positions of air parcels at every hour, with black dots showing those at 30 h except for air parcel number 8. The heights ( values) of air parcels are indicated by the sizes of arrows. Legend is shown in the lower-right corner. Terrain height of D3 is contoured with a 500-m interval. d. Frontal movement Figure 11 presents trajectories of air parcels released along a line about 60 km behind the cold front at a height of ⫽ 0.9. The three-dimensional winds of D3 were used to integrate the paths of the air parcels from 24 to 34 h. Trajectories (T) 7 and 8 showed that lowlevel cold air was blocked and lifted by the terrain. The path of T7 rose and circled northwest of the CMR and traveled at a lower level over the western plains. The path of T8 ascended to a high level, turned to the northeast coast, and moved over the ocean. Other trajectories generally moved around the island in two groups: east and west. The eastern group of air parcels traveled southward with an anticyclonic curvature over the ocean along the east coast of Taiwan. The T10 and T11 paths advanced the fastest with an average speed of about 47 km h⫺1, slightly slower than the observed frontal speed estimated in section 2. This is because T10 and T11 traveled a longer distance with a curved path, while the observed frontal speed was estimated by a straight line. Other similar trajectories, T9, T12, and T13, were slightly slower than T10 and T11. It is noted that the 3310 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 134 FIG. 12. Time–space distribution of , sea level pressure, the component of winds at the lowest sigma level along cross sections (a)–(c) B, and (d)–(f) C of D3. The abscissa denotes the time of simulation (h), and the ordinate indicates the distance from the southern end (km). Contour intervals for , SLP, and v are 0.5 K, 1 hPa, and 2 m s⫺1, respectively. Fronts are shown by gray lines. Transitions of frontal speeds are denoted by thin horizontal lines. distribution of these air parcels at 30 h had a shape similar to that of the nearshore front at 28 h (Fig. 7b). The western group of trajectories mostly proceeded over the Taiwan Strait. Trajectories 1–4 rushed southward in nearly a straight line over the ocean with fast traveling speeds of ⬃58 km h⫺1. They were faster than T5 and T6, which, influenced by Taiwan’s topography, advanced with a slower speed of ⬃40 km h⫺1. Of all the air parcels examined, those over the strait (T1–4) traveled the fastest, only slightly influenced by the island. Air parcels along the east coast of Taiwan proceeded at a slower speed, which was still faster than those trajectories near the west coast (T5 and T6). Figure 12 presents a time–space distribution of potential temperature , sea level pressure, and the component of the winds at the lowest sigma level along cross sections B and C. The western cross section (B) shows a two-step frontal transition (Fig. 12a). North of the 290-km mark, the front exhibited a tighter potential temperature gradient and slower speed,2 indicating that the front weakened and traveled faster (from ⬃40 to ⬃60 km h⫺1) as it moved southward along the strait. With cold air surging behind the front, southward pressure gradients increased substantially along the strait (Fig. 12b). As a result, northerly winds greatly intensified north of the 290-km mark (Fig. 12c). The strongest northerly winds were found at 100–300 km of the cross section, and they persisted for the entire period. The 2 This is judged from the slopes of lines that connect the leading edge of the tight potential temperature gradient. NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO increased north–south pressure gradient over the strait after the frontal passage suggested that the channeling effect of the low-level cold air was responsible for the increasing frontal speed and the intensifying northerly winds. Along the eastern cross section, the front experienced three stages with different frontal speeds (Fig. 12d). North of the 300-km mark, the front moved southward with a speed of ⬃35 km h⫺1. Between 100 and 300 km of the cross section, the front moved faster with a speed of ⬃50 km h⫺1. Farther south, it moved slower with a speed of ⬃32 km h⫺1. The front became weaker as it headed southward. Southward pressure gradients were large between the 250- and 310-km marks of the cross section (Fig. 12e). The large gradients were almost stationary throughout the entire period. This is a result of the cold air damming that was significantly intensified around this region by the steep mountains to the west. Therefore, the front increased its speed and northerly winds intensified until the end of the period (Fig. 12f). 5. Sensitivity studies To further identify the effects of Taiwan’s topography, the land–water contrast, and surface fluxes on the cold front, we performed three sensitivity experiments. The NT run of D2 at 28 h (Fig. 13a) shows that the simulated sea level pressure, clouds, and winds were very similar to those of the CT run (Fig. 6b), except for the region near Taiwan where the terrain was removed. Comparisons of the two figures showed the orographical effects of Taiwan’s terrain on the front. These effects included flow splitting, frontal distortion, cold air blocking, and cloud enhancement on the windward side, and a coastal pressure ridge along the east coast of Taiwan. Differences of sea level pressure and 500-m winds in D3 at 30 h between the CT and NT runs (Fig. 13b) clearly show the effects of Taiwan’s topography on the cold air.3 A pressure ridge developed on the windward (or northern) side of the island because of blocking on the cold air, resulting in an outward flow (from the high center) of the wind difference fields. This indicates that the 500-m airflow was blocked and split by the CMR in northern Taiwan. The presence of terrain resulted in a coastal pressure ridge along the east coast of Taiwan, except offshore near 24°N. Since winds were generally northerly in direction along the east coast, wind differences indicate that the airflow had a more westerly 3 The large sea level pressure over substantial terrain may contain errors and should be ignored. 3311 component near the east coast, a more northerly component near the coastal ridge, and a slower speed along the southeast coast because of Taiwan’s terrain. The slower speed at the southeast coast was not necessarily in contradiction to the alongshore acceleration as discussed in section 4. In the NT run, cold air could rush southward without much delay because of the absence of terrain. In other words, the difference in the overall synoptic-scale environment had overshadowed the terrain effects of the acceleration in a local area. To the west, Taiwan’s topography caused low pressure to form over the southwest lowlands and the strait. The northerly wind difference extended westward to the southeast coast of China. This implied that although Taiwan’s topography had the most impact on the flow near the island, it still influenced the flow over the entire strait. Without the CMR there would be no channeling effect and the wind speed over the strait would be smaller. Figure 13c shows the same plot as Fig. 13b but for differences between the NT and NL runs. It is evident that the effect of the water–land contrast (friction, heat capacity, etc.) produced higher pressure and weaker northerly winds over land. These can be seen from Fig. 13a as well by comparing the pressure and winds over land and over ocean. Because of the low heat capacity over land, a lower temperature and thus a higher pressure formed over land behind the front. Over ocean, slightly higher pressure was induced in the cold air and winds had a component more outward from the island because of the influences of the land. Off the southeast coast near the location of the front, winds were more northerly in the NT run than in the NL run, suggesting that the small pressure change resulting from the water–land contrast could still contribute to the flow acceleration near the front along the east coast. In the NF run, the surface heat and moisture fluxes were ignored, but Taiwan’s terrain was retained. Figure 14a shows that without the surface fluxes from the warm and moist ocean, the front preserved its continental structure and moved faster than in the CT run (Fig. 6b). Behind the front were intense pressure and temperature gradients and strong winds. These were evident in Fig. 14b, which shows the differences in the temperature and winds at 500 m MSL between the CT and NF runs. Clouds behind the front in the NF run showed a wider and more homogeneous pattern than in the CT run (Fig. 14a). There was no narrow cloud band near the leading edge of the front to the east of Taiwan. This was because convection was suppressed in the NF run when the low-level flow increased the stability in the absence of a supply of surface heat and moisture fluxes from the ocean. One exception to this pattern, 3312 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 134 FIG. 13. (a) Same as in Fig. 6b but for the NT experiment. (b) Differences in sea level pressure and winds at 500 m MSL between the CT and NT runs at 30 h. Contour interval is 0.3 hPa, with positive values shaded. A full wind barb denotes 5 m s⫺1. (c) Same as in (b) but for differences between the NT and NL runs. however, was noted along the southeast coast where clouds developed as a result of strong cold air damming. The damming produced upward motion on the mountain slopes because of the increasing westward wind components as the air parcels moved south. The above points are more clearly shown in the vertical frontal structure along cross section C (Fig. 14c). The front was associated with an intense potential temperature gradient near the leading edge. The cold air, capped by an extremely stable layer at 600–1000 m NOVEMBER 2006 CHIEN AND KUO 3313 FIG. 14. (a) Same as in Fig. 6b except for the NF run. (b) Differences in temperature and winds at 500 m MSL between the CT and NF runs at 28 h. Contour interval is 1 K, and a full wind barb denotes 5 m s⫺1. (c) Same as in Fig. 9b except for the NF run. MSL, was nearly neutral in the low level probably because of mechanical mixing. The clouds near the leading edge of the front and those extending ⬃100 km behind were a result of strong cold air damming. Between the 200- and 280-km marks, there was a cloudfree area with an undulated potential temperature pattern and weak sinking motion that were also present in the CT run. The frontal speeds of the two experiments were different, but the cloud-free area appeared at the same location. This stationary phenomenon clearly indicated that it was related to orographical subsidence. Since the cold front and the cold air behind in the NF run were both much more intense than in the CT run, the coastal ridge along the east coast and the channel- 3314 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW ing effect over the strait in the NF run were also stronger. Consequently, the front of the NF run moved faster than in the CT run as it passed Taiwan. For example, along the east coast the frontal speed was ⬃56 km h⫺1 in the NF run, and ⬃50 km h⫺1 in the CT run. 6. Summary and conclusions This paper describes an observational and numerical study of an intense wintertime cold front and its associated cold air outbreak event that occurred in Taiwan on 8 January 1996. The PSU–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) was used to examine the three-dimensional flow structure of the front and how it was modified by the mountains of Taiwan. Observations show that the front was associated with rope clouds at the leading edge and a broad area of stratiform clouds behind. After making landfall on Taiwan, the front and its clouds were blocked by the CMR and were split into two parts. The eastern section that moved quickly southward along the coast had a clear shape at the leading edge and a small cloud-free area behind the cold front off the coast near Hualien. The clouds associated with the western portion of the cold front were relatively detached. The control run reproduced the cloud pattern associated with the front, except that there were no rope clouds. This is because the grids were not fine enough to reproduce rope clouds of ⬍5 km width. The simulation also reproduced the cloud-free area behind the front off the east coast near Hualien. Clouds were suppressed because westerly flow passed through the gap between the two major peaks of the CMR and resulted in subsidence near this region. As cold air surged southward along the east coast, the increasing westward Coriolis force induced a landward acceleration. The cold air gradually piled up against the mountains, resulting in a coastal pressure ridge. The cold air damming yielded a geostrophic balance between the westward Coriolis force and the eastward component of the pressure gradient force in the x direction, and a southward acceleration in the y direction mainly caused by the southward pressure gradient force component. The damming did not happen near Hualien where air was accelerating toward the coast. This was another reason why there was no cloud formation around this region. The western part of the front moved southward along the Taiwan Strait. Cold air was confined over the strait between the Wu-yi Mountains of China on the right and the CMR on the left, resulting in an increasing southward pressure gradient force component. Such a channeling effect caused the along-strait acceleration of cold air to increase over most of the strait. The forces in VOLUME 134 the cross-strait direction were nearly in geostrophic balance. The formation of a windward ridge off the northwest coast of Taiwan contributed to significant southward acceleration, resulting in the development of a coastal jet. This was similar to the barrier jet, but under the southwesterly flow condition during a mei-yu season, documented by Yeh and Chen (2003), near this region. It is shown that the western part of the front was intense before entering the Taiwan Strait. The front weakened and moved faster as it moved southward along the strait. Along the east coast, the front first increased its speed off the coast where the cold air damming effect was most intense. Then, it slowed down near the southeast coast after passing over the steepest mountains of the east coast. The intensity of the front decreased as the front headed southward. Trajectory analyses further show that air parcels traveling along the east coast experienced a downgradient acceleration from cold air damming, advancing at a moderate speed of approximately 47 km h⫺1. The western air parcels, moving over the Taiwan Strait, traveled at the fastest speed (⬃58 km h⫺1) because of the channeling effect. Air parcels proceeding over the western plains and the nearshore ocean were influenced by Taiwan’s topography, advancing at the slowest speed of ⬃40 km h⫺1. These results were somewhat different from the previous mei-yu front studies that simply indicated that a front along the east coast of Taiwan moved faster than one along the west coast. An important factor that contributed to this difference appears to be the greater channeling effect that occurs in winter because of more stable low-level air. The no-Taiwan terrain run clearly indicates the orographical effects of Taiwan’s terrain on the front. These include flow splitting, frontal distortion, cold air blocking, and cloud enhancement on the windward side, and a coastal pressure ridge along the east coast of the island. The effect of the water–land contrast produced higher pressure and weaker northerly winds over land behind the front. Off the southeast coast near the location of the front, the small pressure change resulting from the water–land contrast could still contribute to the flow acceleration near the front along the east coast. 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