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Financial Derivatives in Emerging Markets: The Challenge of Keeping Markets Locally (Growth in the domestic derivatives market, non-resident transactions, DMA access, algorithmic and HFT) JSE: Johannesburg Stock Exchange • Stock exchange founded in 1887 during the first South African gold rush • Derivatives exchange through SAFEX established in 1989, JSE acquired the business in 2001 • 84 different listed contracts in 8 categories • • • • • • • • Agriculture Bonds Currency Energy Equity Index Individual Equity Interest Rate Derivatives Metals (Precious and Non Precious) Contracts / Deals 2015 2016 61,925,150 71,218,497 448,040,993 427,449,339 454,285 461,299 5,692,757 9,435,718 45,168,690 48,324,320 3,500,065 3,426,080 Category Equities Equity Derivatives Bonds Interest Rate Derivatives Currencies Commodities 2% 9% 1% 0% % Change 15% -5% 2% 66% 7% -2% 13% Equities Equity Derivatives • Number 14 in the FIA top exchanges ranking 2016, among 81 exchanges Bonds Interest Rate Derivatives • -1.9% drop respect 2015 • Equity Derivatives growth in 2016 4% in value traded Currencies Commodities 76% 2 ROFEX: Rosario Futures Exchange • Founded 1909 as an agricultural futures exchange • 2001: started trading FX futures, first financial futures in the country (currency, ARG-USD) • 99% of the volume counts for one currency futures 2016 (Jan-Dec) 1% • Number 6 top FX contract • 14 different listed contracts in 6 categories • • • • • FX Interest rate Equity index Precious metals, Energy Agricultural commodities Agriculture Currency 99% • Number 25 in the FIA top exchanges ranking 2016, among 81 exchanges • 53.5% growth respect 2015 3 TAIFEX: Taiwan Futures Exchange • Founded 1998 as a financial futures exchange • Almost 70% of the volumen traded counts for options on TAIFEX (stock index future) • Number 11 top equity contract 2016 (Jan-Dec) Others 7% • 27 different listed contracts in 5 categories • • • • • Individual equity Equity index FX Interest rate Precious metals • Number 21 in the FIA top exchanges ranking 2016, among 81 exchanges TAIEX Futures 24% TAIEX Options 69% • -8.6 drop respect 2015 4 How did our exchanges grow? • Successful stories • Lessons learned from failures • The role of education 5 The challenge of diversification • What do we need to expand futures trading? • Which products are more easy to build liquidity on? • Do these products have a common characteristic? 6 How can we build liquidity? • Participants profile: market makers, proprietary traders, retail investors, etc. • Technology: DMA, HFT, algorithmic trading 7 How regulation affects trading? • Non-resident transactions • The trade off between regulation and burocratic cost • Which should be the driver of regulation? 8