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Transcript
EDPRS 2 Towards Achieving
Self Reliance
National Dialogue Council
December, 13-14th 2012
GDP/capita doubled in 5 years
Office of the Prime Minister
To be a Middle Income Country by 2020
GDP growth
11%
Office of the Prime Minister
Trade values tripled in 5 years
2000.0
Exports – Imports in millions of USD
1500.0
1000.0
500.0
0.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Exports
Imports
Office of the Prime Minister
Need more Forex earnings
Exports growth
28%
Office of the Prime Minister
Millions out f poverty
80%
77%
70%
Proportion
60%
60%
57%
50%
45%
40%
30%
20%
10%
% below poverty
line
37%
24%
Extreme Poverty
30%
12%
0%
1994
Office of the Prime Minister
2000
2005/06 2010/11
2015
EDPRS 2 Guiding Principles
1
Innovation for
Innovation for
productivity
productivity
2
Inclusiveness
and Engagement
3
Sustainability
Office of the Prime Minister

Need to focus on new interventions as well as new
ways of thinking and delivering

Ownership at all levels

Ensure that programs and targets achieved from
EDPRS 2 are long lasting
Census 2002 – 2012 Population
30%
Increase
10,537,222
8,128,553
2002
Office of the Prime Minister
2012
All four thematic areas under EDPRS 2 aim at achieving our
Vision 2020
VISION 2020
Economic
Transformation
11.5% Real GDP
growth
•
•
•
28% Export
Growth
Private
Investment at
20% of GDP
30%
Urbanisation
Office of the Prime Minister
Rural
Development Less
than 30% of poor
•
•
70% planned
grouped
settlements
8.5% Agric
Growth
•
•
Improved
Productivity &
Youth
Employment
200,000 jobs
p/annum
Accountable
Governance
SMEs for jobs
education
TVET for skills
Participation in
development
Delivery of quality
service
To become a middle-income country by 2020, we need to
double GDP
11% Growth
Rate
p/annum
$ 1000USD
$595USD
20% of
GDP
10% of
GDP
Exports
Private
Investment
GDP
28%
Growth
2011
Office of the Prime Minister
2020
Four priorities have been identified under Economic
Transformation to drive rapid growth and exports
Office of the Prime Minister
Diversifying the
economy
Rapid Growth of
Exports
Productivity and
Competitiveness
Urbanisation for
Growth
Everyone is expected to play a role in achieving
economic transformation
1. Improved
Business
orientation
and thinking
Profit
2. Urbanisation
Office of the Prime Minister
• Thinking market satisfaction (with improved market
information)
• Increased business innovation (profitable competition/ new
unsaturated markets => increased diversification)
• Business association
•
•
Cities as pillars of growth
Good for rural development and employment
Our goal under rural development is to reduce poverty from
45% to less than 30% over the next five years
80%
77%
70%
60%
Proportion
60%
57%
50%
45%
40%
Proportion below
poverty line
Extreme Poverty
30%
20%
37%
24%
30%
21%
Linear projection
10%
20%
15%
0%
1994
Office of the Prime Minister
2000
2005/06
2010/11
2015
2020
There are four priorities under rural development to
reduce poverty fast ensure sustainability
Sustainable
Rural
Settlements
•
Integrated land use planning and quality of rural
housing
Increased productivity of agriculture through:
• Proximity extension services, Irrigation, Land Husbandry
• Private investment in agriculture
On-farm
productivity
Social
Protection
linked to
Development
•
•
Improved targeting and coverage of schemes
Enabling graduation from Social Protection to self reliance
Connecting
to Markets
•
Feeder roads and access to new finance mechanisms
Office of the Prime Minister
Rural Development
Improved
productivity and
youth employment
200,000 jobs per
annum
Accountable
Governance
Office of the Prime Minister
Important part of
EDPRS 2 discussed under
other sessions
Everyone has a role to play in supporting rural
development
Living in
well planned
imidugudu
•
•
•
•
•
Developing contractual mindset – respect the terms of the
contract; repay loans and credit
Increased uptake of micro-insurance
Increase individual productivity amongst farmers
Agriculture becoming more profitable and less risky
•
Not over-relying on solidarity
•
Private sector
orientation in
agriculture
Self reliance
mindset
Access to basic infrastructure
Proximity to production place
Office of the Prime Minister