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Transcript
Chapter 23
Aggregate
Supply and
Aggregate
Demand in the
Short Run
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
In this chapter you will learn to
1. Explain why an exogenous change in the price level shifts
the AE curve and changes the equilibrium level of real
GDP.
2. Derive the aggregate demand (AD) curve and what causes
it to shift.
3. Explain the meaning of the aggregate supply (AS) curve
and why it shifts when technology or factor prices change.
4. Describe and define macroeconomic equilibrium.
5. Analyze the impacts of aggregate demand and aggregate
supply shocks on real GDP and the price level.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-2
The Demand Side of the Economy
Exogenous Changes in the Price Level
An increase in P reduces the real value of money holdings.
A fall in P raises the real value of money holdings.
Changes in P also affect the wealth of bondholders and bond
issuers
- but there is no change in aggregate wealth
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-3
The Demand Side of the Economy
Changes in Consumption
An increase in P thus reduces private-sector wealth:
- reduction in desired consumption
- downward shift in AE curve
Changes in Net Exports
There is also an effect on net exports:
- the NX function shifts downward
- further downward shift in AE curve
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-4
Figure 23.1 Desired Aggregate
Expenditure and the Price Level
An increase in P reduces
desired aggregate
expenditure:
- AE shifts down
- equilibrium Y falls
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-5
The Aggregate Demand Curve
The aggregate demand (AD) curve relates equilibrium real
GDP to the price level.
For any given P, the AD curve shows the level of real GDP for
which desired aggregate expenditure equals actual GDP.
Changes in the price level cause movements along the AD
curve.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-6
Figure 23.2 Derivation of the
AD Curve
Consider a rise in the price
level, from P0 to P2:
The AE curve shifts
down, but we move along
the AD curve.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-7
Figure 23.3 The Simple Multiplier
and Shifts in the AD Curve
Any shock that increases
equilibrium GDP at a given
price level shifts the AD curve
to the right.
The horizontal shift of the AD
curve is the simple multiplier
times the change in
autonomous spending.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-8
The Simple Multiplier and the
AD Curve
The simple multiplier measures the horizontal shift in the
AD curve in response to a change in autonomous desired
expenditure.
If the price level is constant and producers are willing to
supply everything that is demanded at that price level,
then the simple multiplier will also show the change in
equilibrium income that will occur in response to a change
in the autonomous expenditure.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-9
The Supply Side of the Economy
The Aggregate Supply Curve
The AS curve relates the price level to the quantity of output
that firms would like to produce and sell.
The AS curve is drawn for a given
- level of technology
- set of factor prices.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-10
The Slope of the AS Curve
As unit costs rise with output, firms will produce more output
only if prices increase.
 AS curve is upward sloping
The slope of the AS Curve has an increasing slope:
– Low output: firms have excess capacity
– High output (above normal capacity): unit costs rise
more rapidly.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-11
Figure 23.4 The Aggregate
Supply Curve
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23-12
Figure 23.5 Shifts in the AS
Curve
Anything that
increases firms’ costs
causes the AS curve to
shift up:
- factor prices
- technology
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-13
The Slope of the AS Curve
The slope of the AS curve is increasing as output rises:
- when output is low, firms have excess capacity
 costs do not rise quickly
- when output is nearer Y*, costs rise as output rises
 firms need higher prices
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-14
Figure 23.6 Macroeconomic
Equilibrium
Demand behavior is
consistent with
supply behaviour
only at the
intersection of the
two curves.
E0 is the
macroeconomic
equilibrium.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-15
Changes in the Macroeconomic
Equilibrium
Demand shocks can either be expansionary or contractionary
- direction of AD shift
Supply shocks can either be expansionary or contractionary
- direction of the AS shift
In both cases, “expansionary” or “contractionary” refers to the
effect on equilibrium output.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-16
Figure 23.7 Aggregate
Demand Shocks
Demand shocks cause P
and Y to change in the
same direction.
Possible causes:
1. ΔG > 0
2. ΔI > 0
3. ΔX > 0
4. ΔC > 0
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-17
Figure 23.8 The Multiplier When
the Price Level Varies
The shock causes the AE curve
to shift upward, but the rise in
the price level causes it to shift
down.
With an upward sloping AS
curve, the multiplier is smaller
than the simple multiplier.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-18
Figure 23.9 The Effects of
Increases in Aggregate Demand
The effect of any given shift
of the AD curve will depend
on the slope of the AS curve.
The steeper the AS curve, the
greater the price effect and
the smaller the output effect.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-19
The Importance of the Shape of the
AS Curve
We have now seen that the shape of the AS curve has
important implications for how the effects of an AD shock are
divided between changes in real GDP and changes in the
price level. For any change in AD:
• Flat range of AS: no change in prices but a change in
output
• Positively sloped AS : changes in both the price level and
output
• Steep range of AS : little change in output but more
change in the price level
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-20
The Keynesian AS Curve
EXTENSIONS IN THEORY 23.1
The Keynesian AS Curve
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23-21
Figure 23.10 A Negative
Aggregate Supply Shock
Aggregate supply shocks cause P
and Y to change in opposite
directions.
Possible causes:
- Δ price of inputs
- Δ wages
- Δ technology
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
23-22
A Word of Warning
Many economic events (especially changes in the world
prices of raw materials) cause both aggregate demand and
aggregate supply shocks.
The overall effect on the economy depends on the relative
importance of the two separate effects.
APPLYING ECONOMIC CONCEPTS 23.1
Hurricane Katrina and the U.S.
Economy
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23-23