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Variance of a Random Variable Dennis Sun The “Spread” of a Random Variable 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 p[x] p[x] Two random variables can have the same expected value and still be very different. 1 2 x 3 4 5 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 x How do we quantify the spread of a random variable? 3 4 5 Variance of a Random Variable Recall that the variance of a list of numbers is Pn (yi − y)2 2 s = i=1 . n We can also write this as a weighted average: X s2 = (x − y)2 · wx . x We can define the variance of a random variable in the same way: X Var[X] = (x − E[X])2 · p[x]. x Notice that the variance cannot be negative. Standard Deviation of a Random Variable The variance is difficult to interpret because it is in units2 . To convert back to the original units, we take the square root: p SD[X] = Var[X]. The square root of the variance is called the standard deviation. Example p[x] Let’s calculate SD 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 h i number . of tails x 0 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 x 3 4 5 p[x] .03125 .15625 .3125 .3125 .15625 .03125