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7/14/2008 Organize to Compete July 2008 Ricardo Alonso University of Southern California Wouter Dessein Columbia University Niko Matouschek Northwestern University Motivation • Impact of competitive environment on organizational design • Focus on multi-divisional firms – dominate large sectors in the economy (Chandler 1977) – organization design (somewhat) observable – coordination and dispersed information • Why link organization to competitive environment? – contingency theory (Lawrence and Lorsch 1967): optimal internal organization of a firm depends on its external environment. – empirical evidence 1 7/14/2008 Motivation • Bloom, Van Reenen, Sadun (2007) “Decentralization positively linked with stronger product market competition.” • Acemoglu, Aghion, Lelarge, Van Reenen and Zilibotti (2008) “Robust positive association of competition and decentralization.” • Guadalupe and Wulf (2007) Effect of foreign competition on organizational design. Motivation • Standard argument: Competition increases the value of information decentralization • – What about the costs of decentralization? – Competition makes mistakes more costly, but so are biased decisions Our argument: Competition affects externalities between divisions – Externalities between divisions depend on profit margins (-) – Competition may affect perceived differentiation between products of divisions (+) 2 7/14/2008 Result Preview (II) • Downward shifts in demand (“size effect”) – only reduction in profit margins – results in more decentralization • Rotation of demand (“price pressure effect”) competition may favor centralization – despite fact that information becomes more valuable Motivation • Key ingredients (Alonso, Dessein and Matouschek 2008): – adaptation-coordination trade-off – the organization lacks commitment – dispersed information & strategic communication 3 7/14/2008 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions The Model Profits: Managers: Division 1 Division 2 1 p1q1 2 p2q2 0 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 HQ Own division bias 12 ,1 4 7/14/2008 Demand Division 1 Division 2 p2 a 2 q2 q1 p1 a 1 q1 q2 intercept with cross effect with a s and 1 U s / 2, s / 2 q1 1 1 2 intercept with 2 U s / 2, s / 2 1 1 a 1 p1 a 2 p2 q2 1 1 2 a 2 p2 a 1 p1 The Model Profits: Managers: Information: Division 1 Division 2 1 p1q1 2 p2q2 0 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 U s / 2, s / 2 1 U s / 2, s / 2 2 U s / 2, s / 2 2 2 U s / 2, s / 2 HQ 5 7/14/2008 Competition Division 1 Division 2 p1 a 1 q1 q2 q f 1 p2 a 2 q2 q1 q f 2 Competitive fringe Competitive fringe p f 1 1 q f 1 q1 c f p f 2 1 q f 2 q2 c f Competition Division 1 Division 2 p1 a 1 c f 1 1 2 q1 q2 p2 a 1 c f 2 1 2 q2 q1 Competitive fringe Competitive fringe p f 1 1 q f 1 q1 c f p f 2 1 q f 2 q2 c f 6 7/14/2008 Competition- Size effect Division 1 Division 2 p1 a 1 c f 1 1 2 q1 q2 cf p1 p2 a 1 c f 2 1 2 q2 q1 p2 q1 q2 Competition- Price Pressure Division 1 Division 2 p1 a 1 c f 1 1 2 q1 q2 p1 q1 p2 a 1 c f 2 1 2 q2 q1 p2 q2 7 7/14/2008 Demand Division 1 Division 2 p1 a 1 c f 1 1 2 q1 q2 1 2 2 p2 a 1 c f 2 1 2 q2 q1 q1 2 q2 Measure of (horizontal) product differentiation Decentralization message Division 1 Division 2 quantity price p1q1 quantity price p2q2 message 8 7/14/2008 Centralization HQ message quantities prices p1q& p2q2 1& Division 1 message Division 2 The Model • More general linear demand structures: p1 a1 1 b1q1 q2 f 1q f 1 p2 a2 2 b2 q2 q1 f 2 q f 2 p f 1 a f 1 b f 1q f 1 f 1q1 p f 2 a f 2 b f 2 q f 2 f 2 q2 • Demand uncertainty cost uncertainty • Demand interdependence cost interdependence 9 7/14/2008 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions Price Setting – Centralization max p1 , p2 E 1 2 m1, m2 1 p1C E 1 m1 2 1 p2C E 2 m2 2 10 7/14/2008 Price Setting – Decentralization Manager 1 Manager 2 max p1 E 1 1 2 1, m1, m2 max p2 E 1 1 2 2, m1, m2 p1D 1 1 2 2 1 E 2 p2D m1, m2 p2D 1 2 2 2 1 p1C E 1 m1 2 1 E 1 p1D m1, m2 1 p2C E 2 m2 2 Quantity Setting – Centralization max q1 ,q2 E 1 2 m1, m2 q1C E 1 m1 2q2C 2 q2C E 2 m2 2q1C 2 11 7/14/2008 Quantity Setting – Decentralization Manager 1 Manager 2 max q1 E 1 1 2 1, m1, m2 max q2 E 1 1 2 2 , m1, m2 q1D 1 2E q2D m 2 1 E q2D m 2 2 q1C q2D E 1 m1 2q2C q2C 2 2 2E q1D m 2 1 E q1D m 2 2 E 2 m2 2q2C 2 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication - Vertical Communication - Horizontal Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions 12 7/14/2008 Incentives to Misrepresent – Price Setting • Suppose Manager 1 can choose Manager HQ’s posterior 1 E 1 m1 max 1 E2 1 1 2 s.t. p1 p1C and p2 p2C 1* 1 2 1 E 2 b 2 • Similarly for Manager 2: 2* 2 2 1 E1 b 2 Incentives to Misrepresent – Quantity Setting • Suppose Manager 1 can choose Manager HQ’s posterior 1 E 1 m1 max 1 E2 1 1 2 s.t. q1 q1C and q2 q2C 1* 1 b • Similarly for Manager 2: 2* 2 b 13 7/14/2008 Vertical Communication Equilibria – Price Setting 1 Managers 1 & 2 send messages a 1 c f s / 2 Manager HQ updates beliefs a 1 c f s / 2 a 1 c f s / 2 2 a 1 c f s / 2 Manager HQ sets prices ai ai 1 4b ai 1 ai Vertical Communication Equilibria – Quantity Setting 1 Managers 1 & 2 send messages a 1 c f s / 2 Manager HQ updates beliefs a 1 c f s / 2 a 1 c f s / 2 2 a 1 c f s / 2 Manager HQ sets quantities ai ai 1 4b ai 1 ai 14 7/14/2008 Quality of Vertical Communication s2 3N ViC Emi i 2 b2 2 N 1 3 s2 3 if N N 1 if b s N N 1 b s 2 Vi C 0 .3 0 0 .2 5 0 .2 0 0 .1 5 0 .1 0 0 .0 5 0 .1 0 .2 0 .3 0 .4 0 .5 b Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication - Vertical Communication - Horizontal Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions 15 7/14/2008 Communication Equilibria – Decentralization • Price competition (for example substitutes): • a higher realization of 1 has two opposite effects on optimal p2: • direct effect: decreases quantity q2 • indirect effect: reaction to change in p1 • For HQ both effects cancel each other • First Best p2 does not depend on 1 • Manager 1 puts more weight on indirect effect • Manager 1 would like to raise p2 • Manager 2 puts more weight on the direct effect • Manager 2 would like to lower p2 • Given this lack of congruence between managers: – no communication for any 12 ,1 Communication Equilibria – Decentralization • Quantity competition: • changes in 1 have no direct effect on optimal q2 only indirect effect • Both managers agree on the sign of the change in q2 – some communication for 12 • Horizontal communication degrades very quickly with – no communication for λ = 1 16 7/14/2008 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions The Costs and Benefits from Decentralization D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC coordination effect loss of control gain in information 17 7/14/2008 The Costs and Benefits from Decentralization D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC gain in information Gain in information: C I P C IC 1 VC 2 2 1 Increases in |/| and residual variance Independent of nature of products or mode of competition. Any difference across cases will owe to how other gains/losses behave. The Costs and Benefits from Decentralization D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC loss of control Loss of control: Increases in |/| and E[]. Substitutes: higher when prices than quantities Complements: higher when quantities than prices 18 7/14/2008 The Costs and Benefits from Decentralization D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC coordination effect coordination effect: Quantity competition: coordination effect < 0 Price competition: coordination effect > 0 Substitutes and Bertrand-Complements 1/ 2 • Delegation Principle holds (Delegation always optimal) • Competition does not affect choice of organizational structure 19 7/14/2008 Bertrand D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC coordination effect loss of control gain in information • Loss of control and coordination effect second order wrt Bertrand D C C I P C IC gain in information • Loss of control and coordination effect second order wrt 20 7/14/2008 Substitutes and Cournot Competition D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC coordination effect loss of control gain in information • Loss of control second order wrt , but coordination effect first order. Substitutes and Cournot Competition D C D I D D I P C I P C IC coordination effect gain in information • Loss of control second order wrt , but coordination effect first order. • However, gain in information outweighs coordination effect. 21 7/14/2008 Focused Managers (=1) - Bertrand s E 1 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 Decentralization 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 Centralization -1 .0 -0 .8 -0 .6 -0 .4 - 0 .2 Centralization 0 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .8 1 .0 Focused Managers (=1) - Cournot and Substitutes s E 1 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 0 .4 Decentralization 0 .3 0 .2 Centralization 0 .1 0 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .8 1 .0 22 7/14/2008 “Size effect”- Bertrand s E cf 1 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 -1 .0 -0 .8 -0 .6 -0 .4 - 0 .2 0 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .8 1 .0 “Size effect” cf • Downward shift in demand reduces FB price-cost margins E[] • Gain in information: Does not affect the value of information but improves vertical communication Force towards centralization • Loss of control: Reduces intra-firm conflict: • Coordination effect: Improves horizontal communication (Cournot) Force towards decentralization • Second and third effect dominate: More intense price pressure leads to more decentralization 23 7/14/2008 “Price pressure” - Bertrand 1 s E 1 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 -1 .0 -0 .8 -0 .6 -0 .4 - 0 .2 0 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .8 1 .0 • For small high levels levelsofofcompetition, competition,imitation imitationpressure pressurefavors favorscentralization decentralization Price Pressure • Price pressure has two effects. • Reduces FB price-cost margins E[] (similar to price pressure) • Reduces differentiation between products (increases |/|). • Second effect: • Gain in information: Increases value of information (mistakes are more costly) and worsens vertical communication. Force towards decentralization • Loss of control: Less differentiation increases intra-firm conflict • Coordination: Increases importance of coordination Force towards centralization Overall the second effect leads to more centralization 24 7/14/2008 Price Pressure • Higher price pressure will lead to more decentralization whenever the first effect dominates. • For small levels of competition, an increase in price pressure … improves communication to HQ… … but also reduces intra-firm conflict. more competition favors decentralization • For high levels of competition, an increase in price pressure … makes mistakes more costly… … but increases the coordination effect… … and also leads to more intra-firm conflict. more competition favors centralization Summary • If division managers are very aligned • decentralization dominates (delegation principle) • level of competition does not affect organizational structure • A decrease in FB profit margins unambiguously favors decentralization • An increase in price pressure: Favors decentralization for low levels of competition Favors centralization if intense competition • More likely to decentralize with higher uncertainty and more product differentiation for any level of competitive pressure. 25 7/14/2008 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions Cournot- Complements 1/ 2 s E 1 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 Centralization Decentralization 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 - 1 .0 - 0 .8 - 0 .6 - 0 .4 - 0 .2 0 .0 • Delegation principle fails – For complements and high |t| always better to centralize in spite of negligible conflict. 26 7/14/2008 Cournot- Complements D C D I D D I P D I P C I P C I P C IC loss of control coordination effect gain in information • Loss of control second order wrt , but coordination effect first order. Cournot- Complements D C D I D D I P C I P C IC coordination effect gain in information • Loss of control second order wrt , but coordination effect first order. – gain in information: – coordination effect: VC 2 VD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 – Ability of agents to coordinate proportional to how well agents communicate horizontally – Gain in information proportional to how well agents communicate vertically – Coordination effect relatively more important with |/| 27 7/14/2008 =0.51– Cournot Complement 0 .2 0 Centralization Decentralization s E 0 .1 5 0 .1 0 Centralization Decentralization 0 .0 5 0 .0 0 -0 .5 -0 .4 - 0 .3 -0 .2 -0 .1 0 .0 • Decrease in FB profit margins can lead to centralization Summary – Cournot Complements • If division managers are very aligned (almost team theory case): • centralization may dominate (delegation principle fails) • level of competition affects organizational structure • A decrease in FB profit margins can lead to centralization • An increase in price pressure: Can favor centralization for low levels of competition 28 7/14/2008 Plan of Talk • The Model • Decision Making • Communication • Competition and Organizational Structure • Case: Cournot-Complements • Conclusions Conclusions • Internal organization of multi-divisional firms • Internal organization market structure • Competition can affect the gain in information but also internal conflict and ability of managers to coordinate. • Reduction of profit margins favors decentralization • Price pressure exacerbates conflict and can favor centralization. • Even if Managers are very aligned centralization maybe optimal 29