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Advanced Placement Statistics Renée Pittelkau, Room 101 River Ridge HS [email protected] (360)412-4820 The HAWK WAY R - Respectful R - Responsible H - Honorable S - Successful COURSE DESCRIPTION This course introduces students to the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. Students are exposed to four broad conceptual themes: data exploration, survey planning, probability and statistical inference. Lecture is minimized with students actively engaged in discovery, exploration, and communication of statistical relationships and concepts. The teacher’s role is to guide and refine student discoveries, inferences, and communication using appropriate statistical language and vocabulary. Students will draw connections between design, analysis, and conclusions as their standard practice. Students will work individually as well as in small groups to allow discussions to take place about statistical topics such as inference and methodology. Both written and oral communications are completed with practice from the textbook, worksheets, practice AP Questions, projects, and assessments. TEXT BOOK The Practice of Statistics for AP* (4th edition), by Starnes, Yates, and Moore, W.H. Freeman & Company., 2010. (E-book) CLASSROOM PROCEDURES & POLICIES Good attendance is critical for success in Mathematics. The school’s Attendance and Tardy Policy is strictly enforced. When absent, it is the student’s responsibility to complete the missed assignments. Students have the assignment sheet for the entire year with all important dates outlined. Students should have a three ring binder or graphing notebook (folder) dedicated to just AP Statistics. Notebooks will be checked at the end of every Chapter and points will be given based on # of Book Problems completed as well as in class notes taken. This notebook will contain the following: Statistical Tools and Notes: tables, formulas, calculator instructions, example problems and notes done in class. Activities & Free-Response Problems: You will have worksheets, handouts and free response problems to work in every chapter. They are useful with exam preparation. Quizzes: Keep your quizzes as you will want to refer to them to prepare for your Unit Assessments, Midterm, Final and AP Exam. Book Problems: They will be assigned daily, be sure to follow your syllabus. Problems will be answered completely, work will be shown and all problems will be attempted prior to being turned in for credit. I will collect homework (your notebooks) at the end of each Chapter. Homework needs to be completed daily to keep up with the fast pace of the class. Cell phones will be turned off during class time. TECHNOLOGY 1 The Practice of Statistics textbook is an on-line textbook (e-book), students must have internet access at home to complete the daily work and study the material from the textbook. The AP Statistics curriculum demands a graphing calculator. Because of this requirement, each student should have a TI-83 or TI 84 graphing calculator (TI-84 preferred). Other graphing calculators could be used, but support of those calculators will not be offered in this course. Calculators for student use may be checked out in the library for the school year. The student will learn how to use computerized data for statistical purposes. The course teaches students to routinely and effectively use technology to develop an understanding of the principles and practices of statistics. The following syllabus integrates the instruction of technological practices and uses all resources available. The statistical themes of exploring and analyzing data, sampling and experimentation, anticipating patterns, and statistical inference are completed using technology. GRADING The overall grade will be determined as follows: Free-Response Question(s): 2-6 every Chapter (10% of total grade) Homework/Class Activities & Participation, Notebook Check (20% of total grade) Assessments, Quizzes, & Projects (70% of total grade) Grading Scale: 92% - A 82 - 91% B 70 - 81% C Below 70% F AP Statistics Topic Outline The outline of the major topics covered in the AP Statistics course follows. The order given here works well to define the scope of the course, but you may find that a different sequence for covering the material is more suitable for your class. I. Exploring Data: Observing Patterns and Departures from Patterns (20% - 30%) Exploratory analysis of data makes use of graphical and numerical techniques to study patterns and departures from patterns. Emphasis should be placed on interpreting information from graphical and numerical displays and summaries. A) Constructing and interpreting graphical displays of distributions of univariate data (dotplot, stemplot, histogram, cumulative frequency plot) 1) Center and spread 2) Clusters and gaps 3) Outliers and other unusual features 4) Shape B) Summarizing distributions of univariate data 1) Measuring center: median, mean 2) Measuring spread: range, interquartile range, standard deviation 3) Measuring positions: quartiles, percentiles, standardized scores (z-scores) 4) Using boxplots 5) The effect of changing units on summary measures 2 C) Comparing distributions of univariate data (boxplots, back-to-back stemplots, parallel boxplots) 1) Comparing center and spread: within group, between group variation 2) Comparing clusters and gaps 3) Comparing outliers and other unusual features 4) Comparing shapes D) Exploring bivariate data 1) Analyzing patterns in scatterplots 2) Correlation and linearity 3) Least squares regression line 4) Residual plots, outliers, and influential points 5) Transformations to achieve linearity, logarithmic and power transformations E) Exploring Categorical Data 1) Frequency tables and bar charts 2) Marginal and joint frequencies for two-way tables 3) Conditional relative frequencies and association 4) Comparing distributions using bar charts II. Sampling and Experimentation: Planning and conducting a study (10% - 15%) Data must be collected according to a well-developed plan if valid information on a conjecture is to be obtained. This plan includes clarifying the question and deciding upon a method of data collection and analysis. A) Overview of methods of data collection 1) Census 2) Sample survey 3) Experiment 4) Observational study B) Planning and conduction surveys 1) Characteristics of a well-designed and well-conducted survey 2) Populations, samples, and random selection 3) Sources of bias in sampling and surveys 4) Sampling Methods, including simple random sampling, stratified and cluster sampling C) Planning and conducting experiments 1) Characteristics of a well-designed and well-conducted experiment 2) Treatments, control groups, experimental units, random assignments, and replication 3) Sources of bias and confounding, including placebo effect and blinding 4) Completely randomized design 5) Randomized block design, including matched pairs design D) Generalizability of results and types of conclusions that can be drawn from observational studies, experiments, and surveys III. Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation (20% 30%) Probability is the tool used for anticipating what the distribution of data should look like under a given model. A) Probability 1) Interpreting probability, including long-run relative frequency interpretation 2) “Law of large numbers” concept 3) Addition rule, multiplication rule, conditional probabilities, and independence 4) Discrete random variables and their probability distributions, including binomial and geometric 5) Simulation of random behavior and probability distributions 6) Mean (expected value) and standard deviation of a random variable, and linear transformation of a random variable. 3 B) Combining independent random variables 1) Notion of independence verses dependence 2) Mean and standard deviation for sums and differences of independent random variables C) The normal distribution 1) Properties of the normal distribution 2) Using tables of the normal distribution 3) The normal distribution as a model for measurements D) Sampling distributions 1) Sampling distribution of a sample proportion 2) Sampling distribution of a sample mean 3) Central Limit Theorem 4) Sampling distribution of a difference between two independent sample proportions 5) Sampling distribution of a difference between two independent sample means 6) Simulation of sampling distributions 7) t-distribution 8) Chi-square distribution IV: Statistical Inference: Estimating population parameters and testing hypotheses (30% - 40%) Statistical inference guides the selection of appropriate models. A) Estimation (point estimators and confidence intervals) 1) Estimating population parameters and margins of error 2) Properties of point estimators, including unbiasedness and variability 3) Logic of confidence intervals, meaning confidence level and confidence intervals, and properties of confidence intervals 4) Large sample confidence interval for a proportion 5) Large sample confidence interval for a difference between two proportions 6) Confidence interval for a mean 7) Confidence interval for a difference between two means (unpaired and paired) 8) Confidence interval for the slope of a least-squares regression line B) Tests of significance 1) Logic of significance testing, null and alternative hypotheses; p-values; one- and two-sided tests; concepts of Type I and Type II errors; concept of power 2) Large sample test for a proportion 3) Large sample test for a difference between two proportions 4) Test for a mean 5) Test for a difference between two means (unpaired and paired) 6) Chi-square test for goodness of fit, homogeneity of proportions, and independence (one- and two-way tables) 4 Return this page to Mrs. Pittelkau, by Monday September 9, 2013. Keep Syllabus in your binder for reference for the entire year. I have read and understand the course expectations for AP Statistics, including the fact that students must have internet access in order to complete assigned work and review textbook. I will do my best to be a productive and active member of this class. I will complete all work to the best of my ability and never give up. I will follow class expectations and be respectful of all those around me. I understand the consequences for my actions Student: _______________________________ ______________________________ print name sign name I have read and understand AP Statistics expectations for my student. I will do my best to support my young adult and teacher this year. I also understand that my student must have internet access in order to complete assigned work and study. I am aware that progress reports will be handed out at the end of each Unit, which will be about every six to eight weeks. Grades can also be checked on Skyward and will be updated at the end of every Chapter. I understand that I may contact the teacher at any time with concerns for my student or just to check in. ([email protected]) Please print neatly so I can keep in contact with you. Communication is important to me. Also please indicate which adult I should contact first (check box next to name) if there is a preference. Parent/Guardian: _________________________ ____________________________ print name sign name home # ___________________ work # __________________ e-mail ________________________ Parent/Guardian: _______________________ ______________________________ print name sign name home # ___________________ work # __________________ e-mail ________________________ Date Signed: __________________ Please share any other information you feel is important for me to know so that I can help your student become for successful. 5 AP Statistics Outline for the Year Chapter 1: Exploring Data Introduction: Data Analysis:Making Sense of Data 1.1 Analyzing Categorical Data 1.2 Displaying Quantitative Data with Graphs 1.3 Describing Quantitative Data with Numbers Chapter 1 Date 9/4 9/5 9/6 9/9 9/10 9/11 Stats Intro Pg. 2 - 6 1.1 Pg.8-12 1.1 Pg.12-21 1.2 Pg.27-34 1.2 Pg.35-42 1.3 Pg.50-58 9/12 1.3 Pg.58-68 9/13 Review 9/16 Review 9/17 Test 9/18 Wrap-up Lesson & Objectives Identify individuals and variables, classify as quantitative or categorical, identify units of measure Bar Graphs and Pie Charts, Graphs : Good or Bad Homework # 3, 5, 7, 8 Two-Way Tables and Marginal Distributions, Relationships Between Categorical Variables: Conditional Distributions, Organizing a Statistical Problem Dotplots, Describing Shape, Comparing Distributions, Stemplots # 21, 23, 25, 2732 # 37, 39, 41, 45 1.1 Worksheet due Histograms, Using Histograms Wisely, Technology: Making Histograms on the Calculator Measuring Center : Mean and Median, Comparing Mean and Median, Measuring Spread: IQR, Identifying Outliers 1.2 Worksheet due Five Number Summary and Boxplots, Measuring Spread : Standard Deviation, Choosing Measures of Center and Spread, Technology : Making Boxplots on the calculator, Computing Numerical Summaries on the Calculator Review for Chapter 1 Test, 1.3 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 1 Test # 11, 15, 17 #53, 57, 59, 60, 69-74 # 79, 81, 83, 89 # 91, 97, 107-110 Study for Test Study for Test Chapter 1 Test, Notebook Check (HW: 40 problems), FR Packet due Go over Chapter 1Test & Free Response Share completed and updated grades after 1 chapter. check out e-books Chapter 2: Modeling Distributions of Data 2.1 Describing Location in a Distribution 2.2 Normal Distributions Chapter 2 Date 9/19 9/20 9/23 9/24 Stats 2.1 Pg. 84-91 2.1 Pg. 92-103 2.2 Pg.110-119 9/26 2.2 Pg.119-124 2.2 Pg.124-129 Review 9/27 Test 9/25 Lesson & Objectives Introduction, Measuring Position: Percentiles, Cumulative Relative Frequency Graphs, Measuring Position: z-scores Transforming Data, Density Curves Normal Distributions, The 68-95-99.7 Rule, The Standard Normal Distribution, Technology: Standard Normal Curve Calculations with the Calculator and with an Applet 2.1 Worksheet due Normal Distribution Calculations, Technology: Normal Curve, Calculations with the Calculator and with an Applet Assessing Normality, Normal Probability Plots on the Calculator 2.2 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 2 Test Homework # 5, 7, 9, 11, 15 # 19, 21, 31, 33-38 # 41, 43, 47, 49, 51 #53, 57, 59 # 63, 68, 6974 Study for Test Chapter 2 Test, Notebook Check HW: (30 problems), FR Packet due 6 Chapter 3: Describing Relationships 3.1 DOFS 3.2 Describing Relationships and using Correlation Chapter 3 Date 9/30 Stats Intro & 3.1 Pg.141-150 10/1 3.1 Pg.150-156 Work 10/2 10/3 3.2 Pg.164-171 10/4 3.2 Pg.171-178 10/7 3.2 Pg.179-181 3.2 Pg.181-189 Review 10/8 10/9 Lesson & Objectives Activity: CSI Stats, Explanatory and response variables Displaying relationships: scatterplots (interpreting), Technology: Scatterplots on the Calculator Measuring linear association: correlation, facts about correlation, Technology: Correlation and Regression Applet Work Day Homework # 5,6, 7, 8, 13 Least-squares regression, interpreting a regression line, making prediction, Technology: Least-Squares Regression Lines on the Calculator 3.1 Worksheet due Residuals and the least-squares regression line, calculating the equation of the least-squares regression line. Technology: Residual Plots and s on the calculator How well the line fits the data: residual plots. How well the line fits the data: the role of r2 in regression Interpreting computer regression output, Correlation and regression wisdom 3.2 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 3 Test, Go over Chapter 3 Review Exercises # 35, 39, 41 10/10 Test Chapter 3 Test Notebook Check HW: (38 problems), FR Packet due 10/14 Final Go over Test and Review for Unit 1Assessment 10/1510/16 10/17 Unit Test Unit I Assessment Wrap-up Go over Unit I Assessment and share updated grades after 20%-30% of AP Test has been covered. # 15-18, 21, 27-32 # 43, 45, 47, 49 # 53, 55, 57 # 63, 65, 67,71-78 Study for Test Chapter 4: Designing Studies 4.1 Sampling and Surveys 4.2 Experiments 4.3 Using Studies Wisely Chapter 4 Date 10/18 Stats 4.1 Pg. 206-215 10/21 10/30 4.1 Pg. 215-219 4.1 Pg. 220-224 4.2 pg. 231-236 4.2 Pg. 236-242 4.2 Pg. 242-246 4.2 Pg. 246-251 4.3 Pg. 261-264 Review 10/31 Review 11/1 Test Chapter 4 Test Notebook Check HW: (44 problems), FR Packet due 11/4-8 Final Review Chapters 1-4. Do a mini-mock exam over all 4 chapters taught so far Unit II Assessment 10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/28 10/29 Lesson & Objectives Introduction, Sampling and Surveys, How to Sample Badly, How to Sample Well, Random Samples, Technology: Using a calculator to generate a random sample Other Sampling Methods Homework # 1, 3, 5, 9, 11 Inference for Sampling, Sample Surveys: What can go wrong? # 29, 31, 33, 35, 37-42 # 45, 49, 51 Observational Study vs Experiments, The Language of Experiments, How to Experiment Badly 4.1 Worksheet due How to Experiment Well, Three Principles of Experimental Design # 17, 21, 23, 25 # 55, 59, 65, 67 Experiments: What Can Go Wrong? Inference for Experiments # 69, 73, 75 Blocking, Matched Pairs Design # 79, 81, 83, 85, 91-98 # 105, 107 Scope of Inference, the Challenges of Establishing Causation 4.2 Worksheet due Review, mini-quiz 4.1- 4.3 Review Worksheet due Review for Chapter 4 Test, Go over Chapter 4 Review Exercises Study for Test 7 Chapter 5: Probability: What Are The Chances? 5.1 Randomness, Probability and Simulation 5.2 Probability Rules 5.3 Conditional Probability and Independence Chapter 5 Date 11/12 11/13 11/14 11/15 11/18 Stats 5.1 Pg.281-288 5.1 Pg.289-293 5.2 Pg.299-303 5.2 Pg.303-309 5.3 Pg.312-321 Lessons & Objectives Introduction, The Idea of Probability, Myths about Randomness Homework # 1, 3, 7, 9, 13 Simulation, Technology: Random Numbers with Calculators # 15, 17, 19, 22, 25, 27, 29 # 31-36, 39, 41, 43, 45 # 51, 53, 55, 57-60 # 63, 65, 67, 69, 75, 77, 79 Probability Models, Basic Rules of Probability 5.1 Worksheet due Two-Way Tables and Probability, Venn Diagrams and Probability What is Conditional Probability? Conditional Probability and Independence, Tree Diagrams and the General Multiplication Rule 5.2 Worksheet due Independence: A Special Multiplication Rule, Calculating Conditional Probabilities 11/19 5.3 Pg.321-327 11/20 Review Review for Chapter 5 Test 11/21 11/22 Review Test 5.3 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 5 Test Chapter 5 Test Notebook Check HW: (46 problems), FR Packet due # 83, 85, 87, 91, 93, 95, 97, 104-106 Study for Test Chapter 6: Random Variables 6.1 Discrete and Continuous Random Variables 6.2 Transforming and Combining Random Variables 6.3 Binomial and Geometric Random Variables Chapter 6 Date 11/25 11/26 11/27 12/2 12/3 12/4 12/5 12/6 12/9 12/10 12/11 Stats 6.1 Pg.339-346 6.1 Pg.346-352 6.2 Pg.358-363 6.2 Pg.364-376 6.3 Pg.382-390 6.3 Pg.390-397 6.3 Pg.397-401 Review Review Test Lesson & Objectives Introduction, Discrete Random Variables, Mean (Expected Value) of a Discrete Random Variable Standard Deviation (and Variance) of a Discrete Random Variable, Continuous Random Variables, Technology : Analyzing Random Variables on the Calculator Linear Transformations 6.1 Worksheet due Combining Random Variables, Combining Normal Random Variables Binomial Settings and Binomial Random Variables, Binomial Probabilities, Technology : Binomial Probabilities on the Calculator 6.2 Worksheet due Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution, Binomial Distributions in Statistical Sampling Geometric Random Variables, Technology : Geometric Probabilities on the Calculator Review for Chapter 6 Test 6.3 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 6 Test Chapter 6 Test Notebook Check HW: (41 problems), FR Packet due Catch Up Day Homework # 1, 5, 7, 9, 13 # 14, 18, 23, 25, 2730 # 37, 41, 43, 45 # 49, 51, 57, 58, 63, 65, 66 # 69, 71, 73, 75, 77 # 81,83, 85, 87 # 91, 95, 99, 101105 8 Chapter 7: Sampling Distributions 7.1 What Is a Sampling Distribution? 7.2 Sample Proportions 7.3 Sample Means Chapter 7 Date 12/12 1/8-9 1/10 Stats 7.1 Pg.413-417 7.1 Pg.417-428 7.2 Pg.432-438 7.2 Pg.432-438 7.3 Pg.442-448 Casino Lab Review 7.3 Pg.449-453 Review Test 1/13-15 Unit Test 12/13 12/16 12/17 12/18 12/19-20 1/6 1/7 Lesson & Objectives Introduction: German Tank Problem, Parameters and Statistics Homework # 1, 3, 5, 7 Sampling Variability, Describing Sampling Distributions # 9, 11, 13, 14, 19, 21-24 # 27, 29, 35, 37 The Sampling Distribution of 𝑝̂ , Using the Normal Approximation for 𝑝̂ , Activity: "The Candy Machine" 7.1 Worksheet due Continue work on 7.2 The Sampling Distribution of 𝑥̅ : Mean and Standard Deviation, Sampling from a Normal Population 7.2 Worksheet due Intro to Casino Lab: play in class then complete over winter break Review after 2 weeks off from school The Central Limit Theorem 7.3 Worksheet due (1/8) Review for Chapter 7 Test, Go over Chapter 7 Review Exercises Chapter 7 Test Notebook Check HW: (33 problems), FR Packet due Unit III Assessment # 39, 41, 43-46 # 49, 51, 53, 55 Casino Lab due 1/7 # 59, 63, 65-68 Study for Test Chapter 8: Estimating with Confidence 8.1 Confidence Intervals: The Basics 8.2 Estimating a Population Proportion 8.3 Estimating a Population Mean Chapter 8 Date 1/16 Stats 8.1 Pg.468-478 Lesson & Objectives The Idea of a Confidence Interval, Interpreting Confidence Levels and Confidence Intervals, Constructing a Confidence Intervals 1/17 8.1 Pg.478-484 8.2 Pg.484-490 8.2 Pg.490-494 8.3 Pg.499-511 Using Confidence Intervals Wisely 1/21-22 1/23-24 1/27 1/28 8.3 Pg.511-516 1/29-30 Review 1/31 Test Conditions for Estimating p, Constructing a Confidence Interval for p 8.1 Worksheet due Putting It All Together : The Four-Step Process, Choosing the Sample Size, Technology : Confidence Intervals on the Calculator When σ is Known : The One Sample z Interval for a Population Mean, When σ is Unknown: The t Distributions, Constructing a Confidence Interval for μ, Technology: Inverse t on the Calculator 8.2 Worksheet due Using t Procedures Wisely, Technology : Constructing Intervals for μ on the Calculator Review for Chapter 8 Test, Go over Chapter 8 Review Exercises 8.3 Worksheet due (1/29) Chapter 8 Test Notebook Check HW: (38 problems), FR Packet due Homework # 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15 # 17, 19, 21-24 # 27, 31, 33, 35, 37 # 41, 43, 47, 49-52 # 55, 57, 59, 64 # 65, 69, 71, 73, 7578 Study for Test 9 Chapter 9: Testing a Claim 9.1 Significance Tests : The Basics 9.2 Tests about a Population Proportion 9.3 Tests about a Population Mean Chapter 9 Date 2/3 2/4 2/5-6 2/7 2/10 2/11 Stats 9.1 Pg.527-537 9.1 Pg.538-545 9.2 Pg.549-556 9.2 Pg.556-561 9.3 Pg.565-577 2/12 9.3 Pg.577-585 Review 2/13 2/14 Review Test Lesson & Objectives The Reasoning of Significance Tests, Stating Hypotheses, Interpreting P-values, Statistical Significance Type I and Type II Errors, Planning Studies : The Power of a Statistical Test Carrying Out a Significance Test, The One-Sample z Test for a Proportion, Technology: One-Proportion z Test on a Calculator 9.1 Worksheet due Two-Sided Tests, Why Confidence Intervals Give More Information Carrying Out a Significance Test for μ, The one Sample t Test, Two-Sided Tests and Confidence Intervals, Technology: Computing P-values from t Distributions and One Sample t Test on the Calculator 9.2 Worksheet due Inference for Means : Paired Data, Using Tests Wisely Homework # 1, 5, 7, 9, 11 # 19, 20, 23, 25, 27-30 # 33, 37, 41, 43, 45 # 47, 49, 51, 53, 55, 57-60 # 63, 67, 71, 73 # 77, 85, 89, 95, 99-104 Review for Chapter 9 Test, Go over Chapter 9 Review Exercises 9.3 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 9 Test, Go over Chapter 9 Review Exercises Chapter 9 Test Notebook Check HW: (40 problems), FR Packet due Chapter 10: Comparing Two Populations or Groups 10.1 Comparing Two Proportions 10.2 Comparing Two Means Chapter 10 Date 2/19 2/20 2/21 Stats 10.1 Pg.602-608 10.1 Pg.608-611 10.1 Pg.611-619 2/24 10.2 Pg.627-633 2/25 10.2 Pg.633-638 2/26 10.2 Pg.638-649 2/27 Review 2/28-3/3 Test Lesson & Objectives Activity: Is Yawning Contagious? The Sampling Distribution of a Difference Between Two Proportions Confidence Intervals for p1 – p2, Technology: Confidence Intervals for a Difference in Proportions on the Calculator Significance Tests for p1 – p2, Inference for Experiments, Technology: Significance Tests for a Difference in Proportions on the Calculator. Activity: Does Polyester Decay? The sampling Distribution of a Difference Between Two Means 10.1 Worksheet due The Two-Sample t-Statistic, Confidence Intervals for μ1 – μ2, Technology: Confidence Intervals for a Difference in Means on the Calculator Significance Tests for μ1 – μ2, Using Two-Sample t Procedures Wisely, Technology: Two Sample t Tests on the Calculator Go over #61-64 in class as a good review of Ch 8-10 10.2 Worksheet due Review for Chapter 10 Test, Go over Chapter 10 Review Exercises Homework #1, 3, 5 #7, 9, 11, 13 # 15, 17, 21, 23, 25, 29-32 # 35, 37 # 39, 41, 43, 45 # 51, 53, 59, 65, 67-70 Study for Test Chapter 10 Test Notebook Check HW: (30 problems), FR Packet due 10 Chapter 11: Inference for Distributions of Categorical Data 11.1 Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test 11.2 Inference for Relationships Chapter 11 Date 3/4-5 3/6 3/7 3/10 Stats 11.1 Pg.676-685 11.1 Pg.685-690 11.2 Pg.696-714 3/11-12 11.2 Pg.714-723 Review 3/13-14 Test Lesson & Objectives Activity: The Candy Man Can, Comparing Observed and Expected Counts: The Chi-Square Statistic, The Chi-Square Distributions and Pvalues, Finding P-values for Ch-Square Tests on the Calculator The Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test, Follow-Up Analysis, Technology: Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Tests on the Calculator Comparing Distributions of a Categorical Variable, Expected Counts and the Chi-Square Statistic, The Chi-Square Test for Homogeneity, Follow-Up Analysis, Comparing Several Proportions, Technology: Chi-Square Tests for Two-Way Tables on the Calculator 11.1 Worksheet due The Chi-Square Test of Association/Independence, Using Chi-Square Tests Wisely Review for Chapter 11 Test, Go over Chapter 11 Review Exercises 11.2 Worksheet due (3/11) Chapter 11 Test Notebook Check HW: (27 problems), FR Packet due Homework #1, 3, 5 # 7, 9, 11, 17, 19-22 # 27, 29, 31, 33, 35, 37, 39 # 45, 49, 51, 53-58 Study for Test Chapter 12: More About Regression 12.1 Inference for Linear Regression 12.2 Transforming to Achieve Linearity Chapter 12 Date 3/17 3/18 3/19 3/20 3/21 Stats 12.1 Pg.738-744 12.1 Pg.744-751 12.1 Pg.751-758 12.2 Pg.765-771 3/24-25 12.2 Pg.771-785 Review 3/26-27 Test 3/28 3/31-4/4 Final Unit Test Lesson & Objectives The Sampling Distribution of b, Conditions for Regression Inference Homework # 1, 3 Estimating Parameters, Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Slope, Technology : Regression Inference on the Calculator Performing a Significance Test for the Slope # 5, 7, 11 Transforming with Powers and Roots, Technology : Transforming to Achieve Linearity on the Calculator 12.1 Worksheet due Transforming with Logarithms #13, 15, 17, 19, 21-26 # 33, 35 # 39, 41, 45-48 Review for Chapter 12 Test, Go over Chapter 12 Review Exercises 12.2 Worksheet due (3/24) Chapter 12 Test Notebook Check HW: (23 problems), FR Packet due Go over Test and Review Unit IV Assessment 11 April 14 – May 8 Review and prepare for the AP Exam. Do released exams and sample exams from resource books listed previously. You will 2 complete a mock exams. One over Spring Break and one in class that will take 4 days. It will be a complete exam with 40 multiple choice and 6 free-response questions. May 9, 2014 (12:00 pm - 3:00 pm) AP Statistics Exam After the AP Exam (May 13 - June 7) End of Year Stats Project (Counts as Assessment Score) *Students will develop an experiment, collect data, and interpret the data using the vocabulary and knowledge of the statistics learned throughout the year. (This will be monitored to make sure the experiment is actually testable.) The purpose of this assignment is to tie together everything we have done all year in statistics so the students may see the end product. Final test grade will be the completion and presentation of the project to the class. 12