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Introduction ITRN 504: Microeconomics and Trade Syllabus See handout Consult online version periodically http://reinert.gmu.edu International Trade The exchange of goods (merchandise) and services among the countries of the world. Goods: tangible and storable (something you can drop on your toe). Services: intangible and non-storable (something you cannot drop on your toe). Trade in services is about one quarter of total global trade. Gross Domestic Product and Exports in the World Economy 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Exports of Goods and Services GDP Exports as a Percent of GDP, China and Germany 50 45 40 35 percent 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 China 2008 2009 Germany 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 International Production International production of a product in multiple countries Can take place through Contracts International licensing and franchising Foreign direct investment (FDI) undertaken by multinational enterprises (MNEs) Involves firms based in one country owning at least a 10 percent of firms producing in another country International Production MNEs account for approximately one fourth of world gross domestic product (GDP) or aggregate output. The sales of foreign affiliates of MNEs now exceed the volume of world trade. MNEs are involved in approximately three fourths of all world trade. Approximately one third of world trade takes place within MNEs (intra-firm trade). MNEs account for approximately three fourths of worldwide civilian research and development. Foreign Direct Investment A firm from one country owning at least 10 percent of a firm in another country. Direct investment contrasts with indirect or portfolio investment. Low income Middle income -500 High income 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 US$ billions Nominal FDI Inflows 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 International Finance Not a subject covered in this course. Covered in ITRN 503 and ITRN 602 among other courses. International finance matters; we ignore it at our peril. Assess overall magnitudes of trade and finance. Daily Foreign Exchange Market Turnover and Annualized Multiple of Exports 6,000 120 5,300 5,100 5,000 100 3,981 80 3,324 3,000 60 1,934 2,000 40 1,527 1,239 1,190 1,000 820 20 620 0 0 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 Turnover 2004 2007 Multiple of Exports 2010 2013 2016 percent US$ billioins 4,000 International Development Development is conceived of as an improvement in well-being. Different conceptions of well-being lead to different definitions of development. Options Income per capita (standard economic view) Capabilities (Sen and Nussbaum) Basic goods (Reinert) Measures of Living Standards, 2014 Country PPP GDP per capita (U.S. dollars) Life Expectancy (years) Mean Years Human of Schooling Development Index (0 to 1) and Rank Ethiopia 1,431 64 2.4 0.442 / 174 India 5,392 68 5.4 0.609 / 130 China 12,599 76 7.5 0.727 / 90 Costa Rica 14,232 79 8.4 0.766 / 69 South Korea 33,640 82 11.9 0.879 / 17 United States 51,708 79 12.9 0.915 / 8 Connecting Windows International Trade International International Development Production International Finance The Microeconomics Framework Resource scarcity Opportunity costs Individual and social choices Marginal (incremental) thinking Role of private vs. public decisions Allocative efficiency, market failure, government failure Definitions Opportunity Costs: What is given up to obtain an item. Marginal: Incremental. Economic Efficiency: Economic choices that balance marginal social benefits and marginal social costs. Market Failure: A situation in which markets fail to make economic choices efficiently. Microeconomics The study of how individuals and societies use scarce resources to attempt to provide (the materials of) well-being. Types of Scarce Resources Natural resources: Gifts of nature Physical capital: Produced goods used as fixed resources to produce other goods Human capital: Persons with their education, training, and skills Knowledge capital: Scientific, technical, and market knowledge residing in organizations Social capital: Relationships used to obtain information and knowledge and to develop trust Per Capita Resources from Inclusive Wealth Report, 2008 (thousand 2000 US$) 500 450 400 thousands of 2000 US$ 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Physical Capital Human Capital Natural Capital Types of Economic Decisions Ownership Decision: who owns what scarce resource. Resource Allocation Decision: how scare productive resources are allocated among productive units (firms) Product Output and Mix Decision: what and how much productive units (firms) will produce Product Distribution Decision: distributing produced goods and services among households. Perspectives (Biases) Microeconomics Standard measure of economic welfare Quantitative Multilateral