Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Elementary Statistics - Math 54/Spring 2016 MW 10:15-12:20 (FYE Section 2734) MC 83, TTH 12:45-2:50 (Scholars Section 2738) MC 67 Prerequisite: Completion of Intermediate Algebra (Math 20 or math 18), or equivalent, with a grade of C or better Instructor: Dr. McGraw (or Professor McGraw) Office: Math Complex 60 Phone: 310-434-3518 Office Hours: MW 9:30-10:00, TTH 9:30-11:00 Stats Lab in math lab in the math lab quiet room (open to all stats students): T 10:00-11:00 E-mail: [email protected] Please feel free to email me, however, I will not read or even open emails that are not clearly from a student (I suggest putting your name and section number in the subject heading). I do try to answer emails that are pertinent to the course, emails that ask questions answered on the syllabus will receive a low priority. All emails should be professional, courteous and clearly written. Web Page Address: See faculty homepages at the www.smc.edu site or type in http://homepage.smc.edu/mcgraw_colleen/ Required Text and Tools: 1. Textbook and Access code: Statistics: Informed Decision Using Data, 4th edition, by Michael Sullivan III. Please see the handout for registration instructions. You may register for a 14 day trial for free, after that you will need to pay with a credit card or purchase an access code or use the one that came with your textbook. To access the online portion of our class you will need a MyMathLab/MyStatLab student access code. Open your MyMathLab/MyStatLab Student Access Kit and follow the direction (http://pearsonmylabandmastering.com/). Use the Course ID: mcgraw05548 2. TI 83 (or TI-83 Plus or the new TI 84 Plus) Calculator is required (The TI 84 has specific statistical functions not found on other graphing calculators). You are expected to bring the calculator to each class. We will go over the how to use the calculator in class, however, as the course is quite fast paced our time is limited, you will need to use the calculator on your own in order to be successful in this course. If you choose not to use a version of the TI-83 please be warned that it may take you longer to complete assignments and exams and I will not be able to show you how to use your calculator (you will not get extra time for making this choice). I will be assuming that you are using a version of the TI-84. You will not be allowed to use cell phones as a calculator during any exam. There are a few handouts on how to use the calculator on the my web page under calculator notes, you may want to print these out and review them on your own. The school has a calculator rental program, go to the mathlab and ask about how to rent one. 3. Formula Card:, available in the book or from the mystats lab web site. Tutoring and additional help: Tutors are available through the math lab which is located behind the math department in MC 84. There is drop-in tutoring and appointments available. I am also available during my office and math lab hours, if you are unable to make those times we can arrange another time. You may also email or call for help, however, I will not respond to any anonymous messages of any kind. It is in your best interests to ask for help as soon as needed. Also there are faculty workshops and SI sessions for the course, the schedules are available on the mathlab website and posted in the mathlab. Students with Disabilities: Santa Monica College accommodates students with disabilities. If you qualify for any special accommodations due to a disability, you need to officially process your request through the Disabled Students Programs and Services (DSPS) office as close to the beginning of the semester as possible. If you believe you have a learning disability that has not yet been documented, please see me and make an appointment at the DSPS office for assistance. The DSPS office is located in the Admissions/Student Services Complex, Room 101, and the phone numbers are (310) 434-4265 and (310) 434-4273 (TDD). Scheduling of accommodated exams will be arranged on a case-by-case basis. 1 Content: Emphasis is on understanding statistical methods. The major topics include descriptive statistics, measure of location and dispersion, sampling and sampling distribution, correlation and regression, confidence interval, hypothesis testing, test of independence, and analysis of variance. Objectives: Statistically describe sets of data , Apply basic laws of probability, Formulate a probability distribution, Formulate and test hypotheses testing of one, two, and more than two populations, Formulate and analyze point and interval estimates for parameters, Find the correlation between two variables and the linear regression equation describing the relation between the two variables. Student Learning Outcome(s): 1. 2. 3. Given a data set, students will analyze the data set and design a presentation of the information using tables, graphs and statistical calculations. Given sample data, students will decide on and use appropriate estimation strategies to make inferences about the important characteristics of population data, including the mean, proportion and variation. Given sample data, students will decide on and use an appropriate test to reach conclusions about a hypothesis made about a population parameter. Regular Attendance: Regular attendance is a requirement to remain enrolled. I expect you to attend the entire class, not to arrive late or leave early, you will not get full attendance credit if you are not in class for the entire period. Students are responsible for all announcements made in class regardless of their presence. Students are responsible for official withdraws from the class through admission office, if you stop attending it is still your responsibility to withdraw yourself from the class. If you do not withdraw yourself you may receive either an F or a W in the course, neither is a guaranteed. To receive a guaranteed W you must withdraw before the 12-week deadline. Classroom Behavior and Participation: • Classroom conduct: Please conduct yourself as you would in a business environment: on-time attendance, respect for others, respectful language and personal integrity. Private conversations with the instructor should be held in office hours, not during class time. Here is a link to the Student Code of Conduct (.pdf file, AR 4410): http://www.smc.edu/StudentServices/StudentJudicialAffairs/Documents/AR4410.pdf • Food and Drink: Food or drink is prohibited in the classroom with the exception of water bottles, which are permitted as long as they remain closed when not in active use, and are kept away from all equipment. • Cellphones, tablets, laptops and other devices: --Limited use of electronic devices use is permitted in this class. Devices must be kept on the desk—not in your lap. Activities using these devices must be limited to activities supporting concurrent class topics. Students using devices for other purposes will lose the privilege of device use during class. --Cell phone and iPod etiquette: Place your phone on vibrate mode upon entering the class. Do not answer texts or calls during class time, unless it appears that it is urgent. If you get an urgent text or call, simply step into the hallway, take care of business and then quietly reenter the classroom. Homework There are two types of homework for this course, you are responsible for both. Exams and other graded material will use both types of homework as a resource. Hence it is in your best interest to do both. The on-line portion is shorter and does not cover all types of problems so doing only the on-line problems will not be a complete picture of the types of problems you will see in graded assignments. 2 1. 2. Text book homework: A list of homework from the text book is listed on the day to day schedule of this syllabus. In addition to completing homework problems, students are responsible for reading the text. I will not collect the homework from the text, your homework grade will be based on the on-line homework. On-line Homework:. The graded portion of the homework exercises are online; available from any computer, any time, as long as the MathXL plugin is installed. The homework is interactive, meaning you can get help, view an example, and see the solution worked out in detail, step by step. There are also instructional videos available of an instructor giving lectures and working out problems from all topics we cover in the class. No excuses for late work will be accepted and no extensions will be granted for any reason, this includes but is not limited to personal situations, internet and/or computer issues, work issues, etc. Please do not contact me asking for an extension. My best advice is to start EARLY. The online homework sections have no more than 15 questions each (most are 10 or fewer), so it will not serve you well to just do the online portion of the homework. Please pay attention to the due dates, you will not be able to complete online homework after the exam for the corresponding sections. You are expected to do homework after every class. Homework can be time consuming, so plan accordingly and do no wait until the night before and exam to start, such behavior will result in a poor exam grade. It is an important part of this class and crucial to your success The pace of the course is quite rapid, so it is in your best interests to be caught up with the schedule of assignments. You should plan on completing each assignment before the next section of material is covered. To be successful in the course, I strongly suggest keeping up with the homework and seeking help as soon as you need help. The students who do well in this course will have consistently done the homework. Doing and practicing the homework for this class is the key to success, mathematics is much like playing an instrument or a sport, you need to practice! SCHOLARS: Please note that one of the sections is a scholars section. The exams and collected works will be different and grading will be held to a higher standard and more stringent for this section. This section is truly meant for scholars students. Some additional homework problems may be added over the term. Collected Work: There will be some additional assignments, some done during class some done outside of class. Due dates and assignments will be announced in class. In-class work will only be accepted on the day the work is done in class (so if you miss that class you will receive zero credit for that assignment) Assignments done outside of class will be collected at the beginning of the class they are due, no late assignments will be accepted. Projects: There will be two projects, one for the first part of the term and one due towards the end of the term. Unit tests: Three unit tests are scheduled for the class (the dates are include on the class schedule). Note: no exams scores are dropped. There will be no make-up exams under any circumstances, so please do not ask for a make-up exam. If for ANY reason you miss an exam, your final exam grade will replace the missed exam. The final exam will only replace one missed exams score, any other missed exam will receive a zero grade. Your final exam may also replace your lowest exam score provided you did not miss an exam. I strongly suggest that you plan appropriately and try not to miss any exams. If you miss a test you will still be responsible for that information on the cumulative final exam. A test grade of zero given because of violating the code of academic conduct will not be dropped. NOTE: 1. 2. You will be only be able to use a formula card if you have already turned one in by the deadline. If you have turned a card in you will be given that card for each exam, you must return it with each exam. Bring your own calculator to each exam (no sharing during exams) 3 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. All scratch paper will be provided, all work must be shown on the exam and all scratch paper will be turned in with the exam. There might be assigned seating or a seating chart for all exams. You may be asked to move your seat at any time, seat assignments will be at my discretion. Exams must be taken on schedule. Exceptions to the schedule may be made on a case by case basis for students with disabilities. Any breach during an exam will be reported. Going into your bag, using a non-approved calculator, any talking, looking at another person’s exam, passing a note, writing on your desketc… cheating of any kind, will not be tolerated and will be immediately reported to the campus authorities Exams will be return in a timely manner, any disputes regarding an exam grade must be brought to my attention within 7 days of the exam be returned. If you are not in class the day an exam is returned you must come to my office to retrieve the exam. Exams will not be kept indefinitely. Exams are generally free response; partial credit is given when appropriate. All work must be orderly and presented in mathematically correct fashion. Final answers must be circled and final answers must be justified by the work shown. If I cannot read or decipher your work, you may receive zero credit for that problem. Multiple answers to a single questions will not be graded. Final Exam: A cumulative final exam will be given during finals week, during the scheduled time slot. Everyone must take the final exam, no one is excused from the final exam. Method of Evaluation for the all Sections: Grading System 90% -100% A 80% - 89% B 70% - 79% C 60% - 69% D Below 60% F Use the formula: Your Grade = Method of Evaluation: Projects 5% (average of both parts) Collected work 5 % Homework 5% Unit Exams 60% Final Exam 25% .60(TestAve) + .05(Pr) + .05( HW ) + .05(CW ) + .25( FinalExamGrade) to determine your grade. Do not ask me what you need on the final exam to get a certain grade. Grades will not be curved, and Final Grades will not be posted, you will have to call the number given by admissions. Students are bound by the Code of Academic Conduct and Reporting Policy that addresses issues of academic dishonesty. If you are caught cheating on an exam, you will receive a grade of ZERO for that exam and the incident will be reported and become part of your permanent record. Examples of behaviors that are not permitted include but are not limited to: Copying another student's homework, inappropriate language or physicality in the classroom, and inappropriate behaviors during an exam (talking with another student, looking at or copying from another student's paper, using a disallowed PDA or calculator, using disallowed notes, leaving the room without prior permission, removing exam materials from the classroom). Please be extremely careful that you do not engage in any behavior that could even be construed as cheating. There is and will be no negotiating for grades at the end of the term, that means your grade will be calculated as indicated above. There will be no extra credit, or any “deals” made regardless of how well you may think you can perform on the final exam. Do not even think of contacting me at the end of the term with such inquiries. I view emails, calls, office visits with such requests as harassment and will deal with them accordingly. There is will be no extra credit, do not email me with your personal stories about how your life will be ruined if I do not give you a certain grade. You will receive the grade you earn. 4 Student responsibilities: http://www.smc.edu/StudentServices/StudentJudicialAffairs/Pages/What-you-should-know.aspx Honor Council website: http://www.smc.edu/StudentServices/HonorCouncil/Pages/Honor-Code.aspx Administrative Regulation 4412 : http://www.smc.edu/ACG/AcademicSenate/Documents/AR%204412.pdf Entry Level Skills: Skills you need to have known prior to enrollment in this course 1. Solve linear and non-linear equations. 2. Simplify advanced numerical expressions (order of operations). 3. Plot and interpret points on Cartesian coordinate system. 4. Plot linear equations using slope-intercept method. 5. Translate verbally stated problems into appropriate mathematical forms. 6. Solve absolute value equations and inequalities in a single variable. 7. Evaluate an exponential function. 8. Evaluate simple expressions involving sigma notation. 9. Solve literal equations for designated variables. 10. Evaluate complex numerical expressions. 11.Given the description of a line, write the equation of the line. 12. Express the solution to an inequality using interval notation. Exit Level Skills: Skills to be learned during this course 1.Statistically describe mathematically sets of data. 2. Apply basic laws of probability. 3. Formulate a probability distribution. 4. Formulate and test null hypothesis of one, two or more populations. 5. Make point and interval estimates of parameters. 6. Identify correlation between two variables and linear relation between them. 7. Use statistical functions on a calculator. 8. Critically evaluate statistical claims. Course Objectives: Upon completion of the course students will be able to: A. Summarize and interpret data. B. Analyze and interpret graphical presentations of data. C. Find and interpret measures of central tendency and dispersion. D. Solve basic probability problems. E. Analyze and interpret probability distributions. F. Formulate test, and interpret a hypothesis made about one-population parameters. G. Solve basic probability problems. H. Formulate, test, and interpret a hypothesis made about the difference between the means and proportions of two populations. I. Formulate and analyze point and interval estimates for the difference between the means and proportions of two populations. J. Formulate test, and interpret a hypothesis of independence between two variables. K. Formulate test, and interpret for equality of three or more population means using ANOVA. L. Find and interpret the correlation between two variables. M. Find the regression line, interpret associated values in context, and evaluate the goodness of fit of the regression model. N. Use the calculator and/or statistical analysis software to effectively implement the above objectives. 5 Lecture Schedule & Homework Assignments (SUBJECT TO CHANGE) Follow either the MW or TTH schedule depending on the section in which you are enrolled. Schedule 2/16 T 2/17 W 2/18TH 2/22 M 2/23 T 2/24 W 2/25 Th 2/29 M 3/1 T Text Sections and Suggested Homework Class Introduction 1.1 Introduction to the Practice of Statistics HW #: 1-53 odd. 1.2 Observational Studies vs. Designed Experiments HW#: 1- 23 odd 1.3 Simple Random Sample HW #: 1-15 odd 1.4 Other Effective Sampling Methods HW#: 1-37 odd 1.5 Bias in Sampling HW #: 1-35 odd 1.6 The Design of Experiments HW #: 1- 33 odd Class Introduction 1.1 Introduction to the Practice of Statistics HW #: 1-53 odd. 1.2 Observational Studies vs. Designed Experiments HW#: 1- 23 odd 1.3 Simple Random Sample HW #: 1-15 odd 1.4 Other Effective Sampling Methods HW#: 1-37 odd 1.5 Bias in Sampling HW #: 1-35 odd 1.6 The Design of Experiments HW #: 1- 33 odd 2.1 Organizing Qualitative Data HW #: 1-27 2.2 Organizing Quantitative Data HW #: 1-45 odd 2.3 Additional Displays of Quantitative Data HW #: 1-23 odd 2.1 Organizing Qualitative Data HW #: 1-27 2.2 Organizing Quantitative Data HW #: 1-45 odd 2.3 Additional Displays of Quantitative Data HW #: 1-23 odd 2.4 Graphical Misrepresentations of Data HW # 1-11 odd 3.1 Measures of Central Tendency HW #: 1-49 odd 2.4 Graphical Misrepresentations of Data HW # 1-11 odd 3.1 Measures of Central Tendency HW #: 1-49 odd 3.2 Measures of Dispersion HW #: 1-45 3.3 Measures of Central Tend. and Dispersion for Grouped Data HW#: 1-19 odd 3.2 Measures of Dispersion HW #: 1-45 3.3 Measures of Central Tend. and Dispersion for Grouped Data HW#: 1-19 odd 3.4 Measures of Position and Outliers HW #: 1-39 odd 3.5 The Five-Number Summary and Boxplots HW #: 1-17 odd 3/2 W 3.4 Measures of Position and Outliers HW #: 1-39 odd 3.5 The Five-Number Summary and Boxplots HW #: 1-17 odd 3/3 Th 3/7 M Finish Chapter 3 Finish chapter 3 3/8 T 3/9W 3/10 Th 5.1 Probability Rules HW #: 1-59 odd 5.2 The Addition Rule and Complements HW #: 1-47 odd 5.1 Probability Rules HW #: 1-59 odd 5.2 The Addition Rule and Complements HW #: 1-47 odd 6.1 Discrete Random Variables HW #: 1-33 odd 6 3/14 M 3/15 T 6.1 Discrete Random Variables HW #: 1-33 odd NO CLASS FACULTY FLEX DAY 3/16 W Exam #1 3/17 Th 3/21 M Exam # 1 6.2 The Binomial Probability Distribution HW #: 1-53 odd 7.1 Properties of the Normal Distribution HW #: 1-35 odd 3/22 T 6.2 The Binomial Probability Distribution HW #: 1-53 odd 7.1 Properties of the Normal Distribution HW #: 1-35 odd 3/23 W 3/24 Th 3/28 M 3/29 T 7.2 Applications of the Normal Distribution HW #: 1-55 odd 7.3 Assessing Normality HW #: 1-13 odd 7.2 Applications of the Normal Distribution HW #: 1-55 odd 7.3 Assessing Normality HW #: 1-13 odd 8.1 Distribution of the Sample Mean HW #: 1-33 odd 8.2 Distribution of the Sample Proportion HW #: 1-23 odd 8.1 Distribution of the Sample Mean HW #: 1-33 odd 8.2 Distribution of the Sample Proportion HW #: 1-23 odd 3/30 W Finish Chapter 8 3/31 TH 4/4 M Finish Chapter 8 9.1 Estimating the Population Proportion HW#: 1-51 odd 9.2 Estimating the Population Mean HW #: 1-49 odd 4/5 T 9.1 Estimating the Population Proportion HW#: 1-51 odd 9.2 Estimating the Population Mean HW #: 1-49 odd 4/6 W 9.2 Estimating the Population Mean HW #: 1-49 odd 9.3 Estimating the Population Standard Deviation HW #: 1-15 odd 4/7 Th 4/11-4/15 9.2 Estimating the Population Mean HW#: 1-49 odd 9.3 Estimating the Population Standard Deviation HW #: 1-1 5odd NO CLASS – SPRING BREAK 4/18 M 9.4 Putting it all together HW: 1-13 odd 4/19T 4/20 W Th 4/21 4/25 M 4/26 T 4/27 W 9.4 Putting it all together HW: 1-13 odd Exam # 2 Exam #2 10.1 The Language of Hypothesis Testing HW #: 1-45 odd 10.2 Hypothesis test for a Population Proportion HW #: 1-37 odd 10.1 The Language of Hypothesis Testing HW #: 1-45 odd 10.2 Hypothesis test for a Population Proportion HW #: 1-37 odd 10.3 Hypothesis test for a Population Mean HW #: 1-35 odd 10.4 Hypothesis test for the Population Standard deviation HW #: 1-17 odd 7 10.5 Putting it all together. HW #: 1-17 odd 4/28Th 5/2 M 5/3 T 10.3 Hypothesis test for a Population Mean HW #: 1-35 odd 10.4 Hypothesis test for the Population Standard deviation HW #: 1-17 odd 10.5 Putting it all together. HW #: 1-17 odd 11.1 Inference about Two Population Proportions HW#: 1-41 odd 11.2 Inference about Two Means: Dependent Samples HW #: 1-17 odd 11.1 Inference about Two Population Proportions HW#: 1-41 odd 11.2 Inference about Two Means: Dependent Samples HW #: 1-17 odd 5/4 W 11.3 Inference about Two Means: Independent Samples HW #: 1-17 odd 5/5 TH 5/9 M 11.3 Inference about Two Means: Independent Samples HW #: 1-17 odd 13.1 Comparing Three or More Means HW #: 1-21 odd 5/10 T 5/11 W 5/12 TH 5/16 M 5/17 T 13.1 Comparing Three or More Means HW #: 1-21 odd 4.1 Scatter Diagrams and Correlation HW #: 1-35 odd 4.2 Least-Squares Regression HW #: 1-29 odd 4.1 Scatter Diagrams and Correlation HW #: 1-35 odd 4.2 Least-Squares Regression HW #: 1-29 odd 4.3 Diagnostics on the Least-Squares Regression Line HW #:1-27 odd 4.4 Contingency Tables and Association HW #: 1-13 odd 14.1 Testing the Significance of the Least-Squares Regression HW #: 1-19 odd 4.3 Diagnostics on the Least-Squares Regression Line HW #:1-27 odd 4.4 Contingency Tables and Association HW #: 1-13 odd 14.1 Testing the Significance of the Least-Squares Regression HW #: 1-19 odd 5/18 W Finish chapter 4 and 14 5/19 TH 5/23 M Finish chapter 4 and 14 Exam # 3 5/24 T 5/25 W 5/26 Th 5/30 M 5/31 T 6/ 1 W 6/2 TH Exam # 3 12.1 Goodness-of-Fit Test HW #: 1-27 odd 12.2 Tests for Independence HW #: 1-15 odd 12.1 Goodness-of-Fit Test HW #: 1-27 odd 12.2 Tests for Independence HW #: 1-15 odd NO CLASS – MEMORIAL DAY Finish course work and Final Project Presentations Finish course work and Final Project Presentations Review 8 6/6 M 6/7 T 6/13 W Review Final Exam for TTH 12:45 section from 12:00-3:00 Final Exam for MW 10:15 section from 12:-3:00 NOTE: You are expected to take your final exam with your section. Do not miss your final and expect to be able to take it with another section without prior permission. If you miss your final you risk getting a ZERO on your final exam Pearson's MyLab & Mastering Student Registration Instructions To register for McGraw Spring 2016 Statistics: 1. Go to www.pearsonmylabandmastering.com. 2. Under Register, select Student. 3. Confirm you have the information needed, then select OK! Register now. 4. Enter your instructor’s course ID: mcgraw05548, and Continue. 5. Enter your existing Pearson account username and password to Sign In. You have an account if you have used a Pearson product, for example: MyMathLab, MyITLab, MyPsychLab, MySpanishLab or Mastering, such as MasteringBiology. If you don’t have an account, select Create and complete the required fields. 6. Select an access option. Use the access code that came with your textbook or that you purchased separately from the bookstore. Buy access using a credit card or PayPal account. If available, get 14 days temporary access. (The link is near the bottom of the screen.) 7. From the confirmation page, select Go To My Courses. 8. On the My Courses page, select the course tile McGraw Spring 2016 Statistics to start your work. To sign in later: 1. Go to www.pearsonmylabandmastering.com. 2. Select Sign In. 3. Enter your Pearson account username and password, and Sign In. 4. Select the course tile McGraw Spring 2016 Statistics to start your work. To upgrade temporary access to full access: 1. Go to www.pearsonmylabandmastering.com. 2. Select Sign In. 3. Enter your Pearson account username and password, and Sign In. 4. Select Upgrade access from the course tile McGraw Spring 2016 Statistics. 5. Enter an access code or purchase access with a credit card or PayPal account. For a registration overview, go to www.pearsonmylabandmastering.com/students/getregistered. Scroll downto Need a little help? and select a video. 9 Assignment #1 - 10 points (collected work #1) The textbook comes with an eight page card with formulas and tables. You will need a copy of this card to use on all exams. The copy will be kept in my office and will be brought to each exam for you to use. You must turn in a copy of this card by March 3rd at the beginning of class, the original of the card will not be accepted. This is to be kept with you for use at home. You may turn it in sooner of course. If you do not turn this card in by the 3rd you will not be able to use a formula card the entire semester. No exceptions. There are several ways to get a copy of the card: 1) If you purchase a new textbook, the card will be included. (Do not turn this one in, make a photo copy) 2) A copy is provided on line after you register or the online website My Math Lab. Look under the "Tools for Success" tab. You may print the pages in any form you like - double sided, single sided, etc. Then staple the pages and put your name on the packet. Only stapled and labeled pages will be accepted. Note paper clips, folded corners, folders, and any other fastener than a STAPLE will not be accepted. To earn the 10 points you have to have everything properly prepared! 10