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Intermediate Macroeconomics Dr. McGahagan Exam 2 Study Guide. Part I. Identification What did each of the following contribute to macroeconomics? Expect to compare and contrast some of those on the same line: Keynes – Hicks Phillips – Phelps Samuelson – Solow – Friedman Irving Fisher Arthur Okun Katz and Krueger Lucas – Sargent – Fischer - Taylor Part II. Guide by chapter Chapter 5. IS/LM model Define exogenous/endogenous and identify which variables are which in IS/LM Interest inelastic money demand – effects on IS or LM curve and effects of monetary/fiscal policy. Interest inelastic investment demand – effects on IS/LM and effects of monetary/fiscal policy. Liquidity trap and effectiveness of monetary policy Express the effects of the policy mixes of the following presidents/Fed chairs in terms of an IS/LM model (“loose” money = expansionary monetary policy) Nixon / Burns – high defense spending / expansionary monetary policy starting from full employment Carter/ Miller – economic stimulus / expansionary monetary policy starting from recession Reagan / Volcker – tax cuts / tight money starting from near-full employment Clinton / Greenspan – cuts in government spending / loose money George W. Bush / Greenspan – tax cuts / loose money Obama / Bernanke – stimulus / loose money What impact will a higher price level have on IS/LM equilibrium? Problems: Quick check: Qu. 1, b,c,d,e,f,g Numerical example: Qu. 4 Liquidity trap: Qu. 6 Bush/Greenspan: Qu. 7 Chapter 6. Pricing and Wage Setting Unemployment rates (U3, U6) Household / establishment survey – which more reliable? Size of job flows compared to size of labor force Types of unemployment; “natural” rate definition based on this classification. How does this differ from the “natural” rate based on the AS/AD model? From the “natural” rate based on the Phillips curve? Of course, know the pricing equation and the wage setting equation; know how they determine the natural unemployment rate and the real wage level, and explain the impacts of : – – – higher markups by firms greater power of unions greater worker productivity Problems: Quick check: Question 1, b, c, d, e, g, h. Question 3, numerical example of the determination. Chapter 7. Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Derive the aggregate supply curve from the pricing and wage setting equations. (Don't worry about the algebraic niceties of section 7-1, but be aware of the nature of the relation and what determines the slope of the AS curve). What will happen to the AS or AD curve if any one of the following takes place: – less stringent antitrust enforcement – expected higher price level – increase in worker productivity – expansionary monetary policy – passage of card check legislation (easier to form union) – cutbacks in government spending After shifting the AS or AD curve, you should also be able to discuss the impact of any of those changes, in the short and in the medium run, on – – – – – the natural and actual rates of unemployment nominal and real wages actual and expected price levels interest rates and investment GDP and unemployment You should be able to combine your shifts of the AS curve with the IS/LM curves to analyze the dynamics of adjustment to a change. Problems: Quick Check: Qu. 1: b, c, d, e, f, g Qu. 2: spending shocks and the medium run Qu. 3: supply shocks and the medium run Chapter 8. Natural Rate of Unemployment and the Phillips Curve Derive the Phillips Curve from the Aggregate Supply curve. What assumption did Phillips, Samuelson and Solow make about the role of expected inflation? How did Phelps and Friedman modify the Phillips curve? What is the NAIRU and how is it derived from the Phillips curve? Why is or was the NAIRU lower: – in Japan than in the US ? – in the US than in the EU ? – in the US in the 1990s than in the US in the 1980s ? What is the connection between inflation and indexing (hint: it goes both ways)? Problems: Quick check: Problem 1: b, c, d, e Problem 2: T/F and why. Problem 3: Mutations of the Phillips Curve Chapter 9. Inflation, Activity and Nominal Money Growth Define: labor hoarding sacrifice ratio quantity equation adjusted nominal money growth Lucas critique Sargent, Taylor, Ball on speed of disinflation nominal rigidites Okun's law Medium run equilibrium (section 9-2): My equations use asterisks rather than bars over the values: gyt = gy* from Okun's law inflation = gm* - gy* from the quantity equation (here used as AD) u = u* from the Phillips curve. Quick check: Problem 1: a, b, c, e, f, g, h Problem 2: Okun's law Extend to compute time for US economy to recover to 5 percent unemployment if current unemployment is 11 percent and economic growth recovers to 4 percent. Problem 3: problem of disinflation