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Agriculture and Rural Development Discussion Paper The World Bank Animal Diseases and the Cost of Compliance with International Standards and Export Markets The Experience of Foot-and-Mouth Disease in the Southern Cone Karl M. Rich First printing or web posting: 2005 © 2004 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 Telephone 202-473-1000 Internet www.worldbank.org E-mail [email protected] All rights reserved. Agriculture and Rural Development Discussion Papers is an informal series produced by the Agriculture and Rural Development Department of the World Bank. These papers raise concepts and issues for discussion in the broader development community and describe ongoing research and/or implementation experiences from the Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of the World Bank, the governments they represent, or the organizations of contributing authors. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission promptly. For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA, telephone 978-750-8400, fax 978-750-4470, www.copyright.com. All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA, fax 202-522-2422, e-mail [email protected]. Karl M. Rich is a doctoral candidate at the Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, 414/6 Mumford Hall, MC-710, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USA, tel: +1 (217) 333-7761, email: [email protected]. Portions of this case study are based largely on chapter 2 of the author’s doctoral dissertation, “Spatial Models of Animal Disease Control in South America.” ii Contents Foreword iv Acronyms v Executive Summary 1 Introduction 3 Overview of Foot and Mouth Disease in South America 8 Country Experiences with FMD Argentina Brazil Uruguay 11 11 14 17 Discussion 21 Conclusions and Lessons Learned 23 Appendixes 1 Stocks and Slaughter for Cattle in Argentina, 1995–2002 2 Exports of Beef by Argentina by Type of Product, 1995–2003 3 Exports of Fresh Beef by Argentina by Trading Partner, Selected Years 4 Exports of Processed Beef by Argentina by Trading Partner, Selected Years 5 Evolution of Real Live Animal Prices in Argentina, 2000–03 (Nov 2001 Prices) 6 Summary Statistics on the Beef Sector in Brazil, 1995–2001 7 Exports of Fresh and Processed Beef from Brazil, 2000–02 8 Exports of Fresh Beef from Brazil by Major Trading Partner, Selected Years 9 Stock, Production, and Export of Beef Cattle in Uruguay, 1995–2002 10 Exports of Frozen Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 11 Exports of Chilled Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 12 Exports of Processed Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 25 25 26 27 28 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 References 35 Boxes 1 Role of the OIE in FMD control 2 FMD and trade in beef products 3 Recognized types of FMD disease status 4 Strategies to control FMD 4 4 5 10 Figures 1 Cattle exposed and infected from FMD by week in Argentina, 2000–02 2 Average FOB export price for Argentine beef by type, 1995–2002 3 Expenditure on disease control by type (public/private), 1995–2003 4 Volume of beef exports from Uruguay by type, 1995–2002 5 Value of beef exports from Uruguay by type, 1995–2002 9 13 16 17 18 Tables 1 Productivity effects from an FMD outbreak in cattle 2 Production of beef in the Southern Cone, developing countries, and world, 1996–2003 3 Exports of fresh beef in the Southern Cone, developing countries, and world, 1996–2002 4 Assessment of costs resulting from the 2001 FMD outbreak in Uruguay 5 Summary of outbreaks 3 6 6 19 20 iii Foreword Food and agricultural trade is the vital link in the mutual dependency of the global trade system and developing countries. Developing countries derive a substantial portion of their income from food and agricultural trade. The emergence of food safety and agricultural health issues, and the related tightening of market requirements form challenges to further growth of the mutual gains due to the lack of technical and financial capacities of many developing economies. As part of a joint program between the World Bank’s Agriculture and Rural Development Department (ARD) and International Trade Department (PRMTR), a survey on the Cost of Compliance of exporting developing countries was undertaken. The survey was focused on the supply chains of high-value food products (horticulture, fish, meat, spices, and nuts). The study quantified the costs incurred by both the public and private sectors; identified the coping strategies employed by the various stakeholders in the supply chains; determined the constraints that hinder compliance; examined the structural changes in the supply chain resulting from compliance with the safety standards; and evaluated the impact of these standards on small-scale enterprises and producers. The survey included Ethiopia (animal products), India (fish and spices), Jamaica (nontraditional agricultural exports), Kenya (fish and horticulture), Latin America Southern Cone (animal products), Morocco (fruits and vegetables), Nicaragua (shrimp), Senegal (fish and groundnuts), and Thailand (shrimp and horticulture). This working paper is one of a series of such case studies that examined the strategies and costs of compliance of the various stakeholders in developing countries with international agro-food standards. This paper was prepared by Karl Rich (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) with guidance from Cees de Haan (ARD). A complementary perspective is provided by the companion series of buyer surveys involving representative importers, brokers, retailers, and distributors in the European Union, Japan, and the United States. This series, in turn, discusses the buyers’ perception of the strengths and weaknesses of their suppliers and describes the assistance and/or interventions offered by the buyers to their developing country suppliers. The findings and conclusions derived from these country studies are discussed in a synthesis report that seeks to identify possible points of intervention by the World Bank and other donor agencies and to determine the types of technical assistance that would be most efficient and appropriate. It is hoped that the experiences of these exporter and importer countries will provide useful insights to practitioners in the field, and to national and international policymakers in both the public and private sectors. Kevin Cleaver Director, Agriculture and Rural Development Uri Dadush Director, International Trade Department iv Acronyms ABIEC Association of Brazilian Beef Processors and Exporters COSALFA c.w.e. DISCOSE EU South American Foot-and-Mouth Disease Control Commission European Union FMD HTS IGBE Foot and Mouth Disease Harmonized Tariff Schedule Instituto Brasilero de Geografia e Estatística (Brazil) INAC MGAP-OPYPA SISBOV National Meat Institute (Uruguay) Ministerio de Ganadería Agricultura y Pesca Oficina de Programación y Política Agropecuaria (Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Fisheries) North American Free Trade Agreement Office International des Epizooties (Office of International Epizooties) Pan American Foot and Mouth Disease Center Hemispheric Plan for the Eradication of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Secretaria de Agricultura, Ganaderia, Pesca, y Alimentos (Argentina) Servicio Nacional de Sandidad y Calidad Agroalimentaria (Argentina) System of Identification and Certification of Bovine and Buffalo Origin (Brazil) NAFTA OIE PANAFTOSA PHEFA SAGPyA SENASA Carcass Weight Equivalent Division Contralor de Semovientes (Uruguay) SO stamping out SODC stamping out of contact herds SOV stamping out plus ring vaccination US Department of Agriculture Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service US Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Services vaccination World Health Organization USDA APHIS USDA-FAS VAC WHO v Executive Summary By their nature, animal disease outbreaks present significant costs and risks to affected countries. For countries that depend on livestock exports as a source of revenue, the discovery of an animal disease will result in the immediate, albeit temporary, closure of export markets, and impose significant costs on other sectors of the economy (for example, tourism, downstream industries related to livestock). Foot-andmouth disease (FMD) is particularly damaging due to its rapid spread and effects on livestock productivity. Because of this, countries that have eradicated FMD impose strict sanitary restrictions on meat imports, creating a segmented market in which FMD-free products sell at a price premium over nonFMD-free products. Furthermore, given the difficulty in distinguishing between meat from vaccinated animals and those that have generated an immune response, the international beef market is further segmented into FMD-free with and without vaccination components. High-value beef markets such as Japan and Korea only allow imports from countries in the latter category, thus creating significant market incentives for countries to eliminate the disease. After eliminating FMD during the 1990s and achieving FMD-free without vaccination status in the late 1990s, countries in the Southern Cone (Argentina, southern Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay) were poised to expand exports to high-value markets. However, FMD reappeared in 2000–2001. While FMD was widespread in both Argentina and Uruguay, outbreaks in Brazil were sporadic. Albeit severe during the outbreak, the immediate trade effects of FMD in the region were generally short-lived. Indeed, by 2002, the volume of exports from the region was near pre-FMD levels in Uruguay and in both Argentina and Brazil exceeded pre-FMD levels. However, in Argentina and Uruguay, there was a medium-term loss of the markets identified by the region as growth markets for Southern Cone beef, particularly Japan, Korea, and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) markets (Canada, Mexico, and United States). This loss resulted in a short-run reallocation of exports to lower-value markets and consequently a reduction in the export value for beef. To date, Uruguay is the only country to reopen some (Canada and the United States) but not all of the markets lost as a result of the outbreak. Policy responses to the FMD outbreak included the pursuit of stamping out (that is, slaughtering all affected livestock) (SO) policies to keep its FMD-free without vaccination status upon the conclusion of the outbreak. However, each country eventually decided to adopt a full vaccination approach, thus restricting its access to high-value markets in the short and medium term. In Brazil, stamping out was not politically acceptable among farmers in affected regions, while in Argentina and Uruguay, critical delays in disease reporting and lax surveillance and monitoring programs led to an epidemic that made such an approach infeasible. The experience of countries in the Southern Cone demonstrated that the control of FMD requires institutional machinery in both the public and private sectors that none of the three countries possessed at the time of the 2000–01 outbreak. The crisis also showed the limits of public monitoring and surveillance, and the need for transparent, independent risk assessment at a regional level. While there is no clear answer as to whether public or private approaches for recovery from FMD are optimal, successful control of and recovery from FMD requires significant coordination among all actors in the animal health and livestock sectors. At the same time, it should be stressed that sustainable FMD control requires coordination among countries throughout the whole of South America. The coexistence of regions that were not vaccinating in the late 1990s (Argentina, parts of Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay) alongside those in which FMD was endemic (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru) suggested that it was only a matter of time before FMD would reappear in the Southern Cone. This reality might suggest a role for the Southern Cone to assist in financing FMD control and market development efforts in Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, and Peru. Joint collaborative efforts across regions will be required, including regional surveillance, monitoring programs, and information sharing across borders. However, funding, 1 institutional mechanisms, and roles for the public and private sectors for such collaboration need to be thoroughly addressed in tandem with such efforts. 2 Introduction Animal disease outbreaks present significant costs and risks to affected countries. For countries that depend on livestock exports as a source of revenue, the discovery of an animal disease will result in the immediate, albeit temporary, closure of export markets, and impose significant costs on other sectors of the economy (for example, tourism and downstream industries related to livestock). Depending on the nature of the disease, eradication costs, in the form of vaccination and indemnity payments, can also be substantial. An FMD is especially damaging to an economy, given the speed at which an outbreak occurs and the response of international beef markets with respect to a country’s disease status. FMD is an easily transmitted virus affecting cloven-hoofed animals, which include cattle, sheep, buffalo, swine, goats, and deer. FMD results in substantial productivity losses in terms of weight gain and milk production, some of which are permanent (table 1). While generally not fatal for most affected animals, FMD can kill young animals in differing degrees. Young cattle are the least susceptible (6 percent mortality rate), while up to Table 1 Productivity effects from an FMD outbreak in cattle Affected production • Breeding • • Milk • • • • • Fattening • Nature of production loss 10% of pregnant cows abort (1,000 lbs loss in milk per aborting cow) 2-month delay in breeding for nonpregnant cows One-third of milk cows sick and fully recover (10 days’ lost production) One-sixth of milk cows lose 14 days’ production due to illness in first half of lactation One-sixth of milk cows in second half of lactation lose all production One-sixth of milk cows lose all production during lactation One-sixth of milk cows culled due to permanent damage 50% of beef cattle do not consume feed for 14 days, fully recover 50% of beef cattle do not fully recover appetite for 1 month, require 2 additional months of finishing Source: Estimates made by McCauley 1979. 80 percent of swine under 20 pounds are killed by FMD (McCauley 1979). Given the virulence and speed of the disease, and the significant direct and indirect costs associated with eradication of an outbreak, countries that have eradicated the disease impose strict sanitary barriers on imports of animal products. For example, the US Department of Agriculture’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (USDAAPHIS) (2002b) estimates that the total cost of an outbreak in the United States would range between $37 billion and $44 billion. Countries that are not FMD-free (as indicated by the World Organization for Animal Health, or OIE by its French acronym) (box 1) are limited in international markets to sales to other markets that are also not FMD-free or, in some cases, to exports of specific types of meat products (for example, processed meat; see box 2) These restrictions thus create a segmented market in which 3 products from countries that are FMD-free sell at a premium (10 percent–50 percent) over products that do not have this designation (Berentsen and others 1992, Ekboir and others 2002).1 Box 1. Role of the OIE in FMD control The World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) was established in 1924 to promote information-sharing of incidences of global animal diseases. A major function of the OIE is to be a clearinghouse of information on disease outbreaks occurring in member countries. Animal disease outbreaks are reported by member countries themselves; the OIE is in charge of disseminating such information in a timely manner. This responsibility includes the weekly publication of emergency reports and follow-up activities of current outbreaks, monthly publications on the status of “List A” diseases,* and an annual publication on a wide range of animal health issues and diseases. Other OIE activities include the dissemination of relevant scientific breakthroughs in disease control activities and technical assistance to countries that request assistance with animal disease emergencies. The OIE has established working groups that prepare documents and rules that form the basis for sanitary norms used by the WTO in governing international trade in animal products (see http://www.oie.int for more information). *List A diseases are those defined by the OIE as having “the potential for very serious and rapid spread, irrespective of national borders, that are of serious socio-economic or public health consequence and that are of major importance in the international trade of animals and animal products” (OIE, Diseases Notifiable to the OIE, found at http://www.oie.int/end/maladies/en_classification.htm). FMD is a List A disease. Box 2. FMD and trade in beef products FMD plays a major role in influencing international trade in beef, given that the virus can be transmitted through trade in bone-in beef, offal, and hides. Countries that are FMD-free without vaccination generally limit imports of fresh beef to countries that are also FMD-free without vaccination (Ekboir 1999), although exceptions are made for cooked and processed beef (Ekboir and others 2002). Limitations on fresh beef imports vary by importing country. The European Union (EU) requires that imports of boneless beef from FMD-infectious regions are to be matured at 10 degrees Celsius for at least 48 hours (Ekboir and others, 2002). The United States typically restricts beef imports to countries that it has determined (independently of the OIE) are FMD-free; as of April 2004, 52 countries were on this list (http://www.aphis.usda.gov/NCIE/country.html#FMD). Moreover, a number of these approved countries must supply additional information that certifies that meat imports have not been co-mingled with products that originated from countries that are not free of FMD (USDA-APHIS 2003). The United States recently modified its import practices for meat products by allowing the import of certain types of beef from countries not on the approved list that have successfully completed a risk assessment by USDA-APHIS. Such risk assessments are made on the basis of eleven factors that evaluate the nature of a country’s disease status, veterinary services, control and surveillance programs, and other information on the livestock industry in the requesting country. USDA-APHIS also makes a site visit and conducts a quantitative risk assessment as part of the approval process. For example, Uruguay completed a risk assessment in 2003 that subsequently allowed it to export fresh, frozen, deboned, and matured beef to the United States. Moreover, certain high-value international markets, such as Japan and Korea, make a further distinction between FMD-free countries in which vaccination is practiced and those that are FMD-free without vaccination (box 3). This distinction is based on the difficulty in distinguishing whether an animal exhibits an immune response to FMD as a result of the vaccine or from actually having the disease. This “zero-risk policy” toward fresh meat imports in these markets further restricts imports to those markets that do not vaccinate. Thus, countries with export-oriented meat production have a powerful incentive to eradicate FMD from their livestock herds. 1 In addition, countries that are FMD-free have more flexibility in marketing certain types of cuts to diverse markets. 4 Box 3. Recognized types of FMD disease status The OIE has established several categories of FMD disease status for member countries: 1) FMD-free in which vaccination is not practiced. This status is accorded for countries that: a. b. c. d. e. f. Have veterinary surveillance programs that regularly report disease outbreaks Declare to the OIE that there have been no outbreaks in the past 12 months Documentation of no FMD infections over the past 12 months Have not vaccinated for FMD during the past 12 months Have not imported animals from countries that vaccinate against FMD Documentation that surveillance programs for FMD prevention and control are in order. 2) FMD-free in which vaccination is practiced: a. b. c. d. e. Have veterinary surveillance programs that regularly report disease outbreaks Declare to the OIE that there have been no outbreaks in the past 2 years Documentation of no FMD infections over the past 12 months Regularly vaccinate animals with vaccines in compliance with OIE standards Documentation that surveillance programs for FMD prevention and control are in order. 3) FMD infected zone: applies to zones in which (1) or (2) are not enacted. The OIE also recognizes that FMD-free status (with or without vaccination) can be given to particular regions of a country that may otherwise be FMD-infected or in which vaccination is practiced (Articles 4 and 5). In an FMD-free zone in which vaccination is not practiced, a region must adhere to the guidelines established in (1) above and, in addition, must: a. b. c. Be separated through a surveillance zone between the FMD-free zone and the rest of the country (or neighboring countries) Provide a description of the boundaries of the FMD-free region Give documentation on how the disease is prevented from entering the region. In an FMD-free zone in which vaccination is practiced, the region must adhere to the guidelines set forth above in (2). Such a region must also establish a buffer zone between the FMD-free region and the rest of the country and provide documentation on disease prevention activities in the region. Source: Terrestrial Animal Health Code 2003, chap. 2.1.1 (Articles 1–7). Countries of the Southern Cone (defined as Argentina, southern Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay) have historically been major global producers of beef, and represent approximately 18 percent of global production and 38 percent of developing country production in 2003 (table 2). 5 Table 2. Production of beef in the Southern Cone, developing countries, and world, 1996-2003 (000 t) Market 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 54,721 55,380 55,262 56,334 56,859 56,138 58,135 World 2003 58,742 23,727 24,790 24,979 26,094 26,799 26,623 27,923 28,527 Argentina 2,694 2,712 2,469 2,720 2,718 2,452 2,700 2,800 Brazil 6,187 5,922 5,794 6,413 6,540 6,671 7,136 7,385 Paraguay 226 226 231 246 239 250 230 240 Uruguay Southern Cone production as a percentage of global production (%) Southern Cone production as a percentage of developing country production (%) 407 454 450 458 453 317 412 441 17 17 16 17 17 17 18 18 40 38 36 38 37 36 38 38 Developing countries Source: Statistics downloaded from FAOSTAT, 2004 From the standpoint of trade, producers in the Southern Cone contributed to 18 percent of global exports of fresh beef and 88 percent of exports from developing countries in 2002 (table 3). Table 3. Exports of fresh beef in the Southern Cone, developing countries, and world, 1996–2002 (000 t) Market 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2,964 3,344 3,288 3,853 3,888 3,784 4,153 World 425 489 434 550 632 659 848 Developing countries 137 175 109 155 156 43 159 Brazil 47 52 81 151 188 368 430 Paraguay 13 16 16 9 29 44 14 Uruguay 91 114 90 121 139 88 145 Southern Cone % of world exports Southern Cone % of developing country exports 10 11 9 11 13 14 18 68 73 68 79 81 82 88 Argentina Source: Statistics downloaded from FAOSTAT 2004. Beef producers in the Southern Cone have struggled over the past century to eradicate FMD from cattle herds. After successfully eradicating the disease in the mid-to-late 1990s, by 2000 the region achieved the prized status of “FMD-free without vaccination” from the OIE, thus creating the potential for export to high-value markets (for example, Japan, South Korea, and the United States).2 However, FMD returned in 2000–01, resulting in a significant reduction in exports, output, prices, and incomes in the region; this outbreak was coupled with the financial crisis that was gripping Argentina during the same period. While the region has taken steps to regain the export markets that were lost as a consequence of the outbreak, results of these efforts have been mixed. Uruguay and certain regions of Brazil (15 states in the South and East), for example, have regained FMD-free status (albeit with vaccination). The region of Patagonia in 2 The United States (and Canada) does not maintain a zero-risk policy for fresh beef imports as in Japan and South Korea. Rather, exports of fresh beef are allowed subject to the positive results of a risk assessment conducted by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Animal Health and Plant Inspection Service (USDA-APHIS) (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). See Box 2 for more information. 6 Argentina (south of the 42nd parallel) has also remained FMD-free without vaccination, although this region is a relatively minor producer of beef. In contrast, Argentina and Paraguay have failed to regain FMD-free status (with or without vaccination) due to recent outbreaks in 2002 and in the summer and fall of 2003. In the analysis that follows, the experiences faced by Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay in response to the outbreaks of 2000–01 will be discussed, highlighting the magnitude of the outbreak, economic and trade ramifications, disease control strategies, and costs associated with the outbreak.3 3 While Paraguay is part of the Southern Cone, there is limited information on the impact or scope of FMD in this country and is thus excluded from this analysis. 7 Overview of Foot and Mouth Disease in South America FMD has been present in South America since its introduction to the continent in the 1860s in Argentina. After introduction, the disease spread unabated throughout the southern region of South America (primarily Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay) and by 1910 worked its way upward into Bolivia and Peru and to Ecuador, Colombia, and Venezuela by the 1950s (Casas Olascoaga 1984). Three strains of FMD virus (O, A, and C) are found in South America. Most outbreaks have been either of the O or A variant. The C variant has not been found in South America since 1995 (Correa Melo and others 2002). FMD control efforts (box 4) before the 1950s were minimal. FMD control programs at the country level did not begin in earnest until the 1970s, spurred partially by increases in veterinary resources, educational campaigns, and a technological improvement in the available vaccines (Casas Olascoaga 1984). The development of oil-based vaccines resulted in significantly more effective disease prevention, leading to more rapid adoption of vaccines by producers throughout the 1980s and 1990s. 4 At the same time, national programs were typically the purview of the central government and often subject to the availability and vagaries of budgetary allocations (Correa Melo and Saraiva 2003). Consequently, disease control expenditures were often rationed to focus mainly on productive regions and exports rather than on small producers (Correa Melo and Saraiva 2003). Regional efforts began through the establishment of PANAFTOSA (Pan American Foot and Mouth Disease Center) in response to an outbreak in the early 1950s in Mexico (Casas Olascoaga, 2002). The creation of PANAFTOSA began efforts to improve FMD control through technical assistance, training, vaccine development, and the maintenance of a reference laboratory for strains specific to South America (Casas Olascoaga 2002). It also marked the start of multilateral means by which to control the disease, including a number of regional conferences and commissions aimed at regional-level efforts at eradication. These included the formation of the South American Foot-and-Mouth Disease Control Commission (COSALFA) in 1972, which aimed at regional coordination of control and eradication efforts, and the Hemispheric Plan for the Eradication of Foot-and-Mouth Disease (PHEFA) in 1987, which directed COSALFA and PANAFTOSA to design mechanisms for disease elimination at the regional, subregional, and national levels through the establishment of regional surveillance and information systems, regional laboratories, quality control of vaccines, technical assistance, and various plans and agreements to progressively eliminate the disease (Casas Olascoaga 2002). PHEFA also highlighted the role of community and local involvement in disease prevention and actively promoted an integrative approach between public and private sector actors in vaccination campaigns (Correa Melo and Saraiva 2003). The combination of PHEFA with improvements in the quality of vaccines led to a significant decline in the incidence of FMD in South America. By the late 1980s, Chile had successfully eradicated FMD. In markets in which FMD persisted, the number of cases of FMD in South America dropped dramatically over the 1990s, and vaccination coverage rates increased to 94 percent of cattle by 1995 (Correa Melo and others 2002). After experiencing a major outbreak in 1990 and 1991, Argentina, southern Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay were able to eradicate the disease by the late 1990s and received the designation of “FMD free without vaccination” by the Office of International Epizooties (OIE) by 2000. However, other areas of South America remained endemic with FMD. Bolivia, portions of Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela all reported at least 4 outbreaks during 1990–2001 (Correa Melo and others 2002). Part of the reason for sustained FMD outbreaks in these countries is due to less than universal vaccination coverage in the livestock population. Correa Melo and others (2002) report that while 4 Oil-based vaccines are more effective in promoting a longer-lasting immune response, particularly upon administration of a booster dose (Casas Olascoaga 1984). 8 Venezuela had improved coverage to 87 percent by 2001, only 50 percent of the livestock population in Ecuador was vaccinated in 2000. Moreover, monitoring and eradication efforts in FMD-free regions declined over the 1990s once countries had eliminated the disease from their herds. Correa Melo and Saraiva (2003) remark that community-level programs often became a victim of their own success in that funds for vaccination campaigns diminished as disease cases declined. Indeed, private funding for FMD eradication programs fell by over 50 percent between 1995 and 1999 (Correa Melo and Saraiva 2003) (figure 1). Bervejillo and Rich (2003) note that the decision to cease vaccination was political and often made irrespective of advice from technical experts to reinforce regional sanitary programs. These factors, combined with the cessation of vaccination throughout the Southern Cone in 2000, contributed to the return of FMD at the end of 2000. The cessation culminated in localized outbreaks in Brazil in 2000 and 2001, and Uruguay in 2000; and explosive outbreaks in Argentina and Uruguay during 2001. The FMDfree designation was stripped from each country, and external commerce was interrupted by varying degrees. Figure 1. Cattle exposed and infected from FMD by week in Argentina, 2000–02 Source: SENASA 2002. 9 Box 4. Strategies to control FMD The OIE establishes four types of strategies that can be used to control an FMD outbreak in a cattle herd (OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code, Article 3.8.6.5): 1. Slaughter of all clinically infected animals and those in contact with such animals (susceptible animals) 2. Slaughter of all clinically infected animals, susceptible animals, at-risk animals, and vaccinated animals 3. Slaughter of all clinically infected animals, susceptible animals, and at-risk animals; vaccinated animals are not slaughtered 4. Vaccination of all infected or susceptible animals without slaughter. Strategies (1) through (3) are variants of a strategy known as stamping out. The OIE defines stamping out as: … the killing of the animals which are affected and those suspected of being affected in the herd and, where appropriate, those in other herds which have been exposed to infection by direct animal to animal contact, or by indirect contact of a kind likely to cause the transmission of the casual pathogen. (OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code, Article 1.1.1.1) In a model of FMD control for France, Durand and Mahul (2000) distinguish between three stamping-out strategies that are similar to 1–3 above. Their first strategy is simply termed “stamping out” and corresponds to the first strategy above. Their second strategy is called “stamping out of contact herds” (abbreviated SODC), in which herds in the quarantine zone plus other herds in contact with those in the affected zone are culled. Their third strategy is called stamping out with vaccination (or ring vaccination, abbreviated SOV), in which animals in the quarantine area are culled, while animals in the buffer area are vaccinated but not slaughtered. In a stamping-out strategy, animals that are culled are generally destroyed either through burial or burning; such meat does not enter the food supply. Moreover, infected premises are to be disinfected through procedures established in the Terrestrial Animal Health Code. The policies used to control FMD in the event of an outbreak vary by country. The policy of SENASA in Argentina is to adopt a combination of quarantine, stamping-out, animal movement controls, and vaccination (SENASA 2002). The strategy also includes establishing protective and surveillance zones for adjoining areas near the outbreak. In the United States, a quarantine area around an outbreak is established in which stamping out takes place. In addition, vaccination is considered as an option if the disease reaches epidemic proportions, spreads to wildlife in three or more states, if stamping out is no longer cost-effective, or if stamping out is halted by court order (Ekboir 1999). Source: OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code 2003. 10 Country Experiences with FMD Argentina Argentina has traditionally been a major producer and exporter of beef products. In a typical year, Argentina maintains a stock of roughly 45–50 million head of cattle, of which 11–12 million are slaughtered (appendix 1). While exports are an important source of revenue, representing 10 percent–15 percent of total production, the majority of beef consumed in Argentina is for the domestic market and fueled by the highest per capita consumption rates in the world (65 kg–70 kg/capita) (USDA-FAS 2003a). Prior to the FMD outbreak of 2000–2001, exports on a volume basis had steadily declined during 1995– 98, particularly of processed beef (appendix 2). This decline was due in large part to a reduction in exports to Brazil, which increased its own domestic beef production and exports (appendix 3). However, during 1999–2000, there was a sharp rise in exports of fresh beef due to greater levels of exports to the United States, which had opened its market to fresh Argentine beef in 1997 (appendix 3). However, exports of processed beef (appendix 4) continued to decline. In particular, there was a steady reduction in processed beef exports to Great Britain and the United States from 1995–2000, while exports to low-value markets were small and erratic. “Hilton” beef, which represents fresh beef exports that receive preferential quota access to the European Union, were stable during 1995–2000, given the small level (28,000 tons) of quota provided by the EU. Nonetheless, Hilton markets are particularly important to Argentina, given the much higher export price (in excess of $7,000/ton during 1995–2000) in these markets. After a major FMD outbreak in 1990–91, Argentina remained FMD-free throughout the 1990s due to concerted control efforts and the large-scale introduction of oil-based vaccines. In 1997 OIE accorded Argentina the status of FMD-free with vaccination. This designation allowed Argentina to export fresh beef to a number of previously closed markets, such as the United States (Sutmoller and others 2003). In 1999 Argentina stopped vaccinating its cattle herd and was subsequently certified in 2000 by the OIE as “FMD-free without vaccination,” which theoretically opened the Japanese and Korean markets to Argentine beef. As noted by Bervejillo and Rich (2003), the potential of the Japanese market as a niche market for “natural” beef is potentially huge, given that a 10-percent share of the Japanese market would be, in volume terms, roughly 40 percent of annual Argentine exports. FMD was first detected in Argentina in July 2000 in a case in Pilcomayo in the province of Formosa near the Argentina-Paraguay border. A total of 232 animals were exposed to the virus, of which 6 were infected. The next outbreak occurred a week later in the province of Entre Rios, over 500 km from Pilcomayo. The disease progressed steadily during 2000 in Argentina, peaking in late September before slowing by November. The disease was controlled during the initial period of the outbreak through stamping out (Correa Melo and others 2002). Movement controls on animals were also established between August and September 2000 (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). The OIE suspended Argentina’s FMDfree status until November 2000. Bervejillo and Rich (2003) note that the disease was never fully contained in the initial period. Moreover, the severity of the spread of FMD was not publicly acknowledged by the government. In December 2000, the disease again gained momentum, and by May 2001, over 150,000 animals per week were exposed to the virus. The policy of stamping out and movement controls were ineffective in controlling the disease, so in April 2001 the Argentine government commenced a multistep program to eradicate the disease. This program involved regionalizing the country into five areas, of which Patagonia was declared to be FMD-free without vaccination, while the other four regions were required to vaccinate all cattle stocks.5 Two types of vaccination strategies were 5 Note that in the Southern Cone, vaccination was conducted only on cattle, not sheep or pigs, which also are prone to infection with FMD. 11 employed. In high-risk areas, a sequence of two vaccinations was given 21 days apart, while in other regions, the two-dose regimen was achieved according to a predetermined schedule (USDA-FAS 2001a). The mass vaccination program was successful in slowing the disease, which by the end of 2001 had essentially run its course. The last outbreak was in January 2002. Figure 1 presents an evolution of the FMD outbreak on a weekly basis. By the end of the outbreak, nearly 2.8 million animals (roughly 5 percent–6 percent of the cattle population) had been exposed to the virus, of which over 150,000 became infected and 875 died as a result of the disease. Approximately 1 percent of all cattle farms were affected. The average size of affected farms was 1,130 animals (mainly cattle).6 Nearly all cases (94 percent) occurred in the Pampas region, with 69 percent in the province of Buenos Aires alone (Ward and Perez 2004). The direct costs to combat the disease were substantial. The cost of the first three rounds of the vaccination program (twice in 2001 and once in 2002) were borne by the government at a cost of 1.40 Argentine pesos per animal (vaccine plus administration costs) (USDA-FAS 2002a). Bervejillo and Rich (2003) report a total vaccination cost of $65.4 million in 2001 and $17.8 million in 2002. 7 Subsequent vaccination will be the responsibility of the producer. In addition, USDA-FAS (2001a) reports that downstream meat packing industries that produced for export were losing an estimated total of $40 million per month as a result of idle production. The government assisted the meat packing industry through the temporary provision of tax rebates for 20 export-oriented packers (defined as those that relied on exports for 30 percent or more of total sales) (USDA-FAS 2001a). The costs of veterinary services to contain the outbreak are unknown, although likely sizable. As an illustration, logistical costs for the much smaller Uruguay outbreak were estimated at over $1 million (Casas Olascoaga 2003). Total indirect costs of the outbreak on other sectors of the economy are also unknown. By law, indemnity payments were required to be paid to producers whose animals were slaughtered as a result of stamping out practices (SENASA 2002). Bervejillo and Rich (2003) estimate that farm compensation costs of cattle that were culled in the early period of the outbreak in 2000 were $818,000. In 2001 indemnity payments were generally not paid since vaccination was the primary means of control. The effects of FMD on livestock markets in Argentina were pronounced, particularly in export markets. Indeed, most major export markets for chilled or frozen meat from Argentina, except the African markets, Brazil, and Hong Kong, remained closed for most of 2001. The European Union delayed its decision to reopen its market to Argentine beef until November 2001. USDA-FAS (2001b) remarked that this decision was also due in part to Argentina not being forthcoming about the outbreak in the first place. Appendixes 2–4 highlight the significant fall in exports during 2001. In 2001 exports rebounded sharply to 350,000 tons, but the average price received for Hilton and fresh beef fell considerably (figure 2). In the former case, this was due to significant price pressure on Hilton markets by producers trying to export the entire 2002 quota in just four months (the Hilton quota is a July-June quota). In fresh beef markets, the closure of the United States market in particular resulted in a reallocation of exports to lower-value markets. Indeed, markets such as Canada, Chile, and the United States that had imported Argentine beef in 1998–2000 were replaced by markets such as Bulgaria and Egypt in 2002 (appendix 3; USDA-FAS 2002a). At the same time, in 2003 Argentina was allowed to export precooked, individually quick frozen meat to the United States, providing Argentina a means to add value to exports of processed meat products (USDA-FAS 2003a). 6 7 These statistics on the dynamics of the FMD outbreak are computed from a SENASA database obtained by the author. Note that the national average herd size in Argentina is 200 animals per farm. This assumes an exchange rate of parity with the U.S. dollar in 2001 and 3.1 Argentine pesos per US$ in 2002 (International Financial Statistics). 12 Figure 2. Average FOB export price for Argentine beef by type, 1995–2002 Source: Data obtained from SAGPyA website, http://www.sagpya.mecon.ar, 2004. By contrast, production effects from the FMD outbreak were negligible, given that only a small fraction of animals were slaughtered or affected by the disease. At the same time, however, there were severe short-term impacts in downstream industries, particularly meat packing. In domestic markets, prices for live animals fell throughout 2001. The real price of steers, for instance, fell from 78 cents per kg in January 2001 to 64 cents per kg in December. However, by the end of 2002, domestic prices had rebounded spectacularly to levels over double those in December 2001, aided in large part by the devaluation of the Argentine peso (appendix 5). In the past two years since the FMD outbreak, numerous steps have been taken in disease control programs. Vaccination has been mandated as the control regime for all animals in Argentina, with the exception of those in Patagonia. In response to demands from certain export markets, particularly the EU, a traceability program was started to improve animal identification and tracking. The risk assessment of the Argentine FMD control program by EU noted that cattle brands were often illegible (USDA-FAS 2001b). In August 2003 SENASA required that animals destined for export have a tag for traceability purposes (USDA-FAS 2003a). Despite these efforts, FMD re-emerged in Argentina during the summer of 2003, with isolated outbreaks occurring in the Northwest of the country near the border with Bolivia. While this outbreak was isolated and was contained via stamping out of the 58 head of affected livestock (mainly pigs), in September 2003 the OIE nonetheless suspended Argentina’s designation of FMD-free with vaccination for all regions north of the 42nd parallel. Areas south of this demarcation are still recognized as FMD-free without vaccination by the OIE (OIE 2003). High-value markets such as the Canada, Japan, Korea, and the United States, remain closed for Argentinian fresh beef. 13 Brazil Production of beef in Brazil has exploded in recent years, spurred by improvements in animal genetics, investments in pastures, and reduction in the slaughter age of production animals (USDA-FAS 2001c) (appendix 6). This has led to a significant growth in exports from Brazil, which have more than tripled in volume since 1995 (appendix 6). Exports represented approximately 8 percent of production in 2001. The mix of exports has shifted largely in favor of fresh meat exports. Processed meat exports have increased at a more modest pace (appendices 6 and 7). During the past five years, fresh beef exports have increased markedly to Chile and Middle Eastern markets (Egypt and Saudi Arabia), which had been traditionally markets served by Argentina (appendix 8). The FMD crisis experienced by both Argentina and Uruguay allowed Brazil to make inroads in these markets. In addition, sizable market promotion activities through the Brazilian Beef Processors and Exporters association (ABIEC) (in cooperation with export promotion arms of the Brazilian government) in the European Union, Middle East, and Russia have been undertaken since 2001 to promote Brazilian beef as a “natural” product (USDA-FAS 2002b). USDA-FAS (2002b 2003b) reports that the budget for market promotion activities is around $2 million and includes significant media exposure, trade missions, and participation at trade shows worldwide. The Brazilian government has also been active in the livestock sector through the provision of investment credit. The government’s Agriculture and Livestock Plans over the past few years have assisted producers through subsidized credit for pasture improvements, farm machinery, and storage facilities. Investment credit available to the industry remained at approximately $1 billion during 2001–2003. In addition, the slaughter industry benefited by numerous tax subsidies at the local level (USDA-FAS 2003b). FMD has traditionally been endemic in certain parts of Brazil, particularly the Northern and Northeastern sections (Correa Melo and others 2002). Control efforts typically concentrated on the main livestock regions of the Southern, Central-West, and Eastern parts of the country. According to Correa Melo and others (2002), control strategies have been specific to the type of livestock production that predominates in a particular region (for example, breeding, fattening, or slaughter). Consequently, FMD-free status in Brazil has been regional. The Southern regions of Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina were recognized as FMD-free without vaccination in 2000. By contrast, regions in the Central, Western, and Eastern parts of the country were recognized as FMD-free with vaccination (Sutmoller and Casas Olascoaga 2002). Brazil has been extremely successful in combating FMD on a regional basis and, as of 2004, has eliminated FMD through vaccination in 15 of its Southern and Eastern states. In particular, Brazil has successfully engaged private sector support in its FMD control programs (DuBois and Moura 2004). Indeed, private sector support in disease control programs has taken an increasingly active role and comprises the vast majority of funds for such programs (figure 3). In particular, the private sector has established self-funded programs aimed at improving disease surveillance and control efforts. These programs have included setting up a state-level emergency fund that can be rapidly accessed in the event of an outbreak to purchase needed supplies (vaccines, vehicles, equipment); assist in service provision; hire veterinarians, inspectors, and specialists; and educate producers (DuBois and Moura 2004). Producer organizations have contributed to these funds and have had a role in vaccination campaigns and assistance to neighboring countries (such as Bolivia) in their disease control efforts (DuBois and Moura 2004). Presently, the OIE recognizes the states Bahia, Espírito Santo, Goiás, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, São Paulo, Sergipe, Tocantins, the Federal District, and Rondonia as FMD-free with vaccination (OIE 2004). A combination of contact slaughter, movement controls, and vaccination has been the traditional strategy to deal with outbreaks. For example, a 1999 outbreak in the state of Mato Grosso was controlled through stamping out 500 animals and strict movement controls of livestock products from Mato Grosso (USDA-FAS 2000). The FMD outbreaks of 2000 and 2001 affected Brazil primarily at a localized level. In July 2000, 22 outbreaks were reported in the FMD-free without vaccination region of Rio Grande do Sul (Sutmoller and 14 others 2003). Stamping out and a 30-km quarantine zone around the infected area was applied, resulting in the culling of 8,185 beef cattle, 2,106 pigs, 772 sheep, and 4 goats (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). FMD returned to Brazil in May 2001 at the same time as the Soriano outbreak in Uruguay. Thirty-seven outbreaks were reported in Rio Grande do Sul (USDA-FAS 2002b). Initially, stamping out was practiced, with approximately 1,200 cattle, sheep, and pigs slaughtered at the onset of the outbreak (Sutmoller and Olascoaga 2002). Local resistance from farmers resulted in the state of Rio Grande do Sul instituting a vaccination policy of livestock in the State. However, an additional 11,670 animals were culled to meet OIE standards (Sutmoller and others 2003). Movement controls on animals and meat products between Rio Grande do Sul and other states were imposed and enforced (USDA-FAS 2002b). USDA-FAS (2001b) report that there were some delays in distributing vaccine to the region due to conflicts between the federal and local governments. The OIE stripped the regions of Rio Grande do Sul and the adjoining region of Santa Catarina of their FMD-free status as a result of these outbreaks, although this status was reinstated in November 2002 (albeit, in the case of Santa Catarina, as FMD-free with vaccination rather than without vaccination). Despite the FMD outbreaks in 2001, the effects on production and exports were minimal. Indeed, exports from Brazil in 2001 actually rose during the FMD outbreak, because its FMD problems were generally isolated. Brazil benefited from increased exports to the European Union and other lower-value markets in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. However, the value of exports did not grow at a similar pace, due to the lower-quality product mix demanded by the latter markets (USDA-FAS 2001b); this can be seen by the lower export prices received by Brazilian fresh meat exports (appendix 6). The impact on Brazil was generally limited to the state of Rio Grande do Sul, which was affected by the temporary closure of export-oriented slaughter plants, although the cost of idling production is not known. The states of Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina were also negatively affected by the loss of the U.S. market for fresh beef exports. Prior to the outbreak, both states had successfully passed a risk assessment from the USDA to export beef to the United States. A risk assessment by USDA was conducted in Brazil in 2003, with the expectation (still pending as of December 2004) that fresh beef exports to the U.S. would be allowed by the end of 2004 (USDA-FAS 2003b).8 8 A USDA Risk Assessment is a lengthy process that requires documentation from the requesting country on its disease status, veterinary services, control and surveillance programs, and other information on its livestock industry. USDA-APHIS also makes a site visit and conducts a quantitative risk assessment as part of the approval process. See http://www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/ncie/reg-request.html and box 2 for more information. 15 Figure 3. Expenditure on disease control by type (public/private), 1995–2003 Source: DuBois and Moura 2004. Brazil has responded to the FMD outbreak by making notable improvements in its sanitary and traceability programs. In January 2002 the Brazilian government established the Brazilian System of Identification and Certification of Bovine and Buffalo Origin (SISBOV), which tracks all animals born in or imported into Brazil. SISBOV is monitored by the private sector and keeps information on farm origin, animal ID, date of birth, gender, breeding system, vaccination and health information, and sales records (USDA-FAS 2002b). The private sector manages the program in four phases. In the first phase, animals destined for export to the EU had to be registered by July 2003 (USDA-FAS 2003b). By December 2003, all animals destined for export had to be registered. All beef cattle produced in FMD-free states (or those in the process of being FMD) must be registered by December 2005, with all remaining animals registered by December 2007 (USDA-FAS 2002b). USDA-FAS (2003b) reports that over five million animals were registered (as of mid-2003), with 19 companies certified to conduct traceability in the country. The cost of the program is borne on a per animal basis of US$2.50 and is estimated to cost US$400 million by the time all animals are registered by the end of 2007 (USDA-FAS 2003b). Brazil has also made efforts to harmonize food safety regulations with trading partners. These include sanitary agreements with China and Poland, and negotiations with the EU (USDA-FAS 2002b). Brazil has also undertaken steps to regain access to the Canadian and U.S. markets by undergoing risk assessments by these countries’ animal health agencies. 16 Uruguay Uruguay is an important exporter in the region, with exports accounting for an increasing percentage of production. In 2002 exports comprised well over half of domestic production––a sharp rise from 35 percent of production in 1995 (appendix 9) While stocks of beef cattle have remained relatively stable at 10.5–11 million head, production (slaughter) has increased in response to growing export markets (appendix 9 and figures 4–5). During 1995–2000, exports of beef from Uruguay more than doubled (table 1), fueled by increased exports of fresh beef (frozen and chilled) to Chile and the United States (appendixes 10 and 11). As with Argentina, Uruguay had successfully eradicated FMD in the mid-1990s. In 1996 Uruguay was recognized by the OIE as FMD-free without vaccination (Correa Melo and others 2002). As with Argentina and Brazil, the cessation of vaccination exposed Uruguay to the possibility of a return of FMD, given the less than universal eradication in the region (particularly in Paraguay). In 2000 FMD was first discovered in the department of Artigas in the north of Uruguay (near the Uruguay-Brazil) border. A total of 322 cattle, 63 sheep, and 47 pigs were affected by the disease (Sutmoller and others 2003). The disease was quickly controlled in the region by culling the affected animals, imposing a quarantine zone with a radius of 25 km, and stamping out animals in the quarantine zone (a total of over 20,000 cattle, sheep, and pigs). A 25-km buffer zone was also established and regularly tested (Sutmoller and others 2003). Figure 4. Volume of beef exports from Uruguay by type, 1995–2002 Source: Data obtained from INAC website, http://www.inac.gub.uy, 2004. By early 2001, the disease was contained, and the OIE maintained its recognition of Uruguay as FMDfree without vaccination. A new outbreak started in April 2001 in the Soriano department near the 17 Argentina-Uruguay border. This outbreak was followed by a second case a few days later in a neighboring farm, resulting in the imposition of movement controls in the region (Sutmoller and others 2003). A number of outbreaks followed these initial cases. Stamping out, ring vaccination, and local movement controls were initiated as the means of control, although stamping out was halted only a week after the first outbreak due to the resistance of local farmers (Sutmoller and others 2003). These efforts did not stem the outbreak, however. According to Sutmoller and others (2003), a number of cattle had been sold by auction to other regions of the country from the infected region prior to the confirmation of the outbreak. Bervejillo and Rich (2003) note that delays in disease reporting, less than stringent border controls with Argentina, and local characteristics of the region helped to fuel the outbreak. In particular, Soriano has a higher density of both people and animals and is located in a part of Uruguay that receives constant flows of cross-border traffic. Delays in vaccines and personnel constraints further limited the ability of the government to adopt ring vaccination and stamping out policies (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). As a result, numerous cases were reported throughout the country in late April and early May of 2001. Movement controls of animals within the country were imposed, and mass vaccination was started the first week of May 2001. A total of 2,057 cattle outbreaks were reported during 2001 (Casas Olascoaga 2003). This number represents approximately 4 percent of all livestock herds in the country (48,518 in 2001). USDA-APHIS (2002a) reports that slightly over 77,000 cattle, sheep, and pigs were affected by the disease. Figure 5. Value of beef exports from Uruguay by type, 1995–2002 Source: Data obtained from INAC website, (http://www.inac.gub.uy), 2004 The total direct cost of eradicating the disease (both the Artigas and Soriano outbreaks) was estimated by Casas Olascoaga (2003) at $13.6 million, of which $7.5 million was spent on vaccination, $4 million on slaughter and indemnity payments, and $1 million on emergency veterinary services (salaries, staff). This 18 break-out does not include the costs of lost exports or the effects on related markets. A portion of the vaccine costs were funded by the Permanent Fund by Compensation that levies a 0.21 percent check-off fee on the export value of all animal products (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). The remainder of the funding came from a World Bank loan of $18.5 million used to pay for vaccines and a replenishment of the fund (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). A recent presentation by the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Fisheries (MGAP-OPYPA 2004) using an input-output analysis estimated a total direct and indirect cost of the 2001 outbreak over 2001–03 at $730 million dollars. Direct losses in the livestock sector were estimated at $226 million dollars, while downstream meat packing industries were estimated to have had losses of $112 million (table 4). Given the dependence of the Uruguayan economy on beef exports, FMD had a significant impact on the livestock sector in Uruguay and a larger overall effect than in Argentina or Brazil. Exports fell from 272,000 tons to 169,000 tons during 2000–01, with the value of exports falling by over 40 percent ($369 million to $217 million) (appendixes 10-12). Similar to Argentina and Brazil, exports rebounded in 2002, with the value of exports for Uruguay rising by 24 percent during 2001–02. Uruguay regained entry for chilled and frozen deboned and matured beef into the United States in May 2003 following a risk assessment conducted by the USDA. Moreover, Uruguay regained its status of FMD-free with vaccination from the OIE in May 2003 (OIE 2004). Table 4. Assessment of costs resulting from the 2001 FMD outbreak in Uruguay Sector Cost (US$ million) Livestock 226 Slaughter/packing 112 Building products 38 Electricity 31 Financial services 29 Refinery 20 Others Total 274 730 Source: MGAP-OPYPA 2004 In response to the FMD outbreak, the livestock sector in Uruguay has implemented a number of activities to control disease and accelerate the opening of export markets. In contrast to Brazil, and, to a lesser extent, Argentina, the public sector has played a more prominent role. Vaccination has been established as the method of control, with the government in charge of the cost of vaccine provision to date (estimated total costs for 2 doses is between 46–56 cents; USDA-APHIS 2002a). USDA-APHIS (2002a) has noted that compliance rates for vaccination exceed 99 percent and are universal for all animals destined for slaughter, since animals are not allowed to be slaughtered (or moved) without proper vaccination records. After the 2001 outbreak, the sector engaged in an FMD education campaign for producers. Traceability of animals has been practiced in Uruguay since 1973 by the government agency DISCOSE, which is responsible for control stocks and movements of all cloven-hoofed animals (cattle, sheep, horses, and pigs) throughout the country (Sosa-Dias n.d.). A proposal to adopt a traceability program in line with European Union requirements is under discussion (USDA-FAS 2002c). Table 5 summarizes the outbreaks that occurred in the Southern Cone during 2000–01. Direct and indirect eradication and control costs (where available) are provided. 19 Table 5. Summary of outbreaks Country Argentina Brazil Year Outbreaks NA 2,394b Number of animals Cases Culled Vaccinated NA 3,563 0 88,502c 181 57,125,396 Direct Costs (‘000 US$) Indemnity Vaccination Other 818 0 NA 65,400 Indirect costs 2000 2001 SODCa VAC, SO 2002 VAC, SO 1 20 228 57,184,525 NA 17,839 NA 2000 SODC, VAC SOV/DC, VAC VAC 48d 502 11,067 159,076,294 NA NA NA 38 1,560 17,000 156,101,114 NA NA NA 0 0 0 292,629,840 NA NA NA US$2.50/animal cost to implement traceability program SODC SODC/Ve, VAC VAC 2 2,063 76 32,912 f 20,406 6,932 0 11,773,000 3,055 2,008 0 7,524 0 1,065g 0 0 0 25,620,302 0 NA NA 2001 2002 Uruguay Strategy 2000 2001 2002 NA NA US$40,000/month (idle production) in exportoriented slaughterhouses Total economy-wide cost of US$730 Million estimated during 2001-03 due to FMD Sources: OIE Handistatus 2000–02, found at http://www.oie.int/hs2/report.asp, Beverjillo and Rich 2003, Casas Olascoaga 2003, information from sections in text. Notes: a. Strategies are abbreviated as follows: SO (stamping out), SODC (stamping out contact herds), SOV (stamping out plus ring vaccination), VAC (Vaccination). See Box 4 for more details. b. All figures on the number of animals are the sum of all types of animals that are affected by FMD (cattle, goats, sheep, and pigs). c. Total outbreaks in Argentina were 2,563; the total number of cases was 152,443 (SENASA 2002). These totals include those not reported to the OIE in 2000. d. Total outbreaks in Brazil in 2000 include other outbreaks besides the Rio Grande do Sul outbreak described in the text. e. Stamping out in Uruguay in 2001 was only used in the first few days of the outbreak and at the conclusion. f. USDA-APHIS (2002) reports that 77,182 were affected by the 2001 FMD outbreak. g. Other costs include expenditures for emergency services. 20 Discussion Countries in the Southern Cone have had different experiences with the 2000–01 outbreak of FMD. While FMD was widespread in both Argentina and Uruguay, the nature of outbreaks in Brazil was sporadic. All three countries initially pursued a policy of stamping out but each eventually decided to adopt a full vaccination approach. In Brazil, stamping out was not politically acceptable among farmers in affected regions, while in Argentina and Uruguay, critical delays in disease reporting and lax surveillance and monitoring programs led to an epidemic situation that made such an approach infeasible. The experience of countries in the Southern Cone demonstrates that stamping out regimes requires institutional machinery in both the public and private sector that none of the three countries possessed at the time. The crisis also showed the limits of public monitoring and surveillance activities and the need for transparent, independent risk assessment at a regional level (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). The trade effects of FMD in the region were generally short-lived, albeit severe during the outbreak. Indeed, by 2002, the volume of exports from the region was near pre-FMD levels in Uruguay and exceeded pre-FMD levels in both Argentina and Brazil. However, in Argentina and Uruguay, there was a medium-term loss of markets identified by the region as growth markets for Southern Cone beef, particularly Japan, Korea and the NAFTA markets (Canada, Mexico, and United States). This loss resulted in a short-run reallocation of exports to lower-value markets and consequently a reduction in the export value for beef. While Uruguay has been successful in recently reopening the U.S. and Canadian markets and is poised to enter the Mexican market in 2004, such markets remain closed for Argentina, which has not yet completed the risk assessment process for the U.S. and Canada. Moreover, the 2003 outbreak further hampered such market access issues. However, Argentina has attempted to add value to its exports of processed beef, which are unaffected by its FMD status. By contrast, exports from Brazil have exploded since 2000 and were seemingly unaffected by the FMD outbreak. This protection was due mainly to the localized nature of the outbreaks. Brazil has made steady progress in its regionalized approach toward vaccination and expects to be FMD-free nationwide by 2005. Competitive pressures in the region after the FMD outbreak have led to Southern Cone producers seeking ways to add value to products and diversify beef exports. Producer groups in Brazil have been extremely active in promoting beef exports through market promotion activities. Similar activities have begun in Argentina and Uruguay since the FMD outbreak of 2000–01. In Argentina, the emphasis has been on promoting consumption in domestic and international markets, with cost-sharing and organization conducted by the private sector. The increased emphasis on marketing has been facilitated by the establishment of the Beef Promotion Institute, which aims to develop markets through a 1.80 Argentine peso/animal check-off fee shared by producers (70 percent) and packers (30 percent) (USDA-FAS 2003a). In Uruguay, there has been a combination of public and private initiatives to promote the beef sector. For instance, the public sector has been involved in the “natural beef” campaign of the National Meat Institute (INAC). In 2003 the Certified Natural Program of INAC was started in collaboration with 90 producers to export beef that fetches price premiums of 5 percent–7 percent (USDA-FAS 2003c). In all three countries, there has been an increase in marketing relationships and contracting with downstream slaughterhouses. Packers in Argentina have increasingly been working with supermarkets to improve quality (USDA-FAS 2003a). Marketing alliances with supermarkets have increased, particularly in Brazil and Uruguay. The greater concentration in the slaughter industry in Brazil vis à vis Argentina potentially provides a marketing advantage to Brazil in exploiting new export markets.9 9 The five largest packers in Brazil comprise 60% of beef exports (USDA-FAS2003b), while, in Argentina, the 4 largest domestic packers account for less than 15% of the market (USDA-FAS2001a). 21 The public sector was the main entity in the control of FMD, both during and after the outbreak. At the same time, the reduction of funds in surveillance and monitoring in both the private and public sector, particularly in Argentina and Uruguay, contributed to the severity of the outbreak. The state continues to play a key role in Uruguay in the provision of vaccination, while, in Argentina, the responsibility has been shifted to the producer. It is not clear whether this shift toward private sector delivery contributed to the minor 2003 outbreak, however. Brazil has maintained a combined private-public provision of vaccine and animal health services that has gradually improved the FMD-free status of livestock herds in the country, the 2000–01 outbreaks notwithstanding. 22 Conclusions and Lessons Learned The experiences of the Southern Cone suggest that the successful control of, and recovery from, FMD is a difficult process that requires significant coordination among all actors in the animal health and livestock sectors. Certain elements of the 2000–01 outbreak in the region illustrate clear lessons that could be used by developing countries in the context of an animal health emergency: 1. Speed and transparency are key factors in the control of FMD. The experiences of Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay clearly demonstrate that speed and transparency in control efforts are tantamount to controlling FMD. Minor delays in reporting in Uruguay and limited transparency in Argentina led to an epidemic situation in both countries. In contrast, Brazil was able to quickly eliminate the disease. These divergent results suggest that well-managed, timely surveillance and monitoring activities are crucial in preventing future FMD outbreaks and should be funded appropriately to conduct their mission. The steep decline in funding for such activities in Southern Cone countries, particularly Argentina and Uruguay, reduced the ability of these countries to quickly respond to the 2000–01 outbreak. The role of transparency is also important, particularly on an inter-regional basis, to prevent the disease from spreading further. Forthright reporting on where outbreaks are occurring is fundamental. The importance of transparency also points to the need for improved capacity in data gathering and information dissemination among veterinary service providers and, most importantly, for such data to be used in decision-making (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). 2. There is no clear cut answer as to whether public or private approaches to FMD control are superior. The experiences of the Southern Cone during the 2000–01 outbreak do not give a clear answer on the best method of delivery (public or private) for FMD control. Of the three countries studied, Brazil has the greatest private-sector orientation in its FMD control program and was the least affected by the 2000–01 outbreak. One could naively argue from this that an approach that engages the private sector is ideal. Indeed, the positive experiences in the early 1990s of the PHEFA program, which integrated the public sector with community-level involvement to eradicate FMD, may be an approach that needs to be revisited, provided that sustainable funding mechanisms that control disease over the long term are developed. At the same time, the experience of Uruguay after the outbreak demonstrates that well-run, well-funded public delivery of animal health services can successfully eliminate FMD and reopen export markets. 3. True eradication of FMD requires coordination among countries throughout South America. The events of 2000–01 strongly demonstrate that FMD control is a regional issue that requires a regional solution (Rich and Winter-Nelson 2004). The coexistence of regions that were not vaccinating in the late-1990s (Argentina, parts of Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay) alongside those in which FMD was endemic (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru)–combined with animal movements across the continent–suggested that it was only a matter of time before FMD would reappear in the Southern Cone. While the Southern Cone has reinstated vaccination as the primary means of control, vaccination will limit Southern Cone exports to high-value markets in East Asia. Becoming FMDfree without vaccination will necessitate not only the regional cooperation among Southern Cone countries but also improved FMD control programs continent-wide. The attainment of this goal is much more problematic. Rich and Winter-Nelson (2004) have suggested that the main difficulty in eradicating FMD from South America stems from the presence of countervailing incentives among farmers in different regions due to inter-regional differences in livestock production systems in South America (export-oriented production in the Southern Cone versus subsistence production in other areas). It has been argued that improvements in market development in lagging regions could be a way to sustain FMD control, although the cost-effectiveness of such programs is not yet clear (Rich 23 and Winter-Nelson 2004).10 This might suggest a role for countries such as Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay to assist in financing FMD control and market development efforts in Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, and Peru. Indeed, technical cooperation by more developed countries in South America to develop markets and raise market incentives to control disease in less developed regions may have significantly greater impacts than simply subsidizing control programs. Joint collaborative efforts across regions will be required, including regional surveillance, monitoring programs, and information sharing across borders, although issues of funding, institutional mechanisms, and roles for the public and private sectors need to be thoroughly addressed. (Bervejillo and Rich 2003). 10 This issue is a research question that is being addressed in Rich (forthcoming 2005), and Rich and Winter-Nelson (forthcoming 2005). 24 Appendixes Appendix 1. Stocks and Slaughter for Cattle in Argentina, 1995–2002 1995 1996 1997 1998 Stock (million head) 52.65 50.83 50.06 48.08 Slaughter (million head) 12.86 12.92 12.79 11.28 Production (000 t) 2,688 2,694 2,712 2,469 1999 49.06 12.15 2,720 2000 48.67 12.40 2,718 2001 48.85 11.58 2,452 2002 46.96 12.30 2,700 Sources: SAGPyA http://www.sagpya.mecon.ar for stock figures; FAO http://faostat.fao.org/?language=EN for slaughter. Appendix 2. Exports of Beef by Argentina by Type of Product, 1995-2003 tons (product weight) Product 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Fresh beef 189,068 187,625 171,836 86,993 132,271 133,674 38,027 107,691 155,288 Hilton beef 27,304 28,609 27,218 28,630 27,611 26,034 5,383 48,192 28,796 Processed beef 102,296 81,924 73,415 56,347 47,755 48,884 40,232 45,423 46,919 Offals and byproducts 69,575 66,635 61,936 51,391 61,775 67,502 49,324 55,913 71,995 Total 388,243 364,793 334,405 223,361 269,412 276,094 132,966 257,219 302,998 (000 US$) Product 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Fresh beef 439,664 403,958 404,592 253,459 314,455 313,153 88,743 145,410 281,086 Hilton beef 255,394 225,187 213,755 224,833 215,815 188,508 27,876 194,831 183,293 Processed beef 325,916 254,142 213,700 195,877 146,856 135,631 111,629 107,492 112,544 Offals and byproducts 80,318 73,917 62,024 49,761 55,731 69,013 38,325 32,108 56,269 Total 1,101,292 957,204 894,071 723,930 732,857 706,305 266,573 479,841 633,192 Source: Data from SENASA found at http://www.sagpya.mecon.gov.ar/new/0-0/ganaderia/otros/bovinos/exportaciones/index.htm 25 Appendix 3. Exports of Fresh Beef by Argentina by Trading Partner, Selected Years 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 t 000 US$ t 000 US$ t 000 US$ t 000 US$ Country t 000 US$ Russia 143 127 4,173 8,444 570 727 23,878 28,173 Chile 45,562 108,155 59,804 141,820 39,643 79,128 3,811 7,565 19,739 32,415 Israel 11,533 23,822 10,792 21,496 11,660 23,475 6,652 12,449 17,583 27,213 Germany 10,291 40,368 5,956 21,792 7,158 32,996 715 2,702 8,925 38,896 Brazil 68,563 110,684 33,878 75,479 9,309 28,068 4,988 19,947 6,499 18,305 Great Britain 5,847 19,583 5,278 10,287 582 1,053 12 52 5,238 10,875 Egypt 0,25 1 0,25 0,25 4,438 5,339 Netherlands 2,924 9,620 2,327 7,670 1,697 7,397 349 1,292 3,346 11,940 Hong Kong 4,233 11,819 1,020 3,052 571 1,586 1,475 3,038 3,332 6,015 Netherlands Antilles 2,453 7,289 2,151 6,817 1,638 5,482 1,266 4,146 2,227 Peru 2,185 4,529 2,866 5,327 1,084 1,825 674 1,226 2,169 3,829 Italy 8,509 31,613 5,679 18,652 3,427 11,323 320 1,016 1,941 8,383 France 4,182 16,627 4,238 15,744 2,849 10,433 605 2,176 1,903 5,939 United States 6,051 13,655 23,547 49,240 4,116 9,725 Canada 1 4 15,148 25,651 4,581 7,792 Others 22,642 55,426 27,623 54,352 13,960 36,797 7,895 14,893 82,461 83,758 Total 189,068 439,664 171,836 404,592 132,271 314,455 38,027 88,743 155,291 281,080 Source: Data from SENASA found at http://www.sagpya.mecon.gov.ar/new/0-0/ganaderia/otros/bovinos/exportaciones/index.htm 26 Appendix 4. Exports of Processed Beef by Argentina by Trading Partner, Selected Years 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 Country t 000 US$ t 000 US$ t 000 US$ t 000 US$ t 000 US$ United States 41,209 132,112 30,951 96,226 19,251 72,009 21,244 67,949 21,503 57,557 Great Britain 21,544 65,313 16,034 38,701 7,753 16,265 5,614 10,635 6,160 12,108 Netherlands 4,566 13,412 5,933 15,455 6,157 14,570 4,181 9,033 4,838 9,094 Italy 9,578 33,026 3,873 14,773 2,204 8,889 1,864 6,136 4,658 13,754 Germany 6,497 23,145 4,257 14,204 2,849 9,281 1,151 3,579 1,878 5,095 Nigeria 251 663 333 919 751 2,078 437 906 1,209 2,233 Canada 1,870 5,971 1,101 4,025 905 3,227 1,039 3,785 794 2,235 Ghana 615 1,689 586 1,626 460 1,293 179 369 758 1,432 France 1,840 5,021 811 1,919 455 1,053 275 512 563 940 Jamaica 1,559 4,692 605 1,590 261 587 315 581 500 954 Puerto Rico 2,503 7,408 851 2,299 738 1,423 32 77 489 1,020 Malta 394 1,108 241 639 224 619 270 535 330 592 Bolivia 610 1,214 649 1,340 495 974 501 842 308 371 Paraguay 716 1,732 810 1,779 376 734 502 870 298 351 Spain 1,037 3,037 603 1,602 241 728 52 90 178 302 Chile 656 1,505 1,325 2,790 1,631 3,487 305 604 Japan 1,198 7,852 518 3,416 211 2,687 122 954 239 Others 5,651 17,014 3,936 10,398 2,791 6,951 2,149 4,172 2,459 4,276 Total 102,296 325,916 73,415 213,700 47,755 146,856 40,232 111,629 46,923 112,553 Source: Data from SENASA found at http://www.sagpya.mecon.gov.ar/new/0-0/ganaderia/otros/bovinos/exportaciones/index.htm 27 Appendix 5. Evolution of Real Live Animal Prices in Argentina, 2000–03 (Nov 2001 prices) Year Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 0.775 0.695 1.318 Jan 0.706 Feb 0.749 0.796 0.769 1.289 Mar 0.782 0.798 0.787 1.233 Apr 0.779 0.764 0.952 1.147 May 0.804 0.755 0.887 1.093 Jun 0.822 0.771 0.911 1.085 Jul 0.815 0.745 1.028 1.161 Aug 0.828 0.717 1.281 1.228 Sept 0.842 0.657 1.376 1.218 Oct 0.849 0.669 1.370 1.222 Nov 0.798 0.626 1.373 1.205 Dec 0.772 0.636 1.375 N/A AVERAGE 0.795 0.726 1.067 1.200 Source: SAGPyA http://www.sagpya.mecon.ar. Appendix 6. Summary Statistics on the Beef Sector in Brazil, 1995–2001 Product 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total cattle herd (million head) 161.2 158.3 161.4 163.1 164.6 169.9 176.4 Total slaughter (1,000 head) 27.0 31.0 29.1 30.2 31.3 32.5 33.5 Beef meat production (1,000 t c.w.e.) 5,400 6,045 5,820 6,040 6,268 6,650 6,895 Total exports (1,000 tons) 139.9 140.7 146.7 199.3 307.3 339.1 525.1 Fresh beef (1,000 tons) 42.4 53.0 59.2 93.3 169.3 215.7 400.8 Processed beef (1,000 tons) 97.6 87.7 87.6 106.0 138.0 123.4 124.3 Source: Data from IBGE found at the Ministry of Agriculture website, http://www.agricultura.gov.br/. 28 Appendix 7. Exports of Fresh and Processed Beef from Brazil, 2000–02 2000 2001 Value Quantity Unit Value Quantity (000US$) (t) value (000US$) (t) Fresh beef 503,296 188,656 2.668 738,805 368,288 Processed beef 265,468 132,249 2.007 260,872 132,639 Total 768,764 320,905 999,677 500,927 2002 Unit Value Quantity Unit value (000US$) (t) value 2.006 776,318 430,271 1.804 1.967 310,158 160,482 1.933 1,086,476 590,753 Source: Ministry of Agriculture (Brazil). Notes: a. Unit value = US$/t. Totals differ from appendix 6 since the trade data in this appendix are based on specific HTS codes. 29 Appendix 8. Exports of Fresh Beef From Brazil by Major Trading Partner, Selected Years 1998 2000 2002 Country Value Quantity Unit value Value Quantity Unit value Value Quantity Unit value Chile 5,160 2,333 2,212 53,784 31,654 1,699 112,259 75,961 1,478 Egypt 3,695 2,122 1,741 3,109 2,392 1,300 58,553 47,315 1,238 Saudi Arabia 123 75 1,640 4,412 2,345 1,881 63,513 43,799 1,450 Russia n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 45,891 39,061 1,175 Netherlands 87,338 19,529 4,472 98,376 25,659 3,834 109,391 34,536 3,167 Italy 54,028 14,398 3,752 60,106 20,946 2,870 64,581 27,268 2,368 Great Britain 17,586 4,906 3,585 49,315 18,612 2,650 53,435 22,341 2,392 Israel 15,093 7,112 2,122 21,487 12,436 1,728 28,411 19,239 1,477 Philippines n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 16,119 17,010 948 Spain 24,138 7,544 3,200 54,095 15,222 3,554 39,385 14,299 2,754 Hong Kong 7,872 3,337 2,359 23,064 11,230 2,054 21,386 14,032 1,524 Germany 11,429 2,490 4,590 37,792 9,877 3,826 40,181 11,900 3,377 Singapore 2,598 1,654 1,571 9,924 9,254 1,072 13,171 9,871 1,334 Switzerland 90 26 3,462 5,684 1,118 5,084 14,464 4,464 3,240 All others 47,445 15,324 3,096 82,148 27,911 2,943 95,578 49,175 1,944 Total 276,595 80,850 3,421 503,296 188,656 2,668 776,318 430,271 1,804 Source: Ministry of Agriculture (Brazil) Notes: a. Value = 000 US$. b. Quantity = tons. Unit value = US$/t. 30 Appendix 9. Stock, Production, and Export of Beef Cattle in Uruguay, 1995–2002 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Stock (000 head) 10,451 10,651 10,533 10,297 10,389 10,353 10,598 11,115 Slaughter (000 head) 1,505 1,810 2,059 1,904 1,809 1,910 1,412 1,676 Slaughter (liveweight, 000 t) 676 810 904 850 825 843 655 802 Slaughter (carcass weight @ 52% extraction) 352 421 470 442 429 438 341 417 Total exports of fresh beef (000 t, carcass weight) 122 187 246 234 224 255 150 236 Exports as a percentage of production (%) 35 44 52 53 52 58 44 56 Sources: INAC http://www.inac.gub.uy, MGAP http://www.mgap.gub.uy/. 31 Appendix 10. Exports of Frozen Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 Market 1995 1996 1,039 1,175 Chile European Union 4,800 6,829 Brazil 12,811 31,124 Argentina 2,516 5,187 Canary Islands 140 433 Canada Israel 5 2 United States 9 3,021 Mexico Japan & Korea Other destinations 529 50 Total 21,849 47,821 Market 1995 1996 European Union 35,786 42,165 Chile 2,914 2,585 Brazil 17,319 39,662 Argentina 3,134 5,734 Canary Islands 641 1,807 Canada Israel 4 20 United States 36 7,767 Mexico Japan & Korea Other destinations 1,849 231 Total 62 99,971 Volume (t of shipped product) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2,793 7,415 5,053 4,339 6,667 7,062 7,428 6,783 53,568 37,679 14,310 18,419 6,401 20,384 8,945 8,109 433 424 460 216 22 2 132 164 85 71 204 3,344 5,024 4,948 3,800 42 1,622 3,632 1 29 437 434 1,076 578 73,750 78,537 44,179 46,069 Value (000 US$) 1997 1998 1999 2000 41,393 44,536 45,449 37,810 6,799 18,574 9,368 8,563 77,672 64,745 23,132 30,978 8,297 35,509 13,132 11,352 1,818 1,957 2,126 948 90 5 279 508 184 130 447 8,191 13,972 12,140 10,230 108 3,342 7,765 10 56 1,620 1,721 3,415 1,942 146,064 181,257 112,840 110,152 Source: INAC http://www.inac.gub.uy. 32 2001 2002 1,248 11,915 5,380 8,685 10,050 4,724 7,197 4,185 188 656 75 47 242 1,602 19 141 265 26,142 30,477 2001 24,367 2,544 18,625 9,773 615 179 580 4,249 58 2002 39,796 19,533 12,605 3,391 2,180 121 281 569 61,271 78,195 Appendix 11. Exports of Chilled Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 Volume (tons of shipped product) Market 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Israel 20,293 23,120 28,871 29,472 28,910 26,311 20,020 25,738 European Union 18,237 17,770 22,781 17,610 12,317 9,659 10,875 18,960 Brazil 8,081 7,790 6,312 4,542 3,803 3,553 2,116 11,745 Canary Islands 5,324 4,954 4,726 3,757 2,350 2,482 2,069 4,006 Canada 366 8,123 1,376 16,926 24,754 23,263 1,884 Argentina 353 1,059 1,625 5,402 787 1,129 612 399 Chile 3,333 4,296 6,934 9,555 3,279 1,817 947 United States 232 19,144 15,453 9,367 16,659 15,649 7,552 49 160 6,383 12,396 422 Mexico Japan & Korea 308 3,034 12,513 Other destinations 5,986 5,762 7,643 8,295 12,036 14,921 6,121 55,806 Total 61,839 84,261 102,517 89,844 106,484 125,184 73,997 118,538 Value (000 US$) Market 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Israel 41,518 48,172 59,917 69,160 60,132 56,452 38,851 45,599 European Union 52,633 47,537 57,721 50,626 35,267 27,565 26,554 37,623 Brazil 16,142 15,918 13,845 9,851 4,927 5,497 3,145 9,747 Canary Islands 18,954 16,751 15,296 12,952 9,778 8,625 5,024 8,781 Canada 583 13,031 2,125 25,975 39,793 39,593 2,898 Argentina 622 1,827 2,695 8,778 1,437 1,359 691 264 Chile 7,609 8,566 13,495 19,921 5,477 2,517 1,524 United States 455 30,446 27,715 16,919 32,211 32,119 16,060 Mexico 99 282 10,540 22,669 911 Japan & Korea 555 7,442 25,110 Other destinations 14,134 10,943 13,877 16,221 20,126 23,594 8,066 68,392 Total 152,067 180,743 217,691 207,390 213,312 245,300 140,419 173,304 Source: INAC http://www.inac.gub.uy. 33 Appendix 12. Exports of Processed Beef from Uruguay by Export Destination, 1995–2002 Volume (t of shipped product) Market 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 European Union 4,675 4,908 4,592 5,245 5,552 4,440 4,078 4,013 United States 1,462 1,951 1,860 1,818 1,048 1,368 2,513 3,767 Canada 136 257 206 160 88 17 157 Mexico 21 Brazil 11 161 151 12 Israel 35 18 4 Argentina Chile Canary Islands Japan & Korea 69 Other destinations 796 834 1,185 888 234 141 5 163 Total 7,138 7,950 7,854 8,146 6,940 6,127 6,747 8,137 Value (000 US$) Market 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 United States 5,736 5,932 6,018 6,392 3,472 4,467 7,984 9,272 European Union 13,151 12,329 10,840 13,420 11,852 8,621 7,216 7,602 Canada 388 623 476 411 187 79 355 Mexico 41 Israel 83 41 9 Brazil 55 108 99 7 Argentina Chile Canary Islands Japan & Korea 247 Other destinations 2,337 2,148 3,105 2,223 588 361 20 346 Total 21,859 21,032 20,494 22,529 16,140 13,636 15,319 17,632 Source: INAC http://www.inac.gub.uy. 34 References Berentsen, P.B.M., A.A. 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