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Final Presentation Spatial Analysis of Migration In AP and its possible causes Ajith(200601037) Ankush Khandelwal(200601011) Anurag Tayal(200601014) Kumar Srijan(200602015) This map shows the index values which represent the ratio of the rural population and urban population. Higher the index value more is the rural population and thus that area is more prone to out migration triggered by rainfall. This map shows location of water bodies .Blue colored features shows the water bodies. Data capture time was 2005. The districts having water bodies will be less affected by variation in rainfall. The table shows the population collected for all the districts of Andhra Pradesh This table shows rainfall values collected in mm for each district from 1991-2001. This data will be used to find the areas which have faced unusual rainfall patterns which might have led to migration. This map shows rainfall profile over 11 years(1991-2001) for each district of Andhra Pradesh Rainfall profile of Guntur Rainfall profile of Adilabad These graphs shows that Adilabad has faced less variation about mean rainfall and thus might have experienced less migration. The combination with other factors will tell us the final picture. Values are in mm. This map shows standard deviation in rainfall which very well captures the variability in rainfall. High variability is undesirable for cultivation so by this map it can be inferred that upper region of Andhra Pradesh has more rainfall than coastal regions. This map shows soil pattern of the state. This has been considered because soil type decide the water requirement of the land and thus can influence migration as soil with less requirement may survive less rainfall condition. This map shows water holding capacity of the soils of Andhra Pradesh. High water holding capacity can help in good sustenance of crops in case of less rainfall. Relative Migration • Because of lack of exact data regarding population growth and migration, new index has been introduced. • RM= (% population in 2001 - % population in 1991)/%population in 1991 • It shows the relative movement of population within the state based on it’s previous population assuming constant growth rate for each district. Relative migration for each district (darker color shows higher inmigration) This map shows the general trend in migration. People are migrating from coastal and lower regions to upper region of Andhra Pradesh. Districts not following the general trend Questions addressed • We are going to answer why general trend has appeared? • Explaining the reasons for the outliers(vishakhapatnam and kurnool) • These will be answered based on the rainfall, rice cultivation , rural-urban index and soil data. Reasons for General Trend • Rural-Urban Index is low in upper region of Andhra Pradesh, so upper region is less affected by variation in rainfall. • The standard deviation in rainfall in upper region is very less as compared to lower region of Andhra Pradesh, which means that the upper region witnessed less variation in rainfall. Hence it was more suitable for cultivation. Reasons for General Trend • The water holding capacity of the upper region was good as compared to coastal regions. Reasons for Outliers • Kurnool and Vishakhapatnam have less RuralUrban Index as compared to their neighboring districts. • District near Vishakhapatnam(Srikakulam and Vizianagaram) have high Rural-Urban Index and high percentage of rice fallows.Moreover the water holding capacity in these districts is less which would have made cultivation unsuitable. Vishakhapatnam having low Rural-Urban Index must have provided employment opportunities. Thank You