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Transcript
The Impact of Urban Decay on Potential RVFV Vectors During the Recent Economic Crisis
Grace Schulte
Old Dominion University
VMCA 2012
The Pathogen
• Rift Valley Fever Virus
– Family Bunyaviridae, Genus Phlebovirus
• Main mode of transmission
– Direct or indirect contact with blood or organs of infected animals
– Evidence of infection through milk
– No human – to – human contact to date
• Vector
– Mosquitos, biting flies
• Hosts
– Primarily ungulates, occasionally humans Clinical Features in Humans
• Mild
– Flu‐ like symptoms (4‐7 days)
– Can be mistaken for meningitis
• Severe
– Ocular Disease
– Meningoencephalitus
– Viral Hemorrhagic Fever
RVF in Animals
• Affects many species
• Usually causes severe disease
• Sheep, goats, cattle most susceptible
• Death: 90% of young vs. 10% of adults
• ~ 100% abortion rate
– Sudden mass abortion in herds hallmark
Recent Status
2000 – Yemen / Saudi Arabia
2006 ‐ Kenya
Most current/ongoing outbreak – South Africa Current Vaccines • Inactivated Vaccine for human use
– Not licensed, not commercially available
– Experimentally used for vet and lab personnel
• Vaccines for Animals
– Live
• One dose; may result in spontaneous abortion
– Attenuated
• Several doses
– Must be implemented prior to outbreak!
Implications for the US
• RVFV listed as a select agent of the HHS and USDA
• Can easily enter the states (WNV)
– Infected animals/people
– Mechanical vector transport
– Malicious intent
• Favorable seasonal and ecological conditions present
Competent US Vectors
Tested
Aedes canadensis
Ae. cantator
Ae. dorsalis
Ae. excrucians
Ae. sollicitans
Ae. taeniorhynchus
Ae. triseriatus
Ae. vexans
Anopholes bradleyi‐crucians
Culex erraticus
Cx. pipiens
Cx. quinquefasciatus
Cx salinarius
Cx. tarsalis
Cx. territans
Culicoides sonorensis
Most Competent
Aedes canadensis
Aedes taeniorhynchus
Aedes vexans
Culex erraticus
Culex pipiens
Culex tarsalis
Confounding Factors
• Low larval rearing temp + warm adult holding temp = most efficient transmission
• Ae. vexans – Florida and Louisiana – efficient
– Colorado and California – incompetent
• Competence or lack thereof in lab does not necessarily equal that in the wild
Risk Mapping
• First Prediction of Outbreak (Assaf Anayamba, et al)
– 2009
– 2‐6 week warning
– Sea‐surface temp, rainfall, vegetation index satellite data
– Epidemiological and entomological information
Recent Project
• Modeling and Analysis of key factors
– Temperature / Rainfall (NOAA Climate Data) – Vector Biology and distribution (Surveillance efforts)
– Agricultural Data • Creation of a nationwide data analysis system
– Useful to USDA, DHS, and state health departments
• Substantial gaps in surveillance data
Texas Mosquito Analysis
Texas Risk Maps
Temperature
Precipitation
Texas Risk Map
Collaboration w/ UC Davis
• California Vector‐borne Surveillance Gateway – “CalSurv Gateway”
– complete mosquito‐borne virus surveillance management system
• West Nile Virus – Shares many of the same vector species
– Subject to common patterns and concerns
New Discoveries
• Neglected (Green) Swimming Pools in Bakersfield, Ca. – Cx. p. quinquefasciatus
– Cx. tarsalis!!
*Reisen, W.K., et al. (2008) Delinquent Mortgages, Neglected Swimming Pools, and West Nile Virus, California. Emerging Infectious Diseases 14(11):1747‐1749
New Focus – Future Strategy
• Foreclosure, abandoned home rates
– Start small, interpolate
• Current species distribution trends
Acknowledgements Primary Investigator:
Dr. Holly Gaff
GIS Mapping:
Dr. Hua Liu
Also:
Dr. William Riesen
Dr. Chris Barker
Bborie Park
UC Davis WNV Research Group
Funding provided by:
Questions?