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Exomoon Detections with TESS, CHEOPS, and PLATO René Heller1, Michael Hippke2, Ben Placek3, Daniel Angerhausen4,5, Eric Agol6,7 1 Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, PLATO Data Center, Justus-von-Liebig-Weg 3, 37077 Göttingen, Germany, [email protected] 2 Luiter Straße 21b, 47506 Neukirchen-Vluyn, Germany, [email protected] 3 Center for Science and Technology, Schenectady County Community College, Schenectady, NY 12305, USA, [email protected] 4 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA, [email protected]; 5 USRA NASA Postdoctoral Program Fellow 6 Astronomy Department, U of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA, [email protected]; 7 NASA Astrobiology Institute’s Virtual Planetary Laboratory The Orbital Sampling Effect Transit Timing Variations and Transit Duration Variations Moons store key information about planet formation that is inaccessible by planet observations alone [1]. Exoplanets smaller than the largest solar system moon (Ganymede, 0.4 R⨁) have been detected with the Kepler space telescope [2], but no exomoon has yet been found [3]. Large exomoons could be detectable with Kepler [4,5,6,7] or with the upcoming PLATO mission [8]. Big moons can form around super-Jovian planets [9,10], dozens of which have been found in the stellar habitable zones around Sun-like stars. The discovery of a Mars-mass moon in the habitable zone would make it a primary target for astrobiological studies. Here we highlight two novel methods to search for exomoons around transiting exoplanets. Phase-folded transit light curves of exoplanets with moons may show what we refer to as the orbital sampling effect, which emerges after about a dozen transits. Statistically speaking, a moon appears more often at large apparent separations from its planet and thereby creates an extra distortion in the average transit shape. While the orbital sampling effect is a direct photometric signature of the moon itself, an independent verification of an exomoon is possible if the planet shows additional transit timing variations (TTVs) and transit duration variations (TDVs) [14]. Transits of planets with moons are not strictly periodic due to the planetary motion around the planet-moon(s) barycenter. Sometimes the planetary transit is late, at other times it is too early with respect to the average timing. Transit durations vary according to the planet’s instantaneous velocity around the local barycenter. After many transits of an exoplanet with a single moon, the TTV-TDV diagram forms an ellipse. Multiple moons cause more complex patterns. We find that a combination of TESS, CHEOPS, and PLATO data would offer a compelling opportunity for an exomoon discovery around a bright star [14]. 100 data from exoplanets.eu as of 30 June 2016 10-1 100 transit duration variation [minutes] 101 100.2 normalized stellar brightness [%] planetary mass [Jupiter masses] Why Exomoons Are Important 99.8 99.6 99.4 10-2 10-2 10-1 100 101 102 stellar distance [AU] 103 104 Figure 1: Extrasolar planets and brown dwarf candidates with known masses and stellar distances. 655 objects have been detected via radial velocity or astrometry measurements, 423 objects are transiting, and 67 objects have been directly imaged (1145 objects in total). The blue shaded region illustrates the solar habitable zone defined by the runaway greenhouse limit (inner edge) and the maximum greenhouse (outer edge) [11,12]. Most objects in the habitable zone are super-Jovian planets, which could be orbited by large exomoons. Moons cannot be detected by stellar radial velocity measurements, and exomoon detections via direct imaging of extrasolar planets are beyond current technological feasibility. The transit method is the most promising means to find extrasolar moons in the near future. At the PLATO Data Center, which is in charge of the data calibration and processing of the upcoming PLATO mission (~2024-2030), we also study the possibility of exomoon discoveries with PLATO. -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 time around planetary mid-transit [hours] 8 Figure 2: Model for the orbital sampling effect due to a hypothetical extrasolar moon [13]. The host planet is Kepler-229c, a 4.8 R⨁ planet in a 17 days orbit around a 0.7 R⨀ star. Gray dots show the detrended and phase-folded Kepler light curve, white dots are bins of 10 minutes, and the blue line is a transit model for Kepler-229c with a super-Ganymede-sized moon (0.7 R⨁). The inset in the lower left corner shows a zoom into the transit ingress with three different moon models (see legend). The inset at the right illustrates our model of a transiting planet (black circle) with a probability density distribution Ps(x) for the hypothetical satellite, where x is its sky-projected distance to the planet. Our preliminary studies suggest that the orbital sampling effect can be detectable for moons akin to the solar system moons if the host star is a photometrically quiet M dwarf and if more than a dozen transits are available for phase-folding [6,7,13]. Exoplanets I Conference, 3-8 July 2016, Davos, Switzerland 4 3 data one-moon model two-moon model 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -30 -20 -10 0 10 transit timing variation [minutes] 20 30 Figure 3: TTV-TDV simulations for an exoplanet with a moon [14]. We assumed an Earth-mass planet with a Mars-mass moon (a mass ratio akin to the Pluto-Charon system) in a 236 days orbit around a 0.55 M⨀, 0.53 R⨀ star (like KOI-868). Yellow symbols represent simulated Kepler observations, the solid ellipse illustrates our best-fit model for a single moon, and the dashed line is our best-fit model for a two-moon scenario. Bayesian statistics favors the one-moon interpretation. References [1] Heller+ (2014) Astrobiology 14 798 [2] Barclay+ (2013) Nature 494 452 [3] Kipping+ (2015) ApJ 813 14 [4] Kipping+ (2012) ApJ 750 115 [5] Szabó+ (2013) A&A 553 A17 [6] Heller (2014) ApJ 787 14 [7] Hippke (2015) ApJ 806 51 [8] Hippke & Angerhausen (2015) ApJ 810 29 [9] Canup & Ward (2006) Nature 441 834 [10] Heller & Pudritz (2015) ApJ 806 181 [11] Kopparapu+ (2013) ApJ 765 131 [12] Heller & Pudritz (2015) A&A 578 A19 [13] Heller+ (2016) ApJ 820 88 [14] Heller+ (2016) A&A 591 A67