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Zoltán Kaló Professor of Health Economics ISPOR 18th Annual European Congress, Milan 10 November 2015 e-mail: [email protected] New technology is cost-effective at a given price Its premium price can be justified by additional health gain or savings in the health care budget Caveat: the value based price is country specific In Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries compared to Western European (WE) countries savings from avoided medical events is less willingness to pay for one life year / QALY gain is less prices of new pharmaceuticals are not significantly different due to the extensive us of external price referencing Conclusion: what is just cost-effective in WE (e.g. at NICE), it is usually not cost-effective in CEE countries prices of new pharmaceuticals are usually not value based in CEE In most cases the new drug is not cost-effective, except health burden in CEE is greater than WE a non cost-effective drug is already reimbursed, and a new drug is not worse and slightly cheaper (cost-minimization) If a drug is not cost-effective, and the critical appraisal team is not experienced in economic modelling companies / market access consultants may prepare an economic evaluation report with manipulated results, especially if model submission is not requested or not mandatory HTA reports are not publicly available there is no follow-up / revision of previous conclusions Decisions are based on potentially manipulated scientific evidence, such systems are prone to corruption In most cases the new drug is not cost-effective, except health burden in CEE is greater than WE If a drug is not cost-effective, and the critical appraisal team is experienced in economic modelling, and there is room for confidential price reduction through managed entry agreements companies submit the HTA dossier with local adaption of international models HTA agencies may validate the model, and calculate the true value based price managed entry agreements may provide the necessary price reduction to reach the value price Decision are evidence based, however some details remain confidential. Implementation of such systems requires substantial input by HTA professionals, especially health economists. Motto: "you do not need to repeat what is already done by prestigious HTA agencies in WE" If the drug is just cost-effective in WE, market access is justified in CEE countries Decision, however, is inappropriate international economic model are not adapted to lower income countries transferability of cost-effectiveness evidence is limited especially if confidential pricing agreement is implemented in WE Decisions are based on inappropriate scientific evidence without local adaptation of international evidence Some pharma companies, as it translates to market access with low investment and relatively high drug prices in CEE Consultants, who are against or not experienced in conducting economic evaluations do not prefer decisions based on explicit criteria (WE HTA agencies / research centers? importance of their decisions or research is increased with reference by other countries?) Impact on chances for full HTA implementation no need for training HTA professionals academic centers cannot develop, and consequently have limited chances to join EU projects no incentives for local economic evaluation limited improvement in quality of local data trained professionals usually leave the country Impact on patients & opportunity cost patients with access to non cost-effective medicines: huge benefit all other patients: access limits Overall impact: Gap between WE and CEE is increased Building light HTA approach in Central and Eastern European countries based on HTA recommendations in Western European countries: more harm than good? YES (personal opinion) Reasonable approach: national adaptation (reuse) of international work with managed entry agreement, if necessary. This is in line with the EUnetHTA approach Academic approach: compare recommendations of light HTA vs. national adaptation of international work (n>20), and use light HTA only if recommendations are the same Tradition for corruption in CEE Bad reputation of pharma industry due to inappropriate sales practices "Market access" becomes more crucial than "Marketing & sales" Be careful with manipulation of economic models promoting the use of non-transferable scientific evidence selection of your consultans Sales driven evidence Evidence driven sales