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Chi-Square Analysis AP Biology So in your P1 you bred a pure bred tongue roller RR with a pure bred non-tongue roller rr and obtain 100% Rr tongue rollers in the F1. Now you breed to of the F1 and get this…. In the event we had 100 offspring we should get what phenotypic ratio? (Based on the data above?) 3:1 so that….. 75 tongue rollers and 25 non-tongue rollers BUT, what if we don’t get that exactly? What if I get 81 tongue rollers and 19 non-tongue rollers….is that ok? Or is that a difference that is a problem? To review We expected a 3:1 ratio of tongue to nontongue rollers or 75 rollers : 25 non-rollers. Is our data close enough? Can we say with certainty that tongue rolling is Mendelian and there is no other inheritance issues going on? Are we confident that we can accept those differences as due to “random chance alone”? Validity of genetic crosses CHI SQUARE ANALYSIS: The chi square analysis allows you to use statistics to determine if your data is “good” or “non-biased” or if the data is “bad” or “biased” If statistics show the data is biased this means that the data is statistically to far from what you expected and something is causing the difference beyond just normal chance occurrences. In genetics, we are using laws of probability to determine possible outcomes for genetic crosses. How do we know if our data is a “good fit” for what we predicted? WE PERFORM A CHI SQUARE ANALYSIS! CHI SQUARE FORMULA: NULL HYPOTHESIS: The hypothesis is termed the null hypothesis which states That there is NO substantial statistical deviation (difference) between observed values and the expected values. In other words, the results or differences that do exist between observed and expected outcomes are totally random and occurred by chance alone. And so we can accept our original idea that tongue rolling is a Mendelian, dominant trait. CHI SQUARE VALUE: If the null hypothesis is supported by analysis • The assumption is that mating is random and normal gene segregation and independent assortment occurred. • Note: this is the assumption in all genetic crosses! This is normal meiosis occurring and we would expect random segregation and independent assortment. If the null hypothesis is not supported by analysis • The deviation (difference) between what was observed and what the expected values were is statistically too far apart…something non-random must be occurring…. • Possible explanations:?????? DF VALUE: In order to determine the probability using a chi square chart you need to first determine the degrees of freedom (DF) DEGREE OF FREEDOM: is the number of phenotypic possibilities in your cross minus one. DF = # of groups (phenotype classes) – 1 Using the DF value, determine the probability or distribution using the Chi Square table (given) If the level of significance read from a given table is less than or equal to 0.05, it means that data is 95% probable of being duplicated and thus, we accept it. Let’s try it! Expected Tongue rollers Non-rollers χ2 = Sum of all: (O-E)2 E 75 Observed (Actual) 81 25 19