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APHG Ch. 9 Development Improving material conditions Diffusion of knowledge & technology Nations & regions clustered at high & low ends MDC v. LDC 3 factors impact variation Economic = GDP per capita Social = literacy & amount of education Demographics = life expectancy Together = HDI ratio created by UN (1.0 = highest) Economic Indicators 1. HDI only counts GDP per capita >$20,000 in MDC and <$1,000 in LDC Highest ones >$40,000, lowest <$500 Gap widening Does NOT indicate distribution GDP per capita PPP = adjusted for purchasing power parity 2. Types of Jobs or Economic Structure Primary, Secondary & Tertiary % pop. Working in Ag. >75% in LDC, <5% in MDC Efficiency & global competition decrease primary & secondary jobs and increase tertiary in MDCs Economic Indicators 3. Productivity MDC produce more with less labor LDC use more human or animal labor, less machinery Measured by value added per worker U.S. avg $40,000 vs. LDC avg $2,500 4. Raw Materials Inputs & energy sources Europe had coal & iron ore to promote 19th century industrial revolution Colonial period sustained Europe’s development & retarded Africa & Asia’s Some nations develop w/o raw materials Economic Indicators 5. Consumer Goods Nonessentials (beyond food, clothing, shelter) Production promotes expansion of manufacturing & generates increase in GDP 3 items = good indicators of society’s development level Vehicles, telephones, televisions Accessible to almost all in MDC & vital to economy 1:1 ration in MDC over 100:1 ration common in LDC Gaps in LDCs from urban to rural Increase exposure to diversity & impact social characteristics Economic Indicators 6. Gini Coefficient: measures income disparity between wealthy & poor in a nation 0=complete equality, 1=complete inequality MDCs may have higher # than LDCs Best nations ≈.2, Worst nations ≈.6 Does not address wealth (only income) Greece U.K. Merica! Social Indicators 1. Education & Literacy Quantity = avg # years (10 in MDC vs. 2 0r 3 in LDC) Quality student/teacher ratio (LDC = 2x MDC) Literacy – MDC >95%, LDC < 1/3 Gender gap in LDCs – avg 60F:100M MDCs publish more Textbooks predominantly in Eng, Germ, Russian, or French even in LDCs LDC often focus on Education as key to development but funds in short supply Social Indicators 2. Health & Welfare MDC have lower ratios of people to doctors, hospitals Often health care = public service in MDC Access to utilities and sanitation = issues Diet impacts health Most MDCs = more calories & protein than needed Most LDCs = less calories & protein than needed MDCs = public assistance for sick, disabled, veterans, orphaned, widows, unemployed etc. Highest levels in Scandinavian countries Slower economic growth = program maintenance is a hardship Social Indicators 3. Gender Inequality Index UN started calculating in 2010 3 dimensions Reproductive health: MMR (Maternal mortality), AFR (Adolescent fertility) Empowerment: Share of parliamentary seats & higher education attainment Labor market: Participation in the workforce Range from .04 in best nations to .7 in worst (Netherlands to Yemen) Demographic Indicators 1. Life expectancy in HDI MDCs ≈ mid 70s, LDCs ≈ early 40s Gap larger for women MDCs have increasing elderly % & decreasing % <15 2. Infant Mortality MDCs ≈ 1%, LDCs ≈ 10% 3. NIR >2% in LDC, <1% in MDC LDCs need increased income to cover increased population vs. improving development level 4. Crude Birth Rate Range from 8 per 1000 to 50 per 1000 Economic & social factors decrease # babies in MDCs 10 to 20 times more mothers die in childbirth in LDCs Other Indices GPI – Genuine Progress Indicator Modifies GDP based on ‘quality of life’ Considers environmental impact, social values, level of equality etc. GNH – Gross National Happiness Origins in Bhutan Includes 9 domains of wellness, mostly measured via survey data How was 2013? Distribution of MDCs and LDCs Distribution of MDCs vs. LDCs 9 regions based on development 1. Anglo-America = MDC 2. Latin America = upper LDC 3. Western Europe = MDC 4. Eastern Europe = lower MDC 5. East Asia = Upper LDC 6. South Asia = Upper LDC 7. Southeast Asia = LDC 8. Southwest Asia & North Africa (Middle East) = LDC 9. Sub-Saharan Africa = Lower LDC Two other areas not part of 9 major regions = Japan and South Pacific = MDC Distribution of MDCs vs. LDCs North/South Split MDCs mainly north of 30 degree North latitude LDCs south of 30 degree South latitude Core-Periphery – using north polar projection p. 307 MDCs = inner core = dominant economic role LDCs = peripheral locations = dependent on MDC core Anglo-America – HDI .93 Less diverse language & religious patterns 95% English & 95% Christian Tensions with diversity relatively small vs. other regions Wealth of raw materials = important producer Main exporter of: Leisure services, entertainment, mass media, sports etc. Important food Information processing systems Western Europe – HDI .91 Strong national identities forged from language & religious differences (previous comp. led to wars) Post WWII cooperation – eliminating economic barriers NIR ≤ 0, population growth mainly Muslim or Hindu immigrants Lacks raw materials: need to import food, energy, minerals since end of colonies Compensate by providing high-value goods/services like luxury items, banking services etc. Eastern Europe – HDI .75 Abundant reserves of raw materials Historically = MDC but low HDI Rapid development in 50s & 60s under communism Soviet 5 year plans for heavy industry Moved manufacturing near raw materials vs. near markets Numbers inflated under communist government? 1990s dismantled communist structures Uncontrolled pollution, closing inefficient factories, ending subsidies, increased unemployment & inflation Czech Republic, Hungary & Slovenia convert rapidly to market economy. Japan – HDI .92 Remarkable development considering ratio of population to resources—high physiological density Land intensively farmed Imports most meat & grain & raw materials Lower labor & production costs gained global foothold Switched to what they were best at: Abundant supply of skilled labor Specializing in high-quality, high-value items Educated/skilled labor force, R&D South Pacific – HDI .92 High HDI in Australia & New Zealand but rest = LDC Less central to global economy Smaller population & peripheral location Culturally tied to Britain Net exporters of food & resources Economic ties to Japan & Asia Latin America – HDI .76 Culturally, majority = Spanish or Portuguese & Catholic Masks diversity of heritage from natives & Africa More urbanized than other LDC Population concentrated on Atlantic Coast Proximity to U.S. aids some development Brazil & Argentina export wheat & corn Development hindered by inequitable distribution of land and wealth East Asia – HDI .70 China = largest size but low per capita GDP, on track to become 2nd largest economy this year or next Communist control of production & distribution loosening Intensive farming required to feed population Lack of farming risks starvation, famine Lower NIR than other LDC Growth can help improve standard of living vs. support increased population Southeast Asia – HDI .68 Indonesia = largest population w/one of highest arithmetic densities on Java ½ century of warfare in various areas Tropical climate limits intensive grain production Mountains, volcanoes & typhoons = natural limits Rice = most important food Exported from Thailand & Vietnam Imported to Malaysia, Philippines etc. Harvest many products for manufacturing Palm oil, copra, natural rubber, kapok (insulation), abaca (fabric/rope), tin & oil Rapid manufacturing development in Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia & Philippines textiles etc. with cheap labor Auto center in Thailand Reforms in mid to late 1990s to restore international confidence = reduced standard of living. Middle East – HDI .63 Mostly desert but oil = major asset (but not for ALL) Tension between nation with and nations without Must import most products Oil = only region out of main 9 with trade surplus Only region where lack of funds does not prevent development Challenge to promote development w/o eroding traditional Islamic values (95% of population) Internal cultural disputes & revolt against Anglo-Am or European customs Israeli issue means more $ put toward military vs. development South Asia – HDI .54 World’s 2nd highest population & 2nd lowest per capita income High population density & NIR Many resources but ratio of resources to population unfavorable Leads production of some products Green Revolution Big help but monsoon rains still dictate productivity Sub-Saharan Africa – HDI .46 Lower population density than other LDCs Contains resources valuable to development Least favorable prospects Highest % of poverty, poor health & lack of education Colonial influence Mainly export raw materials Landlocked status and decreased prices for materials hurt Frequent wars Imbalance between population & capacity of land Can’t support large concentrations World’s highest NIR rates How will everyone else get here? Model of Devlopment Rostow’s Development Model 5 stages of Development (take off model) MDCs completed stage 1-3 earlier – now in 4 or 5 LDCs in stages 1-3 Money required to advance International Aid = $ International Aid usually means debt (not part of model) Rostow Rostow countries 2 groups chose Rostov model vs. self sufficiency in mid 20th century 1. Persian Gulf Area Use petroleaum $ for housing, infrastructure, airports Leads to supranationalism--OPEC Started producing steel, aluminum, & chemicals for world export Diffusion of goods changes landscape (globalization) Conflict between Islam & MDC business tactics Women’s restrictions All business halting for prayer several times daily Rostow countries 2. East/SE Asia ‘Asian tigers’ Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, S. Korea Virtually no resources under imperialism Post WW2: Began focusing on handful of goods to produce using lower cost advantage Exploits cheap labor Colonialism still lingers: wealth concentrated in handful of ppl Move from periphery to semi-periphery or core Social mobility limited by caste system (Hindu) Wallerstein’s World Systems Model Core (majority MDCs) Geographically advantaged, exploit peripheral areas, mainly N. America & Europe, also Japan & Australia Periphery least developed; exploited for cheap labor, raw materials, and agricultural production. Semi-periphery exploited by the core and exploiting the periphery areas Recent expansion into manufacturing areas no longer profitable in core Obstacles to LDC Development Many making progress with key indicators But, MDC/LDC gap widening (1st World Problems) Last 20 years LDCs GDP per capita doubled and NIR down 5% MDCs GDP per capita tripled and NIR down 83% Am. Spend more on cosmetics than cost of building schools for all children Eur. Spends more on ice cream than cost of providing working indoor plumbing to all 2 major obstacles to rapid development Adopting policies that promote development Self-sufficiency model vs. International trade model (Rostow) Finding funds to pay for development Self Sufficiency/Balanced Growth Model Most common in 20th century Adopted by India, China, most of Africa & Eastern Europe Invest equally across sectors of economy & regions of nation Modest growth Fair to urban & rural Reducing poverty Protects infant-industries with tariffs, quotas, licenses etc. Self Sufficiency/Balanced Growth Model Example: India Effective trade barriers on imports & exports Did not allow converting rupees to other currencies Government subsidized some industries & controlled others Problems Protection of inefficient industries Lack of competition keeps prices high & quality low Large bureaucracy = abuse & corruption easily develop International Trade Model Identify distinctive assets (comparative advantage) Expand distinct local industries to world market Use to finance further development International competition forces continuing improvement of processes & products International Trade Model Problems Uneven resource distribution (ex. of oil in Middle East won’t work for everyone etc.) Market Stagnation – world market expanding slower Limited population growth in MDCs LDCs must capture sales from established competitors vs. supply for expanded demand Increased dependence on MDCs – must import basic needs that are not part of the few goods being focused on (drains profits) Gained popularity in 1990s after India converted and doubled GDP growth rate Financing Development Loans Borrow to build infrastructure Main lenders = World Bank & IMF = controlled by MDC Theory = infrastructure brings investors/businesses Problems with expensive failures – don’t work or don’t attract investors = can’t repay debt Lack of repayment stops loans = stops building = damages economic stability in MDCs Canceling or refinancing debts = MDCs require unpopular structural adjustments = political unrest Transnational Corporations Initially, most with headquarters in U.S.; recent: Japan, Germany, France, UK Private investment in LDCs increased 10x in 1990s Transfers of manufacturing &/or assembly within a corporation common Most $ going from MDCs to MDCs 11 nations in Asia & Latin America top LDC recipients China gets about 20% Brazil about 15% Others include: Argentina, Chile, Mexico, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, Thailand, Turkey & Russia