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The role of collective agreements in times of crisis: developments in the private and public sector in Europe MANAGING WORKFORCE CHANGE: STRENGTHENING PUBLIC SERVICES AND SOCIAL DIALOGUE IN AN ERA OF AUSTERITY Brussels, 21 February 2013 Vera Glassner Questions addressed: How where crisis effects mediated through institutional setting for social dialogue and collective bargaining in the private and public sectors? - Between countries: representing different IR regimes (CZ; DK; FR, IT; NL; UK – and others!) - Between (private) sectors? What are differences between institutional and membership-based factors of trade unions to address effects of the crisis Focus of presentation on bargaining processes and bargained outcomes (vs. effective pay & conditions)! 2 CB responses to the crisis in the private sector Effects of economic crisis on CB and labour policies vary according to the type of industrial relations regime Effects were uneven across the EU due to multitude of factors - Political factors (composition of government, political change) - Depth and magnitude of economic crisis - IR institutions and – depending on them – - Responses of social partners and governments - Economic & institutional factors & responses differed across sectors & groups of employees 3 Table 1: Overview of industrial relations regimes in the EU Dimension Northern European Social Democratic Model CentralSouthern western European European NeoNeocorporatism corporatism Countries SE, DK, FI Trade union density (%) (2000-2009) 73.1 AT, DE, BE, NL, LU, SI 33.9 ES, PT, FR, IT, GR, CY 23.5 UK, MT, IE 33.2* CZ,SK,PL,HU, EE,LT,LV, RO,BG 19.8 Collective bargaining coverage rate (%) (2000-2009) Predominant level of collective bargaining MEBa or SEBb predominating 88.4 83.3 74.7 42.1* 36.3 Sector Sector Sector (FR : Company) Company Company MEB MEB MEB SEB SEB Regime Western European Liberalism Central-eastern European (‘embedded’) Neoliberalism 4 Table 1: Overview of industrial relations regimes in the EU (ct’d) Regime Dimension Northern CentralSouthern European western European Social European NeoDemocratic Neocorporatism Model corporatism Western European Liberalism Central-eastern European (‘embedded’) Neoliberalism Practice to No (except extend collective FI) agreements Yes** Yes** No Limited Statutory minimum wage No Yes (DE partly) Yes (except IT) Yes Yes Role of social partners in public policymaking Institutionaliz Institutionaliz Varying, ed ed Politicized Ad hoc, issuespecific Politicized; weak social partners Strong state but intervention rare Dominant state, strong legalism Role of state in Limited wage bargaining Limited; strong legalism Active state, clientelistic relationship 5 Social partner responses Private sector: national level Measures included in national social partner agreements (2008-2011) (ranked by no. of agreements) General training (AT, CY, NL, DE, IT, PL, FR, LT, RO, ES, PT, CZ, DK, FI, SE) Short-time work linked to training (AT, BE, BG, CZ, DE, DK, FR, IT, NL, PL, SI) Wage moderation/flexibilization of wage bargaining (BE, IT, NL, SI, SK, ES, GR) Short-time work (no link to training measures) (BE, DK, IT, NL, PT, RO) Working time flexibilisation (AT, BE, EE, PL, BG, FI) 6 Social partner responses Private sector: sector level General training (DE metal, chemicals, steel; FR metal; IT various sectors; NL metalworking; SE manufacturing, wood industry) Wage moderation/flexibilization of wage bargaining (AT metal; BE metal, chemicals, textiles; FI technology industry; NL metal, light engineering; SE technical professions, manufacturing etc.; DE metal, textiles, chemicals; IT metal; ES metal) Short-time work, linked to training (SE manufacturing; DE metal; IT various; FR metal) Short-time work, without link to training (BE chemicals, textiles, metal; IT metal) Working time flexibilization (NL metal, light engineering; IT various manufacturing branches) 7 Bargaining Low coordination Fragmented bargaining, mostly at Scope of company collective level bargaining High Mixed sectoral Sectoral Sectoral and and firm-level bargaining industry bargaining, widespread, level weak limited predominant enforceability freedoms (enforceable collective of sectoral for agreements agreements company bargaining and peace Mixed sectoral and economywide bargaining (enforceable central/sectoral agreements) clause) Low No legal provision for extension Legal provision existing but rarely used (<10% of workforce) High Legal provision existing and extensive use PL, LT, LV MT, UK CY, LU RO DK*, IT**, PT, SE* EE BG, CZ SK DE HU FR AT**, NL, ES SI, IE BE, FI, GR 8 Developments in the public sector Public austerity targeted at public sector wages & employment Dependence on international financial institutions: - HU, LV and RO received loans already in 2008 and 2009 government response cuts in public sector jobs and pay freezes/cuts Governance crisis in the Euro area : - GR, IR, PT, CY reveived IMF/EU loans (2010-2012) conditional upon fiscal reform & financial sustainability largest public sector pay cuts in southern EU Increasing public debt and deficts direct consequence of rising unemployment, fiscal stimulus packages and bail-out programmes for ailing banks public sector pay and/or employment cuts/freezes in UK, IT, ES, RO, PT, ES, IE etc. 9 Tab. 3: Public sector wages in the focus of austerity Gross government debt (% of GDP 2011) Low (< 60%) Medium (<100- High (>= 100%) >60%) No cuts (2008-2012) DK, FI, SE AT, MT +0% (20082012) BG, CZ, EE, LV, LU, PL, RO, SI, SK CY, FR, NL, ES, UK, HU, DE Cuts (20082012) RO(-15%), LV (- HU (-9%), 12%), LT(-9%), ES(~5%) EE(-7%), CZ (0 to4%) BE, GR, IT, IR, PT GR (-33%), PT (6 to -22%), IT(-5 to -10%), IR (~5%) 10 Tab. 4: Collective action in the public sector Unilateral state decision Collective action, to cut/freeze pay and/or including strike action and jobs in public sector demonstration, mass rally, picketing (only demonstration etc.) Yes: BG, HU, FR, CZ, EE, Yes: BE, HU, FR, SI, CZ, GR, IE, IT, LV, LT, LU, NL, EE, GR, IE, IT, NL, PT, PT, RO, SK, ES, UK RO, ES, UK (LV, LT, PL, SK) No: BE, DE, SI No: BG, DE, LU 11 Conclusions from findings in the public sector: Public sector no stronghold of collective bargaining any more Public sector unions lost bargaining power due to double role of state as employer and governments‘ aim to restore fiscal sustainability and international competitiveness via public austerity Effects of public austerity and increased recourse to neo-liberal policies in current crisis, e.g. labour market liberalisation, decentralisation of CB, labour code changes, on IR in private sector; Despite loss in bargaining power still high mobilisation power of public sector unions agains austerity drive of governments Changes in power resources of trade unions that affect their strategic responses to current challenges! 12 Fig. 4: Trade union density (net) in the EU27, weighted average EU-10 and EU-15 13 13 Fig. 5: Employer density EU27, weighted average EU10 and EU15 14 14 Fig. 6: Collective bargaining coverage rates EU27, weighted average EU10 and EU15 15 Fig. 7: Strike activity EU (measured as days-not-worked‘, per 1000 employees) 16 16 Tab. 5: Sources of trade union power in the EU27 Institutional power : MEB, Power ressource coordinated national/sectoral CB, high enforceability of collective agreements, extension of collective agreements Membership Low power: organisational power (union High density, strike activity) Low High EE, LT, LV CZ, HU, SK, PL AT, DE, NL, LU ES, FR, IT, PT, SI, BE, DK, GR, MT, CY SE, FI UK, IE RO, BG 17 Assumptions: Trade union strategies in the crisis 1) The larger institutional resources (national/sectoral CB, bargaining coordination, extension practice) the higher probability that trade unions use CB as instrument to tackle crisis Central-western EU, Nordic EU, FR, IT 2) The lower institutional resources AND the higher memership power, the higher probability that trade unions mobilize against public austerity Southern EU, RO 3) Low institutional AND membership power resources: responses via CB and/or mobilisation limited Baltic countries, CZ, SK, PL. 4) Encompassing institutional AND membership-based resources: Nordic EU (SI) 18 Findings: Social partner responses in varying institutional contexts Nordic EU: CB responses widespread: temp. lay-offs, work-sharing, link to training, flexibilisation of pay-setting; public sector almost not affected by cuts; high incidence of strikes (exc. DK!); Central-western EU: CB widely used (lesser in SI): short-time work (STW), linked to training in DE, FR; wage moderation in all countries; public sector wage freezes (NL, LU); low incidence of strikes (exc. NL public sector, SI) Liberal-western EU: Very few incidences of CB responses due to decentralised bargaining system, national social dialogue broke down over public sector pay cuts in IE; public sector workers affected by cuts& freezes of pay & employment; steep increase of strike activity – in particular IE; 19 Findings: Social partner responses in varying institutional contexts Southern EU: CB responses only in FR,IT: STW, training, wage moderation, flex. work organisation (IT); ES, PT, GR national agreements (in part. general training, wage moderation/flexibilisation); government measures to further decentralise and/or weaken CB (GR, PT, ES) deep cuts and repeated wage freezes in public sector; high incidence of public sector strikes (but: recent data on DNW lacking)! CEE: very few CB responses: mostly MNCs or manufacturing sectors with MEB: national-level agreements on training, wage moderation and flexibilisation work organisation; government measures to further decentralise and/or weaken CB (RO, HU); pronounced public austerity affected public sector; very low incidence of strikes! 20 Conclusions Responses of social partners and governments to address effects of crisis in private sectors varied according to industrial relations (IR) regime: Divergence in use of CB as anti-crisis instrument: northern and central-western EU, partly southern EU (IT, FR) vs. liberalwestern, ES, PT, GR and CEE When institutional resources and state support low, often recourse to membership-based strategies, e.g. organising & media campaigns, mobilisation against governments‘ austerity drive Sectoral differences: manufacturing vs. private services (partial exceptions telecommunications, transport, banking) Different groups of workers: core labour force vs. temporary workers 21 Conclusions Public sector: Weakening of CB, wage cuts/freezes, often by unilateral state decision Public austerity and employment cuts/freezes: general trend towards reduction of public sector employment reinforced in current debt crisis No correlation between extent of public deficits and debt and public sector austerity in CEE but link exists in Southern Europe Factors: dependence on international financial institutions, FDIs, (foreignbased) MNCs, weak social partners and highly politicized involvement of social partners in public policy making Decline of institutional support for CB: public sector unions as main driving forces for mobilisation against public austerity and government policy of weakening legal basis of MEB, workers‘ and trade union rights. BUT: STRUCTURAL (labour market) POWER (third power source),e.g. scarceness of qualified labour due to emigration, enhances SD & bargaining power of unions! 22 Publications: Glassner, V. with Keune, M. (2012) The crisis and social policy: The role of collective agreements, International Labour Review, 151(4): 351-376. Glassner, V. (2013) Central and eastern European industrial relations in the crisis: national divergence and path-dependent change, Transfer. European Review of Labour and Research, 9(2), forthcoming. 23 Developments in the public sector: Fig. 1: Employment in general government and public corporations as a percentage of the labour force (2000 and 2008), OECD 2011 24 Figure 2. Gross government debt in the EU27 (2008, 2010, 2011, % of GDP) 25 Figure 3. Gross government deficit (surplus) EU27 (2008, 2010, 2011,% of GDP) 26 Annual change in GDP (%) 27 Unemployment rates (total employment) 28