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OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Balance sheet of the European Central Bank (September 2000) Assets Liabilities Gold and foreign reserves Claims on governments 459.0 112.8 Claims on banks and financial institutions Other assets 481.7 Total 76.3 1129.8 Currency in circulation Reserves held by commercial banks Other deposits by banks and financial institutions Government deposits Other liabilities 373.5 113.1 Net worth 222.1 Total Source: Monthly Bulletin, ECB, November 2000 233.0 58.1 130.0 1129.8 Table 9.1 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS M0, M2, money market multipliers and currency (2000) M0 (% of GDP) Japan USA Eurozone UK 14.9% 6.0% 5.8% 3.7% M2 (% of GDP) Multiplier M2/M0 128.4% 11.0% 31.0% 61.9% 8.6 1.8 3.1 16.9 Currency (% of M2) 9.9% 54.4% 18.7% 5.9% Table 9.2 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Theoretical values of the money multiplier (M1/M0) Reserve ratio = rr Currency/M1 0% 5% 10% 20% 30% 5% 10% 20% 20.0 10.3 6.9 4.2 3.0 10.0 6.9 5.3 3.6 2.7 5.0 4.2 3.6 2.8 2.3 Table 9.3 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Seigniorage around the world Seigniorage 1980-91 1992-95 Inflation 1980-91 1992-95 Advanced Economies US Germany Japan 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 7.2 5.4 2.9 2.6 3.3 2.8 3.5 0.9 Hungary Poland Israel 0.4 7.0 1.9 4.1 2.2 0.5 12.7 99.5 111.1 23.1 34.6 11.3 Africa Asia Latin America 1.4 1.5 3.2 1.3 2.0 2.4 19.6 7.6 251.4 22.2 7.1 110.1 Source: Masson, Savastano and Sahrma (1998) Table 9.4 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Bank insurance Coverage of deposits Coverage of deposits Austria Belgium Denmark Finland 20 000 20 000 40 000 25 000 France Germany Greece Ireland 60 000 90% up to ceiling 20 000 20 000 90% up to ceiling 20 000 Iceland Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Sweden Spain UK 20 000 103 000 20 000 250 000 25 000 25 000 20 000 90% up to ceiling 22 000 Table 9.5 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Monetary policy procedures Interest rate Interest rate Supply Demand Supply of base money (M0) (a) Money targeting Supply Demand Supply of base money (M0) (b) Interest rate targeting Figure 9.1 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Central Bank Assets Liabilities Foreign assets Reserves of commercial banks Loans to comm. banks Claims on governments Assets Liabilities Bank notes held by nonbanks Bank notes held by nonbanks Deposits of government Net worth Commercial Banks Assets Liabilities Vault cash and reserves at Central Bank Liabilities to Central Bank Loans and securities Consolidated Government and Nonbank Private Sector Deposits of private sector Net worth Where’s M0? Deposits of private sector Government and private debt Deposits of government Real assets, incl. net worth of banking sector Net worth Figure 9.2 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Reserves-money stock link Reserves change in reserves Deposits change in deposits Figure 9.3 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Reserves-money stock link with currency M0 M1 Currency Reserves Currency change in reserves Deposits change in deposits Figure 9.4 Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS The money market Interest rate B A C D D 0 Monetary base (M0) Figure 9.5 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS ECB interest rates 6 lending EONIA refinancing 4 deposit 2 EONIA = euro overnight index average 0 1999 2000 Figure 9.6 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Bank of England’s Fan (inflation forecasts as of November 2000) Percentage increase in prices on a year earlier Source: Inflation Report, Bank of England, November 2000 Figure 9.7 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Foreign exchange market intervention and sterilization Danmarks Nationalbank Assets Foreign exchange -80,000,000 Liabilities Monetary base -80,000,000 Danmarks Nationalbank Assets Foreign exchange -80,000,000 Liabilities Monetary base (no change) Government bonds 80,000,000 Figure 9.8 OXFORD Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd edn UNIVERSITY PRESS Reserve and capital adequacy ratios Typical Commercial Bank, SA Assets Liabilities Central bank reserves Deposits Loans and securities Net worth Tier 1 (primary) capital Tier 2 (secondary) capital Figure 9.9