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Transcript
Economic Connectivity:
A Basis for Rebuilding Stability
and Confidence in Europe?
O C TO B E R 2 0 1 6
On
December
14,
2015,
the
Background
International Peace Institute (IPI),
with the support of the Federal
Department of Foreign Affairs of
Switzerland, organized a roundtable
in
Vienna
called
“Economic
Connectivity: A Way of Rebuilding
Bridges?” This roundtable aimed to
stimulate dialogue and exchange
ideas on how energy and economic
cooperation
can
foster
growth,
stability, and cooperation in the area
of the Organization for Security and
Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). The
workshop
brought
together
representatives of OSCE participating states, executive structures,
the private sector, civil society, and
academia.
Indira Abeldinova and Walter Kemp
served
as
roundtable.
rapporteurs
This
for
meeting
the
note
reflects the rapporteurs’ interpretation of the discussions and does not
necessarily represent the views of all
other participants.
IPI owes a debt of gratitude to the
Federal
Department
of
Foreign
Affairs of Switzerland for making this
roundtable possible.
Economic connectivity became a buzzword when talking about harmonization
of the integration processes within the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and
the European Union (EU)—the so-called “integration of integrations.” While
the expression is new, the idea is well-established. Indeed, the Helsinki Final
Act of 1975 stated that “cooperation in the fields of trade, industry, science
and technology, the environment and other areas of economic activity
contribute to the reinforcement of peace and security in Europe and in the
world as a whole.”1
At a time when diplomatic relations between Russia and the West have
deteriorated yet states remain linked by economic and energy interests, some
see economic connectivity as a possible entry point for maintaining dialogue
and rebuilding cooperation. While the economic (second) dimension of the
Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) has largely
been an empty basket for the past forty years, it is regarded—unlike the
politico-military (first) and human (third) dimensions of the OSCE’s work—
as one of the few potential areas of cooperation between East and West.
However, others have cautioned that precisely because of strained relations,
states should not pursue economic cooperation in the spirit of “business as
usual.” Indeed, punitive economic measures have been taken in the form of
sanctions.
Economic connectivity means different things to different people. In its
work, the International Peace Institute (IPI) has considered economic connectivity at three levels: (1) economic relations between Europe and Asia (across
Central Asia and Mongolia); (2) economic relations between the EuroAtlantic and Eurasian halves of the OSCE area (between the EU and the
Eurasian Economic Union); and (3) economic affairs within OSCE states,
particularly how to improve economic relations across internal boundary
lines, both to promote trade and as a confidence-building measure. During its
chairmanship of the OSCE in 2014, Switzerland promoted the idea of
economic connectivity. It is also a priority for the German chairmanship in
2016.
In response to this increased interest in economic connectivity, IPI, with the
support of the Federal Department of Foreign Affairs of Switzerland,
organized a roundtable on this topic on December 14, 2015, in Vienna. This
roundtable aimed to stimulate dialogue and exchange ideas on how energy
1 Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe, Final Act, Helsinki, 1975, p. 14.
2
and economic cooperation can foster growth,
stability, and cooperation in the OSCE area. The
workshop brought together representatives of
OSCE participating states, executive structures, the
private sector, civil society, and academia. This
meeting note provides an overview of that
workshop and offers some ideas on possible ways
to further develop the idea of economic connectivity.
Mechanisms of Economic
Connectivity
ECONOMIC CONNECTIVTY BETWEEN
REGIONAL GROUPINGS
Session 1 of the roundtable looked at the structural
challenges and asymmetric economic relationship
between the European Union (EU) and the
Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). It also focused
on recent economic developments between Russia
and Ukraine and the OSCE’s added value in
relation to economic connectivity.
It was noted that economic connectivity is not a
new idea. Economic integration has long been
promoted in different forms through different
agreements and bodies, for example through
reduction of customs duties and free trade
agreements. However, in recent years economic
and political union have become more closely
entwined, for example through the European
Single Market, North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA), and the EAEU. This has had
an impact on institutional and governance
structures as well as trade relations.
Broadly speaking, economic connectivity relates
to any form of informal economic relationship
among states or regional groupings, including
trade, business activities, financial relationships,
human mobility, and state-sponsored economic
relations. In the OSCE area, the most significant
groupings are the EU and the EAEU. While the two
groups share some common characteristics, there
are significant differences between them in terms
of the economic weight of their members as well as
of the union as a whole.
MEETING NOTE
On January 1, 2015, Russia, Kazakhstan, and
Belarus established the EAEU. They were
subsequently joined by Armenia and Kyrgyzstan.
Together, these five countries have 2.13 percent of
the world’s total gross domestic product (GDP).
The EAEU builds on earlier attempts at close
economic cooperation among countries of the
former Soviet Union, including the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS, 1991), CIS Free
Trade Area (1994 and 2011), Eurasian Economic
Community (2000), and Eurasian Customs Union
(2009).
For its part, the EU has twenty-eight member
states consisting of 510 million inhabitants (which
would make it the most populous country after
India and China), with an aggregate GDP of $16
trillion. This is a much larger market than the fivemember EAEU, or even the nine-member CIS,
which has a total of 240 million inhabitants and an
aggregate GDP of less than $2 trillion. Participants
discussed the respective weight of certain countries
within the two unions. It was noted that Russia
represents 84 percent of total GDP of the EAEU, in
comparison to Germany, the EU’s largest
economy, which represents 21 percent of the EU’s
total GDP.2
While Russia economically dominates the EAEU,
its economy is heavily dependent on the energy
industry. It was noted that current low oil prices
coupled with EU sanctions are putting great
pressure on Russia’s economy. This is hampering
modernization, interrupting business links, and
discouraging foreign investment. That said, Russia
and the EU remain vital trade partners with a
mutual interest in doing business, and the EU
continues trading with Russia, particularly in terms
of imports (68 percent of which are mineral fuels).3
The fault line between the EU and the EAEU
runs through countries where Russia’s “near
abroad” and the EU’s “new neighborhood” overlap.
Instead of developing good relations between both
blocs (which Kazakhstan, for example, has
demonstrated is possible), states along this fault
line—like Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine—are
being forced to choose between the two.
2 World Bank, 2015, available at http://databank.worldbank.org/data/download/GDP.pdf .
3 European Commission, “European Union, Trade in Goods with Russia,” June 21, 2016, available at
http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2006/september/tradoc_113440.pdf .
Economic Connectivity: A Basis for Rebuilding Stability and Confidence in Europe?
Ukraine is the most dramatic example.
Participants recalled that one of the triggers for
instability in 2014 was the debate around whether
Ukraine would sign association and free trade
agreements with the EU or deepen economic
relations with Russia. The Ukraine conflict is
having serious consequences in terms of casualties
and displacement (more than 9,500 killed and
more than 1.7 million internally displaced)4 and
economic costs (projected in 2014 to amount to 6
percent of Ukraine’s GDP).5 Due to the war,
Ukraine has faced higher external debt, power cuts,
railway disruptions, decreased exports of goods
and services to and from Russia, price hikes, and
austerity measures. Looking ahead, a number of
options for strengthening the Ukrainian economy
were discussed. These included: (1) microeconomic stabilization, (2) structural reform, and (3)
regional industrial infrastructure.
Scenarios were also put forward for how
economic and political relations between the EuroAtlantic and Eurasian halves of the OSCE area
could evolve in the future:
• Continued conflict: Dramatic reorientation of
trade and cross-regional production linkages in
Ukraine toward the West create massive transition costs. Economic sanctions against Russia
over its actions in Ukraine lead Russia and the
EAEU to revive the process of economic
modernization and diversification.
• Pragmatic trade arrangements: While
remaining part of the EU Deep and
Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA),
Ukraine maintains preferential trade agreements
with the EAEU. In the medium run, the EAEU
and EU renew their trade and investment
linkages, harmonize their standards, and gain
fringe benefits in terms of technology transfers
and institutional improvements.
• Eurasian integration from Lisbon to
Vladivostok: A long-term scenario envisages
wider Eurasian integration, with a visa-free
regime and free trade zone “from Lisbon to
Vladivostok.” These developments would be
3
economically beneficial but would need to take
into account diverse political systems and values.
Participants noted that in the short term, the first
scenario is likely to persist. A number of participants shared the view that the best-case scenario in
the medium term is a frozen conflict in the
Luhansk and Donetsk regions.
It is essential to consider economic connectivity
in a broader context, not only between Eastern and
Western Europe but also between Europe and Asia.
Indeed, the eastern part of the OSCE provides a
bridge between the two continents. Thirty-three
OSCE participating states are members of the AsiaEurope Meeting (ASEM), a platform for informal
dialogue and cooperation. Both the OSCE and
ASEM emphasize strengthening the economic
“aid-based” relationship between Europe and Asia.
It was suggested that OSCE-ASEM cooperation
could promote greater connectivity between Asia
and Europe.
ENERGY RELATIONS BETWEEN THE EU
AND RUSSIA
Energy is one of the key factors uniting European
and Eurasian countries and making them highly
interdependent, particularly due to the reliance of
Western European countries on oil and gas from
countries east of Vienna (like Azerbaijan,
Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan). Russia
remains Europe’s main supplier of gas. It supplied
40 percent of the EU’s total gas in 2014, followed by
Norway (37 percent), Algeria (7 percent), and
Libya (2 percent). More than 50 percent of gas
consumed in European countries like Austria,
Belgium, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Finland,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Poland, and Turkey is
delivered via pipelines from Russia.6
Participants recalled that in 2009 Europe adopted
energy market legislation—the Third Energy
Package—to secure and diversify its energy
supplies. This involved unbundling energy
suppliers, establishing the Agency for the
Cooperation of Energy Regulators (ACER), and
enhancing transborder cooperation among
transmission system operators. This also reduced
4 Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Report on the Human Rights Situation in Ukraine: 16 May to 15 August 2016, September 15, 2016;
Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre, “Global Internal Displacement Database,” August 2016, available at www.internal-displacement.org/database/# .
5 Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Economic Consequences of the Ukraine Conflict, November 2014, available at http://wiiw.ac.at/economicconsequences-of-the-ukraine-conflict-dlp-3381.pdf .
6 European Commission, “Quarterly Report on European Gas Markets,” Volume 9, Issue 1, fourth quarter of 2015 and first quarter of 2016, p. 10.
4
the ability of Russian energy company Gazprom to
monopolize energy infrastructure in the European
market. It was noted that EU countries are
becoming less dependent on gas: in 2014, gas
accounted for 21.4 percent of energy consumption,
which is a decline from 2006.7 Total EU gas
production decreased by 9 percent in 2015
compared with a year earlier.8
At the same time, there have also been shifts in
the energy market due to geopolitical developments (e.g., in Iran, Iraq, and Libya) and increased
deliveries of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Europe is
currently developing LNG regasification capacities
and started receiving its first deliveries from the US
in 2016. Meanwhile, Russia is looking for new
markets in Asia. In 2014, Russia concluded a
multibillion-dollar gas deal with China, expanding
pipeline grids from eastern and western Siberia
directly to China.
Participants also discussed the politics of
pipelines. Russia was entirely dependent on gas
transit infrastructure in Ukraine until 1999, with
the construction of the Yamal-Europe pipeline via
Belarus and Poland to Germany (see Figure 1).
This was followed by the Blue Stream pipeline
linking Russia and Turkey in 2005, and the Nord
Stream pipeline through the Baltic Sea to Germany
in 2012. Other projects that have been discussed
include the South Stream and Nabucco pipeline
projects (both canceled), as well as the Turkish
Stream pipeline. There are also plans for laying two
extra pipelines under the Baltic Sea—the so-called
Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Participants also discussed
the likelihood of a Trans-Caspian pipeline and how
it could link up with the Trans-Anatolian and
Trans-Adriatic pipelines. It was noted that the
completion of these pipelines will have a major
impact on geopolitics, although recent history has
shown that geopolitics sometimes interrupt the
completion of pipelines.
LEGISLATIVE HARMONIZATION
BETWEEN THE EU AND EAEU
While it may be a stretch to imagine an “integration of integrations,” as some have suggested, there
is plenty of scope for harmonizing standards
among states and organizations. This issue was
MEETING NOTE
raised in the context of enhancing compatibility of
regulations and cooperation between the EU and
EAEU.
Over the past twenty years, the EU has both
deepened and widened. The EAEU is now in the
process of doing the same. “Deepening” of this
union is reflected in the evolution of the integration
project from the creation of the Eurasian Customs
Union in 2010, to the Single Economic Space in
2012, and ending with the Eurasian Economic
Union in 2015. “Widening” is reflected in steps to
expand the EAEU’s membership. This process is
complex and takes time. The energy sector, for
example, is still not covered by the union; energy
deals are made on a bilateral basis. It is planned that
the EAEU common rules will cover energy by 2025.
The EAEU faces not only the challenge of
harmonizing standards and legislation among its
members but also the possibility of harmonizing
these standards and legislation with the EU. In
theory, there should be no legal incompatibility
between Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade
Areas (DCFTAs) with the EU and free trade
agreements with the EAEU. Indeed, participants
emphasized that states should seek good relations
with both integration projects. Kazakhstan was
cited as a positive example of a state engaging
constructively with both the European and
Eurasian integration projects at the same time. It
was noted, for example, that most food safety
standards in the OSCE area are based on World
Trade Organization (WTO) regulations and that
these should be the benchmark. It was also noted
that countries and companies have a self-interest in
ensuring that their products are of a standard that
can give them access to new markets.
Therefore, instead of a grand project of “integration of integrations,” several participants urged a
common-sense approach based on raising
standards (rather than barriers) that would, for
example, enable more countries in the post-Soviet
space to access Western European markets. It was
suggested that Russia, the EU, and Ukraine should
work together on small, practical steps such as
harmonizing food safety standards and ensuring
compatibility with WTO rules. A concrete example
7 Eurostat, “Consumption of Energy,” July 2016, available at http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Consumption_of_energy .
8 European Comission, “Quarterly Report on European Gas Markets,” Volume 9, Issue1, fourth quarter of 2015 and first quarter of 2016, p. 8.
Economic Connectivity: A Basis for Rebuilding Stability and Confidence in Europe?
Figure 1. Major Russian gas pipelines to Europe
Source: Samuel Bailey/Wikimedia Commons
5
6
MEETING NOTE
is the EU sanitary and phytosanitary requirements.
It was explained that the norms between the EU
and EAEU have been bilaterally negotiated by the
European Commission and each member of the
Eurasian
Economic
Commission.
This
demonstrates a functional, needs-driven approach
that can create compatibility between the EU and
EAEU.
of both the EU and the EAEU. Therefore, it was
mentioned that it could encourage more effective
dialogue on issues of economic cooperation and
greater compatibility between the integration
processes. In particular, it was suggested that the
OSCE could play a pivotal role in promoting
economic reconstruction and development in
Ukraine.
IS THERE A ROLE FOR THE OSCE?
The idea behind economic connectivity is to
promote economic development and growth as a
way of fostering cooperation at a time when other
channels are blocked. But it is not always the case,
as Montesquieu claimed, that “the natural effect of
commerce is to bring peace”—Europe was highly
economically interconnected just before the First
World War. Nevertheless, trade and other forms of
economic connectivity can foster cooperation in
other areas. Considering this, is there a role for the
OSCE in promoting economic connectivity?
On energy security, it was recalled that at the
2010 OSCE Summit in Astana participating states
for the first time agreed on the need to enhance
energy dialogue in the OSCE area among countries
at all points on the oil and gas supply chain.9 This
creates a potential opening for the organization to
build on its past work on energy diplomacy. The
OSCE has also worked on projects to enhance
dialogue on protecting critical energy infrastructure from terrorist attacks, reducing waste to shrink
the environmental footprint of energy-related
activities, and assessing the potential of renewable
energy in Central Asia and the South Caucasus.
In this session, participants discussed the OSCE’s
existing activities in promoting energy, environmental, and economic cooperation. They also
discussed possible future activities for the organization in these areas. It was noted, for example, that
the OSCE has promoted cooperation on water
management issues. The OSCE has also looked at
the special needs of landlocked countries, studied
the importance of trade corridors for regional
cooperation, and promoted anticorruption activities.
Some suggested that the OSCE could facilitate
economic connectivity at the macro level as part of
efforts to foster greater trust and cooperation in
Europe. Others noted the potential benefits of
economic confidence-building measures as part of
conflict settlement processes. Overall, it was
stressed that it is vital to demonstrate the potential
benefits of peace dividends and the costs of
instability. Echoing a recommendation made by
the Panel of Eminent Persons on European
Security as a Common Project, it was also
suggested that the OSCE look at what can be done
to prevent states from instrumentalizing trade
regulations as a political weapon.
While the OSCE is not part of any trading blocks,
its membership encompasses all states that are part
9 See www.osce.org/mc/74985?download=true .
Moreover, participants noted that the OSCE is
well-equipped and well-positioned to link the
second (economic) and third (human) dimensions
of its work—namely, to look at economic development in the context of good governance,
transparency, and the rule of law.
It was also noted that economic connectivity is,
by nature, an issue that requires involving a wide
range of stakeholders: not only states, but also the
private sector and civil society. It was suggested
that the OSCE should be more proactive in
reaching out to businesses to work with them on
creating incentives for peace, particularly in
unstable or post-conflict environments. This could
include encouraging development assistance and
foreign direct investment in conflict-affected
regions, as well as promoting business-to-business
contacts across boundary lines.
A representative of Germany said that involving
businesses in promoting economic connectivity
would be a priority of the German chairmanship.
He also said that Germany would promote the
OSCE as a platform for dialogue between the
private sector and policymakers, as well as for
economic diplomacy. It was stressed that the issue
of economic connectivity would be a thread
Economic Connectivity: A Basis for Rebuilding Stability and Confidence in Europe?
running through the full calendar of the OSCE’s
economic and environmental activities in 2016.
ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE-BUILDING
MEASURES
Economic connectivity can be part of international
negotiation mechanisms within states and across
internal boundary lines, for example under the
institutional umbrella of the OSCE. Protracted
conflicts in the OSCE area—like in Transdniestria,
Nagorno-Karabakh, and South Ossetia and
Abkhazia—were cited as examples. One participant
described this approach as “from war economies to
peace economies.”
A representative of International Alert described
work they had done in the South Caucasus to
promote regional economic cooperation. Using a
“3 + 3 + 1” formula (involving the three recognized
states of the South Caucasus, three unrecognized
entities, and Turkey), they identified economic
needs and sought to promote new markets. By
canvassing business actors in the region, they
discovered that these leaders were keen to continue
trade despite political differences. They therefore
established a business and development network.
In turn, this network created a South Caucasus
brand and marketed local products like cheese,
honey, and tea. This encouraged cooperation and
development and enabled goods manufactured in
unrecognized republics to be sold in the territory
of, for example, Georgia.
It was noted that small-scale, non-military, illicit
commercial activity across these boundaries
remains resilient and persistent, contributing to
reliable, trust-based relationships. The question
was raised of how to transform these types of
transactions into more legitimate business
practices, and how this in turn could help
normalize relations. Economic relations between
China and Taiwan, the Republic of Cyprus and
Northern Cyprus, and Kosovo and Serbia were
cited as examples of how commerce can be
regulated even in the absence of a political solution.
It was noted that in some cases nationalism
trumps business; merchants do not want to “trade
with the enemy.” But in other cases, pragmatism
prevails, and trade is possible despite failure to
reach a settlement of the conflict. The challenge is
to cultivate these relations in a way that can
promote confidence and mutual benefits between
7
the parties. Indeed, the challenge is to integrate
economic confidence-building measures into the
political settlement process.
It was observed that most settlement processes in
the post-Soviet space are concentrated on security
and political issues, rather than on building
sustainable peace and development. Few economic
confidence-building measures have been
integrated into peace processes. Even when there
are economic assistance projects designed to
promote stability and development (for example in
parts of the Caucasus or Moldova), they are seldom
linked to integration strategies. This runs the risk
of exacerbating rather than diminishing fissiparous
tendencies, since it enhances separate rather than
joint institutions and activities.
Regional initiatives were highlighted as a good
way of promoting cooperation. Railways, roads,
and pipelines in the South Caucasus were cited as
examples. However, such links may not promote
cooperation and mutual benefit if they bypass
certain actors.
It was concluded that economic connectivity is
an issue relevant to the OSCE area in terms of
reconciling competing economic and political
unions, harmonizing standards, facilitating
freedom of trade and movement, and building
economic ties across boundary lines. While
economic connectivity is hard to promote without
political will, economic motives can nevertheless
sometimes create contacts and opportunities that
open new challenges, create mutual interests, and
stimulate conditions that generate political will.
Conclusions and
Recommendations
OSCE participating states should continue to use
economic connectivity as a way of bridging divides
in Europe. While economic organizations may be
better suited to address this issue, the OSCE clearly
has a role. Among the priorities for future action,
the OSCE and its participating states may want to
consider the following:
1. Economic connectivity could build on common
interests between Russia and the West in the
fields of energy, transport, customs, and trade.
2. The issue of economic connectivity cannot be
seen in isolation from politics. While “business
8
MEETING NOTE
as usual” is not politically possible, lack of
business is detrimental to all sides in the long
run, and economic connectivity can create
mutual interests that incentivize political
cooperation.
3. Trade, like inter-state relations, depends on
rules. Respect for a rules-based economic
system could help rebuild neighborly relations.
Conversely, lack of political trust can harm
economic relations.
4. Greater compatibility between the EU and the
EAEU should be based on pragmatic steps (e.g.,
harmonization of regulations) rather than a
grand bargain.
5. States that enjoy the benefits of free trade
agreements with both unions should play the
role of a bridge between them. They can also
demonstrate to other in-between countries the
economic feasibility of such agreements with
both the EU and the EAEU.
6. Economic confidence-building measures can
help to forge common interests and joint
projects that bring mutual benefits. They should
not be seen as an end in themselves, but rather
as an integral part of settlement processes. They
should have a more prominent place in the
OSCE toolbox.
9
Agenda
Monday, December 14, 2015
9:15–9:30
Opening and Welcome Remarks
Walter Kemp, Vice President, IPI
9:30–11:15
Session 1: What Is Economic Connectivity?
What are the possibilities and limitations of economic connectivity? What are the politics of
economic connectivity? How does economic connectivity work in practice? What are the
processes of economic connectivity, and which actors are involved? Are there any lessons from
existing and past efforts by countries and international organizations to promote economic
connectivity? How can synergies be built between the private sector and diplomatic initiatives?
Speakers
Michael Landesmann, Senior Research Associate and Scientific Director, Vienna Institute for
International Economic Studies; Professor of Economics, Johannes Kepler University
Kataryna Wolczuk, Reader in Politics and International Relations, Centre for Russian,
European and Eurasian Studies
Gerhard Mangott, Professor of Political Science, University of Innsbruck
11:15–11:30
Coffee Break
11:30–1:00
Session 2: Is There a Role for the OSCE?
What is the role of the OSCE in promoting economic connectivity? How could the OSCE more
effectively use its second (economic) dimension to rebuild trust and cooperation? How can
energy enhance cooperation?
1:00–2:00
Lunch
2:30–4:00
Session 3: Economic Connectivity as a Confidence-Building Measure
How can economic development projects more effectively build confidence across boundaries,
for example in protracted conflicts? What lessons can be learned from the implementation of
economic confidence-building measures? How can the OSCE add more economic confidencebuilding measures to its toolbox?
Speaker
Natalia Mirimanova, Senior Adviser, Eurasian Program, International Alert; Adviser, Centre
for Humanitarian Dialogue; Consultant in Ukraine, UNDP and OSCE
4:00–5:00
Wrap-up Session and Closing Remarks
10
Participants
Indira Abeldinova
Policy Analyst, IPI
Thomas Mühlmann
Mission of Austria to the OSCE
Zukhra Bektepova
Second Secretary, Economic and Environmental
Dimension, OSCE
Azar Musayev
Third Secretary, Permanent Mission of the
Republic of Azerbaijan to the OSCE
Peter Havlik
Senior Economist and former Deputy Director,
Vienna Institute for International Economic
Studies
Claus Neukirch
Senior Political Adviser, Permanent Mission
of Germany to the OSCE
Walter Kemp
Vice President, IPI
Daniel Kroos
Senior Programme Officer, Energy Security,
OSCE
Michael Landesmann
Senior Research Associate and Scientific Director,
Vienna Institute for International Economic
Studies; Professor of Economics, Johannes Kepler
University
Gerhard Mangott
Professor of Political Science, University of
Innsbruck
Uroš Milanović
Attaché, Permanent Mission of the Republic
of Serbia to the OSCE and Other International
Organizations
Natalia Mirimanova
Senior Adviser, Eurasian Program, International
Alert; Adviser, Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue;
Consultant in Ukraine, UNDP and OSCE
Philip McDonagh
Ambassador and Head of Mission, Permanent
Mission of Ireland to the OSCE
Ihor Prokopchuk
Permanent Representative, Permanent Mission
of Ukraine to the International Organizations
in Vienna
Bernhard Romstorfer
Desk Officer for Economic and Environmental
Activities, Permanent Mission of the Federal
Republic of Germany to the OSCE
Elena Rovenskaya
Program Director, Advanced Systems Analysis
Program, International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis
Valery Voronetsky
Permanent Representative, Permanent Mission
of the Republic of Belarus to the International
Organizations in Vienna
Kataryna Wolczuk
Reader in Politics and International Relations,
Centre for Russian, European and Eurasian
Studies
Halil Yurdakul Yigitgüden
Co-ordinator of Economic and Environmental
Activities, OSCE
Stanislav Zhiznin
President, Center of Energy Diplomacy and
Geopolitics
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