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Title Page Basic study design influences the results of orthodontic clinical investigations Spyridon N. Papageorgiou a,b,c*, Guilherme M. Xavierd, Martyn T. Cobourned a Department of Orthodontics, School of Dentistry, University of Bonn, 53111, Bonn, Germany b Department of Oral Technology, School of Dentistry, University of Bonn, 53111, Bonn, Germany c d Clinical Research Unit 208, University of Bonn, 53111, Bonn, Germany Department of Orthodontics, King's College London Dental Institute, Floor 27, Guy's Hospital, SE1 9RT, London, UK *Corresponding author: Spyridon N. Papageorgiou Orthodontic Resident Department of Orthodontics, School of Dentistry University of Bonn Welschnonnenstr. 17 53111 Bonn, Germany Tel.: +49 (0)228-287 22449 Fax: +49 (0)228-287 22588 E-mail: [email protected] Words in main text: 3468 1 Abstract Objectives: Meta-analysis is the gold standard for synthesizing evidence on the effectiveness of healthcare interventions. However, its validity is dependent upon the quality of included studies. Here, we investigated whether basic study design (i.e. randomization and timing of data collection) in orthodontic research influences the results of clinical trials. Study Design and Setting: This meta-epidemiological study used unrestricted electronic and manual searching for meta-analyses in orthodontics. Differences in standardized mean differences (ΔSMD) between interventions and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated according to study design through random-effects meta-regression. Effects were then pooled with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: No difference was found between randomized and non-randomized trials (25 metaanalyses; ΔSMD=0.07; 95% CI=-0.21, 0.34; P=0.630). However, retrospective non-randomized trials reported inflated treatment effects compared to prospective (40 meta-analyses; ΔSMD=-0.30; 95% CI=-0.53, 0.06; P=0.018). No difference was found between randomized trials with adequate and those with unclear/inadequate generation (25 meta-analyses; ΔSMD=0.01; 95% CI=-0.25, 0.26; P=0.957). Finally, subgroup analyses indicated that the results of randomized and nonrandomized trials differed significantly according to scope of the trial (effectiveness or adverse effects; P=0.005). Conclusion: Caution is warranted when interpreting systematic reviews investigating clinical orthodontic interventions when non-randomized and especially retrospective non-randomized studies are included in the meta-analysis. Words in abstract: 200 2 Keywords: orthodontics; meta-analysis; systematic review; randomized controlled trial; prospective clinical study; retrospective clinical study Running title: Basic study design in orthodontics 3 What is new? Key findings Evidence of bias was found between randomized and non-randomized orthodontic studies, although the direction of bias varied between trials investigating the effectiveness or adverse effects of orthodontic interventions. Evidence of bias was found between retrospective non-randomized and prospective nonrandomized studies of orthodontic interventions What this study adds to what was known The influence of basic study design on the results of clinical research, which has already been identified in various biomedical fields, also exists in orthodontics. What is the implication and what should change now? Reporting of the study design in orthodontics is suboptimal and should be improved, as it can influence study results. If the inclusion of studies with different designs is judged appropriate in a meta-analysis, a sensitivity analysis based on study design is warranted. 4 Manuscript text 1. Introduction 1.1. Background Meta-analysis of clinical trials provides the best evidence for evaluating orthodontic interventions, due to the increased statistical power and precision [1]. However, if the methodological quality of these studies is suboptimal, then the results will be biased, even if the meta-analysis is conducted to the highest standards (the so-called GIGO ‘garbage in-garbage out’ concept) [2]. Ideally, meta-analyses assessing the efficacy of orthodontic interventions would include only well-conducted and appropriately-reported randomized controlled trials (RCTs), which are seen as the epitome of clinical research [2]. Their principal advantage lies in the random allocation of patients to different interventions, which minimizes selection bias [3]. However, high quality clinical trials do not always exist and non-randomized controlled trials of interventions (non-RCTs) are often included in systematic reviews and meta-analyses in orthodontics [4,5], which can potentially affect their conclusions. Indeed, many widely-used interventions in orthodontics are not adequately supported by clinical evidence, possibly because orthodontics is a field where patient lives are rarely put at risk [6]. Currently, clinical trials reported in the orthodontic literature consist of only a modest proportion of RCTs, whilst the rest are either prospective or retrospective non-RCTs [7-9]. The majority of these are retrospective clinical trials, where data concerning the performance of an intervention are extracted from archived patient files. Traditionally, these have provided much of the evidence for clinical decision-making in orthodontics [10]. This can be attributed to (i) the 5 relative time-lag between the introduction of orthodontics as a specialty and the establishment of evidence-based research methodologies; (ii) the fact that for some orthodontic questions, RCTs can be unethical and (iii) personal preferences of researchers or research groups. Indeed, criticisms have been leveled at the use of RCTs in orthodontics, characterizing them as unethical and inappropriate in some cases [11]. The relative merits of RCTs in orthodontics have been discussed in several contexts [12,13]; however, if orthodontics is to be considered a clinical discipline with a sound scientific basis, conclusions should be based upon appropriate scientific methodology. Empirical evidence relating to the effect of study design characteristics on treatment effects can be derived from meta-epidemiologic studies that integrate data from a collection of metaanalyses [14]. In this collection of meta-analyses, all component trials are classified according to a specific study-level characteristic and then synthesized. As an example, it has been shown that inadequacies in the generation of a randomization sequence, allocation concealment or blinding in RCTs can lead to biased estimates [15-17]. Concerning interventional research in orthodontics, empirical evidence is needed because it is important to know for questions that can be answered through RCTs and non-RCTs, the extent of bias that is associated with each study design. Also, because many orthodontic interventions will only ever be assessed from non-RCTs because of their nature, it is important to know how biased they might be. To date, there is no empirical evidence in relation to the impact of study design on treatment effect in orthodontics. 6 1.2. Aim The aim of this meta-epidemiological study was to identify the extent of bias that might be introduced in the results of clinical trials in orthodontics based on their basic study design. 2. Methods 2.1. Terminology and protocol In this report we define as ‘systematic review’ a structured review with comprehensively planned procedures of study identification, study selection, data extraction and methodological assessment of included studies. We define ‘meta-analysis’ as the procedure of statistical synthesis of the results of two or more studies. As such, meta-analysis is ideally conducted within the framework of a systematic review and multiple meta-analyses can be included in a systematic review. Primary studies (here, clinical trials) included in a systematic review or a meta-analysis are termed ‘component trials’. We define non-RCTs as ‘any quantitative trial estimating the effects of an intervention that does not use randomization to allocate units to comparison groups’ [18]. Finally, the pooling of multiple meta-analyses according to a specific factor (for example, study design) is termed ‘meta-epidemiological synthesis’. In an attempt to make the nature of the component trials as transparent as possible, their designs were categorized as follows: (1) tRCT: ‘true’ randomized controlled trial (adequate random sequence generation method clearly-described according to Cochrane Collaboration criteria); (2) uRCT: ‘unclear’ randomized controlled trial (an unclear random sequence generation method); (3) qRCT: ‘quasi’ randomized controlled trial (an inadequate random sequence generation method); (4) pCCT: prospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; 7 (5) rCCT: retrospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; and (6) Unclear: nonrandomized trial with unclear design (probably retrospective). The protocol for this study was registered prospectively in the PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews (CRD42014013767) before any data extraction or analysis. 2.2. Search and selection procedures Study selection was based on a previously published CADMOS meta-epidemiological database [19]. To construct this database, seven general open-access, regional or grey literature databases were searched from inception to September 2012 for systematic reviews in the field of oral medicine, including orthodontics. There was no language, publication year or publication status restriction. The existing database was updated in MEDLINE through PubMed (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed) on July 25th, 2014 with the strategy: (orthodon* OR malocclusion) AND ("systematic review" OR "meta-analysis" OR "random-effects" OR "fixedeffect" OR "meta-regression"), limited to reviews, systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Manual updates were conducted up to September 2014, using the same search strategy (Appendix A). 2.3. Inclusion criteria Eligible for this study were systematic reviews in orthodontics with at least one meta-analysis of interventional studies with different design. Systematic reviews that included studies of a single design (for example, all tRCTs) were excluded, as they would not contribute in the comparative analyses among study designs. As a requirement, either the raw data or the calculated 8 Standardized Mean Difference (SMD) should be reported in the published report. All obtained reports were screened by one author (SNP). MEDLINE was searched through PubMed in order to assign unique identifiers to each component trial and systematic review. References not indexed were manually assigned a unique identifier. Using the identifier, overlaps were checked and duplicates were removed until there was no overlap between component trials. 2.4. Data extraction A pre-defined form was used to extract the characteristics of included systematic reviews/component trials, including the design of each included component trial. Multiple metaanalyses were extracted from a systematic review only when the component trials or their outcomes differed. The design of component trials was categorized as tRCT, uRCT, qRCT, pCCT, rCCT or Unclear according to the full-text. Data extraction and characterization of study design were was performed independently by two authors (SNP and GMX) based on the full-text of each review/component trial, as often misclassification of study designs in the orthodontic literature has been reported [20]. In a handful of instances, where the full-text of a single component trial could not be obtained, even after communication with the authors, this component trial was excluded. In one instance, where no judgment about trial design could be made, the third author (MTC) was consulted. Subgroup analyses were ignored, if an overall pooled estimate of the subgroups was given. When the subgroups were not pooled together, data were extracted from the largest subgroup. A preliminary calibration between the two authors responsible for extraction (SNP and GMX) was conducted prior to the actual extraction procedures until consensus was reached. 9 2.4. Analysis 2.4.1. Calculating effects within each meta-analysis For both continuous and binary outcomes, raw data or calculated effect sizes were extracted for each component trial (i.e. trial included in the original meta-analysis) and converted into SMDs, recoded so that a negative SMD was beneficial (Appendix B). Random-effects meta-regression was performed, fully incorporating heterogeneity betweentrials, to derive a ‘difference in SMDs’ (ΔSMD) and the standard error for each meta-analysis, according to the component trial design. An iterative residual maximum likelihood (REML) algorithm was used for the estimation of between-study variance, due to its performance [21], and the Knapp-Hartung modification [22] was used for the calculation of the ΔSMDs, which accounts for the uncertainty in the heterogeneity estimate [23]. For the ΔSMD of characteristic [A] versus characteristic [B] a ΔSMD < 0 indicated that studies with characteristic [A] show larger treatment effects than those with characteristic [B]. The magnitude for SMDs and ΔSMD was assessed with the following guidelines (SMD of 0.2 = small effect; SMD of 0.5 = medium effect; SMD of 0.8 = large effect) [24]. Three statistical comparisons were conducted: (1) RCTs versus non-RCTs; (2) prospective non-RCTs versus retrospective non-RCTs; and (3) RCTs with an adequate random sequence generation method versus RCTs with inadequate or unclear random sequence generation method. 2.4.2. Meta-epidemiological synthesis among meta-analyses 10 The ΔSMDs among meta-analyses were pooled with the metan macro (random-effects model based on the DerSimonian and Laird method) as no guidelines for meta-epidemiological synthesis exist. Between-meta-analysis heterogeneity was assessed with the heterogeneity parameter τ2, whilst between-meta-analysis inconsistency was quantified with the I² statistic, defined as the proportion of total variability in the results explained by heterogeneity [25,26]. The 95% uncertainty intervals (similar to CIs) around the I2 were calculated [27] using the noncentral χ2 approximation of Q [28]. 95% predictive intervals were calculated for the ΔSMD, which incorporate existing heterogeneity and provide a range of possible effects for a future meta-analysis [29]. All analyses were run in Stata SE 10.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX) (Appendix B). A two-tailed P-value of 0.05 was considered significant for hypothesis-testing, except for a 0.10 used for the test of heterogeneity and reporting biases [30]. 2.4.3. Additional analyses Mixed-effect subgroup analyses were performed to identify possible differences of study design role according to (1) various fields of orthodontics; (2) outcome type (binary or continuous); (3) research scope (effectiveness or adverse effects); and (4) nature of the outcome (subjective or objective). Subjective outcomes included self-reported pain intensity and eating or speaking difficulty. Indications of reporting bias were assessed with Egger’s linear regression test [31] if 10 or more meta-analyses were included in a meta-epidemiological synthesis. 2.4.4. Sensitivity analyses Sensitivity analyses were performed by (1) comparing the results of fixed-effect and randomeffects models; (2) excluding trials with unclear description of methodology; (3) including only 11 the largest meta-analysis from each systematic review; and (4) including only the most precise 50% from the number of eligible meta-analyses (i.e. having the lowest standard error) for each comparison. 3. Results 3.1. Study characteristics Study selection Following an initial screening of the pre-existing database and manual literature update, a total of 171 relevant systematic reviews were identified (Fig. 1). A total of 148 systematic reviews were excluded after consideration, leaving 23 relevant reviews with 147 meta-analyses for inclusion. After the addition of manually-identified reviews, 77 meta-analyses with 333 component trials were included (Table 1 and Appendix C-D). 3.2. Main analyses 3.2.1. RCTs versus non-RCTs A total of 25 meta-analyses included both RCTs and non-RCTs and could be pooled. On average, RCTs showed minimally smaller treatment effects compared with non-RCTs (ΔSMD = 0.07; 95% CI = -0.21, 0.34; P = 0.630) (Table 2 and Fig.2). 3.2.2. Prospective non-RCTs versus retrospective non-RCTs A total of 40 meta-analyses included both prospective and retrospective non-RCTs and could be pooled. On average, retrospective non-RCTs showed inflated treatment effects compared with prospective non-RCTs (ΔSMD = -0.30; 95% CI = -0.53, -0.06; P = 0.018) (Table 2 and Fig. 3). 12 The magnitude of the effect was small to medium, while moderate heterogeneity was found among meta-analyses. 3.2.3. Adequate versus inadequate/unclear random sequence generation A total of 25 meta-analyses included both RCTs with adequate random sequence generation and RCTs with inadequate/unclear random sequence generation and could be pooled. On average, RCTs with adequate random sequence generation showed almost the same treatment effects compared with RCTs with inadequate/unclear random sequence generation (ΔSMD = 0.01; 95% CI = -0.25, 0.26; P = 0.957) (Table 2 and Appendix E). 3.3. Additional analyses According to the subgroup analyses (Table 3), considerable variation of ΔSMDs was found among the various orthodontic fields with statistically significant differences (P between subgroups = 0.027). Additionally, the scope of the meta-analysis had a significant modifying effect on the results (P between subgroups = 0.005). When the effectiveness of an intervention was studied, RCTs tended to show smaller treatment effects than non-RCTs (ΔSMD = 0.32; 95% CI = 0.06, 0.58; P = 0.015). However, when adverse effects of interventions were studied, RCTs tended to show greater treatment effects than non-RCTs (ΔSMD = -0.57; 95% CI = -1.05, -0.10; P = 0.018) (Appendix F). Finally, no significant indications of reporting bias among metaanalyses could be found with Egger’s test for any of the three comparisons (Appendix G). 3.4. Sensitivity analyses 13 For all three meta-epidemiological comparisons the results of the sensitivity analyses were similar to the original analyses (Appendix H), apart from some minor points. The difference between prospective and retrospective non-RCTs was no longer significant in any of the sensitivity analyses, but the effect’s direction was consistent. Therefore, this was attributed to hampered precision following reduction in the sample size. The comparison of adequate versus inadequate/unclear random sequence generation seemed to be the less robust of the analyses with great variation of effect sizes between the original analysis (ΔSMD = 0.01) and the sensitivity analysis (ΔSMDs of –0.03 to 0.13). 4. Discussion 4.1. Evidence and comparison to literature As far as we are aware, this is the first empirical assessment of study design influence on treatment effects in orthodontic clinical interventions. Despite the relatively restricted sample of included meta-analyses, study design significantly influenced observed effects. Based on the empirical evidence, the results from RCTs did not seem to differ significantly from the results of non-RCTs, when pooling all eligible meta-analyses together (P = 0.630). Previous empirical studies of binary outcomes either confirm [32] or reject [33-36] a significant difference between RCTs and non-RCTs. This difference is usually interpreted as an overestimation in non-RCTs and not an underestimation in RCTs [37]. Almost all empirical studies have concluded that RCTs and non-RCTs can sometimes differ substantially and that systematic review authors should try to include RCTs whenever possible. 14 Retrospective non-RCTs showed significantly inflated treatment effects compared to prospective non-RCTs. Similarly, a tendency for RCTs to agree more with prospective compared to retrospective non-RCTs has been described [34]. This can be explained by the fact that retrospective non-RCTs might be more prone to selection and observation bias than prospective non-RCTs. Also, in retrospective non-RCTs there is a higher risk for confounding by indication, meaning that the choice of intervention is determined by the severity of the disease [38]. In orthodontics, this would translate to one treatment being allocated to a more compliant patient or to a patient with a less severe malocclusion, where the prognosis is more favorable. In contrast, it is possible that for a more difficult case, early cessation of treatment or a change of treatment plan might also play a role. Furthermore, it is important to discriminate between ‘consecutivelyenlisted’ and ‘consecutively-finished’ patients, as this also entails the risk of overestimating the effect of an intervention [39,40]. It is also possible that many retrospective trials are conducted using data that have been collected for other purposes and therefore may not be as complete or unbiased as one would wish [39]. In the present study, the difference between RCTs and non-RCTs varied between effectiveness and adverse effects of interventions. It is accepted that RCTs cannot answer all questions, as they are not always feasible, while they are mainly designed and powered to assess the efficacy of interventions [18,40]. Estimations of a treatment’s adverse effects may be prone to different biases than its efficacy [32]. RCTs may not be large enough or may not have sufficiently large follow-up to identify some long-term harms [33,41-44]. Moreover, generalizability of the RCTs’ results may be limited for various reasons [45]; for example, as high-risk patients are often excluded from trials [32,33,46]. Our results might be considered as supportive of this notion, as RCTs were more conservative than non-RCTs only regarding the 15 effectiveness of interventions. When adverse effects of interventions were considered, the results of RCTs seemed to be inflated compared to the results of non-RCTs. Conversely, it has been acknowledged for some time that non-RCTs are more prone to bias than RCTs and therefore provide weaker evidence [47,48]. Risk of selection bias (baseline differences between the patients in the two groups) is widely regarded as the principal difference between RCTs and non-RCTs. Incorporating results of non-RCTs at high risk of bias in a metaanalysis runs the danger of producing a biased estimate with unwarranted precision [18,49]. Additionally, there are indications that publication bias might be more severe for non-RCTs than for RCTs [50]. However, recent initiatives from the field of comparative research have highlighted the need for trials that are more easily applicable to real-world settings [51] and for the incorporation of non-RCTs in reviews assessing harmful effects [18]. Various statistical techniques have been introduced to deal with selection bias in non-RCTs, although not always successfully [52,53]. Indeed, organizations such as the Cochrane Collaboration and the Campbell Collaboration have decided to incorporate non-RCTs for assessing the harmful effects of interventions (Cochrane since 2012 and Campbell since 2000). Non-RCTs are invaluable for investigating interventions that cannot ethically be randomized or for the assessment of long-term outcomes, rare events or adverse effects of interventions. However, in cases where RCTs are not feasible or inappropriate, this does not mean that retrospective non-RCTs are the only alternative. Well-conducted prospective nonRCTs, which guard against sources of bias, can provide complementary evidence and are not as complex or expensive as RCTs. When including non-RCTs in systematic reviews, it should be remembered that assessment of the risk of bias is more complicated for these types of trial than 16 for RCTs. It is advisable that systematic review teams include a person with methodological expertise in assessing risk of bias and correctness of the analyses used, as well as awareness of the topic area [54,55]. Finally, when incorporating non-RCTs in systematic reviews, it will always make sense to explore potential sources of heterogeneity as well as adopt a randomeffects approach to acknowledge the unexplained heterogeneity [56,57]. Various methods have also been suggested to inform the meta-analysis results about the extent of bias by empirically based priors [58] or directly by mixed treatment comparison meta-analysis [59], but are not widely used and may require specialized statistical expertise and software [60]. 4.2. Strengths and limitations The strengths of this study include the extensive literature search, which was not restricted to orthodontic journals [61]. Also, misclassification of component trials was minimized, as the full texts of every component trial in the meta-analyses were acquired and assessed first-hand. Furthermore random sequence generation, was assessed based on the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool [62]. No overlap existed between the included studies, whilst the ΔSMDs calculations took into account the betweenstudy heterogeneity [63]. Almost all meta-analyses agreed on the direction of the effect, the magnitude of which was medium to large, meaning that the observed differences could have a bearing on the clinical decision regarding this treatment. Finally, the results of the metaepidemiological analyses were relatively robust. There are also some limitations to this study. Due to the inclusion criteria of this empirical assessment, only a subsample of existing meta-analyses could be included. For 17 example, meta-analyses including studies of only one design were excluded, limiting the final sample of eligible meta-analyses. Additionally, the use of design labels for trials as ‘prospective’ and ’retrospective‘ is ambiguous and both the degree of prospectiveness of a study and its risk of bias can be variable [64]. Furthermore, the significance level of most results was marginally significant (significant at the 5% level) and the 95% PIs, were not consistent, possibly endangering our confidence in these estimates. 4.4. Conclusions Existing evidence from orthodontic meta-analyses indicates that study design of interventional clinical trials might have a bearing on estimated treatment effects. Based on existing empirical evidence, intervention effects in orthodontic research seem to be inflated in non-RCTs compared to RCTs, as well as in retrospective non-RCTs compared to prospective non-RCTs. 4.4. Recommendations for future research Clear reporting of study design, preferably in the title and/or abstract, stating if randomization took place and the prospective or retrospective nature of the study is essential. For clinical questions where randomization is feasible, systematic reviews should preferably include RCTs. 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Huang and Anne-Marie Bollen (both from University of Washington, Seattle, WA) for providing component studies included in their meta-analyses and Carlos Flores-Mir (University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada) for providing raw study data from their included meta-analysis. Changes from the PROSPERO protocol (CRD42014013767) Minor changes from protocol: (i) Types of study to be included: meta-analyses of only randomized trials no longer excluded, as they were included in the comparison of “Adequate vs. inadequate/unclear random sequence generation”. (ii) Comparator(s)/controls / context: adopted a more detailed characterization of study designs than the one that was initially included in the protocol. (iii) Analyses of subgroups or subsets: comparisons originally planned for the sensitivity analyses were moved to the main analyses of the paper (adequate vs. inadequate/unclear random sequence generation). 27 Figures Fig. 1. Flow diagram for the identification and selection of eligible systematic reviews. 28 Fig. 2. Forest plot for the comparison of RCTs versus non-RCTs. Due to data recoding, estimates on the right side of the forest plot indicate that RCTs show smaller treatment effects than nonRCTs. ΔSMD = difference in standardized mean differences; RCT = randomized controlled trial; non-RCT = non-randomized controlled trial. 29 Fig. 3. Forest plot for the comparison of retrospective versus prospective non-RCTs. Due to data recoding, estimates on the left side of the forest plot indicate that retrospective non-RCTs show larger treatment effects than prospective non-RCTs. ΔSMD = difference in standardized mean differences; non-RCT = non-randomized controlled trial. 30 Tables Table 1. Summary of the included meta-analyses’ characteristics Systematic reviews Total - n Publication years - range Meta-analyses Total - n (%) Field - n (%) 17 2009-2014 77 (100%) Class II treatment (functional appliances) Class III treatment (skeletal anchorage) Cleft lip palate Lingual appliances Maxillary expansion Orthodontic education Self-ligating appliances Skeletal anchorage (effects) Skeletal anchorage (failure) Tooth extraction 16 (21%) 3 (4%) 10 (13%) 3 (4%) 10 (13%) 2 (3%) 13 (17%) 5 (6%) 11 (14%) 4 (5%) Binary Continuous 17 (22%) 60 (78%) Effectiveness Adverse effects 50 (65%) 27 (35%) Objective Subjective 73 (95%) 4 (5%) Outcome type - n (%) Scope - n (%) Outcome nature - n (%) Component trials Total - n (%) Trials per meta-analysis - range Trials per meta-analysis - median Trial design - n (%) 333 (100%) 2-16 4 tRCT 49 (15%) uRCT 38 (11%) qRCT 18 (5%) pCCT 89 (27%) rCCT 109 (33%) Unclear 30 (9%) tRCT, randomized controlled trial (random sequence generation clearly-described and adequate); uRCT, randomized controlled trial (unclear random sequence generation); qRCT, quasi-randomized controlled trial (random sequence generation inadequate); pCCT, prospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; rCCT, retrospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; Unclear, non-randomized controlled clinical trial with unclear design. 32 Table 2. Results of the meta-epidemiological analyses Comparison 1. Randomized vs. non-randomized Ref pCCT rCCT Unclear Exp uRCT qRCT tRCT rCCT Unclear MAs 25 Trials (Ref/Exp) 116 (44/72) Effect size (random-effects model ) ΔSMD (95% CI) P-value 95% PI Heterogeneity I (95% CI) τ2 0.07 (-0.21,0.34) 26% (0%,54%) 0.630 -0.70,0.83 2 0.116 2. Prospective vs. 190 pCCT 40 -0.30 (-0.53,-0.06) -1.38,0.79 59% (35%,69%) 0.274 0.018 retrospective (70/119) 3. Adequate vs. inadequate/unclear qRCT tRCT 25 75 (37/38) 0.01 (-0.25,0.26) 0.957 -0.98,0.99 60% (32%,73%) 0.211 random sequence uRCT generation Bold values indicate statistical significance at the 5% level. Ref, reference; Exp, experimental; MA, meta-analysis; ΔSMD, difference in standardized mean differences; CI, confidence interval; PI, predictive interval; pCCT, prospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; rCCT, retrospective non-randomized controlled clinical trial; Unclear, non-randomized controlled clinical trial with unclear design; uRCT, randomized controlled trial (unclear random sequence generation); qRCT, quasi-randomized controlled trial (inadequate random sequence generation); tRCT, randomized controlled trial (random sequence generation clearly-described and adequate). 33 Table 3. Results of the conducted subgroup analyses 1. Randomized vs. non-randomized 2. Prospective vs. retrospective 3. Adequate vs. inadequate/unclear random sequence generation MAs ΔSMD (95% CI) P-value PSG Subgroup MAs ΔSMD (95% CI) P-value PSG MAs ΔSMD (95% CI) P-value PSG Class II treatment (functional 10 0.29 (-0.05,0.64) 0.093 -0.36 (-0.94,0.22) 0.228 0.304 0.027 14 appliances) Class III treatment (skeletal 2 0.40 (-0.53,1.33) 0.394 anchorage) Cleft lip palate 10 0.13 (-0.42,0.68) Lingual appliances 3 -0.07 (-1.30,1.16) 0.912 Maxillary expansion 3 -0.11 (-1.09,0.86) 0.822 7 0.17 (-0.19,0.54) 0.348 Orthodontic education 1 1.09 (0.41,1.77) 0.002 Orthodontic-periodontic interactions Self-ligating appliances 4 -0.18 (-0.75,0.39) 0.544 1 -0.36 (-0.79,0.08) 0.110 11 -0.04 (-0.31,0.24) Skeletal anchorage-effects 3 -0.88 (-1.54,-0.22) 0.009 1 1.66 (0.13,3.20) 4 -0.18 (-0.99,0.63) 0.034 Skeletal anchorage-failure 1 -0.06 (-1.64,1.52) 0.941 11 -0.49 (-0.75,-0.24) <0.001 Teeth extraction 4 -0.20 (-0.79,0.38) 0.494 Binary 4 -0.05 (-0.94, 0.85) 0.914 0.807 11 -0.49 (-0.75,-0.24) <0.001 0.163 Continuous 21 0.07 (-0.23,0.37) 0.639 29 -0.18 (-0.50,0.14) 0.264 Effectiveness 17 0.32 (0.06,0.58) -0.22 (-0.57,0.14) 0.231 0.408 19 0.06 (-0.26,0.37) 0.015 0.005 24 Adverse effects 8 -0.57 (-1.05,-0.10) 0.018 16 -0.40 (-0.63,-0.17) 0.001 6 -0.11 (-0.43,0.22) Subjective 3 -0.07 (-1.30, 1.16) 0.912 0.841 1 -0.02 (-0.52,0.48) Objective 22 0.07 (-0.22,0.36) 0.623 24 0.01 (-0.26,0.28) Bold values indicate statistical significance at the 5% level. MA, meta-analysis; ΔSMD, difference in standardized mean differences; CI, confidence interval; P SG, P-value for difference between subgroups. 34 - 0.862 0.640 0.794 0.663 0.731 0.524 0.939 0.944 0.591 0.963 Supplemenatry Information Appendix A. Electronic databases and search strategy used in the original meta-epidemiological study (up to September 23rd, 2012) and in its update for this study (up to July 25th, 2014). Electronic databases Search strategy Hits #1 - ("systematic review" OR "meta-analysis") 80798 MEDLINE searched via PubMed (1950 – 23.09.2012) www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez/ Scopus (1966 - 23.09.2012) www.scopus.com Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews searched via The Cochrane Library on 23.09.2012 www.thecochranelibrary.com Thomson Reuters Web of Knowledge (1945 - 23.09.2012) http://apps.webofknowledge.com Bibliografia Brasileira de Odontologia (including LILACS) searched on 23.09.2012 http://regional.bvsalud.org/php/index.php?lang=en ADA Center for Evidence-Based Dentistry http://ebd.ada.org/ PROSPERO http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/index.asp #2 - tooth OR teeth OR dentist* OR dental OR endodont* OR orthodont* pedodont* OR paedodont* OR periodont* OR prosthodont* #3 - (oral OR maxillofacial) AND (implant OR surg*) #4 - (tooth OR teeth OR implant*) AND (prosth* OR restor* OR bridge* OR crown* OR denture*) #5 - #2 OR #3 OR #4 #6 - #1 AND #5 Article Type: Systematic Reviews, Meta-Analysis "systematic review" OR "meta-analysis" Limit to Dentistry tooth OR teeth OR dentist* OR dental OR endodont* OR orthodont* pedodont* OR paedodont* OR periodont* OR prosthodont* Limit to Cochrane Reviews & Other Reviews, Exclude Protocols "Oral Health Group" Limit to Cochrane Reviews & Other Reviews, Exclude Protocols "systematic review" OR "meta-analysis" Limit to Dentistry Oral Surgery Medicine Limit to Review ("systematic review" OR "meta-analysis") AND (tooth OR teeth OR dentist* OR dental OR endodont* OR orthodont* pedodont* OR paedodont* OR periodont* OR prosthodont* OR ((oral OR maxillofacial) AND (implant OR surg*)) OR ((tooth OR teeth OR implant*) AND prosth*)) Type of Study: Systematic Reviews 92435 125845 118504 300055 1918 1702 1741 476 160 566 In Topic 584 Manually - Manually - ("systematic review" OR "meta-analysis") AND (tooth OR teeth OR dentist* OR dental OR endodont* OR Digital Dissertations searched via UMI/ProQuest on 23.09.2012 orthodont* pedodont* OR paedodont* OR periodont* OR prosthodont* OR ((oral OR maxillofacial) AND (implant OR surg*)) OR ((tooth OR teeth OR implant*) AND prosth*)) http://proquest.umi.com/login Source: Dissertations & Theses Subject: Dentistry 439 Sum with overlap from original search 5668 MEDLINE searched via PubMed (2012 – 25.07.2014) www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez/ (orthodon* OR malocclusion) AND ("systematic review" OR "meta-analysis" OR "random-effects" OR "fixedeffect" OR "meta-regression") Limit to reviews, systematic reviews and meta-analyses 150 150 Sum with overlap from update only 35 Appendix B. Details and Statistical code used for the analysis in Stata SE 10.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX) A. Calculating effects within each meta-analysis Firstly, the influence of each chosen basic study design was assessed within each eligible meta-analysis. In order for a meta-analysis to be eligible one of the following data formats should be provided: (A1) raw continuous data (sample, mean and standard deviation), (A2) already-calculated Standardized Mean Differences (SMDs) for continuous data (SMD and the corresponding standard error), (A3) raw binary data (contingency 2 x 2 table) or (A4) already-calculated odds ratios for binary data (together with their 95% confidence intervals). SMD was chosen as the effect measure because it standardizes estimates by their variability and enables overall synthesis [1]. For meta-analyses of continuous outcomes, raw data or SMDs were extracted for each component trial (i.e. trial included in the original meta-analysis) and were recoded, so that a negative SMD was beneficial. For binary outcomes, raw data or odds ratios were likewise extracted, recoded, and afterwards transformed to SMDs [2] in order to enable synthesis of both continuous and binary outcomes together. The SMD chosen for the analysis was Cohen’s d, defined as the difference between two means divided by their pooled standard deviation: d x1 x2 s , where s is the pooled standard deviation, defined as: s (n1 1) S12 (n2 1) S22 n1 n2 2 For the calculation of difference in standardized mean differences (ΔSMDs) from each included meta-analysis the following formulas were used, according to the data provided: A1. Raw continuous data: metan exn exm exsd ctrn ctrm ctrsd, random rfdist by(design) nograph metareg _ES design,wsse(_seES) 36 A2. Provided SMDs: metan smd sesmd,random by(design) nograph metareg smd design,wsse(sesmd) A3. Raw binary data: metan EVex NEVex EVctr NEVctr, random or log gen smd=0.5513*_ES gen sesmd=0.5513*_selogES metan smd sesmd,random rfdist nograph by(design) metareg smd design,wsse(sesmd) A4. Provided ORs: gen logOR = ln(OR) gen logORlci = ln(ORlci) gen logORuci = ln(ORuci) gen selogOR = (logORuci-logOR)/1.96 gen smd=0.5513* logORlci gen sesmd = 0.5513* selogOR metan smd sesmd,random rfdist nograph by(design) metareg smd design,wsse(sesmd) B. Meta-epidemiological synthesis among meta-analyses For the pooling of ΔSMDs across meta-analyses the following formulas were used B1. Fixed-effect meta-analysis: metan dsmd sedsmd, nograph B2. Random-effects meta-analysis: metan dsmd sedsmd, random rfdist nograph heterogi [Q] [df],nc B3. Reporting bias assessment: metabias dsmd sedsmd,egger B4. Subgroup analyses: metan dsmd sedsmd, random rfdist by(factor) nograph metareg dsmd factor,wsse(sedsmd) Abbreviations exn=sample (experimental group; continuous outcome) exm=mean (experimental group; continuous outcome) exsd=standard deviation (experimental group; continuous outcome) ctrn=sample (control group; continuous outcome) ctrm=mean (control group; continuous outcome) ctrsd=standard deviation (control group; continuous outcome) design=variable including the basic design of the component trials included in the meta-analyses smd=standardized mean difference sesmd=standard error of the smd EVex=events in the experimental group (binary outcome) NEVex=non-events in the experimental group (binary outcome) EVctr=events in the control group (binary outcome) NEVctr=non-events in the control group (binary outcome) selogOR=standard error of the log odds ratio 37 logORuci=upper limit of the 95% CI for the log odds ratio logOR=log odds ratio dsmd=difference in the standardized mean differences sedsmd=standard error for the dsmd factor=variable with the subgrouping variable (field, adverse effects, binary, subjective,etc) References to Appendix B 1. Cohen J. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. 2 nd ed. New York: Academic Press; 1988. 2. Chinn S. A simple method for converting an odds ratio to effect size for use in meta-analysis. Stat Med 2000;19:3127–31. 38 Appendix 3 C. Characteristics of the included meta-analyses (regarding all three meta-epidemiological comparisons) Experimental A/A Meta-analysis Field Control group Outcome Binary group Computer-aided Conventional Al-Jewair Orthodontic Knowledge gain 1 orthodontic orthodontic No 2009 1rst education (pre/post tests) learning learning Computer-aided Conventional Al-Jewair Orthodontic Knowledge gain 2 orthodontic orthodontic No 2009 2nd education (post tests) learning learning Class II Total Al-Jewair malocclusionControl 3 MARA appliance mandibular unit No 2014 1st functional (untreated) length appliances Mandibular Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional 4 Chen 2010 2nd incisor No brackets brackets brackets alignment Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional Time to remove 5 Chen 2010 5th No brackets brackets brackets ligation module Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional Time to engage 6 Chen 2010 6th No brackets brackets brackets ligation module Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional Intercanine 7 Chen 2010 9th No brackets brackets brackets width Chen 2010 Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional 8 Intermolar width No 10th brackets brackets brackets Chen 2010 Self-ligating Self-ligating Conventional Incisor 9 No 11th brackets brackets brackets inclination Skeletal Dalessandri 10 anchorage-failure Male patients Female patients Implant failure Yes 2014 1rst rates Skeletal Dalessandri No site 11 anchorage-failure Site inflammation Implant failure Yes 2014 3rd inflammation rates Skeletal Dalessandri 12 anchorage-failure Maxilla Mandible Implant failure Yes 2014 4th rates Skeletal Dalessandri Keratinized Non-keratinized 13 anchorage-failure Implant failure Yes 2014 6th gingiva gingiva rates Dalessandri Skeletal 14 Thin implants Thick implants Implant failure Yes 2014 9th anchorage-failure 39 Adverse effects Subjective Studies* Patients$ No No 3 90 No No 6 296 No No 6 266 No No 2 114 No No 2 462 No No 2 462 No No 3 140 No No 3 140 Yes No 3 140 Yes No 14 [4361] Yes No 5 [992] Yes No 14 [4136] Yes No 5 [1110] Yes No 8 [1969] rates Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances 15 Ehsani 2014 1st 16 Ehsani 2014 2nd 17 Ehsani 2014 3rd 18 Ehsani 2014 4th 19 Ehsani 2014 5th 20 Ehsani 2014 6th 21 Feng 2012 2nd Class III-skeletal anchorage 22 Feng 2012 3rd Class III-skeletal anchorage 23 Feng 2012 5th Class III-skeletal anchorage 24 Jambi 2013 1st 25 Jambi 2013 2nd Distalization of first molars Distalization of first molars Twin Block Control (untreated) SNA angle No No No 5 303 Twin Block Control (untreated) SNB angle No No No 5 303 Twin Block Control (untreated) Co-Gn distance No No No 3 148 Twin Block Control (untreated) Lower anterior facial height No No No 3 184 Twin Block Control (untreated) U1-NL No No No 3 184 Twin Block Control (untreated) LI-ML No No No 3 211 Skeletal-anchored maxillary protraction Skeletal-anchored maxillary protraction Skeletal-anchored maxillary protraction Tooth-anchored maxillary protraction Tooth-anchored maxillary protraction Tooth-anchored maxillary protraction Maxillary advancement No No No 3 135 Mandibular plane angle No No No 3 135 Maxillary molar extrusion No No No 2 66 Intraoral appliance Headgear No No No 4 150 Intraoral appliance Headgear No Yes No 4 150 Molar distalization Movement of upper incisors 40 26 Li 2011 4th Skeletal anchorageeffects Skeletal anchorage 27 Liu 2010 1st Tooth extraction Tooth extraction 28 Liu 2010 2nd Tooth extraction Tooth extraction 29 Liu 2010 3rd Tooth extraction Tooth extraction 30 Liu 2010 4th Tooth extraction Tooth extraction 31 Long 2013 1st 32 Long 2013 5th 33 Long 2013 6th 34 35 Pandis 2014 1st Pandis 2014 2nd 36 Papadopoulos 2011 1st 37 Papadopoulos 2011 2nd 38 Papadopoulos 2012 5th 39 Papadopoulos 2012 6th 40 Papadopoulos 2012 7th 41 Papadopoulos 2012 8th Lingual appliances Lingual appliances Lingual appliances Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Skeletal anchorageeffects Skeletal anchorageeffects Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate No tooth extraction No tooth extraction No tooth extraction No tooth extraction Maxillary incisor inclination Lower lip prominence Upper lip prominence Lower lip thickness Upper lip thickness Lingual appliances Labial appliances Pain intensity Yes Yes Yes 4 201 Lingual appliances Labial appliances Eating difficulty Yes Yes Yes 4 201 Lingual appliances Labial appliances Speaking difficulty Yes Yes Yes 3 154 Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Conventional brackets Conventional brackets Teeth alignment No No No 5 277 Teeth alignment No No No 2 123 Skeletal anchorage Conventional anchorage Anchorage loss No Yes No 10 206 Skeletal anchorage Conventional anchorage Anchorage loss rate No Yes No 6 153 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Speech development No No No 2 74 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) SNA angle No No No 2 329 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) SNB angle No No No 2 299 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) SN-MP angle No No No 2 151 Headgear 41 No Yes No 2 77 No Yes No 5 356 No Yes No 3 136 No Yes No 3 136 No Yes No 3 136 42 Papadopoulos 2012 12th 43 Papadopoulos 2012 15th 44 Papadopoulos 2012 17th 45 Papadopoulos 2012 18th 46 Papadopoulos 2012 19th 47 Papadopoulos 2012 22nd 48 Papageorgiou 2012 1st 49 Papageorgiou 2012 2nd 50 Papageorgiou 2012 3rd 51 Papageorgiou 2012 4th 52 Papageorgiou 2012 5th 53 Papageorgiou 2012 7th 54 55 Papageorgiou 2014 2nd Papageorgiou 2014 3rd Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Cleft lip with/without palate Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Skeletal anchorage-failure rates Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch depth No No No 2 60 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch width I No No No 2 52 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch width II No No No 2 65 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch width III No No No 2 65 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch form I No No No 2 65 Presurgical infant orthopedics Control (untreated) Maxillary arch form II No No No 2 62 Female patients Male patients Implant failure Yes Yes No 9 [1724] Adolescent patients Adult patients Implant failure Yes Yes No 5 [1124] Right mouth side Left mouth side Implant failure Yes Yes No 8 [1295] Maxilla Mandible Implant failure Yes Yes No 16 [2315] Cortical bone thickness<1mm Cortical bone thickness>1mm Implant failure Yes Yes No 2 [296] No root contact Root contact Implant failure Yes Yes No 4 [604] Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Conventional brackets Conventional brackets Tooth alignment No No No 5 281 Intercanine width No No No 5 284 42 56 Papageorgiou 2014 4th Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Conventional brackets Intermolar width No No No 5 284 57 Papageorgiou 2014 8th Self-ligating brackets Self-ligating brackets Conventional brackets Mandibular incisor inclination No Yes No 3 174 58 Papageorgiou 2014 9th Self-ligating brackets Conventional brackets Pain intensity No Yes Yes 5 266 59 Perinetti 2014 1st Fixed funtional appliances Control (untreated) Total mandibular length No No No 5 325 60 Perinetti 2014 2nd Fixed funtional appliances Control (untreated) Composite mandibular length No No No 4 228 61 Perinetti 2014 3rd Fixed funtional appliances with fixed appliances Control (untreated) Total mandibular length (pubertal patients) No No No 6 352 62 Perinetti 2014 5th Fixed funtional appliances with fixed appliances Control (untreated) Composite mandibular length No No No 2 89 63 Yang 2014 1st Fränkel appliance Control (untreated) SNA angle No No No 5 234 64 Yang 2014 2nd Fränkel appliance Control (untreated) SNB angle No No No 5 234 65 Yang 2014 3rd Fränkel appliance Control (untreated) MPA angle No No No 4 136 66 Yang 2014 4th Self-ligating brackets Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Fränkel appliance Control (untreated) ANB angle No No No 5 234 43 67 Yang 2014 5th Class II malocclusionfunctional appliances Maxillary expansion Maxillary expansion Maxillary expansion Fränkel appliance Control (untreated) Slow maxillary expansion Rapid maxillary expansion Rapid maxillary expansion Control (untreated) Control (untreated) Slow maxillary expansion Overjet No No No 4 163 Maxillary No No No 4 220 intermolar width Maxillary 69 Zhou 2014 3rd No No No 6 479 intermolar width Maxillary 70 Zhou 2014 6th No No No 3 104 intermolar width Maxillary Maxillary Slow maxillary Control 71 Zhou 2014 9th intercanine No No No 3 112 expansion expansion (untreated) width Zhou 2014 Maxillary Slow maxillary Control Mandibular 72 No No No 4 220 11th expansion expansion (untreated) intermolar width Maxillary Zhou 2014 Maxillary Rapid maxillary Control 73 intercanine No No No 6 479 13th expansion expansion (untreated) width Maxillary Zhou 2014 Maxillary Rapid maxillary Control 74 interpremolar No No No 6 479 16th expansion expansion (untreated) width Zhou 2014 Maxillary Rapid maxillary Control Mandibular 75 No No No 5 429 19th expansion expansion (untreated) intermolar width Maxillary Zhou 2014 Maxillary Rapid maxillary Slow maxillary 76 intercanine No No No 3 104 22nd expansion expansion expansion width Zhou 2014 Maxillary Rapid maxillary Slow maxillary Mandibular 77 No No No 2 84 28th expansion expansion expansion intermolar width *Number refers to the trials/trial arms included in the original meta-analysis. Trials might have been omitted from the meta-epidemiological comparison for overlap or eligibility reasons. $Numbers in parentheses indicate number of implants and not number of patients. Multiple implants might have been inserted per patient. 68 Zhou 2014 1st 44 Appendix 4 D. Included trials in the selected meta-analyses with the judgments about their design (citations available upon request). TrialID* First author/Year Design Description (quotation from published report) Subjects with a maxillary bilateral crossbite were selected and two treatment 9699403 Akkaya 1998 pCCT groups each with 12 patients were constructed. The conditions for patient enrollment, based on personal choice, could be assimilated to a random allocation of patients. Each practitioner enrolled 28 19524823 Bacceti 2009 pCCT patients consecutively for treatment with his respective specific 1-phase orthodontic protocol. One practitioner performed HG1FA therapy with Class II elastics, and the other treated 28 patients with the BH 1 FA protocol. Two groups of 20 adolescents (5 boys and 15 girls in each group), one treated 9674676 Bondemark 1998 pCCT and one untreated, participated in the study and were followed longtudinally for 5 years. None of the patients presented with severe craniofacial anomalies and all were 9088600 Bravo 1997 pCCT to be treated with Edgewise appliances. After three months of treatment, each patient completed a seven-part survey 15747820 Caniklioglu 2005 pCCT with 12 questions… Success of therapy at the end of the observation period was not a determinant 20578848 Cevidanes 2010 pCCT factor for selection of patients because this sample was collected prospectively. The aim of this prospective study was to investigate the complications and 14982362 Cheng 2004 pCCT failures of orthodontic mini-implants in a series of consecutive patients. ...all patients signed an informed consent form before participating in the 23876947 Chiqueto 2013 pCCT study. Inclusion criteria were as follows:...no previous orthodontic treatment. 19892288 El-Beialy 2009 pCCT The experiment ended 6 months after loading the miniscrew. The patients examined were part of a prospective clinical investigation, the 16679203 Geran 2006 pCCT Michigan Expansion Study, of mixed dentition patients who underwent RME in a private faculty practice. The purpose of this prospective clinical trial, therefore, was to investigate the 22423185 Ghislanzoni 2013 pCCT role of timing in the treatment of Class II malocclusion with MARA and fixed appliances with respect to Class II untreated control data. In this prospective study nine patients with a mean age of 17.4 years (range 17524619 Hedayati 2007 pCCT 15.5–19 years) were randomly selected from patients referred to the Orthodontic Department Patients received a questionnaire to assess their opinion regarding the 18384412 Justens 2008 pCCT treatment… They volunteered to receive orthodontic treatment with maxillary miniimplants and agreed to have a CBCT scan after mini-implant placement. They 20816295 Kim 2010 b pCCT also consented to have the removal torque measured with a digital device after treatment. None of them had a severe craniofacial anomaly, and all were to be treated 12142899 Kocadereli 2002 pCCT with edgewise appliances. This prospective controlled study investigated the net effects of the Twin 9457025 Lund 1998 pCCT Block functional appliance taking into account the effects of normal growth in an untreated control group. In this prospective clinical study we investigated the factors of importance for 17580417 Luzi 2007 pCCT the failure rate of immediately loaded orthodontic mini-implants. Treated group. The treated sample analyzed in this study (112 subjects, 61 females and 51 males) was part of a long-term prospective study on 12940553 McNamara Jr 2003 pCCT consecutively treated patients who had undergone Haas-type RME and nonextraction edgewise appliance therapy in a single orthodontic practice. Eighteen patients (5 males and 13 females; mean age 23.8; minimum 10.7 and 20413451 Miyazawa 2010 pCCT maximum 45.5 years) who required skeletal anchorage for orthodontic therapy were included in this prospective study. 16441792 Motoyoshi 2006 pCCT The data presented here are from subjects who gave their consent to be part of 45 17974113 Motoyoshi 2007 a pCCT 17521887 Motoyoshi 2007b pCCT 16905065 O'Grady 2006 pCCT 6961781 Pancherz 1982 pCCT 22640678 Phelan 2012 pCCT R_987654321 Rosenberg 2008 pCCT 9082855 Sandikcioglu 1997 pCCT 21536207 Sar 2011 pCCT 21750242 Shalish 2012 pCCT 21536211 Suzuki 2011 pCCT 12401054 Thomson 2002 pCCT 17346597 Turnbull 2007 pCCT 19577145 Viwattanatipa 2009 pCCT R_987654309 Waheed-Ul-Hameed 2002 pCCT 17348892 Wiechmann 2007 pCCT 20018798 Wu 2010 pCCT 14717690 Aly 2004 qRCT 18193961 Chaddad 2008 qRCT 15259572 Lohmander 2004 qRCT 11709597 Lowe 2001 qRCT the study before surgical placement of the mini-implant. This study used only the diagnostic materials of patients who consented to the placement of mini-implants in cooperation with this study. The data presented here are from patients who gave their consent to be part of the study before placement of the mini-implant. The patients examined were part of the MES, a prospective clinical investigation of mixed-dentition patients who had undergone RME. The control subjects were followed on a parallel basis with the treated subjects during a time period of 6 months… This prospective clinical study was based on the records of 34 consecutively treated patients from the private practice of the third author (R.H.). ..Hence students would not be penalized for agreeing to use an educational tool that they might not benefit from. ..A detailed answer sheet was developed prior to administration of the test so as to standardize grading. Patients with unilateral or bilateral posterior crossbites in the mixed dentition were studied. They were divided into three groups of 10 patients in each group. The aim of this prospective clinical study was to evaluate the skeletal, dentoalveolar, and soft tissue effects of maxillary protraction with miniplates compared with conventional facemask therapy and an untreated Class III control group. Consecutive patients were recruited prospectively from the orthodontic clinic in the Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Dental Medicine and from two private clinics. In this study, direct analysis was performed of MIT and MRT values of predrilling and self-drilling miniscrew implants that were used as skeletal anchorage in orthodontic patients. This investigation used epidemiological data from a longstanding prospective observational study to systematically evaluate the equity, efficacy, effectiveness, and safety of orthodontic treatment Introduction: In this prospective clinical study, we assessed the relative speed of archwire changes, comparing self-ligating brackets with conventional elastomeric ligation methods, and further assessed this in relation to the stage of orthodontic treatment represented by different wire sizes and types. No patients withdrew from our study. A total of 20 functional class-3 cases were chosen from a general clinic intake. 10 of the 20 cases formed the treatment group while 10 untreated patients were taken as a control group....The patients were observed over a period of one year. The aim of this prospective study was therefore to investigate the clinical outcome of orthodontic micro-implants by a prospective study in a series of consecutive patients. Sixty adult patients treated in the Orthodontic Department, Prince Philip Dental Hospital, Hong Kong, over a 3 month period were included in this agematched case–control prospective longitudinal study. Students were alphabetically assigned to each group. They could not themselves select in what way to study the subject matter. Ten healthy patients, ages 13 to 65 years, whose treatment plan included the use of temporary anchorage devices (TADs), were included in the study...The two mini-implant systems were alternately placed until a minimum of 15 mini-implants were placed for both systems The first ten children (five girls and five boys) were treated with infant orthopaedics (IO-group), whereas the following ten children (two girls and eight boys) were not treated with infant ortopaedics (no-IO-group). Eighty-five 3rd year undergraduate dental students allocated by pseudo- 46 16429868 17693371 19959610 Miles 2005 Pandis 2007 Pandis 2010 qRCT qRCT qRCT 6951655 Peat 1982 qRCT 22214390 Al-Jewair 2012 rCCT 12938839 Allais 2003 rCCT 19651342 Antoszewska 2009 rCCT 15014405 Baik 2004 rCCT 10730669 Bowman 2000 rCCT 17868386 Chen 2007 rCCT 18983323 Chen 2008 rCCT 10474101 Erdinc 1999 rCCT 21299410 Franchi 2011 rCCT 21299408 Ghislanzoni 2011 rCCT 10833001 Handelman 2000 rCCT 11683811 Harradine 2001 rCCT 16257988 Isik 2005 rCCT 12923511 Janson 2003 rCCT 15827701 Kalavritinos 2005 rCCT 17465652 Kucukkeles 2007 rCCT 17208101 Kuroda 2007 rCCT 17448389 Kuroda 2007 rCCT randomisation to two groups. Consecutive eligible patients were assigned alternately to one of two groups. Personal communication with author. Personal communication with author. The decision to use pre-surgical oral orthopedics depended mainly on traveling distance. If traveling involved several hundred miles then no early treatment was carried out, although other cases simply slipped through the early screening. A retrospective study was conducted using lateral cephalograms in habitual occlusion of adolescent patients who received treatment for their Class II skeletal malocclusions using the MARA or the AdvanSync functional appliances. A retrospective case–control study based on the analysis of study-casts and intra-oral slides of 300 adult patients was carried out Our aims in this retrospective study were to investigate the success rates of MIs,… The criteria for sample selection were as follows: … (5) no appliances used other than the FR III, and (6) good cooperation during the treatment period (the patients wore the appliance for at least 14 hours per day). A sample of 120 Caucasian orthodontic patients (70 extraction and 50 nonextraction, Table 1) was randomly selected from the senior author’s treatment files. Objectives: The aim of this retrospective study was to assess systematically the case distribution among three types of mini-implants and … Objectives: The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate systematically the potential factors that influence failure rates of temporary anchorage devices (TADs) used for orthodontic anchorage. In this retrospective study, altogether 37 cases with posterior crossbites forming two treatment groups and one control group were treated at the Department of Orthodontics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Dental Medicine. A sample of 32 subjects with Class II division 1 malocclusion ... was treated consecutively at a single private practice by one of the authors. A sample of 27 subjects was selected from the files of the University of Michigan Growth Study (12 subjects) and of the Denver Child Growth Study (15 subjects). From a parent sample of 62 Class II division 1 subjects treated consecutively with the MARA appliance, 23 subjects were selected according to the following inclusion criteria Inclusion in the study required that the subject be 18 years or older at the time of the pretreatment records and that records from before and after appliance therapy were available. Design – A retrospective study of two groups. Pre- and post-treatment orthodontic models of 84 patients comprised the subject matter of this retrospective study (Table 1). Because this was a retrospective study, the information regarding hygiene status during treatment was obtained from the clinical charts The aim of this retrospective clinical study was to evaluate dental arch, skeletal, dentoalveolar, and soft tissue profile changes following treatment of Class III malocclusion by means of the Function Regulator (FR-3) appliance. The sample consisted of the records from 45 growing patients (22 boys, 23 girls) exhibiting skeletal Class II malocclusion characterized by mandibular retrognathism. Seventy-five patients, 116 titanium screws of 2 types, and 38 miniplates were retrospectively examined. Seventy-five patients, 116 titanium screws of 2 types, and 38 miniplates were retrospectively examined. 47 7625394 Ladner 1995 rCCT 20152674 Lee 2010 rCCT 18929269 Levin 2008 rCCT 18405816 Lim 2008 rCCT 19651354 Lim 2009 rCCT 20926556 Manni 2011 rCCT 9674675 Mills 1998 rCCT 14560266 Miyawaki 2003 rCCT 18193973 Moon 2008 rCCT 20620833 Moon 2010 rCCT 3181296 Ogaard 1988 rCCT 20691348 Ong 2010 rCCT 22432591 Pangrazio 2012 rCCT 12637901 Pangrazio-Kulbersh 2003 rCCT 18405824 Park 2008 rCCT 18617111 Phatouros 2008 rCCT W_000080316600375 Ribeiral 1999 rCCT 22084789 Sharma 2011 rCCT 21674183 Shundo 2012 rCCT 19852635 Siara-Olds 2010 rCCT 15947523 Sidlauskas 2005 rCCT 10587592 Toth 1999 rCCT A retrospective study of dental and maxillary skeletal changes occurring during a period of orthodontic treatment was made from pretreatment and posttreatment dental casts. One hundred forty-one orthodontic patients (treated from October 1, 2000, to November 29, 2007) were included in this survival study. Oral hygiene status was determined by reviewing orthodontic records and intraoral photos subjectively. The aim of this retrospective controlled investigation was to analyze the shortterm and long-term skeletal and dentoalveolar treatment outcomes of Function Regulator 3 (FR-3) therapy. Fifty premolar extraction and 50 nonextraction Korean patients were selected from the files of Chonnam National University Hospital in Gwangju, Korea. One hundred fifty-four consecutive patients (47male, 107 female; mean age, 21.9 years; SD, 8.3 years) who had miniscrews placed as orthodontic anchorage were included in this retrospective study In this retrospective study, conducted in a private practice, the records of 300 miniscrews inserted in 132 consecutive patients (80 females, 60.6 per cent) by the same surgeon were evaluated. Pretreatment and posttreatment cephalometric records of 28 consecutively treated patients with Class II malocclusions were evaluated and compared with an age- and sex-matched sample of untreated Class II control subjects. The clinical features and treatment progress for 1 year were retrospectively examined for the 51 subjects. Materials and Methods: Four hundred eighty OMI placed in 209 orthodontic patients were examined retroactively. The samples in this retrospective study consisted of 778 OMIs Ninety-eight individuals were examined of whom 51 (28 girls and 23 boys), had received orthodontic treatment. They had been treated for different forms of malocclusion in private practices. Patient records were included if they satisfied the following inclusion criteria:...(3) intraoral photos and study models were available at pretreatment (T0), 10 weeks (T1), and 20 weeks (T2) postbonding; … This retrospective cephalometric study examined 30 consecutively treated patients involving 12 boys with a mean age of 11.9 years The following criteria were established for the sample:...(6) the appliance was not removed prematurely due to breakage. Sixteen nongrowing patients (14 women, 2 men; ages, 22.5 4.8 years) who had been treated orthodontically for bialveolar protrusion were selected. The purpose of this retrospective study was to estimate the area change of the palate after rapid maxillary expansion (RME) in the early mixed dentition stage by using a 3-dimensional (3D) helical computed tomography (CT) scanning technique. This study aimed at analyzing the periodontal state of 53 orthodontic treated patients (finished cases for at least two years), whose ages ranged from 17 to 26 years. The aim of this retrospective study was to find factors related to the clinical success of micro-implants in Asian patients. The subjects in the treatment and control groups were selected retrospectively In this retrospective long-term investigation, the treatment groups were chosen strictly based upon the appliance used for the correction of the Class II malocclusion and not upon their treatment responses. Cephalometric analysis of skeletal and dentoalveolar facial structures of 34 Class II Divison 1 patients treated with Twin-block appliance was performed using the same reference system before and after treatment. This retrospective cephalometric study compares the treatment effects produced in 40 patients treated… 48 19615569 Wu 2009 rCCT 16679208 Xu 2006 rCCT 18984393 Yao 2008 rCCT 21357655 Baysal 2013 tRCT 16279817 Bondemark 2005 tRCT 19123718 Fleming 2009 tRCT 19409342 Fleming 2009 a tRCT 19732667 Fleming 2009 b tRCT 21195256 Godoy 2011 tRCT 23075062 Khattab 2012 tRCT 12498603 Konst 2003 tRCT 19602104 Liu 2009 tRCT 18540016 Ma 2008 tRCT 21889063 Pandis 2011 tRCT 18538237 Petren 2008 tRCT 11695749 Prahl 2001 tRCT 19651344 Pringle 2009 tRCT 18929262 Scott 2008 a tRCT 18339656 Scott 2008 b tRCT 18617099 Upadhyah 2008a tRCT 18298220 17124564 R_987654320 10194289 19087583 20122433 Baek 2008 Berens 2006 Cha 2011 Franchi 1999 Jiang 2008 Kim 2010 a Unclear Unclear Unclear Unclear Unclear Unclear From January 2001 to December 2006, 166 patients (35 male patients and 131 female patients; mean age, 26.5 8.9 years) who had received mini-implants (total number, 414) for orthodontic anchorage at the Section of Orthodontics and Pediatric Dentistry, Taipei Veterans General Hospital (Taipei, Taiwan) were enrolled in this study Records of 39 borderline patients treated at the Faculty Clinic of the Peking University Orthodontic Department were evaluated retrospectively by 5 associate professors. The subjects in this retrospective study included 47 adults (4 men, 43 women). Randomization was made at the start of the study with preprepared random number tables with block stratification on gender. A restricted randomization method was used in blocks of 10 to ensure that equal numbers of patients were allocated to each of the two treatment groups. An unstratified subject allocation sequence was generated by a computer program; random numbers were generated and assignment was concealed from the clinician until the time of the appointment at which the appliance was to be placed. An unstratified subject allocation sequence was made by using a computergenerated randomization program. An unstratified subject allocation sequence was generated using an electronic randomization program. For randomization, numbers were randomly drawn from a plastic bag. They were divided into two groups; patient assignment was based on computer-generated random numbers. Babies with complete UCLP without soft tissue bands were recruited within 2 weeks after birth and randomly assigned to one of two groups by means of computerized balancing with regard to alveolar cleft width and birth weight. After informed consent, they were randomly assigned to two groups with the aid of a table of random numbers: The subjects were randomly divided (RandA1.0 Software, Planta Medical Technology and Development Co. Ltd, Beijing, China) into two equal groups, one anchored by intraoral micro-implants and one by extraoral headgear Fifty patients were randomized to either a conventional or a self-ligating appliance. The statistical software package was used by the first author, and the user-written ralloc command was implemented to generate the random allocation sequence. 4 opaque envelopes were prepared with 20 sealed notes in each (5 notes for each group). A computerised balanced allocation method was used in order to reduce imbalance on relevant prognostic factors between groups. Simple randomization was done with a computer-generated list of random numbers. The subjects were randomly allocated for treatment with either Damon3 selfligating brackets or Synthesis (Ormco) preadjusted edgewise brackets by using a restricted random number table to ensure equivalence of numbers in each group. Randomization was carried out using a table of random numbers. A restricted randomization method was used in blocks of 10 to ensure that equal numbers of patients were allocated to each treatment group. No description No description No description No description No description No description 49 This study used only the data for patients who consented to placement of the miniimplants and agreed to participate in the study. 16849067 Park 2006 Unclear No description 19472896 Wang 2009 Unclear No description 19649577 Wilmes 2009 Unclear No description The patients were randomly divided into two groups: group 1 (seven females and eight males; mean age 15.0 ± 3.4 years), were treated with a pendulum 20231213 Acar 2010 uRCT appliance supported with a K-loop buccally, while subjects in group 2 (10 females and 5 males; mean age 14.2 ± 2.9 years) were treated with CHG. A comparative study consisting of 14 patients (all females) randomized into 2 20386216 Basha 2010 uRCT groups. Students were randomly allocated either to the lecture group or the computer 9459032 Clark 1997 uRCT group. This was a controlled clinical trial on the effects of 2 approaches for Class II 17628251 De Oliveira 2007 uRCT correction, with randomization in the assignment of the 2 treatment regimens. The first 58 patients who had been on the waiting list for the longest period 9825553 Illing 1998 uRCT were randomly allocated to one of three groups involving treatment with either a Bass appliance, a Bionator, or a Twin Block appliance. All 56 sophomore dental students volunteered to participate and were 3519716 Irvine 1986 uRCT randomly assigned to instruction either by means of the computer or via the lecture method R_987654310 Jiang 2009 uRCT [patients were randomly allocated to one of two groups] The 103 members of the second-year dental class were randomly assigned 12056770 Komolpis 2002 uRCT into two study groups, conventional and web-based. 6388628 Luffingham 1984a uRCT Students were allocated randomly into ten groups 20575195 Miles 2010 uRCT The subjects were randomly allocated to one of two groups. Eight other children [Hotz(-) group] were selected at random who did not 8734726 Mishima 1996 uRCT receive the appliance. The anterior teeth of 10 randomly selected cases were retraced by anchorage R_987654312 Shi 2008 uRCT of miniscrews (Xi’an Zhongbang) with diameter of 1.5 mm and a length of 8 mm. The subjects were randomly allocated to either a group treated with an intra21696108 Toy 2011 uRCT oral Pendulum appliance with a midline expansion screw (PEN) or a group treated with a Ricketts-type cervical headgear (CHG). 8198080 Ulgen 1994 uRCT The patients were divided randomly into treatment and control groups. 19061808 Upadhyah 2008b uRCT Then the subjects were randomly divided into 2 groups before treatment R_987654311 Uzdil 2008 uRCT [randomly allocated in the four groups] Twenty-nine patients (10 males and 19 females), between 14 and 30 years of age (mean 20.7 years) who met the inclusion criteria, were invited to 21478298 Wahab 2012 uRCT participate and were randomly allocated to be treated using either SLB or CLB. *TrialIDs without lettering indicate PubMed Identifiers; TrialIDs starting with W_ indicate Web of Knowledge unique identifiers; TrialIDs starting with R_ indicate random unique IDs generated for non-indexed component trials. pCCT, prospective clinical controlled trial; qRCT, quasi-randomized controlled trial; rCCT, retrospective clinical controlled trial; tRCT, randomized controlled trial (clear and adequate description of random sequence generation method); Unclear, clinical trial with unclear design; uRCT, randomized controlled trial (unclear random sequence generation method). 18963818 Motoyoshi 2009 Unclear 50 Appednix E. Forest plot for the comparison of RCTs with adequate random sequence generation and RCTs with inadequate/unclear random sequence generation. Due to data recoding, estimates on the left side of the forest plot indicate that RCTs with inadequate/unclear random sequence generation show larger treatment effects than RCTs with adequate random sequence generation. ΔSMD = difference in standardized mean differences; RCT = randomized controlled trial. . 51 Appendix F. Forest plot for the comparison of RCTs versus non-RCTs with subgroups according to the scope of component trials. Due to data recoding, estimates on the right side of the forest plot indicate that RCTs show smaller treatment effects than non-RCTs. ΔSMD = difference in standardized mean differences; RCT = randomized controlled trial; non-RCT = non-randomized controlled trial. 52 Appendix G. Results of Egger’s test for small-study effects. Reporting bias (Egger's test) Comparison Intercept (95% CI) P-value 1. Randomized vs. non-randomized -0.91 (-2.16,0.35) 0.148 2. Prospective vs. retrospective 3. Adequate vs. inadequate/unclear random sequence generation CI, confidence interval. -0.78 (-1.78,0.23) 0.126 0.17 (-1.48,1.82) 0.830 53 Appendix H. Results of the sensitivity analyses Original analysis Fixed-effect model ΔSMD ΔSMD (95% P-value P-value (95% CI) CI) 1. Randomized vs. non-randomized (n=25) 0.07 (0.21,0.34) 0.630 2. Prospective vs. -0.30 (0.018 retrospective (n=40) 0.53,-0.06) 0.12 (0.10,0.35) Study design definition ΔSMD (95% P-value CI) 0.286 -0.19 (-0.33,0.008 0.05) - Excluded Unclear from retrospective; dropped 5 MAs -0.28 (0.63,0.08) 0.131 Largest MA from each SR ΔSMD (95% PCI) value Most precise 50% ΔSMD (95% P-value CI) Dropped 14 0.19 (MAs 0.16,0.53) 0.298 Dropped 12 MAs 0.12 (0.22,0.45) 0.496 Dropped 29 -0.11 (MAs 0.45,0.24) 0.538 Dropped 20 MAs -0.18 (0.40,0.05) 0.120 3. Adequate vs. inadequate/unclear 0.01 (0.00 (Excluded uRCTs; 0.13 (Dropped 19 0.01 (Dropped 12 -0.03 (0.957 0.997 0.290 0.931 0.745 random sequence 0.25,0.26) 0.15,0.15) dropped 16 MAs 0.11,0.36) MAs 0.27,0.30) MAs 0.24,0.17) generation (n=25) Bold values indicate statistical significance at the 5% level. ΔSMD, difference in standardized mean differences; CI, confidence interval; MA, meta-analysis; Unclear, non-randomized controlled clinical trial with unclear study design; uRCT, randomized controlled trial (unclear random sequence generation). 54