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German Development Cooperation Sustainable Economic Development Vietnamese economic reforms, socialist versus social orientation - a policy debate - Vietnamese economic reforms, socialist versus social orientation - a policy debate - Introduction During the cold war, two antagonistic economic models were advocated by the two political blocks: The model of a centrally-planned economy and that of a decentralized market economy were part of an ideological confrontation that did not allow for discussion. With the end of the cold war, many countries have opted for market-based economic systems. This also applies to the Socialist Republic of Vietnam. As a transition country, it is now in the process of transforming its economic system from a planned to a market economy. This article portrays the Vietnamese dynamic process of economic transition and illustrates its unique concept of a market economy with a socialist orientation. As the socialist aspect of the Vietnamese economic system has not been clearly defined, the authors discuss whether the German social and ecological market economy may serve as a model for the future economic and social development of the country. Vietnam’s market economy with a socialist orientation After failing to reach economic output targets under the centrally-planned economy in the 1980s the country faced serious financial, economic and social problems. In response to this acute state failure 1, in 1986 (at the 6th Party Congress) the Vietnamese political leadership formally abandoned the centrally-planned economy and began introducing market-oriented policies. These so-called Doi Moi (renovation) reforms initiated a development process, during which Vietnam has not only achieved high economic growth performance 2 but has also made impressive progress in reducing poverty: • Vietnam has already achieved five of the ten Millennium Development Goals 3 (MDGs) – most notably MDG 1 4 – or will do so in reasonable time (except MDG 9 “Ensure environmental sustainability.”) • Moreover, the country is expected to graduate from the status of a low income country to a middle income country by 2010 5 and in the five-year plan it is projected that Vietnam will become a ”modern industrial country by 2020” 6. 1 State failure describes a situation when State interventions in market processes lead to sub-optimal results. With GDP growth rates of 7 to 8% on average Vietnam is one of the star performers in Asia and the world. 3 www.unmillenniumproject.org. 4 MDG 1 aims to halve poverty by 2015. Vietnam’s poverty rate is now below 20% compared to 58% in 1993. 5 According to the World Bank Atlas method economies are divided in three main groups: low income, GDP/capita $905 or less; middle income, $906 - $11,115; and high income, $11,116 or more. 6 The Socialist Republic of Vietnam: The five-year socio-economic development plan 2006-2010. 2 Historical Background, Doi Moi versus Coi Troi: Several measures have been taken to reform the state’s role in economic management to ensure it does not inhibit the functioning of the market mechanisms and to enable it to move from detailed management tasks to more indirect interventions via the legal system or macroeconomic regulatory instruments. Four main stages of development can be distinguished: 1) 1986 Land reform: Directly after introducing Doi Moi, the government decided to give Vietnamese farmers more rights on land and for the first time the right to decide what to produce on their own. As a result, agricultural output increased so much that within 2 years, Vietnam was transformed from a rice-importing to an exporting nation. 2) 1990/91 Recognition of private ownership: For the first time, Vietnam has officially recognized the lawful existence of non-state economic sectors by issuing the Company Law and the Private Enterprise Law. 3) 1995/96 Liberalization of foreign trade: The re-establishment of formal diplomatic relations with the USA constituted the starting point for an opening of international economic relations – allowing private enterprises to engage in import/export activities. 4) 1999 Right of business freedom: Clarification of entrepreneurs’ basic rights to operate in any and all business arenas not explicitly forbidden by law. Looking back it becomes clear that the Vietnamese reform process is not only about renovation (Doi Moi) of existing institutions, rather the Vietnamese have been freed to engage in economic activity. Therefore, colloquially the reform process is often called Coi Troi (release). Even two decades after initiating Doi Moi the Communist Party continues to advocate a market economy with a socialist orientation. A renunciation of the socialist ideals is not to be expected as the Communist Party itself has closely linked its fate to their implementation. However, the term socialist ”remains opaque”, as Vietnamese Communist Party and government officials admit. 7 In several regards, today’s practices clearly contradict the historic concept of socialism, for example regarding the ownership of factors of production which, in theory, must be owned by the workforce. Political think tanks, such as the Ho-Chi-Minh Academy, are thus busy developing new interpretations for the term socialism, “adjusting” the political ideology to the changing environment. In a modern definition the term socialist applies to a process in which the people’s interests are paramount as the state’s main guiding principle. 7 Dinh Van An: Building Institutions for a Market Economy with Socialist Orientation in Vietnam, in: Vietnam Economic Management Review, Nr. 1, Winter 2006, p. 19. Legal framework: The initial decision to transform the Vietnamese economic system was followed by a reform of the legal framework that defines the roles of the state and the market. 1) Existence of Enterprises: With the issuance of the Law on Foreign Investment (1987), the Company Law, the Private Enterprise Law (1990), and State-owned Enterprises (1995) Vietnam has recognized the existence of non-state economic players. The Law on Enterprises (2005) and Common Law on Investment (2005) have created an “equal playing field” for investors. 2) Foreign Trade Liberalization: Since 1988 foreign enterprises have been allowed to conduct import/export activities and the application process for licenses has been continuously simplified. After 11 years of negotiation and further process in trade liberalization Vietnam has become a member of WTO in 2007. 3) Macroeconomic Management: The move from a one-tier to a two-tier banking system (1997) 8 was crucial for the implementation of sound monetary policy. However, the legal system has not yet created conditions for the necessary independence of the State Bank. In 1992 and 2002, Vietnam loosened the existing price controls. The majority of prices are now market-based. 4) Production Factors: The labour code (1994) forms the first legal base for the labour market by recognizing the right to free job search and the right to free employee selection. Efforts are ongoing regarding the real estate market (i.e. unification of registration regulations, increased transparency regarding land use planning). 5) Planning Law: Currently, the Government of Vietnam is drafting a Law on Planning for the National Assembly’s approval. This law will provide the basis for the country’s strategic planning as well as the plan’s implementation and monitoring – and will ensure that the state is not involved in the micro-management of the planning process but rather issues directives. A multitude of challenges remain for the Vietnamese legal system: (i) it is often incomprehensive and laws may be of low clarity; (ii) several legal documents were issued but lack enforcement 9 and (iii) the law drafting process lack democratic and public participation. 8 In 1997, the National Assembly passed the Law on the State Bank of Vietnam and the Law on credit organizations. Based on the provisions of the law, four state commercial banks gained their independence from the State Bank and a series of joint stock banks, joint venture banks and foreign branches appeared on the Vietnamese financial market. Currency-printing and credit supply functions were separated institutionally. 9 For example, up to now, only one case has been tried based on the Competition Law, which was passed in 2004. The Vietnamese party and government aim at achieving socialist ideals (e.g. equality and solidarity) by relying on market principles. This understanding is depicted in the 2006-2010 fiveyear socio-economic development plans’ overall objective: “Boost the economic growth rate, achieving rapid and sustainable development ... significantly improve people’s material, culture, and spiritual life…” The basic concept of the German social and ecological market economy The authors would like to stress that several countries have opted not to adhere to the model of a liberal market economy. 10 In contrast to liberal market economies, the guiding principle of a social market economy goes beyond offering an economic regulatory framework for society by including both economic and social aspects. Historically, the concept of a social market economy is something of a cross between liberalism and socialism and is based on the following general principles – which are reflected in the German legal framework and in ongoing policy debates: Competition among best performers as the path towards innovation and economic wealth (Leistungswettbewerb), Equal opportunities for everybody to participate in the economic process (Chancengleichheit), Fair shares for everybody of the economic gains (Verteilungsgerechtigkeit), Private ownership of assets and entrepreneurship calling for social responsibility towards the less fortunate (Eigentum verpflichtet), Solidarity among members of society to share individual risks (Solidaritätsprinzip), Dialogue and compromise as characteristics of social bargaining processes. Historical Background: In the aftermath of World War II the concept of a Social Market Economy was developed by German economic researchers such as Walter Eucken and Andreas Müller-Armack. Ludwig Erhard (1949-1963: Minister of Economics; 1963-1966: Chancellor) was probably the most influential politician in shaping the German social market economy and the economic miracle of the 1950s and 1960s. At that time the model presented an alternative to the socialism advocated by German left-wing parties. 10 Models of non-liberal market economies are: (i) „Rheinischer“ Capitalism (in Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria), (ii) State Capitalism (in France and Italy) and (iii) Scandinavian Capitalism (Sweden, Norway and Denmark). Recognising that growth should not take place at costs to the environment – especially as this impedes long-term growth prospects - the German Green Party in the 1990s conceptualised the ecological market economy. It aims at combining both economic and ecological objectives by implementing environmental protection with market economy instruments. In 2002, the concept was codified in the German Basic Constitutional Law. The term social market economy describes a market economy with a set of systemic regulations that guide the individuals’ activities in such a way that both maximum personal freedom and social equity are realised. Like in a liberal market economy, the fundamental economic decisionmaking (what is to be produced, where, how, with which inputs and for whom) is left to the individual. Production and consumption are coordinated through the market, based on the belief that it is the best mechanism for allocating resources. State intervention in the economic process is only considered justified due to: The self-destructive potential of the market (that leads to the creation of monopolies, cartels – i.e. market failure). In economic theory, a well-functioning market increases the welfare of a country’s inhabitants, The danger of market failures (esp. regarding externalities 11 and the provision of public goods 12) and The market’s indifference to social and ecological problems 13. Based on the principles mentioned above, a regulatory framework was designed to ensure both market efficiency (issues 1 & 2) and social and ecological sustainability (issue 3) and then codified in the German Basic Constitutional Law. This regulatory framework recognizes the interdependence, and guarantees the compatibility, of the legal, social and economic order. It also defines the interventions which have to be designed not to distort competition and disturb (efficient) market processes. Only the distribution of the results of economic processes may be re-adjusted. Such adjustments are advocated in order to foster social balance. 14 11 In economics, an externality is a cost or benefit resulting from an economic transaction that is borne or received by parties not directly involved in the transaction. An externality occurs when a decision causes costs or benefits to third party stakeholders, often, although not necessarily, from the use of a public good. For example, manufacturing that causes air pollution imposes costs on others when making use of public air. 12 In economics, a public good is a good that is non-rivalries and non-excludable. This means: consumption of the good by one individual does not reduce the amount of the good available for consumption by others; and no one can be effectively excluded from using that good. 13 Environmental goods are considered public goods and therefore their utilization is managed by the state. 14 The following motives are considered justified: i) Support economically weaker members of society in case of existential risks, ii) Ensure equal opportunities for all to participate in economic processes, and reduce imbalances between generations and ecological sustainability. Legal Framework: A short selection of those laws that form the basis of the German social and ecological market economy: 1) German Basic Constitutional Law Specifies that the Federal State has a responsibility towards social equity both among individuals and provinces 15 (the German Federal State is a “social state” 16), Ascertains the objective of macroeconomic stability, Promotes ecological protection. 17 2) Competition Law (Gesetz gegen Wettbewerbsbeschränkungen) (1958) Including the prohibition of cartels 3) Law for Stability and Growth (Stabilitäts- und Wachstumsgesetz) 4 objectives: (1) stable price levels, (2) high employment rates, (3) foreign trade equilibrium and (4) adequate & constant growth (evidently, some of these objectives conflict with each other in the short run). The achievement of the 4 objectives specified in the law for stability and growth (1967) ensure the macroeconomic stability stipulated in the German Constitution. 4) Stakeholder orientation In contrast to shareholder capitalism the German corporation law (Aktiengesetz) requires all large corporations to have a supervisory board (Aufsichtsrat) composed of members who are elected by the shareholders and employee representatives in equal shares. An not-formalized dialog giving various interests a voice (capital, labour, consumers, public etc.) and often leads to formal social partnerships like alliance for jobs or the initiative for more junior training positions. 5) Ecological Tax (Green Tax) Since 1998 several laws have been passed in Germany towards a more ecologically-friendly taxation system. The most prominent example is a tax on energy consumption (resource tax), whose revenues are partly fed into the social security system. 15 Art. 107 Abs.2 Satz 1 Grundgesetz (German Basic Constitutional Law): The German variation of a Social Market Economy also includes an elaborate financial equalisation scheme between the Federal Government and the Länder (provinces), which aims at balancing the living standards across the country, and might be combined with structural policy measures to raise living standards in those areas. 16 Art. 20 Grundgesetz (German Basic Constitutional Law). 17 Art. 20 a Grundgesetz (German Basic Constitutional Law). 6) Social Laws A first attempt by German imperial chancellor Otto von Bismarck to mitigate poverty that had arisen in the course of industrialization in the 1800s. In 1883 health insurance and a year later accident insurance were founded. An unemployment insurance was established in 1927. These and other insurances are funded by compulsory contributions from both employers and employees. Achievements of the German Social Market Economy We would like to point out some of the achievements of the German social and ecological market economy: High degree of macroeconomic stability, No major workers’ strikes (compared, for example, to France), Social freedom 18, Broad coverage of social security and high degree of social inclusion, Legitimacy of the economic and political system. All of these issues have contributed to the recently improved competitiveness of the German industry – by providing a well-educated workforce, which is prepared to accept wage cuts during economic downturns, good infrastructure and a stable macroeconomic and political environment. Conclusion In the past, the Vietnamese growth process was of an inclusive nature – directly benefiting the poor by offering basic economic opportunities (e.g. land use rights, right of business freedom). The quality of future growth will be different as fewer people will benefit directly and disproportionately (e.g. from trade liberalization and privatization). Disparities within the society will probably widen due to the concentration of growth in certain geographic areas or within specific groups of society – contradicting the official commitment to a market economy with a socialistic orientation. In theory, the traditional notion of socialism even implies a redistribution of economic gains towards equal shares for all members of society, going far beyond the objective of the social market economy of fair shares for everybody. This unrealistic ambition might be the reason, why the socialist character of the Vietnamese economic system has not yet been clearly defined. 18 ’Social freedom’ is the concept philosophers, political scientists, and also economists are often concerned with often without realizing it - when dealing with the subject of liberty. Independent from the ongoing policy debate regarding the term socialism, the intentions of the social and ecological market economy are not so different. It may serve as a model to the future refinement of the Vietnamese economic system. Furthermore, it offers solutions for dealing with unequal distribution, one of Vietnam’s most important problems: Intragenerational equity: a social security system to narrow the gap between rich and poor individuals and enable society to carry individual risks has been developed. Another redistributive mechanism is the process of fiscal equalization between different German states 19 redistributing a certain percentage of revenue from richer to poorer states. Intergenerational equity: attempts to counter ecological problems which may inhibit future economic activities. However, simply copying the German mechanisms must be avoided, as both countries differ widely in their approach towards the individual/the state. The German culture is more individualistic – rating individual freedom and, consequently, self-responsibility highly – than the Vietnamese, which expects and accepts a strong role played by the State, even influencing individual lives. Among others, this explains why the Vietnamese State is very involved in the economy and continues to play a considerable role in terms of organization, ownership, management, and distribution. For further information please contact the authors: Axel Neubert Katja Roeckel Integrated Expert (CIM) / Adviser GTZ Associate Expert Central Institute for Economic Management Macroeconomic Reform Program Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] 19 Financial equalisation scheme between the Federal Government and the Länder (Länderfinanzausgleich). Contact Information Economic and Social Policy Component: c/o Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM) 68 Phan Dinh Phung Str., Hanoi Tel. : +84.4 734 5195 Fax : +84.4 734 5194 E-Mail : [email protected] Public Finance Component: 4, Alley 1, Huong Chuoi Str., Hanoi Tel. : +84.4 971 9644 Fax : +84.4 972 2768 E-Mail : [email protected] Financial Systems Development Component: 12 Trang Thi Str., Hanoi Tel. : +84.4 825 1928 Fax : +84.4 824 6765 E-Mail : [email protected] Website : www.gtz.de/vietnam www.macroreforms.org MPI