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L A ROSE • DISCOVERIN G STAT ISTICS TA B L E O F CO N T E N T S CHAPTER 1. THE NATURE OF STATISTICS Case Study: Does Friday the 13th Change Human Behavior? 1.1 Data Stories: The People Behind the Numbers 1.2 An Introduction to Statistics What is Statistics? Descriptive Statistics: The Building Blocks of Data Analysis Inferential Statistics: How Do We Get There From Here? 1.3 Gathering Data Random Sampling More Sampling Methods Surveys and Questionnaires Experimental Studies and Observational Studies Try This in Class! Chapter 1 Vocabulary Chapter 1 Review Exercises Chapter 1 Quiz CHAPTER 2. DESCRIBING DATA USING GRAPHS AND TABLES Case Study: The Caesar Cipher 2.1 Graphs and Tables for Categorical Data Frequency Distributions and Relative Frequency Distributions Bar Graphs and Pareto Charts Pie Charts 2.2 Graphs and Tables for Quantitative Data Frequency Distributions and Relative Frequency Distributions Histograms and Frequency Polygons Stem-and-Leaf Displays and Dotplots Distribution Shape, Symmetry, and Skewness 2.3 Further Graphs and Tables for Quantitative Data Cumulative Frequency Distributions and Cumulative Relative Frequency Distributions Ogives Time Series Graphs 2.4 Graphical Misrepresentations of Data Try This in Class! Chapter 2 Vocabulary Chapter 2 Review Exercises Chapter 2 Quiz CHAPTER 3. DESCRIBING DATA NUMERICALLY Case Study: Can the Financial Experts Beat the Darts? 3.1 Measures of Center The Mean The Median The Mode Skewness and Measures of Center 3.2 Measures of Variability The Range What Is a Deviation? The Standard Deviation and the Variance 3.3 Working with Grouped Data The Weighted Mean Estimating the Mean for Grouped Data Estimating the Variance and Standard Deviation for Grouped Data 3.4 Measures of Position Percentiles z-Scores Detecting Outliers Using z-Scores 3.5 Chebyshev’s Rule and the Empirical Rule Chebyshev’s Rule The Empirical Rule 3.6 Robust Measures Quartiles and the Interquartile Range The Five-Number Summary The Boxplot Robust Detection of Outliers Try This in Class! Chapter 3 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 3 Review Exercises Chapter 3 Quiz CHAPTER 4. DESCRIBING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TWO VARIABLES Case Study: Female Literacy and Fertility Worldwide 4.1 Tables and Graphs for the Relationship Between Two Variables Crosstabulations Clustered Bar Graphs Scatterplots 4.2 Introduction to Correlation 4.3 Introduction to Regression The Regression Line Using the Regression Equation to Make Predictions Try This in Class! Chapter 4 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 4 Review Exercises Chapter 4 Quiz CHAPTER 5. PROBABILITY Case Study: The ELISA Test for the Presence of HIV 5.1 Introducing Probability Building Blocks of Probability: Experiments, Outcomes, Events, and Sample Spaces Classical Method of Assigning Probability Law of Large Numbers and Relative Frequency Method of Assigning Probability 5.2 Combining Events Combining Events Using Complement, Union, and Intersection Addition Rule 5.3 Conditional Probability Introduction to Conditional Probability Independent Events Multiplication Rule Sampling With and Without Replacement 5.4 Counting Methods Multiplication Rule for Counting Permutations and Combinations Computing Probabilities Using Combinations Try This in Class! Chapter 5 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 5 Review Exercises Chapter 5 Quiz CHAPTER 6. RANDOM VARIABLES AND THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION Case Study: Be Careful What You Assume: Major League Baseball Salaries 6.1 Discrete Random Variables Random Variables Discrete Probability Distributions Mean and Variability of a Discrete Random Variable 6.2 Binomial Probability Distribution Binomial Experiment Binomial Probability Distribution Formula Binomial Distribution Tables Binomial Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation 6.3 Continuous Random Variables and the Normal Probability Distribution Continuous Probability Distributions Introduction to the Normal Probability Distribution 6.4 Standard Normal Distribution Finding Areas Under the Standard Normal Curve for a Given Z-Value Finding Standard Normal Values for a Given Area 6.5 Applications of the Normal Distribution Finding Probabilities for Any Normal Distribution Finding Normal Data Values for Specified Probabilities The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Probability Distribution Try This in Class! Chapter 6 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 6 Review Exercises Chapter 6 Quiz CHAPTER 7. SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS Case Study: The Trial of the Pyx: How Much Gold is in Your Gold Coins? 7.1 Introduction to Sampling Distributions Point Estimates and Sampling Error Sampling – Distribution of the Sample Mean – Sampling Distribution of for a Normal Population Assessing Normality Using Normal Probability Plots Finding Probabilities and Percentiles Using a Sampling Distribution 7.2 The Central Limit Theorem for Means Sampling Distribution of – for Skewed and Symmetric Populations Using Central Limit Theorem for Means to Solve Probability Problems About the Sample Mean 7.3 The Central Limit Theorem for Proportions Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportion pˆ Sampling Distribution of pˆ for Extreme and Moderate Values of p The Central Limit Theorem for Proportions Try This in Class! Chapter 7 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 7 Review Exercises Chapter 7 Quiz L A ROSE • DISCOVERIN G STAT ISTICS TA B L E O F CO N T E N T S CHAPTER 8. CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Case Study: Analyzing Stock Performance on the New York Stock Exchange 8.1 Z Intervals for the Mean Introduction to Confidence Intervals: Developing the Formula What Do Confidence Intervals Mean? Z Interval for the Population Mean : Two Cases Margin of Error 8.2 t Interval for the Mean Introducing the t Distribution t Interval for the Mean: Two Cases Margin of Error for the t Interval 8.3 Z Interval for a Population Proportion Point Estimate pˆ of the Population Proportion p Z Interval for the Population Proportion p Margin of Error for the Z Interval for the Population Proportion p 8.4 Confidence Intervals for the Population Variance and Standard Deviation Properties of the 2 (Chi-Square) Distribution Finding Critical Values for the 2 (Chi-Square) Distribution Constructing Confidence Intervals for the Population Variance and Standard Deviation Using Confidence Intervals for to Perform Two-Tailed Hypothesis Tests About Probability of a Type II Error and the Power of a Hypothesis Test 9.4 t Test for the Population Mean t Test for Using the p-Value Method t Test for Using the Critical-Value Method Standard Error of the Sample Mean 9.5 Z Test for the Population Proportion p The Essential Idea About Hypothesis Testing for the Proportion Z Test for p Using the p-Value Method Z Test for p Using the Critical-Value Method Using Confidence Intervals for p to Perform Two-Tailed Hypothesis Tests About p 9.6 Chi-Square Test for the Population Standard Deviation The Essential Idea about Hypothesis Testing for the Population Standard Deviation 2 Test for Using the p-value Method 2 Test for Using the Critical-Value Method Using Confidence Intervals for to Perform Two-Tailed Hypothesis Tests for Try This in Class! Chapter 9 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 9 Review Exercises Chapter 9 Quiz 8.5 Sample Size Considerations Sample Size for Estimating the Population Mean Sample Size for Estimating the Population Proportion with No Prior Information About p Sample Size Requirement when Prior Information About p Is Available Try This in Class! Chapter 8 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 8 Review Exercises Chapter 8 Quiz Case Study: The Golden Ratio 9.1 Introduction to Hypothesis Testing Constructing the Hypotheses Significant Difference or Chance Variation? Type I and Type II Errors 9.2 Z Test for the Population Mean : p-Value Method The Essential Idea About Hypothesis Testing for the Mean p-Values Performing the Z test for the Population Mean Using the p-Value Method Assessing the Strength of Evidence Against the Null Hypothesis 9.3 Z Test for the Population Mean : Critical-Value Method Critical Regions and the Critical Value Zcrit Performing the Z Test for the Population Mean Using the Critical-Value Method The Relationship Between the p-Value Method and the Critical-Value Method Introduction to the 2 Test for Independence Performing the 2 Test for Independence Test for the Homogeneity of Proportions Try This in Class! Chapter 11 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 11 Review Exercises Chapter 11 Quiz CHAPTER 12. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Case Study: Professors on Facebook 12.1 Introduction to the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) F Distribution How Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Works ANOVA Table 12.2 Performing Analysis of Variance ANOVA: p-Value Method ANOVA: Estimated p-Value Method ANOVA: Critical-Value Method Try This in Class! Chapter 12 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 12 Review Exercises Chapter 12 Quiz CHAPTER 13 REGRESSION ANALYSIS CHAPTER 10. TWO-SAMPLE INFERENCE Case Study: How Fair is the Scoring in Scrabble? Case Study: Do Prior Student Evaluations Influence Students’ Ratings of Professors? 13.1 Introduction to Linear Regression 10.1 Inference for Difference in Means– Dependent Samples Independent Samples and Dependent Samples Dependent Sample t Interval for the Population Mean of the Differences Dependent Sample t Test for the Population Mean of the Differences 10.2 Inference About Two Independent Means CHAPTER 9. HYPOTHESIS TESTING 11.2 2 Test for Independence and for Homogeneity of Proportions – Sampling Distribution of –1 – 2 Confidence Intervals for 1 – 2 Independent Sample t Test for 1 – 2 Using Confidence Intervals for 1 – 2 to Perform Two-Tailed Hypothesis Tests About 1 – 2 10.3 Inference for Two Independent Proportions Sampling Distribution of p1 – p2 Independent Sample Z Interval for p1 – p2 Independent Sample Z Test for p1 – p2 Try This in Class! Chapter 10 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 10 Review Exercises Chapter 10 Quiz CHAPTER 11. CATEGORICAL DATA ANALYSIS Case Study: Online Dating 11.1 2 Goodness of Fit Test The Multinomial Random Variable What is a 2 Goodness of Fit Test? Performing the 2 Goodness of Fit Test Review of Regression Concepts Prediction Error, SSE, and Standard Error of the Estimate s 13.2 Coefficient of Determination r2 SST, SSR, and SSE Calculating and Interpreting the Coefficient of Determination r2 13.3 Inference About the Slope of the Regression Line Regression Model Confidence Interval for Slope 1 Hypothesis Tests for Slope 1 Try This in Class! Chapter 13 Formulas and Vocabulary Chapter 13 Review Exercises Chapter 13 Quiz ANSWERS TO ODD-NUMBERED EXERCISES AND CHAPTER QUIZZES TABLES APPENDIX Table A: Random Numbers Table B: Binomial Distribution Table C: Standard Normal Distribution Table D: t-Distribution Table E: Chi-square (2) Distribution Table F: F-Distribution NOTES AND DATA SOURCES INDEX