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Drivers of landscape pattern Four basic drivers of landscape pattern 1. Abiotic factors 2. Biotic factors 3. Human activities 4. Disturbance Abiotic factors Climate Climate influences the distribution of dominant vegetation types Climate influences species distributions Long-term climate change and species distributions • Species distributions have changed with changing climate, generally shifting with glacial-interglacial periods. • In general, in response to climate change, species evolve, migrate, or go extinct. • Ecotones have shifted drastically in response to long term climate change, but species respond individualistically, not as communities. Lines represent extent of distribution at a given time. Numbers are thousands of years before present. Holocene changes in the Puget Sound region 13,500 YBP Tundra-like conditions with patches of trees (Englemann spruce, lodgepole pine, mountain hemlock, subalpine fir). 10,000 YBP Open landscape with Douglas fir, grasses, red alder, bracken fern. Warmer, drier, frequent fires. 7,000-5,000 YBP Beginning of modern vegetation (western red cedar, western hemlock, Douglas fir). This community is unique in the pollen record. Brubaker 1989 Projected changes in species distributions Historical Climate – MC1 Simulation (With Fire) Ron Neilson, USFS HADCM3-A Ron Neilson, USFS Abiotic factors Landform Abiotic factors: Landform effects on pattern and process Elevation Aspect Geology Slope Solar radiation Temperature Moisture Nutrients Swanson et al. 1988 Abiotic factors: Landform effects on pattern and process Landforms affect the flow of energy, nutrients, organisms, and pollutants across landscapes. Specific Conductance Northern Lakes, Wisconsin (Kratz et al. 1991) Low (Landscape Position) High Abiotic factors: Landform effects on pattern and process Landforms may affect the frequency and spatial characteristics of fire, wind, and grazing, as well as other natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Abiotic factors: Landform effects on pattern and process Landforms may affect the spatial patterns and rates of geomorphic processes that can alter biotic characteristics and processes. Abiotic factors: Interactions among drivers • Biotic responses to aiotic factors are not always predictable • Establishment rates • Growth rates • Mortality rates • Competition • Disease • Disturbance Biotic factors Competition Predation Facilitation Keystone species and ecosystem engineers Biotic factors Competition Competitive exclusion Biotic factors Competition Fundamental and realized niches Biotic vs. abiotic controls Connell 1961 Biotic factors Predation Ripple and Bescheta 2007 Biotic factors Facilitation García and Ramón Obeso 2003 Biotic factors Keystone species Paine 1966, 1969 Biotic factors Keystone species, ecosystem engineers Estes and Duggins 1995 Human Activities Land use Climate change Human Activities Land use Human Activities Climate change Human Activities Climate change Human Activities Climate change Parmesan et al. 1999. Nature 399: 579-583 Human Activities Climate change stable expansion contraction Northern Flying Squirrel Glaucomys sabrinus Human Activities Climate change stable expansion contraction Yellow-Banded Poison Dart Frog Dendrobates leucomelas