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Impacts and Effects of Climate Change and Ozone Depletion Alleyna Elainia Paige Impacts/ Effects on Climate Change – According to the IPCC, the extent of climate change effects on individual regions will vary over time and with the ability of different societal and environmental systems to mitigate or adapt to change. – The IPCC predicts that increases in global mean temperature of less than 1.8 to 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit (1 to 3 degrees Celsius) above 1990 levels will produce beneficial impacts in some regions and harmful ones in others. Net annual costs will increase over time as global temperatures increase. – "Taken as a whole," the IPCC states, "the range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time." Impacts/ Effects on Climate Change (cont.) – Global climate is projected to continue to change over this century and beyond. The magnitude of climate change beyond the next few decades depends primarily on the amount of heat-trapping gases emitted globally, and how sensitive the Earth’s climate is to those emissions. – Temperatures will continue to rise. Because human-induced warming is superimposed on a naturally varying climate, the temperature rise has not been, and will not be, uniform or smooth across the country or over time. Impacts/ Effects on Climate Change (cont.) – The length of the frost-free season (and the corresponding growing season) has been increasing nationally since the 1980s, with the largest increases occurring in the western United States, affecting ecosystems and agriculture. – Across the United States, the growing season is projected to continue to lengthen. – Increases of a month or more in the lengths of the frost-free and growing seasons are projected across most of the U.S. by the end of the century, with slightly smaller increases in the northern Great Plains. – The largest increases in the frost-free season (more than eight weeks) are projected for the western U.S., particularly in high elevation and coastal areas. The increases will be considerably smaller if heat-trapping gas emissions are reduced. Impacts/ Effects on Climate Change (cont.) – Average U.S. precipitation has increased since 1900, but some areas have had increases greater than the national average, and some areas have had decreases – Droughts in the Southwest and heat waves (periods of abnormally hot weather lasting days to weeks) everywhere are projected to become more intense, and cold waves less intense everywhere. – Hurricane-associated storm intensity and rainfall rates are projected to increase as the climate continues to warm. They will become stronger and more intense. – Global sea level has risen by about 8 inches since reliable record keeping began in 1880. It is projected to rise another 1 to 4 feet by 2100. – The Arctic Ocean is expected to become essentially ice free in summer before midcentury. Impacts/ Effects on Climate Change (cont.) – Impacts of climate change on human health include: – Asthma and cardiovascular diseases – Malaria, dengue, encephalitis, hantavirus, Rift Valley fever, Lyme disease, chikungunya, and West Nile viruses. – Respiratory allergies – Cholera, cryptosporidiosis, campylobacter, leptospirosis, and harmful algal blooms (water quality impacts) – Malnutrition and diarrheal disease – Forced migration, civil conflict and mental health issues – Heat related illnesses and death and cardiovascular failure (due to heat) – Injuries and fatalities due to severe weather Impacts/Effects on Ozone Depletion – – Adverse impacts on agriculture, forestry and natural ecosystems: – Several of the world's major crop species are particularly vulnerable to increased UV, resulting in reduced growth, photosynthesis and flowering. These species include wheat, rice, barley, oats, corn, soybeans, peas, tomatoes, cucumbers, cauliflower, broccoli and carrots. – The effect of ozone depletion on the Canadian agricultural sector could be significant. – Only a few commercially important trees have been tested for UV (UV-B) sensitivity, but early results suggest that plant growth, especially in seedlings, is harmed by more intense UV radiation. Damage to marine life: – In particular, plankton (tiny organisms in the surface layer of oceans) are threatened by increased UV radiation. Plankton are the first vital step in aquatic food chains. – Decreases in plankton could disrupt the fresh and salt water food chains, and lead to a species shift in Canadian waters. Impacts/Effects on Ozone Depletion (cont.) – Loss of biodiversity in our oceans, rivers and lakes could reduce fish yields for commercial and sport fisheries – Animals: – In domestic animals, UV overexposure may cause eye and skin cancers. Species of marine animals in their developmental stage (e.g. young fish, shrimp larvae and crab larvae) have been threatened in recent years by the increased UV radiation under the Antarctic ozone hole. – Materials: – Wood, plastic, rubber, fabrics and many construction materials are degraded by UV radiation. – The economic impact of replacing and/or protecting materials could be significant. Impacts/Effects on Ozone Depletion – People exposed to higher levels of ground-level ozone are at greater risk of dying prematurely or being admitted to the hospital for respiratory problems. – Ground-level ozone can damage lung tissue, reduce lung function, and inflame airways. This can aggravate asthma or other lung diseases. Children, older adults, outdoor workers, and those with asthma and other chronic lung diseases are particularly at risk. – Because warm, stagnant air tends to increase the formation of ozone, climate change is likely to increase levels of ground-level ozone in already-polluted areas of the United States and increase the number of days with poor air quality. – The higher concentrations of ozone due to climate change may result in tens to thousands of additional ozone-related illnesses and premature deaths per year by 2030 in the United States, assuming no change in projected air quality policies.