Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
1. Earth’s Energy Budget and Regional Temperature Variations Earth’s energy budget Global energy balance: between insolation and long-wave terrestrial radiation o Scattering: gases and dust particles can redirect solar radiation: short waves scattered more, that’s why we see blue sky o Reflection: short-wave radiation returned to space as outflow Dependent on albedo: greatest variability over water o Absorption: take in solar energy – thermal excitation – internal molecular motion – increase in temperature – short-wave radiation becomes long-wave radiation to warm up atmosphere Oxygen absorbs short-wave, ozone absorbs long-wave o Greenhouse effect Earth transparent to short-wave radiation but absorptive of longwave radiation Carbon dioxide and water vapour aids process by absorbing and reemitting radiation – passed between gases – warm up atmosphere Poleward heat transfer o 2.4x more solar energy received at equator than at poles o Latitudinal differences 1 o Latitudinal balance Regional temperature variations Proximity to sea o Moderating effect of oceans due to high specific heat capacity (5x land’s): need more energy to heat up / cool down – take longer to do so than land o Solar energy can penetrate great depths and distribute energy over wider area o Tides and currents Ocean currents o Gulf Stream and North Atlantic drift transport heat to keep British Isle winter mild o Labrador current keeps North-Eastern America cool in summer Altitude o Every 1000m ascent, temperature falls by 10 degree Celsius o Air at surface denser, has more dust particles to trap heat Cloud cover o Tropical vs. desert region’s diurnal temperature o Clouds keep radiation from coming in and going out Aspect: equator vs. pole-facing slopes 2. Atmospheric / Oceanic Circulations and the Occurrence of Seasons Global atmospheric circulation Forces affecting air movement o Pressure gradient force Greater pressure, higher wind speed 2 Pressure difference due to denser air (more pressure) vs. less dense air (less pressure), unequal heating of earth o Coriolis force Deflects pressure gradient force due to rotating effect of Earth Stronger at poles than at equator Affects wind direction, affected by wind speed o Friction: present at surface but absent for flow aloft o Geostrophic winds: parallel flows to isobars with velocities proportional to pressure gradient force o Surface winds Wind speed drops due to friction – pressure gradient force not affected but Coriolis force affected – pressure gradient force stronger so wind direction changes – wind moves at an angle across isobars towards low pressure area The major wind belts o Hadley cells and trade winds Get deserts 30N and 30S due to descending air – compression of rising air – adiabatic heating – relative humidity falls – cannot reach dew point – no rain Equator-ward wind from horse latitudes called trade winds Trade winds converge at ITCZ which shifts more over continents than water bodies due to varying heat capacities o Ferrel cells and westerlies Westerly on average, disrupted by migration of cyclones Due to Coriolis force o Polar cells and easterlies Subsidence Where it meets warmer mid-latitude flow – polar front Subtropical highs (comparison) o Briefly explain land / water specific heat capacity and compare N/S o How ITCZ shifts and why it shifts that way o Subtropical variations Monsoon circulation: due to migration of ITCZ across equator Global oceanic circulation (1/4 of earth’s heat transport) When atmosphere and water in contact, energy passed to water through friction Drag exerted by winds cause water surface to move Seasonal climatic variations Revolution and tilt at 23.5 to the perpendicular – solstices and equinoxes Daylight hours determined by circle of illumination 3 3. Upper Atmosphere Wind and Jet Streams Origin of jet streams Great temperature contrasts at surface produce great pressure differences aloft – increase wind speed due to pressure gradient force Polar jet stream Changes speed and location with seasonal contrasts Meanders Weather Cyclones o Due to ridges and troughs as jet stream meanders across Earth, locations at lower latitudes may experience colder temperature than those of higher latitudes o Moves north, drags air from below and speeds up – low pressure region at surface due to rising air – surrounding air will move in an anticlockwise direction o Speed and path of jet stream affects intensity of cyclone o Eg. 1987 UK big hurricane because it was in the path of jet stream Droughts due to persistence of high pressure in an area Can have short term cyclonic variations as cyclone redistributes heat – originally higher latitudes cooler but it becomes warmer 4. Precipitation Formation Conditions Saturation: air cooled below dew point / holds sufficient water Condensation nuclei, without which relative humidity must be >100% to produce clouds Environmental lapse rate: rate at which temperature decreases with height (about 6.5C/km) Atmospheric stability / instability Dependent on intensity of surface heating – impact on DALR / SALR Stable if DALR / SALR faster than ELR – air cannot rise Unstable if DALR / SALR slower than ELR – air can rise Conditional instability if DALR slower but SALR faster than ELR or vice versa Determined by whether air parcel can rise through surrounding air 4 Air lifting mechanisms Convective lifting due to instability of air o Caused by strong surface heating due to surface irregularities (eg. dark vs. light surface) o But clouds formed at this height (condensation height) limited because of instability because surface heating only lasts for first few km Orographic lifting o Windward: adiabatic cooling from lots of clouds o Leeward: adiabatic heating and already released precipitation o Formation of rain shadow desert eg. Patagonia desert in Argentina 6. Adverse Weather Conditions – Tropical Cyclones Formation 27C ocean, sufficient twist Warm sea heats air above – low pressure area formed – wind rushes and spirals in – releases heat and moisture before descending Rising air cools producing cumulonimbus clouds – cloud tops carried outwards Self-sustaining heat energy created: large amounts of energy transferred as warm water evaporates – release of latent heat as it rains – more wind rushing in to low pressure area Characteristics 5 - 20 June to December in northern hemisphere, Jan to March in southern hemisphere Moves westwards initially due to easterly trade winds, but as storm intensity increases it moves polewards (influenced by mid-latitude westerlies to move eastwards) Eye (highest pressure) Eye wall: sudden drop in pressure, rapidness results in extreme weather conditions. Velocity increases because near the core due to conservation of angular momentum Dissipation Cannot support large-scale flow aloft No warm water body Hits land: more chilled than sea, increase surface roughness – friction – distorts air flow and decreases wind speed – eye fills with clouds Impacts Storm surge: 90% of deaths o Piling up of water as wind drags surface waters forward o Low pressure: every millibar drop, sea level increases by 1 cm 5 o Eg. Bangladesh <2m above sea level Wind damage o Affects greater area than storm surge o Eg. Hurricane Andrew US$20b Inland freshwater flooding o Affect the greatest area due to heavy rains o Eg. Hurricane Agnes US$2b even though Category 1 Management Prediction o Satellites: but due to remote sensing can still estimate wind speeds / position rather inaccurately o Aircraft reconnaissance o Radar Mitigation o Early warning systems: need lead time but must prevent from over-warning because costly and lost of credibility o But due to population increase, need earlier warning systems Evacuation and first aid strategies 7. Past Climate Change Evidences Glacier evidence o Erosion: transform V-shaped valleys into U-shaped valleys; striae: polish exposed rocks to smooth finish o Deposition: tillites have very wide assortment – poorly sorted deposits Sediment evidence o Type and number of forams o Oxygen-isotope analysis: 18O / 16O ratio higher indicates glacial extension Ice core evidence o Microscopic air bubbles trapped as fresh snow is laid o More carbon dioxide, higher temperature o More dust, chemical composition of aerosols with high acidities – volcanic activity Pollen analysis o Type and number of species through radio carbon dating because vegetation communities can have its spores blown by wind and buried in bogs o But not every pollen can be identified to species level o But not all species produce the same number of pollen Scots pine large quantities, but beech small quantities and usually under-represented 6 Tree ring analysis o Thicker – more favourable temperature / moisture Causes (talking about Northern hemisphere) Eccentricity (shape of orbit) o Now Earth 3% closer to sun on Jan 4 than on July 4 – 6% more solar energy received in Jan than in July o When very eccentric, 23% - 30% more solar energy o Winter warmer: temperature increase, can hold more moisture, more precipitation and summer cooler: less snow melt – glacier extension Obliquity: angle of tilt o Currently at 23.5 but can change between 22.1 to 24.5 - affects seasonal contrast Precession of equinoxes o Now tilted towards North Star but may switch to Star Vega – winter when Earth furthest from sun and summer when Earth nearer to sun – greater seasonal contrast Solar variability o Sun spots: magnetic storms on sun’s surface that extend deep into interior o Associated with increase solar output o Corresponds to Little Ice Age but not to other locations’ climates Volcanic activity o Release of aerosols into stratosphere that can remain for years o Increase albedo over area o Increase cloud albedo because aerosols act as condensation nuclei making clouds denser o Eg. 1815 eruption of Mt Tambora, Indonesia – year without summer Plate tectonics o Slow movement only accounts for temperature changes over great span of geologic time 8. Climate of the Cities Urban heat island effect Differences within a localized area greatest in winter, late evenings / night, considering minimum temperature eg. in London, Kew had 70 more frost free days than nearby rural Wisley 7 Causes o Changes in thermal capacity Buildings able to store more heat and release more in the night compared to shallow layers of soil o Sensible and latent heat transfer Urbanization results in water being drained out quickly – surplus energy goes to increase temperature rather than evaporation o The urban structure Lower albedo than natural surface Some insolation absorbed and some scattered as diffuse radiation – strikes another surface and process repeats Heat trapped within due to multiple reflection o Combustion: eg. Manhattan – winter 2.5x solar energy vs. summer 5x o Presence of pollutants – greenhouse effect o Wind speed Frictional drag decreases wind speed but if regional winds are strong enough, urban heat island cannot be detected Areas above and between buildings more gusty Urban induced precipitation Causes o Thermally induced upward air motions – atmospheric instability o Condensation nuclei due to pollutants – condensation at relative humidity 78% o Rougher surface impedes progression of weather systems – clouds may linger over city longer and generate more precipitation Eg. Paris higher rainfall on weekdays (especially Thurs and Fri when dust particles accumulate) Suburbs more rainy on weekends when pollutants float there 8 Other changes Reduction in solar radiation: greater albedo and low angle of sun passes through more pollutants Lower relative humidity: high temperature and less moisture Country breeze: wind blowing in from surroundings and upward air movement in cities 9. The Enhanced Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming Greenhouse gases Carbon dioxide o Burning of fossil fuels: 90% northern hemisphere o Deforestation: less photosynthesis and release of stored carbon dioxide in plants Methane: rice paddy cultivation and digestive processes of ruminants like cattle Other trace gases: nitrus oxide and chlorofluorocarbons Positive feedback mechanisms Carbon dioxide – higher temperature – more evaporation – more water vapour in air – higher temperature Higher temperature – melting ice caps: reflective surface replaced by more absorptive surface of water body – higher temperature Negative feedback mechanisms More moisture – more clouds – more insolation reflected – lower temperature o But melting ice caps effect greater Increase temperature of sea – more marine organisms – take in carbon dioxide through photosynthesis – when die buried in great depths of ocean and remove carbon dioxide from atmosphere – lower temperature o But increase in temperature causes seas to store less carbon dioxide Predicted future temperature Poles experience greater temperature contrast because atmosphere very stable – heat trapped Global dimming reduced due to removal of sulfuric particles in atmosphere due to environmental regulations Consequences Sea level rise o Thermal expansion, melting glaciers o Coastal erosion and retreat of shoreline: extent dependent on the gradient of the shoreline 9 o Eg. Male in Maldives: 85% of island will be inundated by 1m increase in sea level because it is only 1m above it o Nile Delta: flooding of farmland - $32b of damage to Alexandria in terms of tourist revenue, crops etc. Agricultural productivity o Increase in temperate regions which are wealthier due to increase in precipitation – longer growing season but decrease in poorer regions leads to greater disparity between north and south o Sea water creeps in – salinization – inundated farmland Ecosystem o Plant migration, coral bleaching – affects food chain and habitat of marine creatures o Problem is the rate of change too rapid and huge for organisms to adapt Industries o Freshwater for steam / cooling for refinery affected as seawater crept upstream o Forestry industry: need r+d to invent heat and drought-resistant crops o Trans-Alaska pipeline to US may be damaged as permafrost melts More extreme weather conditions happening more frequently: heat wave, droughts Kyoto treaty Plant trees / change agricultural practices Earn / buy carbon credits 10. El Nino El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO): seesaw pattern of atmospheric pressure between eastern and western pacific Walker circulation normally High pressure at eastern Pacific and low pressure at western Pacific Trade winds reinforced as the water travels westwards, resulting in western Pacific having higher sea level (by 40cm) and a deeper thermocline (boundary separating warm from cool water) as warm water is pushed there Convectional rain At Tahiti, Peruvian current – upwellings of cold ocean water makes thermocline more shallow (40m) Air above flows from western Pacific to eastern Pacific as it rises due to convective flows, reinforcing the movement Results in subsidence at Tahiti – deserts 10 Walker circulation during El Nino reverse Flow from western Pacific to eastern Pacific: Kelvin waves weaken the influence of trade winds Prediction Once every 4 years, but becoming less predictable due to global warming Eg. usually 18 months but 1990 ENSO reached peak in early 1992, weakened suddenly in mid 1992, and intensified in Nov 1992 Impacts Economic impact on Peru and Ecuador o No upwelling of cold water – nutrients lost – fish population decimated – sea birds don’t frequent – cannot harvest guano as fertilizer o Abundance of rain inland supports pastures and cotton fields 1982-83 El Nino o Severe flooding in western Pacific: 350cm of precipitation when they normally get 10-13cm per year o Extreme storms in US 1997 El Nino o Severe droughts in Indonesia, but aggravated by deforestation o Extreme storms in US and Hurricane Pauline in eastern Pacific Teleconnections: linkages of atmospheric and oceanic variables 11