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Auditor-Relevant Congressional Committees and Audit Quality Mihir N. Mehta Temple University & MIT Sloan [email protected] Wanli Zhao Southern Illinois University [email protected] August 24, 2014 ABSTRACT We investigate whether the supply of audit quality is associated with auditors’ incentives to avoid political costs from audit failure. We find that in states with powerful political representation on U.S. congressional committees charged with auditor oversight responsibilities, auditors supply higher quality audited earnings, issue more going concern and internal control weakness opinions, and are less likely to be associated with fraud-related regulatory enforcement action. In addition, two distinct exogenous shocks to auditors’ exposure to politically motivated audit failure costs affect the supply of audit quality. Our results are robust to the inclusion of firm fixed effects, and controls for the presence of political connections. Our paper is among the first to examine the disciplinary role of U.S. congressional committees on auditors’ real actions, and to show that auditors’ politically related incentives to supply audit quality are distinct and incremental to well-established reputation and litigation related incentives. Keywords: Political economy; Corporate governance; Audit risk; U.S. Senate; U.S. House of Representatives JEL Codes: G34; M42; M48 ___________________________ We appreciate comments and suggestions from Sudipta Basu, Larry Brown, Robert Bushman, Jason Greene, Jagan Krishnan, Krish Menon, Pat O’Brien, Mark Peterson, Eric Press, Luke Threinen, Joseph Weber, and seminar participants at Southern Illinois University Carbondale and Temple University. We have benefited from discussions with audit partners at Ernst & Young and KPMG. Mehta and Zhao acknowledge financial support from Temple University and Southern Illinois University Carbondale respectively. Mehta is currently visiting MIT Sloan. ! 1. Introduction Audit failure is costly and imposes significant reputational and litigation costs on auditors. 1 Accordingly, auditors have strong incentives to supply high quality audit services and avoid audit failure. Our goal in this paper is to examine a different incentive for auditors to supply high quality audits: to prevent incurring politically motivated penalties imposed by powerful politicians that are most affected by audit failure. Specifically, we investigate whether the supply of audit quality varies with the power of a state’s political representation on the two Senate and House congressional committees that are directly responsible for auditor regulation and oversight of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB). The congressional committees are the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee and House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services (hereafter “influential committees”). Thus, our study is unique in that we focus on auditor behavior linked specifically to U.S. congressional committee politicians that can impose penalties on auditors. Following audit failure, politicians serving on influential committees have incentives to investigate and impose penalties on auditors and/or clients for a number of reasons, including regulatory capture, to avoid perceived responsibility for investor losses, to limit adverse effects on constituency support, and to maintain reputability as effective politicians. The economic theory of regulatory capture (or “capture theory”) (Stigler, 1971; Laffont and Tirole, 1991) suggests that politicians captured by firms that provide financial and political support have incentives to be more lenient towards transgressions by the capturer to allow the politicians to maintain those beneficial relationships. Thus, capture theory implies that if influential committee politicians are captured by firms, especially in their elected states, then those politicians have personal incentives to limit See DeFond and Zhang (2013) for a detailed discussion. Examples of studies examining reputation costs include DeAngelo (1981), Reynolds and Francis (2000), Barton (2005), Weber et al. (2008), and Skinner and Srinivasan (2012). Examples of studies examining litigation costs include Palmrose (1988), Dye (1993), and Khurana and Raman (2004). 1 1 penalties on connected firms following financial reporting failure, and instead, focus on imposing penalties on auditors. Other incentives for politicians to act following audit failure include the potential for adverse impacts on politician reputation and voter perceptions about politician effectiveness. The economic theory of the political process suggests politicians have incentives to avoid perceived responsibility for investor losses from audit failures and that disciplinary action is a political attempt to escape blame (Peltzman, 1976). In addition, politicians have incentives to increase the resources controlled by the government via laws and regulations, since that increases the politicians’ ability to grant favors (Meckling, 1976) and increase their own wealth (Watts and Zimmerman, 1986). Following audit failure, disciplinary action against auditors can help a politician earn votes and reinforce voter perception about politician effectiveness. In turn, this can increase constituency support and improve the politician’s re-election prospects (Mayhew, 1974; Fiorina, 1977). We assume that the incentives for an influential committee politician to discipline an auditor following audit failure are greatest when the audit failure occurs in the politician’s home state, because these are likely to be the most visible to the politician’s constituents, all else equal. 2 Furthermore, politicians have incentives to discipline auditors following audit failures in order to maintain reputations as effective and ethical legislators. Better reputations in turn increases the opportunities for lucrative post-elective employment such as ambassadorships or non-executive corporate board seats, or to obtain seats on powerful congressional committees that require greater legislative leeway such as the House or Senate Appropriations Committees (Fenno, 1973; Parker, 2005). The jurisdictional nature of the U.S. Congress requires the allocation of federal responsibility to congressional committees that specialize in and have oversight for assigned governmental The incumbent faces barriers to re-election if opposition candidates highlight in-state audit failures in order to attack the incumbent’s ineffective legislative action. Such attacks must then be answered or refuted by the incumbent, thereby raising his costs. Scrutiny of audit failures and the imposition of penalties reduce the possibility that an incumbent politician suffers from such attacks. 2 2 responsibilities. Our study focuses on the two congressional committees that are responsible for auditor regulation and oversight (i.e., influential committees). Only politicians serving on influential committees have the ability to discipline auditors following audit failures because of the responsibilities assigned to these committees under the rules and procedures of the U.S. Senate and the U.S House of Representatives. Disciplinary action can occur directly, via legislation sponsored and introduced to congressional chambers by a committee member, or indirectly, through the committees’ role as overseers of the SEC and PCAOB. For example, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) was co-sponsored by senior members of both the Senate and House influential committees (Paul Sarbanes (D-MD) and Michael Oxley (R-OH), respectively). SOX resulted in substantial reforms for auditors, including the creation of a new oversight body, and stricter auditor independence requirements. While legislative action is relatively rare following audit failure, regulatory action by the SEC and PCAOB is much more common. In recent years, the SEC has imposed multi-million dollar fines on audit firms and penalized or suspended licenses for individual audit partners following audit failures. 3 The scope and breadth of the power of influential committees over the actions of regulatory bodies can be seen in the following comments from former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt: 4 “[I received] a letter from the overseers of the SEC, the congressional committee that oversees the SEC that has a chokehold on the existence of the SEC, that can block SEC funding, that can block SEC rulemaking, that can create a constant pressure in terms of hearings and challenges and public statements, that can absolutely make life miserable for the commission.” and For example, in 2009 the SEC fined Ernst & Young (EY) $8.5m and sanctioned multiple EY partners for the audits of Bally Total Fitness Inc. The SEC noted that there were “failures from the engagement team to the top of the firm’s national office”. The SEC barred five current and former EY partners from auditing public companies for up to three years (http://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2009/33-9096.pdf). In 2005, the SEC fined Deloitte & Touche (DT) $50m relating to the audits of Adelphia Inc and barred the lead partner from auditing public companies for four years (https://www.sec.gov/litigation/opinions/2008/34-57244.pdf). While only anecdotal, in both of these examples the affected clients were located in states (IL, and PA, respectively) that had at least one congressional representative in the top quartile of influential committee seniority. 4 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/regulation/interviews/levitt.html 3 3 “[The politicians] kept the heat on me by telephone calls, by letters, by congressional hearings, and ultimately by threatening the funding of the agency by threatening its very existence. I mean, we were at that point struggling with this same committee to see to it that the employees of the SEC received the same compensation as other financial regulators. At the time, we were getting about a third less than employees for the Federal Reserve Board and other banking entities. And certain members of this committee suggested to me that getting that pay parity was out of the question while we were proceeding with this issue. So we were really being held, well, an attempt was made to hold us captive.” ~ Arthur Levitt, former SEC chairman Our study implicitly assumes that auditors are aware of heterogeneity in political influence, and more specifically, cognizant as to which politicians serve in powerful capacities on influential committees. Evidence from a recent report about politician action committee (PACs) lobbying and contributions indicates that audit firms at both firm and individuals-partner levels appear to actively lobby and make contributions to senior influential committee members. 5 For instance, politician action committees (PACs) funded by Big 4 audit firm employees gave nearly $10m ($7m) dollars in the 2010 (2006) congressional election cycle, with the money directly targeted to House and Senate influential committee members. House Representative Spencer Bachus (R-AL) who is the current chairman of the House Financial Services Committee has received $370,000 from “people in the accounting and audit industry” over his career (which is more than any other active congressional representative), and Senator Charles Schumer (D-NY), a senior influential committee member during the latter half of our sample period, received over $150,000 from 156 distinct Big 4 employees in 2010. 6 We argue that if auditors believe that audit failure in states served by politicians on influential committees is likely to result in the largest political costs for the auditor because of a politician’s reputational or capture related incentives to minimize the affected audit client’s responsibility for http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/13/us-usa-accounting-big-idUSBRE82C0JQ20120313 If auditors make political contributions to powerful influential committee members because of their ability to influence regulation over the profession, it follows that auditors also likely understand that the same politicians can impose costs in the event of audit failure, such as the implementation of SOX following the failure of Enron. 5 6 4 audit failures, then auditors have incentives to increase the supply of audit quality in those states, relative to other states. An important consideration is the possibility that auditors, rather than their clients, capture influential committee politicians via campaign and political contributions. Under this scenario politicians may attempt to limit scrutiny of auditors and instead focus on penalizing the firm’s managers in the event of audit failure. Thus, auditors are unlikely to have incentives to increase the supply of audit quality, ceteris paribus, and may even have incentives to decrease the supply of audit quality. 7 To examine the relation between the presence of influential politicians and the supply of audit quality, we obtain data pertaining to the dates of representation and committee assignments for all elected politicians for the years between 2000 and 2010. We identify politicians that serve on influential committees, and for each politician, their committee seniority. Committee seniority has been shown to be the most important determinant of a politician’s ability to have influence on a committee (Levitt and Poterba, 1999; Cohen et al., 2010). 8 We define seniority as the ordinal ranking of members of a given congressional committee based on committee tenure (Roberts, 1990). Senior influential committee members have the greatest ability to impose penalties on auditors for at least two reasons. First, senior committee members determine the committee’s agenda and legislative focus. For instance, senior committee members and subcommittee chairmen determine which legislative proposals are deserving of consideration by the entire House or Senate chambers. If senior members choose not to approve a committee-relevant bill brought forward by any member in the chamber or committee, the bill “dies in committee”. Second, senior committee members In reality, this is unlikely to occur because auditors face reputational and litigation related incentives to prevent audit failure irrespective of the extent to which politicians are captured. 8 Levitt and Poterba (1999) find that senior Democratic members of the House of Representatives use their positions to positively influence the economic performance of their states. Cohen et al. (2010) provide empirical evidence that the ascension of a congressman to a powerful committee chairmanship or ranking minority member position results in increased federal earmark, state-level government transfers and government contract allocations to the congressman’s state. 7 5 determine and allocate funding to regulatory bodies overseen by the committee (as illustrated in the aforementioned quote from Arthur Levitt). We collect congressional committee and politician data, and merge with Compustat firm data based on whether the firm is headquartered in the politician’s state of representation. We then merge our dataset with auditor-relevant data from Audit Analytics. After eliminating firms that do not use a Big 6 auditor, financial services and utilities firms, and firms missing required data, our final sample consists of 17,017 firm-year observations. We use four constructs to capture the supply of audit quality: (1) measures of earnings quality using accruals estimation techniques; (2) financial statement fraud using AAER action; (3) the issuance of going concern modified audit opinions; (4) the issuance of internal control weakness opinions. An advantage of using multiple supply-side audit quality measures is that each of the measures have complementary strengths, which provides valuable benefits in that we can triangulate across measures (DeFond and Zhang, 2013). An important attribute of our research design is that as improvements in a politician’s committee seniority can only occur via the resignation or defeat of other more senior committee members, increases in a politician’s seniority over time is typically determined by political circumstances in other states and thus are largely unrelated to events or activities in the politician’s home state. The empirical results are consistent with the argument that auditor efforts are affected by the risk of political costs from influential committee members following audit failure. We find that the supply of audit quality is positively associated with the seniority of a state’s representation on influential committees across all four measures of audit quality. The findings are economically significant: a one standard deviation increase in the seniority of a state’s representation on influential committees results in a 4.7% to 13% increase in earnings quality for in-state firms and a 26% decrease in the likelihood of being subject to AAER enforcement action. The issuance of going 6 concern modified audit opinions and internal control weakness opinions is positively associated with the seniority of a state’s representation on influential committees, but this effect is concentrated in highly distressed firms. A one standard deviation increase in the seniority of a state’s influential committee is associated with a 1.57 times (1.05 times) greater odds that highly distressed firms in the same state receive a going concern modified audit opinion (internal control weakness opinion). The results suggest auditors increase the ex-ante supply of audit quality to prevent political costs following the audit failure of high-risk clients. All of our tests include auditor, year, industry, and state fixed effects, which control for unobservable time-invariant factors or cross-sectional common shocks that may influence our results. In addition, we find statistically and economically similar results when we replace time-invariant industry and state fixed effects with firm fixed effects. These results suggest that it is unlikely that our results are confounded by firm-specific omitted variables. Furthermore, our results are concentrated in the partition of clients for which the political sensitivity of audit failure is highest, consistent with auditors recognizing that the political costs of failure vary among their client portfolios. Our next set of tests builds on the associations described above by identifying two exogenous shocks that allow us to address endogeneity concerns. The first exogenous shock is the loss of a state’s senior representation on an influential committee. Empirical results indicate that following the exit of a senior politician, audit quality for in-state firms decreases (relative to a matched sample of out-of-state firms that are unaffected by shocks to their state’s influential committee representation) across all measures of audit quality. The second exogenous shock centers around state-level changes in firm headquarter location. For a sample of 78 firms that change headquarter location and experience an increase (decrease) in influential committee representation, we observe that audit quality appears to on average increase (decrease) immediately following the firm headquarters change. 7 We also consider the possibility that our findings are attributable to increased auditor and/or firm efforts in response to the presence of connections between firms and politicians. Prior studies investigating the effect of political connections on earnings quality and auditor related outcomes find mixed evidence. 9 More specifically, we expect that auditor incentives to supply greater audit quality are likely to be greatest in clients that have captured politicians because audit failure for those clients is likely to result in the greatest costs for auditors, ceteris paribus. In addition, we consider the possibility that lobbying efforts by auditors may affect our findings. The inferences from our main results are unaffected by the inclusion of variables that capture the presence of connections between firms and politicians based on prior relationships or political contributions, as well as political connections between politicians and auditors. Consistent with Guedhami et al. (2014), we find some evidence that the presence of political connections between firms and politicians is associated with lower earnings quality. We find no evidence that lobbying by auditors affects the supply of audit quality. We also conduct counter-factual tests using senior politicians on the most powerful Senate and House committees that do not have jurisdiction over the accounting and auditing profession and the affiliated regulatory bodies (hereafter “non-auditor related powerful committees”). If auditors increase efforts in response to the possibility of political costs from any powerful politician, we should observe differences in the supply of audit quality for firms in states served by senior politicians on any powerful committee, not just those with membership on auditor-related committees. We find no evidence that firms in states with senior political representation on non-auditor related powerful committees experience differential levels of audit quality. In other words, the supply of greater audit quality appears to be limited to firms that are headquartered in states that have senior representation For example see Gul (2006), Ramanna and Roychowdhury (2010), Chaney et al. (2011), Yu and Yu (2011), and Guedhami et al. (2014). 9 8 on influential committees (as opposed to representatives on non-auditor related powerful committees). Our empirical results are also robust to a battery of tests and checks. We consider multiple constructs of audit quality measures, alternative measures of committee seniority, differential effects from either the Senate or House influential committees, differences across high business-friendly and low business-friendly states, the use of Big 4 /Big 6 / Non-Big 6 audit firms, the use of an extensive set of control variables, and a battery of other tests and sensitivity checks. Our study is likely to be of interest to politicians, regulators, audit firms, and audit clients. In addition, our study makes a number of contributions to literature in accounting, corporate governance, and the political economy. First, by identifying auditor actions in response to the threat of political costs from politicians that serve on auditor-relevant committees, we contribute to a growing body of research that examines the relation between auditor outcomes and the political economy (Gul, 2006; Chan et al., 2006). Our study is different from existing work in that we focus on specific politicians that have jurisdiction over the auditing profession. Furthermore, we are one of the first to provide evidence using a large sample of firms in a U.S. setting. Prior studies have primarily used international, or country specific setting (e.g., Malaysia and China), which are subject to very different regulatory, institutional, and political characteristics compared to the United States. Second, our study identifies a political effect on audit outcomes and earnings quality that is distinct and incremental to that from political connections. Our study contributes to the understanding of the distinct mechanisms through which politicians can influence firm and auditor actions (Leuz and Oberholzer-Gee; 2006; Gul, 2006; Chaney et al., 2011; Guedhami et al., 2014). Third, our study contributes to a literature in political economy that examines the consequences of political power. Prior research examines the implications of political power for state-level federal expenditure allocations (Hoover and Pecorino, 2005; Levitt and Poterba, 1999; 9 Aghion et al., 2009; Belo, Gala, and Li, 2013), IPO activity (Piotroski and Zhang, 2014), and firm productivity and performance (Cohen et al., 2011; Amore and Bennedsen, 2013). Our paper sheds light on the effect of political power on financial reporting and auditing outcomes. The remainder of this paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 describes the data and methodology. Section 3 presents descriptive evidence and the primary empirical results. Section 4 outlines additional analyses. Section 5 discusses tests for audit fees and turnover. We conclude in Section 6. 2. Data, Variable Definitions, and Empirical Specifications 2.1 Data We begin with Congressional committee membership data over the 2000 to 2010 period, covering from the 106th Congress to the 111th Congress. The congressional committee membership data allows us to identify each politician’s state of representation, the duration of each politician’s service in the House or the Senate, the committee membership assignments, committee membership appointment dates and service period, and party affiliation. 10 The data also identifies the duration of each politician’s service on a committee in years, which allows us to determine committee seniority. We specifically identify those politicians serving on the two committees responsible for oversight of the auditing profession, the PCAOB, and the SEC: the Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee in the Senate, and the House Committee on Financial Services. We then merge our data with firm-specific data from Compustat firms and auditor data from Audit Analytics. We eliminate (1) utilities and financial services firms (SIC codes between 4900 and 5000; and between 6000 and 6900); (2) non-U.S. domiciled firms; (3) firms audited by Arthur Andersen during the early years of our sample period (2000 or 2001); (4) firms that are not audited 10 We thank Charles Stewart at MIT for making this data available to us. 10 by a Big 6 auditors (where Big 6 is defined as BDO Seidman, Deloitte, E&Y, Grant Thornton, KPMG, and PwC); and (5) firms without sufficient data to calculate required variables. 11 After these deletions, our sample consists of 17,017 firm-year observations, representing 2,641 unique firms. 12 2.2 Measures of Politician Seniority on Influential Committees We focus on effects associated with the most senior influential committee politicians rather than all influential committee members because prior work shows that committee seniority is the key determinant of committee power (Levitt and Poterba, 1999; Cohen et al., 2011). The most senior politicians on congressional committees are responsible for the committee’s actions and agenda and can influence the focus and actions (or inactions) of regulatory bodies under the committee’s jurisdiction (such as the SEC and PCAOB). In extreme cases of audit failure, the most senior committee members are typically responsible for sponsoring legislation that proceeds from the committee to all Senate and House members. We develop multiple proxies to measure a state’s political seniority on influential committees. The first seniority proxy is the aggregate years of service of a state’s politicians on influential committees by state and year (Total_Seniority). This measure is easily illustrated using an example: In 2004 Alabama had one representative on the Senate Banking Committee – Richard C. Shelby (D-AL) – who until that year, served on the committee for 17 years. Alabama also had two representatives on the House Financial Services Committee (Spencer Bachus (R-AL) and Artur Davis (D-AL)) who had served on the committee for 6 and 1 year(s) respectively as of 2004. The value of Total_Seniority Big 6 clients represent the vast majority of all Compustat firms and assets (87% and 92% respectively on average over our sample period). 12 An important issue for our study is the link between firm headquarter location and influential committee representation. However, a limitation of obtaining firm location from Compustat is that we can only obtain the most current firm location data, which may result in biased estimates. In order to overcome this limitation, we obtain actual firm-year headquarter location details from Compact Disclosure and replicate all our empirical tests. A limitation of the Compact Disclosure data is that it is unavailable after 2006, and thus we can only use a sample period of 2001 – 2006. The empirical results discussed below are statistically and economically significant (and in many cases, stronger) when using this alternative measurement of firm location (untabulated). 11 11 applied to all firms headquartered in Alabama for the 2004 year represents the aggregate years of service across the three Alabama congressmen (17+ 6 + 1 = 24). Our second proxy for seniority is a state-year measure of the total number of a state’s politicians that serve on influential committees, labeled as Committee_Num. This variable captures the possibility that committee influence may stem from “power in numbers” – the greater a state’s representation on influential committees, the greater the ability and likelihood that those congressmen can cohesively act to discipline auditors following audit failure. 13 The third seniority measure is an indicator variable set to 1 if the state’s aggregate politician seniority is in the top quartile among all states for that year, and 0 otherwise (Seniority_Dum). 14 2.3 Empirical Specification We use the following specification to test whether the seniority of a state’s political representation on influential committees affects the supply of audit quality for client in the same state: Audit Qualityi,t = + 1 * Seniorityi,t + X * Controlsi,t + i,t (1) Where Audit Qualityi,t represents one of four sets of measures of the supply of audit quality: (1) accruals-based earnings quality measures; (2) detected fraudulent financial reporting based on the A possible limitation of this measure is that it potentially overstates seniority for states with a large junior representation on influential committees. For instance, a state represented by four relatively junior congressmen each with committee membership for five years (for a total value of Total_Seniority of 20, or total value of Committee_Num of 4) is likely to have less power relative to another state represented by a single congressman with 20 years of committee membership. However, an advantage of this measure is that it captures the possibility that seniority and influence on a committee can occur through the presence of multiple state representatives on the House Committee on Financial Services who can influence committee behavior via their cumulative voting power. 14 A number of politicians in our sample vacate their congressional seats (and thus their committee seats). Politicians vacate their congressional seats for a number of reasons including reelection campaign defeat, death, retirement, resignation by disgrace, transfer or reappointment to another committee, appointment to a new government/administrative position. Our influential committee sample includes 112 politicians (29 senators and 83 congressmen) that vacate their seats. Of these 112 cases, 24 represent committee members in the top quartile (non-top quartile) of seniority. A small number of the turnover cases occur mid-term and are treated as follows: politicians who vacate their seats in the first half of any calendar year are deemed to have not served on the committee for that year, and the replacement politician is coded as having served for the entire year. If a politician vacates their seat in the second half of a calendar year, we code the outgoing politician as having served on the committee for the entire year. In untabulated robustness tests, we find our main results are qualitatively similar if we exclude all cases where a congressional seat is vacated mid-term. 13 12 issuance of an Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Release (AAER); (3) the issuance of a going concern opinion; and (4) the issuance of an internal control weakness opinion. We use a variety of different measures because each of the measures have complementary strengths, which provides valuable benefits in that we can triangulate across measures (DeFond and Zhang, 2013). Seniorityi,t represents one of three measures of the power of a state’s representation on influential committees, and Controlsi,t is a vector of control variables. We discuss these variables in more detail in the following sections. We use ordinary least squares for tests in which the dependent variable is earnings quality. We use logit regressions for fraudulent financial reporting, going concern, and internal control weakness tests. All specifications include state, year, industry, and auditor fixed effects, and standard errors are adjusted using a Huber-White Sandwich estimator and clustered by firm. 2.3.1 Earnings Quality Measures Our first set of measures of the supply of audit quality is based on earnings quality constructs that rely on estimations of accruals. Caramanis and Lennox (2008) suggest that audit effort affect the extent to which firms can report aggressively high earnings. Thus, increased audit effort should result in reduced abnormal accruals, which reduces the risk that financial reports contain material misstatements. The first measure (EQ1) is the absolute value of abnormal accruals based on Hribar and Nichols (2007). The second measure (EQ2) is the error term from the estimation of accruals calculated as the industry-adjusted absolute value of the Dechow and Dichev (2002) residual, based on the cross-sectional adaptation of the model in Dechow et al. (2011). The third measure (EQ3) is the Kothari et al. (2005) performance-matched signed discretionary accruals estimate as used by Ashbaugh et al. (2003). Detailed calculations for all three measures are outlined 13 in Appendix A. 15 We multiply EQ1, EQ2, and EQ3 by -100 so that larger values indicate higher earnings quality to facilitate easier interpretation of regression coefficients. 2.3.2 Fraudulent Reporting using AAERs Our next measure of earnings quality is the presence of fraudulent financial reporting. We use the issuance of an Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Releases (AAERs) by the SEC to proxy for fraudulent financial reporting (see Bonner et al., 1998; Erickson et al., 2004; among others). AAERs are the SEC’s actions to enforce GAAP financial reporting requirements through civil litigation and administrative proceedings. Recent studies highlight the benefits of using AAERs as an audit quality proxy. Ball (2009) states “…a proven case of negligent or fraudulent financial reporting is an institutional “fact”, as distinct from an error-prone academic estimate”; and DeFond (2010) notes that AAERs “…are potentially attractive alternatives to abnormal accruals as a proxy for earnings quality. One perceived advantage of restatements and AAERs over abnormal accruals is that they appear to be more direct proxies for earnings quality”. We identify fraud by collecting AAERs from the SEC website and LexisNexis between January 1, 2000 and December 1, 2013. We delete (1) all AAERs that relate to fraud outside of our sample period; (2) all AAERs that are unrelated to accounting fraud; and (3) duplicate AAERs against the same firm during the sample period. The process yields 324 unique AAERs. We classify a firm’s alleged financial misconduct based on the time period during which the alleged financial misreporting or fraud occurred, rather than when it was detected. 16 As the Hribar and Nichols (2007) and Dichow and Dichev (2011) measures both rely on abnormal accruals, we also conduct robustness tests using the absolute value of total accruals, scaled by average assets. Untabulated results show that our findings are unchanged when using this alternative measure. 16 We collect AAERs that are issued after our sample end date to ensure we identify all cases of investigated fraud that occur during our sample period. For instance, an AAER issued in 2012 may relate to a fraud in 2009. However, it is possible that our tests include non-fraud firms (i.e., firms that are not subject to AAER action) that actually commit fraud which is undetected by the SEC. This can occur because the SEC has limited resources and cannot investigate all possible instances of fraud (Feroz et al., 1991; Dechow et al., 2010). Thus, our sample likely understates incidences of accounting fraud (DeFond and Francis, 2005; Karpoff et al., 2008; Lennox et al., 2013). This measurement error and increased noise should bias against our predictions. 15 14 2.3.3 Going Concern Opinions Our third audit quality variable is the presence of going concern modified audit opinions (GC). A GC represents an auditor’s propensity to both detect and report problems related to a client’s financial condition (Craswell et al., 2002; DeFond et al., 2002). An auditor’s assessment of whether a client is a going concern is subjective and not merely the result of following a mechanical set of rules. This suggests that auditors have to exercise significant professional judgment and use their discretion when deciding whether it is appropriate to issue a GC (DeFond and Lennox, 2011). All else equal, we expect to observe that clients located in states that have senior political representation on influential committees are more likely to receive GCs. We obtain GC data from the Audit Analytics Audit Opinion file. Our total sample consists of 410 cases of going concern modified audit opinion issuances, representing 236 unique firms. 2.3.4 SOX 404 Internal Control Material Weakness Opinions The fourth audit quality variable we use relies on the SOX Section 404 requirement that the independent auditor, on an annual basis, provides an opinion on the client’s system of internal controls over financial reporting. If the auditor discovers a “material weakness” in internal controls, they must issue an adverse opinion (ICW). 17 Internal controls over financial reporting are defined as the processes that provide “reasonable assurance about the reliability of a company’s financial reporting and its process for preparing and fairly presenting financial statements in accordance with GAAP” (PCAOB, 2004). Auditors that supply higher quality services because of concerns about political costs of audit failure are more likely to identify internal control weaknesses and issue an ICW. We obtain ICW data from the Audit Analytics SOX 404 Internal Controls database and identify 11,878 firm-year observations between 2004 and 2010 for which we can obtain data about If a client properly reports the material weakness, the auditor’s opinion on the firm’s assessment of internal controls is unqualified. If the auditor concludes a material weakness exists but the client does not, the auditor must issue an adverse opinion. Auditors also must report “significant deficiencies,” which are less severe than “material weaknesses” and do not result in an adverse opinion. 17 15 auditor attestation about management’s assertion on the effectiveness of internal control. Of these observations, 522 unique firms (representing 782 firm-year observations) receive an ICW. 2.3.5 Control Variables Each specification of equation (1) includes a comprehensive set of control variables. We provide detailed definitions for all variables in Appendix B. First, for tests where the dependent variable represents one of the three accruals-based measures of earnings quality or AAER, we include control variables commonly used in the literature on auditors and earnings quality. These include the auditor’s city-level market share (Auditor_Share), the number of years that the auditor has been retained (Auditor_Tenure), the (log) number of clients of the firm’s auditor office (Office_Size), and firm-specific variables including whether the firm received a going concern opinion in the prior year (GC_Dummy), log of total assets (Size), the ratio of long term debt to total assets (Leverage), market value of equity divided by book value of equity (MtB), current year net income scaled by total assets (Profit), an indicator variable set to one if the firm has issued more than 10% of the existing total debt and equity during the prior 3 years, zero otherwise (Issuance), the standard deviation of operating cash flows over the past five years (Stdev_Cashflow), the standard deviation of total sales over the past five years (Stdev_Sales), and the operating cycle (Oper_Cycle). We also include Inst_Own, the total stock ownership by institutional investors, and Analyst_Following, the log of the number of analysts that cover the firm. In addition, we control for litigation risk (Litigation Risk), using an indicator variable to set to one if a firm is in a high litigation risk industry, and zero otherwise. We classify high litigation risk industries based on Kim and Skinner (2012). For tests where the dependent variable is GC or ICW, we include controls for Auditor_Share, Auditor_Tenure, Office_Size, Litigation Risk, Size, Leverage, MtB, Profit, Stdev_Cashflow, Stdev_Sales, Oper_Cycle, Inst_Own, Analyst_Following, as defined above, and two additional controls from DeFond 16 and Lennox (2011): the number of days between firm’s fiscal year end and the auditor’s report date (Reporting_Lag), and the current assets to current liabilities ratio (Current_Ratio). 2.4 Summary Statistics We present summary statistics in Table 1. In Panel A we present descriptive information about both influential committees (i.e., the House Committee on Financial Services and the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee) and politicians serving on these committees. Panel B presents descriptive statistics for our primary measures of Seniority and Panel C displays summary statistics for key variables. First, Panel A shows that the House (Senate) influential committees have an average of 69 (21) members during our sample period, representing 29 (21) states respectively. This implies that conditional on a state having representation on a committee, each state has an average representation on the House (Senate) committees of about 2 (1) politicians. Politicians serving on the House (Senate) influential committees have an average tenure of approximately 3.6 (6.9) years, with a maximum of 19 (29) years. Next, we tabulate states representation in the top (bottom) quartile of influential committee seniority over the sample period, where seniority is measured as the number of consecutive years of service on a committee. Seniority does not appear to be exclusively driven by the largest and most populated states such as New York, California, or Texas (although all of these states do have senior representation on the House committee during the sample period). Seniority appears to be represented in a large cross-section of states on both the House and Senate, reducing the likelihood that our results are driven by certain states. For example the states with the most years in the top seniority quartile on the Senate committee are Connecticut (10 years), Alabama (10 years), Utah (8 years), and Maryland (8 years). Finally, only two states (Alaska and Maine) have no representation on influential committees during our sample period (representing 22 firm-year observations). 17 In Panel B, we present descriptive statistics for the seniority measures, Total_Seniority, Committee_Num, and Seniority_Dum, based on the state-level values. In Panel C we present firm-level seniority measures for the full sample. Differences in the state-level and firm-level seniority measure values are simply due to an uneven distribution of firms across U.S. states. The average aggregate seniority of state representatives on influential committees is 8.8 years, with a median of 6 years. Each state has an average of 1.2 members on influential committees. Finally, approximately 26% of states have a political representative in the top seniority quartile across both influential committees. In Panel C, we present summary statistics for the variables of interest. First, we present descriptive statistics for the primary independent variables, Total_Seniority, Committee_Num, and Seniority_Dum. Our sample firms observe an average (median) of 18.8 (17.0) years of experience across all their influential committee representatives in any given year. The large standard deviation suggests the experience levels greatly vary across states. Next, the mean value for Seniority_Num of 4.56 indicates that states have an average of just over four politicians serving on influential committees. Note that the relatively high representation on influential committees is largely driven by political representation in the House, rather than the Senate, because of the nature of the U.S. House of Representatives apportionment system, which allocates congressional seats to each state based on the state’s population. Seniority_Dum displays an average value of 0.26, implying that 26% of sample firm-year observations are located in a state that has a politician in the top seniority quartile on at least one influential committee. Next, the accruals based earning quality measures, EQ1, EQ2, and EQ3, display mean values of -15.67, -0.45, and -4.19, respectively. These values are coded such that higher values represent higher earnings quality. The mean value of 0.019 for AAER indicates that 1.9% of sample firm-year observations are subject to AAER enforcement action. Next, approximately 2.4% of our sample firm-year observations receive GCs and approximately 6.6% receive ICWs. Average logged audit 18 fees is 13.55, which represents average audit fees of $768,350. Finally, approximately 6.4% of sample firms experience auditor turnover each year. In the next section, we present results from multivariate tests. 3. Empirical Results 3.1 Influential Committee Representation and Audit Quality In Table 2, we present the results from multivariate tests examining whether a client’s audit quality outcomes are associated with the client’s presence in a state that has senior political representation on influential committees. The dependent variable is one of EQ1, EQ2, EQ3, or AAER. Panel A presents results for our primary measure of congressional seniority, and Panel B presents results from tests in which we verify our results are robust to alternate measures of seniority. The coefficient estimates in Panel A, column 1 indicate that when the dependent variable is EQ1, the coefficient on Total_Seniority bears a positive (0.040) and significant at the 1% level (t = 2.60). This suggests that on average, auditors supply higher quality audits for clients located in states with senior representation on influential committees. This difference is also economically meaningful. A one standard deviation increase in Total_Seniority is equivalent to a 3.8% increase in audit quality. 18 In column 2, when the dependent variable is set to EQ2, we find that the coefficient on Total_Seniority is positive (0.002) and significant at the 5% level (t = 2.22). Economically, a one standard deviation increase in a state’s Total_Seniority on influential committees is associated with a 6.7% increase in audit quality. We find similar statistical and economic results in column 3 when the dependent variable is set to EQ3. Finally, the evidence in column 4 when we use AAER to measure audit quality is consistent with the results in columns 1 to 3. The coefficient on Total_Seniority is negative (-0.015) and statistically significant at the 5% level (t=-2.30). A negative sign on We calculate this as the coefficient on Total_Seniority multiply by the standard deviation of Total_Seniority, scaled by the mean value of EQ1: 0.040*15.05/15.667 = 3.8%. 18 19 Total_Seniority indicates that a firm is less likely to be subject to AAER enforcement action when the firm is located in a state that has powerful politicians on influential committees. In economic terms, the result indicates that a one-standard deviation increase in Total_Seniority is associated with a 20% decrease in the odds that the firm is subject to AAER enforcement action. 19 In sum, the results in Panel A are consistent with the notion that auditors supply higher quality audits in states served by politicians that can impose costs on auditors following audit failure. In Panel B, we present results from tests in which we check that our results are robust to alternative constructs of committee seniority. We replace Total_Seniority with two alternate measures: Committee_Num (Columns 1 to 4), and Seniority_Dum (Columns 5 to 8). Coefficient estimates suggest similar inferences to those from the results in Panel A. Results for both alternative measures of seniority indicate that the seniority of a state’s political representation on influential committees is positively associated with audit quality measures. For instance, in column 1 when earning quality is set to EQ1, the coefficient on Committee_Num is positive (0.129) and significant at the 5% level (t = 2.33). In economic terms, a one-politician increase in a state’s influential committee membership is associated with an increase in earnings quality of between 0.8% and 8.2% for in-state firms. The evidence in column 4 provides consistent evidence when the dependent variable is AAER. A onepolitician increase in a state’s influential committee membership is associated with a 5% decrease in the odds ratio that in-state firms will be subject to AAER enforcement action. In column 5-8, we find statistically and economically similar results when seniority is set to Seniority_Dum. In other words, firms located in states with influential committee representation in the top quartile of all politicians appear to receive a 3.4% to 28% increase in the mean earnings quality, and a 16% reduction in the odds that the firms will be subject to AAER enforcement action. A possible alternative explanation for this finding is that captured firms are less likely to face AAER action because of political clout. While we cannot explicitly rule out this explanation, such an argument is inconsistent with the results in Table 4 that provide no evidence of a relation between the presence of political connections and AAER issuances. 19 20 Coefficients on control variables are consistent with expectations. We find that auditor market share is positively related with earnings quality, as in previous studies (e.g., Balsam et al., 2003; Myers et al., 2003). Firm profitability is negatively related with earnings quality, and so is the length of the firm’s operating cycle. In sum, the evidence in Table 2 is consistent with the argument that auditors supply higher audit quality for clients located in states that have senior representation on influential committees. Our results hold after controlling for auditor expertise, and litigation risk, which suggests that politically related incentives (and the risk of regulatory intervention) to prevent audit failure are an incremental, and distinct incentive to auditors’ market-based incentives related to reputation and litigation (Dye, 1993). 3.2 Committee Seniority and Auditor Efforts: Going Concern Opinion Issuances and Internal Control Weakness Reports Next, we consider whether auditors are more likely to issue GCs when clients are located in states that have senior representation on influential committees. A going concern opinion is a serious and severe assessment of the firm’s financial and operational conditions. Auditors issue a going concern opinion to clients whose financial conditions present doubt as to the ability to continue as a going concern. Issuing a going concern opinion allows auditors to mitigate litigation costs and adverse reputation effects if the client suffers failure (Kaplan and Williams, 2013). In a similar vein, we expect that the presence of an internal control weakness report reduce the risk that the auditor will be subject to political costs, because internal control weakness increases the chance of financial misstatements. Thus, if auditors perceive the political costs of audit failure to be greater than the potential costs from the loss of a client that replaces the auditor following the issuance of a GC or ICW opinion, then we expect a positive relation between the issuance of going concern or internal control weakness opinions and the political costs of audit failure. 21 Table 3 presents the results from logit regressions estimating Equation (1) in which the dependent variable is an indicator variable set to one for firms that receive a GC (Panel A) or an ICW (Panel B). We partition sample firms into terciles based on one-year lagged financial distress risk using Altman’s Zscore. The overall evidence suggests auditors issue more GCs and ICWs to clients located in states where audit failure is likely to result in greater political costs, but only for the partition of firms with the highest distress risk. In untabulated analyses, we find qualitatively similar results if we use measure financial distress using the approach in Ohlson (1980). In Panel A, columns 1 to 3, we present regression coefficients by financial distress risk tercile. In column 1, Total_Seniority is positive (0.027) and significant at the 5% level (t = 2.23) for the high distress risk firm sample. Economically, a one standard deviation increase in Total_Seniority is associated with a 1.50 times increase in the odds that an auditor issues a GC to highly distressed instate firms. 20 In contrast, Total_Seniority bears negative and statistically insignificant coefficients for tests on the medium and low distress risk firm samples in columns 2 and 3 respectively. Our findings are consistent with the notion that auditors issue more GCs when the political costs from audit failure are higher, because a GC limits an auditor’s culpability in the event of firm failure. In columns 4 and 5, we present results from tests using the high distress risk tercile in which we replace Total_Seniority with the two alternate measures of seniority. In column 4, the coefficient on Committee_Num is positive (0.241) and significant at the 1% level (t = 3.04). In economic terms, a one-politician increase on influential committees is associated with a 1.27 times increase in the odds that an auditor issues a GC to highly distressed in-state firms. We find economically and statistically similar results in column 5 when seniority is set to Seniority_Dum. Coefficients on control variables are consistent with expectations. Firm Size is negatively and significantly related to the issuance of a going concern opinion across all distress risk partitions. For 20 The increase in the odds ratio is calculated as follows: e(0.027*15.053) = 1.50. 22 high distress risk firm partitions, going concern opinions are positively related to the firm’s operating cycle (Oper_Cycle), and negatively related to the firm’s current ratio. In untabulated sensitivity tests, we find that our results are unaffected by whether a GC was also issued in the prior year or not. In summary, the analysis in Table 3 Panel A finds that distressed firms are more likely to receive GCs when located in states that have senior representation on the influential congressional committees. In Panel B, we present results from tests in which the dependent variable is set to ICW. In column 1, the coefficient on Total_Seniority is positive (0.003) and significant at the 5% level (t = 2.49). Thus for high distress risk firms, a one standard deviation increase in a state’s aggregate years of representation on influential committees is associated with 1.05 times increase in the odds that an auditor issues an ICW to in-state firms. In contrast, coefficients on Total_Seniority are statistically insignificant for the mid- and lowdistress risk firm partitions in columns 2 and 3 respectively. In columns 4 and 5, the inferences are similar for the high distress risk partition when we replace Total_Seniority with Committee_Num or Seniority_Dum. Coefficients are consistent with prior studies (e.g., Doyle et al., 2007). Overall, the results across both panels suggest that auditors appear to be more willing to issue GC and ICW reports when the political costs of audit failure are highest. 3.3 Omitted Time-Invariant Firm Characteristics: Specifications with Firm Fixed Effects A potential concern with the findings in Tables 2 and 3 is that the presence of unobserved time-invariant firm-specific factors. For instance, a firm’s corporate governance practices may affect the supply of audit quality (e.g., Bedard and Johnstone, 2004). To address this possibility, we replicate our tests from Tables 2 and 3 after including firm fixed-effects in multivariate tests. 21 Untabulated results indicate that coefficients across all the seniority measures bear economically and statistically similar results to those in Table 2 and 3 and that these results hold A consequence of including firm fixed effects in our tests is that we must remove state fixed effects because of homogeneity in firm headquarter state location data from Compustat. 21 23 across all measures of audit quality. Overall, the evidence from regressions that include firm fixedeffects indicates that our primary findings are not driven by unobservable time-invariant firm characteristics. 3.4 Shocks to a State’s Senior Influential Committee Representation Our tests thus far focus on documenting yearly associations between levels of influential committee seniority and levels of audit quality. In this section, we present evidence from a changes specification that regresses changes in influential committee senior representation on changes in audit quality. We exploit changes in committee membership that occur via the exogenous exit of a senior member. Exits can occur for a number of reasons, including defeat during a reelection campaign, the acceptance of a more lucrative appointment (such as an ambassadorship or leadership role in an influential government department), retirement, or resignation. A committee member’s departure from a committee at any time results in a new political appointment to the committee but without the incumbent’s seniority. Furthermore, all politicians with lower tenure than a resigning committee member improve their rank following the resignation. We identify 112 exit cases (29 senators and 83 House representatives) from influential committees during our sample period. Of these cases, 24 (11 senators and 13 House representatives) depart while they serve in the top quartile of committee seniority. Our central argument is that auditors have incentives to supply higher audit quality to limit the political costs of audit failure. If the political costs of audit failure decrease then we expect that auditor incentives to supply relatively higher audit quality decreases, ceteris paribus. First, we provide univariate evidence. Table 4 Panel A presents figures of changes in each AQ measure for 1) firms in states that experience a shock via the loss of an influential committee senior politician during our sample window, and 2) a matched sample of firms in other states that do not experience a shock in the same year and the two preceding or subsequent years. All treatment cases are coded such that 24 Year 0 represents the year of the loss of a senior influential committee member. We use propensity score matching to identify treatment and control groups, with matching occurring in the year prior to politician turnover. We match each firm in a state that experiences a senior influential committee member loss with a control firm from a state that does not experience the shock in the same, preceding or subsequent year. We match firms based on firm size, industry, state GDP growth, and state unemployment rate. The matching process results in 1502 firms (i.e. 751 treatment and control firms). The evidence across all the figures in Panel A systematically suggests that AQ decreases for firms in states served by a departing influential committee senior representative in the year around the shock. In contrast, we see no evidence of systematic changes in measures of AQ for the control group firm sample. Next, we perform multivariate analyses using a difference-in-differences specification to compare the change in the supply of audit quality around the elimination of a state’s influential committee senior representation: Audit Qualityi,t = + 1 * Senior_Dropi,t + X * Controlsi,t + i,t (2) Audit Qualityi,t represents the annual change in measures of audit quality as previously defined. For tests where the dependent variable is AAER (GC/ICW), Audit Quality is defined as an indicator variable set to one if the audit quality variable changes such that audit quality decreases. 22 Senior_Dropi,t is an indicator variable set to one if the firm is located in a state experiencing a loss of senior influential committee member, and zero otherwise. Controlsi,t is a vector of control variables as previously defined. To illustrate, consider a state that has an influential committee senior political representative who retires in year t. Audit Quality is only set to one for in-state firms that did not receive an AAER (did receive a GC/ICW opinion) in t-1, and did receive an AAER (did not receive an GC/ICW opinion) in t. For all other possible outcomes between t-1 and t, Audit Quality is set to zero. 22 25 We use ordinary least squares for tests in which the dependent variable is earnings quality and logit regressions for fraudulent financial reporting, going concern, and internal control weakness tests. All specifications include state, industry, and auditor fixed effects, and standard errors are adjusted using a Huber-White Sandwich estimator and clustered by firm. We present the results in Table 4. The evidence indicates that firms located in states that lose senior representation on an influential committee subsequently experience statistically significant decreases in the supply of audit quality. The results are robust across all of our AQ measures: we find evidence that firms in those states have decreases in EQ, are more likely to be subject to AAERs, and are less likely to receive a GC or ICW opinion if they received such an opinion in the previous year. In economic terms, firms in states that lose a senior representative from an influential committees experience a decrease in the supply of audit quality (measured using earnings quality) of approximately 3.2% - 4.2%. We undertake two additional tests related to shocks to influential committee member changes. First, we examine whether the addition of a politician to an influential committee affects the subsequent period supply of audit quality for firms in said politician’s state. We find a positive but statistically insignificant relation across all audit quality measures (untabulated), consistent with newly tenured committee members having relatively little political influence due to their junior status. Second, we examine and find no evidence that the supply of audit quality is affected following the exit of a junior influential committee member. In sum, the evidence in Table 4 provides evidence consistent with the notion that the supply of audit quality is affected by the presence of senior political representation on committees charged with auditor oversight. 3.5 Shocks from Client Headquarters Location Changes In this section, we exploit whether shocks to a firm’s headquarters location affect the supply of audit quality. While a change in the location of a firm’s headquarters naturally results in a change in that firm’s state-level influential committee representation, headquarters changes are unlikely to be 26 directly driven by influential committee representation related reasons and more importantly, by audit quality considerations. If our findings in Tables 2 and 3 are driven by auditor concerns about the state-level political costs of audit failure, then changes in a firm’s headquarters location should affect the supply of audit quality. A limitation of our firm headquarters location data from Compustat is that historical firm location data is back-filled using the most current headquarter location data. This is likely to result in a data bias issue, and especially for observations in the earlier sample periods. In order to overcome this issue, we obtain historical headquarters location information from the Compact Disclosure database. The database contains accurate historical firm-level headquarter location data on an annual basis, which enables us to accurately examine audit quality related effects around changes in firm headquarters. Unfortunately, Compact Disclosure data from is only available until 2006 and so our tests span the period from 2000 to 2006. We identify 78 unique firms in our sample that change their headquarter location during this period. Among these cases, there are 39 (38) firms that experience an increase (decrease) in Total_Seniority. One firm experiences no change in total seniority. The average increase (decrease) in Total_Seniority for the respective groups is 14.28 years (14.97) years. The maximum increase (decrease) in Total_Seniority around a headquarter change is 57 (48) years. Figure 1 plots time-series graphs for each of our measures of audit quality centered around the year in which sample firms change their state of headquarters (t = 0). We partition sample firms based on whether the new headquarter state has a higher or lower value of Total_Seniority relative to the old headquarters state in the previous year. Across cases of both increases and decreases in state seniority, we observe a clear pattern that indicates increases (decreases) in the supply of audit quality following headquarter changes to a state with positive (negative) change in influential committee seniority. In sum, the results provide evidence consistent with a causal relation between committee 27 Figure 1 Changes in Measures of Audit Quality Around Changes in Firm Headquarter Location Figure 1 presents average annual values of audit quality measures for 76 firms that change the state of firm headquarter between the years 2001 to 2006. We split the firms based on whether the state affiliated with the new headquarters has higher or lower Total_Seniority relative to the previous headquarters state. EQ2 -19 -.47 -.46 -18 EQ1 -17 EQ2 -.45 -.44 -16 -.43 -15 -.42 EQ1 -3 -2 -1 0 Firms with Increasing Seniority 1 2 3 -3 Firms with Decreasing Seniority -2 -1 0 Firms with Increasing Seniority 2 3 AAER 0 -4.8 -4.6 .01 -4.4 EQ3 AAER .02 -4.2 .03 -4 .04 -3.8 EQ3 1 Firms with Decreasing Seniority -3 -2 -1 0 Firms with Increasing Seniority 1 2 3 -3 Firms with Decreasing Seniority -2 -1 0 Firms with Increasing Seniority 2 3 .065 .022 .066 ICW .067 Going Concern .023 .024 .068 ICW .025 Going Concern 1 Firms with Decreasing Seniority -3 -2 -1 Firms with Increasing Seniority 0 1 2 3 -3 Firms with Decreasing Seniority -2 -1 Firms with Increasing Seniority 28 0 1 2 Firms with Decreasing Seniority 3 seniority and the supply of audit quality. Overall, evidence from these tests suggest that our main findings are robust to a number of tests to address endogeneity. Nevertheless, we cannot definitively rule out the possibility that our results are attributable to unidentified omitted factors. 4. Additional Analyses 4.1 The Effect of Political Connections Next, we consider the possibility that our results are attributable to the presence of connections between politicians and firms or auditors’ lobbying efforts. Existing research finds mixed evidence about the effect of political connections on earnings quality and audit outcomes. For instance, Chaney et al. (2011) find that in a cross-country setting, politically connected firms supply lower AQ because of a lower need to respond to market pressures to increase the quality of disclosed information, and Ramanna and Roychowdhury (2010) provide evidence that U.S. firms with connections via political contributions were more likely to manage earnings downwards during the 2004 elections. Yu and Yu (2011) find that U.S. politically connected companies are associated with higher incidences of accounting fraud, and Chan et al. (2006) find Chinese local government-owned companies that switch from a non-local auditor to a local auditor after receiving a qualified opinion can succeed in opinion shopping. On the other hand, Guedhami et al. (2014) find that politically connected firms are more likely to choose a Big 4 auditor, and less likely to engage in earnings management. Gul (2006) finds that Malaysian auditors increase audit effort and charge higher audit fees for clients with political connections following the Asian financial crisis due to client inefficiencies and the inability of the government to bail out these favored clients during the crisis. We consider two channels through which political connections are likely to occur: personal connections via employment and politically motivated monetary contributions. First, we use BoardEx to identify firm affiliations with each politician based on prior work experience as an executive or non-executive director, consistent with 29 the definition used in prior work (Faccio, 2006; Houston et al., 2014). We create an indicator variable set to one if a firm in our sample is affiliated with an U.S. politician, conditional on the politician serving in the same year, and zero otherwise (Political_Connect). Second, we collect data about political contributions from firms to elected politicians. In the US, firms can contribute to political parties, politicians, or candidates via 1) donations to Political Action Committees (PACs); 2) contributions from individuals who are employed by the firm; 3) soft money donations; 4) 527 group donations; and 5) lobbying firms, which can help a firm establish political connections with parties and individual politicians. We obtain political contribution data from CQ Roll Call’s Political Money Line database and follow Yu and Yu (2011) to calculate a firm’s logged total political contributions at the firm-year level (Politicial_Contrib). We also collect data about political contributions and lobbying by Big 6 auditors. It is possible that it is the auditors, rather than the clients, who capture politicians in order to prevent the imposition of penalties following audit failure. 23 We collect audit firm lobbying data from Political Money Line to measure auditor’s lobbying efforts, calculated as the log of annual total lobbying spending annually (Auditor_Contrib). We find that 402 unique firms are professionally connected with 376 unique politicians during the sample period. We also find that 688 unique firms (approximately 26% of the sample firms) contribute to politicians or political campaigns with mean (median) annual spending of $2.04 million ($357,142). 24, 25 Mean (median) annual political contributions and lobbying by Big 6 auditors is $4.2 million ($4.35 million) during the sample period. Note however, that if auditors capture influential committee politicians, then auditors should have decreased incentives to supply greater audit quality for clients in states served by influential politicians. This is contrary to the evidence in Tables 2 and 3. 24 These ratios for the number of firms that contribute are smaller than in other studies such as Houston et al. (2014) who find approximately 43% of sample firms have a political connection. A key difference between our study and Houston et al. (2014) that is likely to affect the difference is that the latter study focuses on Fortune 500 firms only. 25 Our firm contribution statistics are likely to be understated because of the difficulty in linking contribution data with Compustat data. For instance, our methodology is unlikely to capture contributions made under the name of a subsidiary 23 30 In Table 5, we present results from tests of Equation (1) after including the three firm and auditor political connection variables described above. We suppress the presentation of control variables in the interests of brevity. Panels A, B, and C present results for each of the three seniority measures. Coefficient estimates from all three panels indicates that the inclusion of the three political connection variables does not change our main inferences. We find that the presence of senior politicians on influential committees is positively and statistically associated with all of our measures of the supply of audit quality, and that this result is unaffected by the choice of the measure of influential committee seniority used. The results are economically similar to those presented in Tables 2 and 3. Next, in Panel A, the evidence suggests that the presence of a prior business connection between a firm and a politician serving on an influential committee (Politicial_Connect) is negatively associated with all measures of the supply of audit quality, but statistically insignificant for all three measures of earnings quality. The coefficients on Political_Contrib across all AQ measures indicate similar inferences – the variable is negatively associated with all measures of the supply of audit quality, but only statistically significant when audit quality is set to EQ1. We find no evidence that Auditor_Contrib is statistically associated with any of our audit quality measures. The evidence in Panels B and C suggest very similar inferences. Overall, the results in Table 5 suggest that although political connections appear to be weakly associated with earnings quality, connections do not appear to drive the relation between the presence of a senior politician on an influential committee and the supply of audit quality for same-state firms. 4.2 The Effect of Seniority on Other Powerful Congressional Committees Our next test addresses the possibility that politicians other than those on the influential committees funnel federal funds and earmarks to their states (Cohen et al., 2011). As a matter of fact, other committees usually have much more power on issues such as budgeting and governmental of a sample firm. While this is an inherent limitation in all studies investigating political contributions, our results should be interpreted accordingly. 31 spending or contracting in certain industries. Such funding is likely to increase the financial prospects and health of firms headquartered in those states, which in turn may reduce the need for firms to engage in earnings manipulation or undertake aggressive accounting techniques. In other words, it is possible that state funding from senior politicians drives our main results. To address this possibility, we undertake a counter-factual attribution test that examines whether the supply of audit quality differs for firms located in states with senior politicians serving on powerful nonauditor related committees (i.e., committees other than influential committees). We identify the most powerful non-auditor related Senate and House committees from Edwards and Stewart (2006). 26 We calculate measures of seniority that are similar to our previously defined measures but instead are based on the aggregate seniority of a state’s political representation across these most powerful nonauditor related Senate and House committees. We add the prefix “NonAuditor_” to each measure: NonAuditor_Total_Seniority, NonAuditor_Committee_Num, and NonAuditor_Seniority_Dum. We rerun Equation (1) for all of our measures of audit quality after replacing the seniority-related independent variables. Table 6 presents coefficient estimates from multivariate tests. Panels A, B, and C present results for each of the three new measures of non-auditor relevant committee seniority respectively. While all specifications include a full set of control variables, we only tabulate seniority variable coefficients in the interest of brevity. Across all audit quality measures, coefficients on each of the seniority measures bear statistically insignificant values, consistent with the notion that the supply of audit quality is not influenced by the seniority of a state’s political representation on powerful nonauditor related congressional committees. In sum, these results do not provide support for Committee rankings are based on a method developed by Groseclose and Stewart (1998) that involves tracking politician committee transfers. For instance, a politician switching from committee A to committee B implies that politicians value the latter more highly than the former. The demand for a given committee is the proxy for committee power. The list of the ten most powerful committees is as follows. The Senate committees are: Finance, Veterans Affairs, Appropriations, Rules, Armed Services, Foreign Relations, Intelligence, Judiciary, Budget, and Commerce. The House committees are: Ways and Means, Appropriations, Energy and Commerce, Rules, International Relations, Armed Services, Intelligence, Judiciary, Homeland Security, and Transportation and Infrastructure. 26 32 arguments that our primary findings are attributable to governmental funding from senior politicians, and instead, remain consistent with the hypothesis that auditors appear to strategically adjust the supply of audit quality when the political costs of audit failure are high. In untabulated robustness tests, we find similar results if we focus on the top 3 or top 5 (instead of top 10) most powerful committees. 4.3 Domestic versus Foreign Operations and Auditor Incentives to Prevent Audit Failure In this section, we consider whether auditors perceive the political costs of audit failure to vary with the extent to which audit failure has political ramifications for an influential committee representative. We proxy for the magnitude of perceived political costs using Compustat geographic segment data and argue that political costs of failure are greater for clients that have U.S. focused operations (Domestic Firms) relative to audit clients with both domestic and foreign operations (International Firms). Audit failure for Domestic Firms may result in relatively greater negative domestic publicity, and is thus potentially more politically harmful for an incumbent influential committee politician. We collect segment data and partition sample firms based on whether they classify their geographic segment breakdown as purely domestic or domestic and foreign. Table 7 presents results from tests of Equation (1) across the two groups where politician seniority is set to Total_Seniority. While the overall evidence across both panels is largely consistent with our main results, the magnitude of the coefficients is approximately twice as large for the domestic firm groups in Panel A relative to the international firm sample results in Panel B. In untabulated analyses, we find similar results for the other two measures of seniority. In sum, the findings in Table 6 suggest that auditors recognize that firm-specific characteristics affect the potential political costs of audit failure and adjust the supply of audit quality accordingly. 4.5. Other Tests 33 4.5.1 Do Both Senate and House Influential Committees Impose Political Costs on Auditors? In this section, we consider whether politicians on the Senate and the House influential committees play differential roles in affecting auditor behavior. We calculate new measures of seniority based on a state’s seniority on each committee separately. 27 We then modify Equation 1 by using separate Senate and House seniority variables instead of the aggregate corresponding seniority measure. Results from untabulated tests provide no evidence that seniority on the Senate or House committees have significantly different effects on the supply of audit quality. We find similar results across all three measures of committee seniority 4.5.2 Potential Effects From Andersen’s Collapse In order to eliminate the possibility that residual effects from auditor-client realignment following Andersen’s collapse influence our results, we rerun our tests after removing all observations for the 2000, 2001, and 2002 years. Untabulated tests across all three measures of seniority yield results that are qualitatively similar to those presented, irrespective of the audit quality measure used. 4.5.3 House of Representatives State Apportionment In this section we consider the possibility that auditors and firms in states that are disproportionately represented in the House of Representatives and the Committee for Financial Services drive our results. This possibility exists because House seats are apportioned to a state based on the state’s share of the aggregate national U.S. population, such that each of the 435 congressmen in the House serves an approximately equal number of constituents. Thus, the most populous U.S. states (California, Texas, Florida, New York, Pennsylvania, and Illinois) hold the largest number of House seats. Firms located in these six states represent 47.6% of all firms audited Table 1 indicates that conditional on representation, the Senate Banking Committee has an average of just over one politician per state (1.02). The sole exception represents the period between 2003 and 2005 when both the Senators from Rhode Island served on the committee (Lincoln Chaffee (R) and Jack Reed (D)). Thus Senate_Committee_Num take the values of 0 or 1 in all cases, except for firms headquartered in Rhode Island between 2003 and 2005. 27 34 by Big 6 auditors. Tests excluding each of these five states provide qualitatively similar results to those presented in Tables 2 and 3. 4.5.4 Big 4 Auditors instead of Big 6 Auditors We check that our results are robust to using just the Big 4 audit firms rather than the Big 6 firms. We rerun our analysis after removing firm observations linked to BDO Seidman or Grant Thornton. Although Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2007) note that after the collapse of Andersen, both of these firms became dominant audit suppliers in the U.S. audit market via the gain of more SEC reporting clients, it is possible that these auditors are less subject to political pressure from audit failure because their client portfolios, on average, represent smaller, less politically sensitive clients. Results from untabulated tests are qualitatively similar to the results presented in Tables 2 and 3. 4.5.5 Does The Threat of Political Costs From Audit Failure Influence Non-Big 6 Auditors? We examine whether the political costs of audit failure also affect the supply of audit quality for clients of non-Big 6 auditors. As non-Big 6 auditors typically service small clients, audit failure may draw less attention from a politician’s constituents, which reduces a politician’s incentives to use political capital to impose political costs on the auditor. Thus, if non-Big 6 auditors view the threat of political costs from audit failure as low, then for a given state, we should not observe variation in the supply of audit quality in the seniority of the state’s representation on influential committees. In untabulated tests using the entire sample of non-Big 6 auditors from Audit Analytics, we find no evidence that influential committee seniority affects the supply of audit quality, or the issuance of GC or ICW opinions. 4.5.6 The Effects of Changes in Company Performance on GC Opinions A potential limitation of our analysis in Table 3 Panel A is that the auditor’s decision to issue a GC opinion may be associated with shocks to company performance that are not captured in Equation 1, which only controls for levels of client performance. We follow DeFond and Lennox 35 (2011) and rerun the GC regression in Table 3 after including variables to capture changes in company size ( Size), profitability ( Profit), the current ratio ( Current_Ratio), and leverage ( Leverage). After including these variables, we continue to find significant positive coefficients across all our measures of seniority when the dependent variable is GC. In addition, the coefficients on the change in client performance variables are generally insignificant. 4.5.7 Multiple Congressional Committee Seats Virtually all Senate committee members serve on at least one other committee at the same time (43 out of 45 senators), and on average, serve on 1.6 other Senate committees. Among the sample of 155 House committee members, 86 consecutively serve on 1.3 other House committees. In an untabulated robustness check, we repeat our tests after including a control for a state’s congressional seniority across all committees, calculated using the same methodology as used for our primary measures of seniority. Our main findings are unaffected by the inclusion of this variable, and furthermore, coefficients for this additional control variable are statistically insignificant across all specifications. 4.5.8 Business Friendly States We consider the possibility that politicians who choose to serve on influential committees represent states that are viewed as “business-friendly”. Business friendly states are likely to attract higher quality and more successful firms relative to other states. Under this explanation, it is the underlying business-friendly states that have both senior political representation on influential committees and better quality firms. We collect state-level business-friendliness data from Forbes’ annual survey of state-level business environments between 2005-2010. The survey ranks states along six categories of business- 36 related factors. 28 We replicate our tests using an indicator variable set to one for firms located in the upper half of all business-friendly states and zero for firms domiciled in all other 25 states. Untabulated tests indicate that our main results are qualitatively unchanged after including this control variable. 5. The Threat of Political Costs, Auditor Fees, and Auditor Turnover Our results thus far are consistent with the argument that auditors provide higher audit quality and issue more GC and ICW opinions when the political costs of audit failure are higher. In this section, we consider the consequences of these auditor incentives to limit the political costs of audit failure with respect to audit fees and auditor turnover. Prior research shows that audit fees are positively related to litigation risk (Simunic, 1980; Simunic and Stein, 1996), because auditors use increased fee revenue to protect against the increased risk of litigation from audit failure. 29 Using similar reasoning, it is conceivable that audit fees are a function of the risk of political costs from audit failure. However, auditors cannot unilaterally charge higher fees for additional effort without a corresponding increase in client demand for the additional effort (DeFond and Zhang, 2013). Thus, the fee implication of increased risk of political costs from audit failure is an empirical question. Second, we consider whether the political costs of audit failure affects auditor turnover. 30 Turnover can occur because a client dismisses an auditor or because an auditor resigns from an engagement. Auditors are more likely to be dismissed following the issuance of a GC report The six categories used in the rankings are Business Costs, Labor Supply, Regulatory Environment, Economic Climate, Growth Prospects, and Quality of Life; http://www.forbes.com/best-states-for-business/. 29 Alternatively, auditors can reduce the risk of material misstatement by increasing audit effort, which results in higher audit quality and reflected in higher audit fees. This suggests that even when auditors choose to reduce risk with additional effort they may still manage this “residual”, or “client business risk” by charging a premium (Bell, Landsman, and Shackelford, 2001; DeFond and Zhang, 2013). 30 In our setting, empirical evidence supporting this argument relies on the assumption that clients do not rationally anticipate that all auditors face the same political cost of failure based incentives to provide higher-than-demanded levels of audit quality, and thus appointing a new Big-6 auditor would be a futile action for a client with preferences for a relatively lower level of audit quality. 28 37 (Craswell, 1988; Krishnan, 1994; Carcello and Neal, 2003), and when they show more skepticism (Behn et al., 1997), suggesting auditor turnover occurs because clients replace their auditor. Alternatively, if additional effort and/or increased fees are insufficient to reduce the political risk of failure to a tolerable level, auditors can avoid the risk altogether by resigning from the engagement (Menon and Williams, 1999). Evidence from multivariate tests (untabulated) indicate that audit fees are positively and statistically related to a client’s presence in states with senior political representation on influential committees. Economically, a one standard deviation increase in Total_Seniority is associated with approximately 5% higher audit fees. The results are robust across all measures of influential committee seniority. Overall, the evidence suggests that auditors extract modest fee premiums from clients located in states where the risk of incurring political costs following audit failure is high. We also find that auditor turnover is positively associated with the seniority of a state’s influential committee membership. Influential committee seniority measured using all three proxies exhibits a statistically positive association with auditor dismissals at the 5% level. Additional analysis indicates that our turnover results are driven by auditor resignations, rather than client dismissals. Our findings suggest that even after controlling for litigation risk and reputation risk (Krishnan and Krishnan, 1997; Landsman et al., 2009), political risks associated with audit failure have a distinct effect on auditor decisions to retain clients. 6. Conclusion In this study, we examine whether the political costs of audit failure affect auditors’ incentives to supply audit quality. Using a unique dataset for the 2000 to 2010 period, results from empirical tests suggest an association between the seniority of a state’s political representation on influential congressional committees and audit quality outcomes for firms located in that state. Our 38 findings hold across different audit quality proxies including accruals-based earnings quality measures and the presence of financial fraud investigations via AAER releases. In economic terms, a one standard deviation increase in the seniority of a state’s representation on influential committees results in a 4.7% to 13% increase in earnings quality for in-state firms and a 26% decrease in the likelihood of being subject to AAER enforcement action. We also find that the seniority of a state’s representation on influential committees is positively associated with the issuance of GC and ICW opinions. Our main results are robust to the inclusion of firm fixed effects to address omitted firmspecific correlated variable bias. We exploit two exogenous shocks to auditors’ risk of facing political costs from audit failure, and find that the shocks affect auditor incentives to supply audit quality. First, we find that the exit of a senior politician from an influential committee is associated with a subsequent decrease in audit quality for firms in the politician’s state. Second, using a sample of firms that change headquarters locations, relocation to a state with higher (lower) seniority on influential committees is associated with an increased (decreased) supply of audit quality. We also undertake a series of additional tests. Our main results persist after considering the effects of political connections; do not hold for tests examining powerful politicians that serve on non-auditor relevant congressional committees. Furthermore, our results are concentrated in the partition of clients for which the political sensitivity of audit failure is highest, consistent with auditors recognizing that the political costs of failure vary among their client portfolios. Our results are also robust to a battery of alternative specifications and sensitivity checks. Our findings are likely to be of interest to politicians, regulators, audit firms, and clients of audit firms. In addition, our study makes a number of contributions to literature in accounting, corporate governance, and the political economy. First, by identifying auditor actions in response to the threat of political costs from politicians that serve on auditor-relevant committees, we build on 39 recent literature that examines the relation between auditor outcomes and the political economy, but in a US setting (Gul, 2006; Chan et al., 2006). Second, our study identifies a political effect on audit outcomes and earnings quality that is distinct and incremental to that from political connections. Our findings help to understand the different mechanisms through which politicians can influence firm and auditor actions; either via the presence of political connections (Leuz and Oberholzer-Gee; 2006; Gul, 2006; Chaney et al., 2011; Guedhami et al., 2014). 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Journal of Financial & Quantitative Analysis 46, 1865-1891. 43 Appendix A. Earnings Quality Measures EQ1: Unsigned Abnormal Accruals (Hribar and Nichols, 2007) We first estimate the following regression for each year and Fama-French industry: TACC = + 1 REV + 2PPE + where TACC is total accruals, defined as income before extraordinary items minus cash from operations divided by lagged total assets. REV is the change in sales adjusted for the change in receivables, divided by lagged total assets. PPE is gross property, plant, and equipment, scaled by lagged total assets. We then calculate the abnormal accruals as the residual term in the regression, i.e., TACC – ( + 1 REV + 2PPE), and Hribar is the absolute value of the residual (abnormal accruals). EQ2: Industry-Adjusted Absolute Value of DD Residual (Dechow et al., 2011) We first regress working capital accruals (WC_ACC) on operating cash flows in the current year (CFOt), the preceding year (CFOt-1), and the following year (CFOt+1): WC_ACCi,t = 0,i + 1,i CFOi,t-1 + 2,i CFOi,t + 3,iCFOi,t+1 + i,t current assets between year t-1 and t t-1 and t, -Term Investments between year t-1 and t in short-term debt between year t-1 and t, t-1 and t. All variables are scaled by average total assets and winsorized at the 1 percent and 99 percent levels. We estimate equation (6) by year for each of the two-digit SIC industry groups. EQ3 is the absolute value of each firm’s residual less the average absolute value for the corresponding industry. EQ3: Performance-Matched Discretional Accruals (Kothari et al., 2005) We estimate abnormal accruals for each firm-year and subtract the value from the discretionary-accruals of the performance-matched firm. The modified Jones model of abnormal accruals model is estimated cross-sectionally each year using all firm-year observations in the same Fama-French industry. TAi,t = 0 + 1(1/ASSETSi,t-1) + 2( SALESi,t – ARi,t) + 3PPEi,t + i,t where TA (total accruals) is the change in non-cash current assets minus the change in current liabilities excluding the current portion of long-term debt, minus depreciation and amortization, scaled by lagged total assets; SALESi,t is change in sales; ARi,t is change in account receivable; and PPEi,t is gross property, plant and equipment, all scaled using lagged total assets, ASSETSi,t-1. We use total assets as the deflator to mitigate heteroscedasticity in the residuals. Residuals from the annual cross-sectional industry regression model in the modified Jones model are used to measure estimated abnormal accruals. We then match each firm-year observation with another firm from the same Fama-French industry and year with the closest return on assets in the current year, ROAi,t (net income divided by total assets). We define the DGLS for firm i in year t as the abnormal accrual in year t minus the performance-matched abnormal accrual for year t. 44 Appendix B. Variable Definitions Dependent Variables EQ1: Unsigned Abnormal Accruals from Hribar and Nichols (2007) and detailed in Appendix B EQ2: Industry-Adjusted Absolute Value of DD Residual from Dechow et al. (2011) and detailed in Appendix B EQ3: Performance-Matched Discretional Accruals from Kothari et al. (2005) and detailed in Appendix B Fraud: an indicator variable set to one if the firm is the subject of a fraud-related AAER in the current year, and set to zero otherwise; GC_Dummy: an indicator variable set to one in years that the firm receives a qualified audit opinion with a going concern modification, and set to zero otherwise; ICW_Dummy: an indicator variable set to one in years that the firm receives a qualified audit opinion with a going concern modification, and set to zero otherwise; Turnover: an indicator variable set to one if a firm switches auditors during the year, and set to zero otherwise; Audit fees: log of current year audit fees. Seniority Variables Total_Seniority: for each firm in a given state, the aggregate tenure of that state’s current political representation for both influential committees (in years); Committee_Num: for each firm in a given state, the total number of politicians from that state serving on influential committees; Seniority_Dum: for each firm in a given state, an indicator variable set to one if that state’s political representation on influential committees is in the top quartile of seniority on at least one of the influential committees, and zero otherwise; NonAuditor_Total_Seniority: for each firm in a given state, the aggregate tenure of that state’s current political representation for the top ten most powerful committees from Edwards and Stewart (2006) (in years); NonAuditor_Committee_Dum: for each firm in a given state, the total number of politicians from that state serving on the top ten most powerful committees from Edwards and Stewart (2006); NonAuditor_Seniority_Dum: for each firm in a given state, an indicator variable set to one if that state’s political representation on the top ten most powerful committees from Edwards and Stewart (2006) is in the top quartile of seniority on at least one of the influential committees, and zero otherwise; Senate_Total_Seniority: for each firm in a given state, the aggregate tenure of that state’s current political representation on the Senate Financial Services Committee (in years); House_Total_Seniority: for each firm in a given state, the aggregate tenure of that state’s current political representation on the House Financial Services Committee (in years). Control Variables Size: log of total assets; MtB: market value of equity divided by book value of equity; Profit: earnings before extraordinary items divided by total assets; Stdev_Cashflow: standard deviation of cashflow from operations between t-4 and t; Stdev_Sales: standard deviation of sales between t-4 and t; Oper_Cycle: log (days in account receivables + days in inventory); 45 Auditor_Share: the auditor’s national industry share, measured by the proportion of the total assets of all firms in the same Fama-French industry; Auditor_Tenure: number of years that firm has received an audit opinion from the current auditor; Office_Size: log number of clients of auditor office; Report_Lag: number of days after the fiscal year-end that the 10-k report is released; Current_Ratio: current assets divided by current liabilities; Litigation_Risk: an indicator variable set to one if the firm is in one of the following industries: biotech (SIC codes 2833-2836 and 8731-8734), computer (3570-3577 and 7370-7374), electronics (3600-3674), retail (5200-5961), and zero otherwise; Disc_Accrual: discretional accruals based on Francis et al. (2005); Leverage: long-term debt divided by total assets; Loss_Dummy: an indicator variable set to one if the firm experiences a loss during the prior fiscal year, and set to zero otherwise; Merger: an indicator variable set to one if the firm has made an acquisition in the previous three years, and set to zero otherwise; Sales_Growth: geometric growth rate in sales over the five years prior to the current year (year t-6 to t-1); Inv+Acr: inventory plus accounts receivable, scaled by total assets; Cash: cash divided by total assets; Issuance: an indicator variable set to one if the firm has issued new long-term debt or stock worth more than ten percent of the prior year’s long-term debt or common equity in the prior three years, and set to zero otherwise; ZScore: a measure of bankruptcy risk from Altman (1968); CEO/CFO_Change: an indicator variable set to 1 if the target firm experiences a CEO/CFO change in the prior year, and set to 0 otherwise; Political_Connect: an indicator variable set to one for each year that a firm in our sample that is affiliated with an U.S. politician, conditional on the politician serving in the same year, and zero otherwise; Politicial_Contrib: log of total dollar amount of a firm’s political contributions during a year; Auditor_Contrib: log of total lobbying spending of an auditor firm during a year; Inst_Own: year-end institutional ownership as a percentage of common stock; Analyst_Following: (log) of the number of analysts that cover the firm during the year. 46 Table 1 Summary Statistics This table presents descriptive statistics. Panel A presents statistics about the House Financial Services Committee (House Committee), and the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee (Senate Banking Committee) characteristics. Panel B displays seniority measure statistics. Panel C provides descriptive statistics for our primary independent and dependent variables from the full sample. Panel A: Influential Committee Descriptive Statistics Average size (in number of members) Average # of states represented on committee Average # of state representatives Max # of state representatives Average politician tenure on committee (in years) Maximum politician seniority on committee (in years) House Committee 69.25 29.05 2.28 11 3.62 19.00 Senate Committee 21.25 20.67 1.02 2 6.94 29.00 States with the greatest number of years of representation (and corresponding duration) in the top quartile of influential committee between 2001 and 2010: House Committee: CA, PA, NY, MA, AL, NC, IL, LA, DE (10 years); VT, IA, OK, (8 years); OK, KS, TX, NE (6 years); IN, OH, NJ (4 years); OR, MN, MO, FL (2 years); Senate Committee: CT, AL (10 years); UT, MD (8 years); SD, TX, RI, (4 years); ID, ID, NE, MA, FL, WY, IN, CO, NY, KY (2 years) States with the number of years of representation (and corresponding duration) in the bottom quartile of influential committee between 2001 and 2010: House Committee: ME, AK (10 years); KY, WI (8 years); MN, MS (6 years); AR, AZ, CO, CT, MI, MO, NH, NJ, NM, SC, TN, UT, WV (4 years); GA, ID, NV, VA, WA (2 years) Senate Committee: ME, AK (10 years); HI, NH, NJ (6 years); DE, FL, GA, MI, MT, NC, OH, PA, TN (4 years); CO, ID, IN, KY, LA, NE, NV, NY, OR, SC, TX, VA, WI (2 years) States with no representation on influential committees during sample period: AK, ME Total # of sample firm-year observations from these states: 22 47 Panel B: Descriptive Statistics for Seniority Measures (n = 17,017) Mean Median Total_Seniority 8.76 6 Committee_Num 1.19 1 Seniority_Dum 0.26 0 Standard Deviation 9.98 2.08 0.44 Panel C: Descriptive Statistics for Primary Variables (n = 17,017) Mean Median Standard Deviation Independent Variables Total_Seniority Seniority_Num Seniority_Dum 18.824 4.559 0.263 17.000 4.000 0.000 15.053 3.072 0.440 Dependent Variables EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER GC ICW Audit fees (log) Turnover -15.667 -0.447 -4.194 0.019 0.024 0.066 13.552 0.064 -11.997 -0.489 -3.995 0.000 0.000 0.000 13.553 0.000 14.633 6.670 15.442 0.137 0.153 0.248 1.263 0.245 Low Risk Medium Risk GC and ICW partitioned by Firm Risk Tercile GC ICW 0.010 0.057 48 0.025 0.067 High Risk 0.051 0.074 Table 2 Congressional Committee Seniority and Audit Quality This table presents coefficients from OLS and logit regressions examining the relation between the seniority of a state’s representation on influential congressional committees and the supply of audit quality for in-state firms. We measure congressional committee seniority using one of three proxies: Total Seniority (Panel A), Committee_Num, or Seniority Dum (Panel B). We measure audit quality using four different proxies from prior research based on accruals estimates or the presence of SEC enforcement action following the revelation of fraud. All variables are defined in Appendix A. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. All specifications include fixed effects for state, industry, year, and auditor. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. Panel A: Tests Using Total_Seniority to measure Seniority Dependent Variable: Constant Total_Seniority Auditor_Share Auditor_Tenure Office_Size GC_Dummy Litigation Risk Size Leverage MtB Profit Issuance Stdev_Cashflow Stdev_Sales Oper_Cycle Inst_Own Analyst_Following State, Industry, Year, Auditor Fixed Effects Observations Adjusted R2 (1) EQ1 -40.198*** (-6.49) 0.040*** (2.60) 3.315** (1.97) -0.020 (-1.18) 0.465** (2.48) -3.228*** (-2.68) 1.006** (2.10) 0.350*** (2.98) -1.229 (-1.52) -0.072** (-2.26) -0.263** (-2.05) -1.437*** (-5.97) -0.304 (-1.18) -1.578** (-2.08) -0.750*** (-3.05) 0.693 (1.13) 0.428*** (2.73) Yes 17,017 0.214 49 (2) EQ2 -1.029 (-1.03) 0.002** (2.22) 0.064 (1.10) -0.008 (-1.52) 0.071 (1.11) -0.262 (-1.43) 0.154*** (4.89) 0.028 (0.72) -0.486* (-1.69) -0.020 (-1.27) -0.189*** (-4.48) -0.629*** (-5.89) -0.141 (-1.21) -0.218 (-0.73) -0.189** (-2.05) 0.218 (1.05) 0.136** (2.51) Yes 17,017 0.035 (3) EQ3 -13.336*** (-4.43) 0.011** (2.11) 3.352** (2.03) -0.035** (-2.56) 0.475*** (2.72) -2.542* (-1.80) 0.755*** (5.22) 0.453** (2.27) -0.188 (-1.23) -0.032* (-1.81) -1.227*** (-7.80) -0.356 (-1.47) -3.639** (-2.34) -1.122 (-1.42) -0.296 (-1.13) 1.317** (2.30) 0.152 (1.04) Yes 17,017 0.146 (4) AAER -8.820*** (-8.36) -0.015** (-2.30) 0.876 (1.01) -0.016 (-1.19) -0.308** (-2.46) -1.104 (-1.05) 0.040 (1.01) 0.426*** (5.44) -1.103 (-1.56) 0.022 (0.88) 0.055 (1.00) 0.133 (0.80) 0.665 (0.52) 1.358*** (2.75) 0.631*** (3.89) -0.133 (-1.24) -0.131 (-0.96) Yes 17,017 0.067 Panel B: Tests Using Committee_Num or Seniority_Dum to measure Seniority Dependent Variable: Constant Committee_Num Seniority_Dum Auditor_Share Auditor_Tenure Office_Size GC_Dummy Litigation Risk Size Leverage MtB Profit Issuance Stdev_Cashflow Stdev_Sales Oper_Cycle Inst_Own Analyst_Following State, Industry, Year, Auditor Fixed Effects Observations Adjusted R2 (1) EQ1 -40.246*** (-6.50) 0.129** (2.33) - (2) EQ2 -1.005 (-1.00) 0.037** (2.51) - (3) EQ3 -13.357*** (-4.44) 0.134** (2.28) - (4) AAER -9.110*** (-9.06) -0.052** (-2.16) - 3.315** (1.97) -0.019 (-1.14) 0.468** (2.49) -3.197*** (-2.66) 1.009 (1.14) 0.350*** (2.97) -1.217 (-1.51) -0.074** (-2.30) -0.260** (-2.03) -1.442*** (-5.99) -0.292** (-2.18) -1.557** (-2.06) -0.741*** (-3.01) 0.962 (1.57) 0.575*** (3.63) Yes 17,017 0.209 0.063 (1.09) -0.008 (-1.57) 0.057* (1.84) -0.282 (-1.46) 0.152*** (4.84) 0.028* (1.72) -0.482* (-1.68) -0.020 (-1.23) -0.187*** (-4.46) -0.632*** (-5.91) -0.136** (-2.20) -0.226 (-0.76) -0.194** (-2.10) 0.176* (1.86) 0.070** (2.28) Yes 17,017 0.033 3.355** (2.03) -0.035** (-2.55) 0.436** (2.34) -2.570* (-1.82) 0.753*** (4.19) 0.453*** (4.27) -0.187 (-1.23) -0.031 (-0.79) -1.225*** (-7.80) -0.358 (-1.48) -3.643** (-2.34) -1.117 (-1.41) -0.301 (-1.15) 1.388** (2.37) 0.329** (2.22) Yes 17,017 0.114 -0.589 (-0.44) 0.013 (0.97) -0.335** (-2.42) 0.641 (0.59) -0.012 (-0.29) -0.508*** (-6.15) 0.880 (1.24) 0.027 (1.30) 0.053 (0.83) 0.142 (0.89) 0.258 (1.18) 1.304*** (2.58) 0.950*** (3.66) -0.203 (-1.35) -0.149 (-1.14) Yes 17,017 0.067 50 (5) EQ1 -40.210*** (-6.49) - (6) EQ2 -1.022 (-1.02) - (7) EQ3 -13.376*** (-4.44) - (8) AAER -8.938 (-8.99) - 0.537** (2.30) 3.315** (1.96) -0.019 (-1.15) 0.473** (2.52) -3.244*** (-2.69) 1.001 (1.01) 0.351*** (2.98) -1.241 (-1.54) -0.072** (-2.25) -0.265** (-2.07) -1.435*** (-5.96) -0.320** (-2.19) -1.567** (-2.07) -0.747*** (-3.04) 0.933 (1.53) 0.570*** (3.60) Yes 17,017 0.209 0.127** (2.44) 0.064 (1.10) -0.008 (-1.55) 0.075 (1.17) -0.255 (-1.42) 0.156*** (4.98) 0.028* (1.73) -0.493* (-1.71) -0.021 (-1.28) -0.190*** (-4.52) -0.628*** (-5.87) -0.150** (-2.22) -0.223 (-0.74) -0.191** (-2.07) 0.163* (1.79) 0.072** (2.32) Yes 17,017 0.033 0.271** (2.43) 3.349** (2.03) -0.034** (-2.52) 0.478*** (2.74) -2.552* (-1.81) 0.752*** (11.19) 0.453*** (4.27) -0.170 (-1.21) -0.031 (-0.78) -1.225*** (-7.80) -0.360 (-1.49) -3.654** (-2.35) -1.102 (-1.39) -0.302 (-1.16) 1.404** (2.40) 0.331** (2.23) Yes 17,017 0.114 -0.098** (-2.47) -0.584 (-0.44) 0.013 (0.95) -0.339** (-2.46) -0.583 (-0.54) -0.005 (-0.11) -0.513*** (-6.13) 0.865 (1.22) 0.025 (1.21) 0.059 (0.92) 0.144 (0.91) 0.325 (0.23) 1.269** (2.49) 0.941*** (3.62) -0.244 (-1.42) -0.156 (-1.18) Yes 17,017 0.067 Table 3 Congressional Committee Seniority and the Issuance of Going Concern and Internal Control Weakness Reports This table presents coefficients from OLS and logit regressions examining the relation between the seniority of a state’s representation on influential congressional committees and the likelihood that an auditor issues a going concern audit opinions or internal control weakness report to in-state firms. We measure congressional committee seniority using one of three proxies: Total_Seniority (Panel A), Committee_Num, or Seniority_Dum (Panel B). We partition sample firms into terciles based on the risk of distress using the Altman (1968) Z-Score. All variables are defined in Appendix A. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. All specifications include fixed effects for state, industry, year, and auditor. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. Panel A: Going Concern Audit Opinion Tests Distress Risk tercile: Dependent variable: Constant Total_Seniority Committee_Num Seniority_Dum Auditor_Share Auditor_Tenure Office_Size Litigation Risk Size Leverage MtB Profitability Stdev_Cashflow Stdev_Sales Oper_Cycle Current_Ratio Report_Lag Inst_Own Analyst_Following State, Industry, Year, Auditor Fixed Effects Observations Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) High Risk Mid Risk Low Risk -11.004** (-2.17) 0.027** (2.23) - -10.765*** (-4.43) 0.009 (0.65) - GC -6.281*** (-6.65) -0.013 (-1.57) - - - 1.896 (0.81) 0.087*** (2.82) -0.055 (-0.14) -0.352 (-0.45) -1.301* (-1.70) 3.115 (1.39) 0.050 (1.06) -0.018 (-0.17) 0.685 (0.37) 0.024 (0.02) 0.998* (1.75) -0.533 (-0.98) 0.964 (1.43) 0.027 (0.01) 0.383 (1.05) Yes 5,672 0.269 1.968 (0.81) 0.016 (0.39) -0.152 (-0.48) -0.297 (-0.44) -0.214 (-1.10) -0.183 (-0.06) 0.015 (0.11) -0.127 (-1.46) 1.124 (1.18) -0.197 (-1.46) 0.516 (0.73) -0.774 (-1.40) 1.846*** (4.64) -2.407 (-1.55) -0.436 (-1.28) Yes 5,672 0.255 51 (4) High Risk Tercile (5) High Risk Tercile -11.597** (-2.19) - -10.605** (-2.16) - - 0.241*** (3.04) - 1.056 (1.38) 0.019 (1.46) 0.054 (0.60) -0.155 (-0.86) -0.151** (-2.04) -1.749*** (-3.46) -0.049*** (-3.02) -0.182*** (-5.64) 1.365*** (2.77) -0.863** (-2.35) 0.288*** (2.77) -1.550*** (-9.44) 1.053*** (5.93) -0.679 (-1.27) -0.386*** (-2.88) Yes 5,673 0.251 1.779 (0.80) 0.086*** (2.81) -0.071 (-0.17) -0.369 (-0.46) -1.357* (-1.71) 3.497 (1.63) 0.045 (1.08) 0.011 (0.09) 0.077 (0.04) -0.078 (-0.05) 1.083* (1.77) -0.692 (-1.26) 0.944 (1.26) 0.084 (0.03) 0.445 (1.13) Yes 5,672 0.301 0.411** (2.49) 2.065 (0.86) 0.084** (2.56) -0.068 (-0.17) -0.252 (-0.33) -1.258* (-1.76) 2.708 (1.11) 0.052 (1.05) -0.034 (-0.33) 0.880 (0.51) 0.053 (0.04) 0.964* (1.76) -0.481 (-0.87) 0.955 (1.59) 0.177 (0.06) 0.327 (0.95) Yes 5,672 0.259 Panel B: Internal Control Weakness Opinion Tests Distress Risk tercile: Dependent variable: Constant Total_Seniority Committee_Num Seniority_Dum Auditor_Share Auditor_Tenure Office_Size Litigation Risk Size Leverage MtB Profitability Stdev_Cashflow Stdev_Sales Oper_Cycle Current_Ratio Report_Lag Inst_Own Analyst_Following State, Industry, Year, Auditor Fixed Effects Observations Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) High Risk Mid Risk Low Risk -16.480*** (-9.78) 0.003** (2.49) - -18.371*** (-8.05) -0.006 (-1.10) - ICW -17.264*** (-10.50) -0.002 (-0.51) - - - 0.428 (0.49) -0.049*** (-2.95) -0.102 (-1.23) 0.128 (0.70) 0.082 (0.96) -3.640** (-1.97) -0.007 (-0.21) 0.019 (0.36) 0.925 (1.30) 0.141 (0.40) 0.188 (1.64) -0.096 (-0.56) 3.030*** (8.72) 0.138 (1.34) 0.009 (1.08) Yes 3,959 0.178 0.240 (0.29) -0.021 (-1.56) -0.052 (-0.54) 0.401** (2.16) 0.086 (1.05) -0.698 (-1.14) 0.046** (2.40) 0.038 (0.68) 1.813** (2.41) -0.041 (-0.09) 0.285* (1.88) -0.087 (-0.45) 3.215*** (7.15) 1.912* (1.88) -0.388* (-1.93) Yes 3,959 0.140 52 (4) (5) High Risk High Risk Tercile Tercile -16.461*** (-9.77) - -16.461*** (-9.73) - - 0.008** (2.27) - -0.052 (-0.07) -0.018 (-1.60) -0.079 (-1.01) 0.282* (1.73) 0.246*** (4.68) -0.220 (-0.67) 0.011 (0.97) 0.120** (2.07) 0.325 (0.57) -0.002 (-0.01) 0.120 (1.08) -0.047 (-0.39) 3.014*** (9.08) 0.468 (1.42) -0.092 (-1.19) Yes 3,960 0.144 0.443 (0.51) -0.049*** (-2.95) -0.100 (-1.19) 0.132 (0.73) 0.081 (0.95) -3.636** (-1.97) -0.006 (-0.20) 0.019 (0.36) 0.919 (1.30) 0.141 (0.40) 0.189 (1.64) -0.092 (-0.53) 3.026*** (8.70) 0.139 (1.35) 0.009 (1.08) Yes 3,959 0.178 0.192** (2.03) 0.429 (0.49) -0.050*** (-2.97) -0.103 (-1.24) 0.115 (0.62) 0.081 (0.95) -3.589* (-1.96) -0.008 (-0.24) 0.018 (0.34) 0.915 (1.29) 0.130 (0.36) 0.193* (1.67) -0.110 (-0.64) 3.031*** (8.70) 0.133 (0.33) 0.006 (0.06) Yes 3,959 0.178 Table 4 Shocks to Influential Committee Membership via Senior Politician Exits This table presents evidence from analysis examining the association between measures of audit quality around the exit of a state’s senior representation (top quartile) from an influential congressional committee. Panel A presents figures of the level of measures of audit quality in the years around a politician exit centered at t = 0. Panel B presents results from regressions of audit quality on shocks to a state’s influential committee senior representation. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. All specifications include fixed effects for state, industry, year, and auditor. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. All variables are defined in Appendix A. Panel A: Audit Quality Around Senior Influential Committee Politician Exit Shock 2: EQ2 -.72 -15.9 -.7 -15.8 -.68 EQ2 EQ1 -15.7 -.66 -15.6 -.64 -.62 -15.5 1: EQ1 -3 -2 -1 0 Firms with Shock 3 2 1 -3 -2 Firms without Shock -1 0 Firms with Shock 2 3 4: AAER -5 .026 -4.8 .028 EQ3 -4.6 AAER .03 -4.4 .032 -4.2 .034 3: EQ3 1 Firms without Shock -3 -2 -1 0 Firms with Shock 1 2 3 -3 -2 Firms without Shock -1 0 Firms with Shock 2 3 6: ICW .02 .02 .04 ICW .06 Going Concern .025 .03 .08 .1 .035 5: GC 1 Firms without Shock -3 -2 -1 Firms with Shock 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 Firms with Shock Firms without Shock 53 0 1 2 Firms without Shock 3 Panel B: Change in Audit Quality Around Influential Committee Politician Exit Shock Dependent variable: Constant Senior_Drop Auditor_Share Auditor_Tenure Office_Size GC_Dummy Litigation Risk Size Leverage MtB Profit Issuance Stdev_Cashflow Stdev_Sales Oper_Cycle Current_Ratio Report_Lag Inst_Own Analyst_Following State, Industry, Year, Auditor Fixed Effects Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) -4.473 (-0.95) -0.022* (-1.90) 0.421 (0.10) -0.041 (-0.97) 0.418 (0.95) -1.955 (-1.42) -0.403 (-1.50) 0.033 (0.11) -4.256* (-1.94) -0.108 (-0.87) -0.053 (-0.34) 0.424 (1.52) -6.168 (-1.40) -2.479 (-1.03) -0.414 (-0.46) - -6.820 (-0.96) -0.020** (-2.17) 0.042 (0.76) -0.006 (-0.26) 0.067 (0.25) -5.248* (-1.83) -0.026 (-1.15) 0.086 (0.40) -2.120* (-1.70) -0.068 (-0.94) -0.064 (-0.89) 1.134** (2.20) -1.860 (-0.80) -4.172* (-1.71) -0.686 (-1.40) - 1.289 (0.87) -0.027** (-2.46) 0.451 (0.47) -0.008 (-0.16) 0.021 (0.04) -3.477*** (-3.18) -0.445 (-1.51) 0.141 (0.36) -4.079 (-1.55) -0.126 (-0.74) -0.081 (-0.34) 2.661*** (2.63) -2.512 (-0.45) -1.061 (-0.36) -0.338 (-0.34) - -6.112*** (-3.30) 0.389** (2.40) -0.166 (-1.22) 0.032 (1.10) -0.155 (-1.02) 0.229 (1.39) 0.152 (1.30) -0.125 (-0.88) -0.233 (-0.82) 0.033 (0.90) 0.211 (0.59) -0.042 (-0.90) -5.283 (-1.50) -0.772 (-1.20) -0.650* (-1.80) - - - - - -0.164 (-0.10) -0.129 (-0.31) -1.428 (-1.18) -0.408 (-1.27) -0.979 (-0.43) -0.140 (-0.25) 0.211 (1.03) 0.528 (1.02) -8.739** (-2.20) -0.270** (-2.50) -2.273 (-0.71) -0.011 (-0.23) -0.066 (-0.33) -1.000 (-1.02) -0.309* (-1.70) 0.089 (1.01) 0.011 (0.55) -0.133* (-1.90) -1.666 (-0.90) 1.621 (0.92) 1.033* (1.90) 2.020*** (3.00) 0.792 (1.21) -0.455* (-1.89) 1.029 (1.39) -0.221 (-1.02) -0.320 (-0.89) -13.390*** (-5.58) -0.123** (-2.26) -2.402 (-1.40) -0.033 (-1.11) 0.255 (1.23) -0.355 (-0.82) -0.211** (-2.02) 0.529 (0.75) -0.005 (-0.28) -0.062 (-1.39) -0.777 (-0.89) 0.672 (1.03) 0.014 (1.39) 0.528 (1.28) 1.394* (1.90) -0.466 (-1.39) 1.210** (2.50) -0.332 (-1.09) -0.293 (-1.23) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 1,502 0.105 1,502 0.080 1,502 0.091 1,502 0.065 489 0.311 338 0.140 54 Table 5 Political Connections and Audit Quality This table presents coefficients from OLS and logit regressions examining whether the seniority of a state’s representation on auditor related powerful congressional committees is associated with the supply of audit quality. We measure auditor related powerful congressional committee seniority using one of three proxies: Total_Seniority (Panel A), Committee_Num (Panel B), or Seniority_Dum (Panel C). We control for three types of political connections. Politicial_Connect is an indicator variable set to one for firms that have had a active politician previously serve as in an executive or non-executive capacity in the firm. Politicial_Contrib is the log of the total annual monetary political expenditures of the firm. Auditor_Contrib is log of the auditor’s annual lobbying spending. All variables are defined in Appendix A. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. Panel A: Tests Using Total_Seniority to measure Seniority Dependent variable: Total_Seniority Political_Connect Political_Contrib Auditor_Contrib Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) GC (High Risk Tercile) (6) ICW (High Risk Tercile) EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER 0.038** (2.30) -0.441 (-1.10) -0.095** (-2.10) 0.082 (0.66) Yes Yes 0.002** (2.15) -0.185 (-1.30) -0.006 (-1.42) 0.080 (1.19) Yes Yes 0.011* (1.90) -0.239 (-0.77) -0.034 (-1.23) 0.020 (0.11) Yes Yes -0.011** (-2.31) 0.427* (1.70) 0.035* (1.67) 0.069 (0.80) Yes Yes 0.026** (2.20) -0.912 (-0.69) -0.221 (-1.00) 0.008 (0.43) Yes Yes 0.002** (2.45) 0.359 (1.48) -0.070 (-1.52) -0.066 (-0.49) Yes Yes 17,017 0.214 17,017 0.035 17,017 0.146 17,017 0.067 5,672 0.269 3,959 0.178 (5) (6) ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.008** (2.25) 0.343 (1.39) -0.072** (-2.20) -0.055 (-0.69) Yes Panel B: Tests Using Committee_Num to measure Seniority Dependent variable: Committee_Num Political_Connect Political_Contrib Auditor_Contrib Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) (4) EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER 0.122** (2.20) -0.440 (-1.15) -0.085* (-1.90) 0.105 (0.70) Yes 0.035** (2.12) -0.187 (-1.32) -0.005 (-0.50) 0.082 (1.20) Yes 0.130** (2.19) -0.229 (-0.77) -0.033 (-1.29) 0.024 (0.29) Yes -0.051** (-2.18) 0.390* (1.79) 0.031 (1.26) 0.088 (0.93) Yes GC (High Risk Tercile) 0.237*** (2.93) -1.111 (-0.90) -0.199 (-0.43) 0.060 (0.39) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 17,017 0.209 17,017 0.033 17,017 0.114 17,017 0.067 5,672 0.301 3,959 0.178 55 Panel C: Tests Using Seniority_Dum to measure Seniority Dependent variable: Seniority_Dum Political_Connect Political_Contrib Auditor_Contrib Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) (4) EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER 0.513** (1.99) -0.421 (-1.02) -0.091* (-1.95) 0.100 (0.99) Yes 0.119** 0.258** (2.26) (2.06) -0.138 -0.249 (-1.30) (-0.63) -0.004 -0.037 (-0.53) (-1.29) 0.095 0.031 (1.30) (0.30) Yes Yes (5) (6) -0.087** (-2.28) 0.435* (1.75) 0.033 (1.55) 0.072 (0.97) Yes GC (High Risk Tercile) 0.387** (2.33) -1.349 (-1.33) -0.229 (-0.93) -0.007 (-1.30) Yes ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.181** (2.12) 0.329 (1.30) -0.062** (-2.03) -0.065 (-0.80) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 17,017 0.209 17,017 0.033 17,017 0.114 17,017 0.067 5,672 0.301 3,959 0.178 56 Table 6 Tests using Non-Auditor Related Congressional Committee Seniority This table presents coefficients from OLS and logit regressions examining whether the seniority of a state’s representation on non-auditor related powerful congressional committees affects the supply of audit quality. We measure non-auditor related powerful congressional committee seniority using one of three proxies: NonAuditor_Total_Seniority (Panel A), NonAuditor_Committee_Num (Panel B), or NonAuditor_Seniority_Dum (Panel C). All variables are defined in Appendix A. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. All specifications include fixed effects for state, industry, year, and auditor. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. Panel A: Total Seniority of Non-Auditor Related Powerful Committee Members (1) (2) (3) (4) Dependent variable: EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER NonAuditor_Total_Seniority -0.602 (-1.45) -0.018 (-0.10) -0.440 (-0.97) Yes Yes Yes Yes Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (5) GC (High Risk Tercile) (6) ICW (High Risk Tercile) -0.028 (-0.21) 1.613 (0.83) 0.259 (1.61) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 17,017 0.068 5,672 0.338 3,959 0.140 17,017 17,017 17,017 0.190 0.013 0.079 Panel B: Number of Non-Auditor Related Powerful Committee Members (1) (2) (3) (4) Dependent variable: EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER NonAuditor_Committee_Num 0.130 (1.14) 0.032 (1.11) 0.014 (0.19) Yes Yes Yes Yes Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 Yes 0.009 (0.99) Yes (5) GC (High Risk Tercile) 0.108 (1.63) Yes (6) ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.011 (1.49) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 17,017 0.068 5,672 0.360 3,959 0.138 17,017 17,017 17,017 0.190 0.013 0.079 Panel C: Dummy Variable for High Total Seniority of Non-Auditor Related Powerful Committee Members (1) (2) (3) (4) Dependent variable: EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 AAER NonAuditor_Seniority_Dum 1.154 (1.07) Yes 0.109 (0.89) Yes 1.503 (1.12) Yes Yes Yes Yes Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 17,017 17,017 17,017 0.047 0.011 0.017 57 -0.232 (-0.89) Yes (5) GC (High Risk Tercile) 1.677 (1.49) Yes (6) ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.258 (1.39) Yes Yes Yes Yes 17,017 0.068 5,672 0.321 3,959 0.137 Table 7 Domestic and International Firms This table presents coefficients from OLS and logit regressions examining whether the relation between the seniority of a state’s representation on influential congressional committees and the supply of audit quality varies across firms. We present results from tests in which we measure influential committee seniority using Total_Seniority. All variables are defined in Appendix A. t-values are reported in parentheses. Standard errors are Huber-White Sandwich estimator clustered at firm level. All specifications include fixed effects for state, industry, year, and auditor. Statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level is denoted by ***, **, and *, respectively. Panel A: Domestic Firms Dependent variable: Total_Seniority Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 (4) (5) Domestic Firms 0.054** 0.003** 0.014** (2.45) (2.32) (2.33) Yes Yes Yes (6) AAER GC (High Risk Tercile) -0.020** (-2.42) Yes 0.025** (2.20) Yes ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.004** (2.22) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 6,620 0.248 6,620 0.047 6,620 0.134 6,620 0.075 2,206 0.230 1,540 0.273 Panel B: International Firms Dependent variable: Total_Seniority Controls? State, Industry, Year, and Auditor Fixed Effects? Observations Adjusted/Pseudo R2 (1) (2) (3) EQ1 EQ2 EQ3 0.023* 0.002* 0.008* (1.82) (1.73) (1.77) Yes Yes Yes (4) (5) International Firms (6) AAER GC (High Risk Tercile) -0.011 (-1.55) Yes 0.015* (1.78) Yes ICW (High Risk Tercile) 0.002* (1.82) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 10,397 0.233 10,397 0.037 10,397 0.141 10,397 0.065 3,466 0.154 2,419 0.155 58