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y r a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics. Johannes Krause, Maria A. Spyrou, Michal Feldman, Alexander Herbig and Kirsten I. Bos Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, Jena, Germany Amsterdam, April 2016 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 1 y r Introduction a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b History of infectious Disease: Most infectious diseases likely originated during the Neolithic due to Zoonosis, e.g. measles, smallpox, flu, tuberculosis, plague, leprosy , or pertussis Neolithic Farmer Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 2 Carol Schauer y r Introduction a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b History of infectious Disease: Most infectious diseases occurred during the Neolithic due to Zoonosis, e.g. measles, smallpox, flu, tuberculosis, plague, leprosy , or pertussis Major pandemics in history Plague of Athens 5th century BC (measles ?) Antonine plague 2nd century AD (smallpox?) Justinianic plague 6th century AD (bubonic plague) Black Death 14th century AD (bubonic plague) White Plague (16th century TB pandemic) Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 3 y r Introduction a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b History of infectious Disease: Most infectious diseases occurred during the Neolithic due to Zoonosis, e.g. measles, smallpox, flu, tuberculosis, plague, leprosy , or pertussis Major pandemics in history Plague of Athens 4th century BC (measles ?) Antonine plague 2nd century AD (smallpox?) Justinianic plague 6th century AD (bubonic plague) Black Death 14th century AD (bubonic plague) White plague (16th century TB pandemic) Since the 1980s we see a new wave of emerging infectious diseases, e.g. HIV, SARS, Hanta, Ebola, Lyme disease, and Re-emerging infectious disease with antibiotic resistance e.g. MDR-Tb Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 4 y r Introduction a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Little known about : - Early evolution of pathogens - Evolutionary rates of pathogens - Host-pathogen interactions over time Ancient Pathogen Genomics - Molecular fossil record for pathogens Long time mutation rates Host-pathogen interactions through time Identify causative agents of pandemics Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 5 y r Fishing for ancient pathogen genomes a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b DNA capture Array Plant Plant Bacteria Fungal Bacteria Pathogen Human NGS – Sequencing Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 6 y r Ancient Pathogen Genomics a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Kirsti Bos Alexander Herbig Verena Schuenemann Bos et al. 2011, Nature Schuenemann et al. 2013, Science Yoshida et al. 2013, eLife Yersinia pestis (bubonic plague) Mycobacterium leprae (leprosy) P.infestans (Irish potato famine) Bos et al. 2014, Nature Maixner et al. 2016, Science M. tuberculosis (tuberculosis) H.pylori (gastric ulcers) Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 7 y r Bubonic plague a rodent disease a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Yersinia pestis infected flea bubo 8| Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 8 y r The three historical plague pandemics a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b • Justinianic plague (541-543) first historically recorded in Egypt • Black Death (1347-1353) estimated to have killed 30-50% of Europeans at the time • Third Pandemic (1855-1959) started in Yunnan province China • genomic evidence for Yersinia pestis as causative agent for all three pandemics • recently also molecular evidence for Neolithic/Bronze age plague epidemics Rasmussen et al., Cell, 2015 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 9 y r The second plague pandemic a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b • Black Death (1347-1353) estimated to have killed 30-50% of Europeans at the time • May have spread from China through trade routes • Plague disappeared from Europe in the 18th century. • 19th century pandemic spreading from China Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Bos et al., Nature, 2011 Page 10 y r Samples a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b East Smithfield Cementary, London London1593 Museum of London • well reknown Plague Cementary • used between 1348 and 1351 • excavated in 1986 • more than 500 Skeletons excavated •20 out of 50 tested positive for Y.pestis with classic PCR Bos et al., Nature, 2011 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 11 y r Y. pestis phylogeny a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Branch 2 Branch 1 Branch 3 19th c. pandemic Spreading from China Branch 4 London, 1348-50 London, 1350-1400 Marseille, 1720-22 Branch 0 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Bos et al., Nature, 2011 Cui et al., PNAS, 2013 Bos et al., eLife, 2016 Page 12 y r Hypotheses/Questions a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b 14th – 18th centuries AD Migration to Asia? Persistence? Multiple introductions? Schmid et al., PNAS, 2015 Seifert et al., PLOS One, 2016 Bos et al. , eLife, 2016 Wagner et al., Lanc. Inf. Dis, 2014 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 13 y r Archaeological Sites a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Saints Màrtirs Just i Pastor Barcelona mid 14th century Black Death Mass grave 18 individuals Bolgar City Russia Late 14th century Single graves 93 individuals studied Marktplatz, Ellwangen Germany 16th century Post-Black Death Mass grave 67 individuals Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 14 y r Result statistics a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Table of sequencing result statistics after array capture Site # of preprocessed reads # of mapped reads Average coverage % covered 3-fold Barcelona 60,516,261 870,477 10.3 89.88% Bolgar City 47,595,565 1,682,954 19.28 91.46% Ellwangen 145,645,509 442,573 4.91 73.56% Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 15 y r Y. pestis phylogeny a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Branch 2 Branch 1 Branch 3 19th c. pandemic Spreading from China Branch 4 Bos et al., Nature, 2011 Cui et al., PNAS, 2013 Bos et al., eLife, 2016 Branch 0 London, 1348-50 Barcelona, 1300-1420 London, 1350-1400 Bolgar, 1350-1400 Ellwangen, 1500-1600 Marseille, 1720-22 Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 16 Dispersal model y r a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Spyrou et al., in review Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 17 y r Discussion a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b • Palaeogenomic analysis suggest European reservoir population in post Black Death medieval Europe (species yet unknown) • European origin of lineage 1 in Y.pestis phylogeny • Lineage 1 is the most comon contemporary lineage of Y. pestis and the causative lineage of the Third pandemic • High mobility of Y.pestis through human history despite being a rodent born pathogen • Mobility likely facilitated due to human acitivity (trade, migration) causing dissemination in human comensals (e.g. black rats) Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 18 Acknowledgements y r a r b i L e r D ho I t M u C a S y E b Rezeda I. Tukhbatova Joanna Drath Sacha Kacki Julia Beltrán de Heredia Susanne Arnold Airat G. Sitdikov Dominique Castex Joachim Wahl Ilgizar R. Gazimzyanov Danis K. Nurgaliev Johannes Krause| Ancient Pathogen Genomics: What we learn from historic pandemics.| Page 19