Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Low Carbon Fossil Fuel Technologies: Government Strategies and Corporate Capabilities Current Research at the Sussex Energy Group Fossil fuels are likely to remain part of the energy supply mix for many years to come. This is the case in industrialised countries including the UK, and for rapidly developing countries such as India and China. In the medium term, it is therefore important that low carbon fossil fuel technologies are developed and deployed to reduce carbon emissions. This project will examine the UK government’s role in supporting this process. It will analyse to what extent UK government support can enhance domestic capabilities in a set of technologies that are increasingly being developed by international firms and programmes. Research Questions The research will address the following questions: • What contribution can government support programmes make to the development of UK capabilities in low-carbon fossil fuel technologies? What is the UK’s role in relation to other international technology initiatives? • What activities are incumbent energy companies engaged in to develop and diffuse these technologies? How are they managing the innovation process, and what might be the role of new entrants? • What are the respective roles of incremental improvements in fossil fuel technologies and more radical approaches such as carbon capture and storage? Context Modern energy systems still rely heavily on fossil fuels. Whilst the Energy White Paper implies a significant shift towards low-carbon energy sources, most projections show that fossil fuels will continue to play a key role in the medium term. This is the case in the UK, particularly with respect to natural gas. It is also the case for many other countries, including rapidly developing countries such as India and China that are expanding their use of coal. The DTI has recently developed a strategy for Carbon Abatement Technologies that have the potential to reduce the environmental impact of fossil fuel use. This includes both radical technologies to allow fossil fuels to be burned with lower emissions (e.g. carbon capture and storage) and incremental improvements to existing technologies (e.g through improved materials). The DTI’s new strategy is explicitly international in its focus. Many of the drivers for developing cleaner coal technologies – particularly climate change - are now global. Furthermore, many of the technology developments are increasingly being pursued through international collaboration. This is particularly the case for carbon capture and storage. Funding for new technology continues to be dominated by programmes in the USA. The EU, Japan, Canada and Australia are also engaging in significant development efforts. A key issue for implementation of the DTI strategy is what role the UK can play in relation to these larger initiatives. This applies both to support mechanisms implemented by government (e.g. financial assistance for demonstration projects) and the activities of firms with a substantial base in the UK. The research The aim of this project is to analyse the UK’s role in low-carbon fossil fuel technologies. It will build on and integrate a number of previous strands of research at SPRU including: • the assessment of the economic and environmental performance of cleaner coal • • technologies, and their suitability for transfer to developing countries; the rationale for UK government support for carbon abatement technologies and the effectiveness of previous support programmes; and the corporate strategies and technological capabilities of incumbent power plant equipment companies. The new phase of work will take the government’s new strategy for carbon abatement technologies as its starting point. Where possible, these will be carried out in collaboration with other academic research groups (particularly the TSEC carbon capture and storage consortium) and firms. The project will analyse the development and implementation of the strategy as a case study of government technology support. It will consider this in the light of research that emphasise the increasingly complex nature of innovation processes. The understanding of these processes has moved on from models that consider innovation as a set of essentially linear steps from R&D to commercialisation. Newer models emphasise the networked character of innovation which includes multiple alliances between firms, and requires the development of competencies in system integration. The project will focus on the extent to which UK government support for carbon abatement technologies could enhance relevant competencies within UK-based firms. It will also consider how international collaborative initiatives (such as the recent one concluded with China) might provide benefits for the UK. A key issue for the research will be the ‘absorptive capacity’ of incumbent firms to take on and develop new technologies. These changes are competence enhancing or competence destroying. Behind this is the observation (most famously by Christiansen in The Innovators Dilemma) that few large corporations maintain their leading position through major technological discontinuities. This is because they rarely have the capacity to compete with new entrants through adapting to new technologies, markets and institutions. The will use interviews with relevant actors, published material and market data to map out the activities of incumbents and new entrants in a number of low carbon fossil fuel technologies. The suitability of different theoretical models (e.g. absorptive capacity) will be tested in order to explain the strategy of incumbent companies and to identify the factors influencing their ability to develop and adopt the case study technologies. Case studies will include radical technologies (e.g. some variants of carbon capture and storage) and incremental technologies (e.g. improvements in the efficiency of coal-fired power plants). Policy-related outputs and implications This project will help to inform future government policy for low-carbon fossil fuel technologies in a number of ways. First, it will examine the extent to which the products of government-sponsored R&D are likely to help industry in the UK or contribute to broader international developments. Second, the project will help those involved in policy development to understand the advantages and limits of international collaborative programmes of R&D. Third, it will aid an understanding of how incumbent firms can develop new capabilities in more advanced and complex fossil fuel technologies. Within this, a key issue will be the impact of government support on these capabilities. Finally, the project will contribute to the Sussex Energy Group’s ongoing work on international technology transfer. Its will assess the suitability of the technologies that fall within the scope of the Carbon Abatement Technology strategy for international transfer, particularly to China and India. Contact Dr Jim Watson Senior Fellow, Sussex Energy Group, SPRU, Freeman Centre, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1 9QE [email protected], 01273 873539