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Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply and Long-Run Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve: Slope SRAS 1 Aggregate Price Level 14.0 A rise in the aggregate price level… …causes aggregate output supplied to rise in the short run. Why? 6.0 Y1 Output The short-run aggregate supply curve, SRAS, is upward sloping. Why? (Think of wages). Y2 Real GDP The Upward Slope of the Short-run Aggregate Supply Curve • The “stickiness” of input prices—particularly labor • Scenario 1: Demand is strong, products are selling like hotcakes (output is up), prices are up and so is profit per unit. • But wages don’t increase immediately, as some contracted workers’ wages are fixed for now. • EVENTUALLY, competition for workers becomes so fierce that wages are increase. • But note—output and prices changed QUICKLY, but wages took longer to catch up. • Scenario 2: Demand is weak, products won’t sell output is down), prices are down and so is profit per unit. • But wages don’t decrease immediately, because some contracted workers’ wages are fixed for the time being. • EVENTUALLY the labor market is so weak that wages fall. • Note—the prices and output fell quickly, but wagers were slower to catch up. Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve: Shifts in the Curve SRAS SRAS SRAS 3 1 2 Aggregate Price Level Left shift of the aggregate supply curve = decrease in supply Right shift of the aggregate supply curve = increase in supply The short-run aggregate supply curve is upward sloping. • What causes shifts in the short-run aggregate supply curve? • How do those causes affect the curve (left or right shift)? Real GDP Shifters of the SRAS Curve Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve: Slope LRAS Aggregate Price Level 14.0 …leaves the quantity of aggregate output supplied unchanged in the long run. Why? A rise in the aggregate price level… 6.0 The long-run aggregate supply curve, LRAS, is vertical. Why? (Think about wages again, over time). YP Potential output Real GDP Leftward Shift of Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve LRAS SRAS SRAS 2 Aggregate Price Level P1 Suppose that aggregate prices (including wages) are relatively low. 1 …but over time, low unemployment from this increased production drives up nominal wages, which shifts SRAS to the left. A1 YP Y1 Initially, low wages have suppliers ramping up production above potential output… Real GDP • In the long run, the economy’s actual aggregate output matches potential aggregate output. Aggregate Price Level Suppose that aggregate prices (including wages) are relatively high. P1 Rightward Shift of Short-Run Aggregate Supply CurveLRAS SRAS SRAS …but over time, high unemployment from this decreased production drives down nominal wages, which shifts SRAS to the right. A1 1 2 Initially, high wages have suppliers keeping production below potential output… Y1 YP Real GDP • In the long run, the economy’s actual aggregate output matches potential aggregate output. How is Aggregate Supply (AS) affected? a. Brief (5 words) description of the scenario b. Movement along the curve OR shift in the curve (direction?) c. Provide a graph to illustrate, and CATEGORIZE THE SHIFT (if there is one) 1. Hackers from a foreign country disable most corporate computing systems. This disruption continues off and on for several months. 2. The price of grain, a key commodity, skyrockets as the nation switches to more biofuels as sources of energy. 3. The First Lady’s goal of doubling the fraction of high school seniors that graduate from college is successful. 4. Due to a weak economy, the consumer price index falls for several consecutive months. 5. Labor unions are successful in organizing members throughout the country and they negotiate higher wages and benefits.