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Section 7.2 Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean DISCUSSION When sampling distributions are created, often a _____________ shape is formed. The upper left hand figure gives data for how many cigarettes per day are smoked by 4893 smokers. The other three graphs are sampling distributions from this data set where the mean of random sets of 5, 20, and 50 are plotted. How does the mean compare with the population mean? _______________ How does the shape change from the original data set as the sample size, n, increases? _________________ How does the standard deviation change as the sample size, n, increases? _______________________ In summary, three patterns that you should notice: 1.) As the sample size, n, increases, the shape of the sampling distribution becomes _____________, even if the original population is ____________. 2.) The means of all sampling distributions are the same as the ___________ for the ___________________. 3.) The _______________________ of the sampling distributions __________ as _____ increases. It is sometimes confusing to keep track of whether we are talking about means and standard deviations of the ______________, a _______________, or the ____________________________. The table below gives the symbolism commonly used: Population Sample Sampling Parameter Statistic Distribution Mean Standard Deviation Size If a random sample of size n is selected from a population with a mean _____ and standard deviation _______, Properties of the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean Feature Description Symbol Mean, ____, of sampling distribution equals Center the mean of the population, _____. Standard deviation (_________________________), Spread _____, of the sampling distribution of _____ equals the standard deviation of the population, _____, divided by the square root of the sample size, _____. The shape of the sampling distribution is approximately Shape ____________ if the population is approximately normal. For other populations, the distribution becomes more ______________ as ______ _____________. The property where by as _____ increases the shape becomes more ____________ is called the _______________________________. The standard error formula, _____________, is important because we can now compute the standard error without having to do a _____________________. We can solve problems involving the _______________________ by using the properties we have just observed along with ______________________. Example: We will look at the proportion of households owning different numbers of cars, the data from section 6.1. Vehicles per Proportion of Household Households 0 0.088 1 0.332 2 0.385 3 0.137 4 0.058 The mean of the population, _____, is: 0(0.088) + 1(0.332) + 2(0.385) + 3(0.137) + 4(0.058) = ________ The standard deviation, _______, of the population is: 0 1.7452 0.088 1 1.7452 0.332 2 1.7452 0.385 3 1.7452 0.137 4 1.7452 0.058 = __________ What is the probability that in a random sample of 25 households, the average number of cars will be less than 2? What average numbers of cars of reasonably likely in a random sample of 25 households? Finding Probabilities Involving Sample Totals So far we have looked at probabilities of having in a sample of a certain size an average of some value or less. We might also want probabilities of having a total number in a sample rather than an average value. For example, instead of having the probability of a sample of 25 households having an average of 2 cars or less, we might look at the probability of a sample of 25 households having a total of 50 cars or less. There are two possible ways to handle this situation: First Find the equivalent average number of cars, ______, by ________________ the total number of cars, _______, by the sample size, ________: Then use the same procedure as above. Second Change the formulas from average numbers to total numbers. The formula changes are: Properties of the Sampling Distribution of the Sum of a Sample The mean of the sampling distribution of the ________ is: The ___________________ of the sampling distribution of the sum is: The shape of the sampling distribution is normal if the population is normal and becomes more normal if the population shape is not normal. Example: What is the probability of a sample of 25 households having a total of 50 cars or less? We can also look at reasonably likely totals: In a random sample of 25 households, what total numbers of cars are reasonably likely?