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Earthquakes in the Ocean: Where, Why, and What Happens? Prof. Julia Morgan Dr. Meghan Miller Department of Earth Science Rice University As prepared for ESCI 323 - Earth Structure & Deformation And Sally Ride Festival, Houston (10/25/06) An aside: Dale Sawyer’s Discovering Plate Boundaries Exercise (http://terra.rice.edu/plateboundary) • • • • Designed for students to observe & classify Appropriate for broad range of ages/exper. Designed for 3 days, w/ variations Excellent framework for MARGINS & similar Seismology Map – Earthquake Locations and Depths Volcanology Map – Recent Volcanic Activity Geochronology Map – Seafloor Age Geography Map – Topography and Bathymetry Plate Boundary Map Where do all the earthquakes occur?? (Press et al., Understanding Earth, 4th Ed.) Kurile Earthquake Nov. 15, 2006 Juli Tectonic Setting - Kuriles • Subduction of Pacific Plate Plate beneath Okhotsk/N. America. • Conv. rate: ~ 9 cm/yr. • Sakhalin Island & Japan are rifted cont. Political Setting • Russia “stole” from Japan after WW II Kurile Earthquake Nov. 15, 2006 Kurile Tsunami Nov. 15, 2006 Convergent Boundaries: Three Types In the Oceans Ocean-ocean Sumatra earthquake! M ~9.3 (2004) Ocean-continent Chile earthquake! M ~9.5 (1960) Continent-continent (Press et al., Understanding Earth, 4th Ed.) South Asian earthquake! M ~7.5 (2005) Chile - 5/22/1960 (Source: Sawyer, Discovering Plate Boundaries) M 9.5 Earthquake (Largest worldwide) • Rupture zone ~1000 mi long. • Generated a tsunami that spread across Pacific. • Run-up: 25 m in Chile; 10.7 in Hilo; 1.7 in CA. • ~ 6000 people died, most from tsunami. • $3.5 Billion property damage Alaska - 3/27/1964 (Source: Sawyer, Discovering Plate Boundaries) M 9.2 Earthquake (3rd or 4th largest worldwide) • 750 mi long rupture zone. • Large landslide and tsunami across Pacific. • Ground displacements 25 ft x 3 ft. • 122 people died worldwide, most from tsunami. • Property damage $500 million. Alaska Tsunami (Press et al., Understanding Earth, 4th Ed.) Southeast Asia - 12/26/2004 (Source: Sawyer, Discovering Plate Boundaries) M 9.3 Earthquake (2nd largest worldwide) • 1000 km long fault rupture. • Generated a tsunami that went around the world. • No warning. • More than 200,000 people died. • Untold property damage…. Sumatra Earthquake Sumatra Epicenter Fault zone rupture ~ 1000 km in length Indian Plate (Source: USGS) What is a tsunami & How does it form? • A sudden impulse pushes the water, forming a train of waves that spreads outward from the source. • Tsunami front propagates at ~450 mi/hr (~600 km/hr). QuickTime™ and a Sorenson Video decompressor are needed to see this picture. (Source: Prof. Miho Aoki, U. Alaska Fairbanks) Tsunami Generation & Propagation (http://staff.aist.go.jp/kenji.satake/animation.gif) QuickTime™ and a GIF decompressor are needed to see this picture. Sumatra Tsunami (12/26/04) - red: rise in sea level - blue: fall in sea level What Happens Nearshore? • As the water column shallows, wave height grows. • Tsunami run-ups can be MUCH larger than original wave. (Press et al., Understanding Earth, 4th Ed.) What are the Consequences? (Source: Prof. Miho Aoki, U. Alaska Fairbanks) QuickTime™ and a Sorenson Video decompressor are needed to see this picture. • Coastal damage and destruction. Can This Happen in N. America? Yes!! Oregon-Washington - 1/26/1700 (Source: Sawyer, Discovering Plate Boundaries) M ~9 Cascadia Earthquake (7th largest?) • No historic record in North America. • Recorded in Japan ~9 hrs later. • Tsunami deposits found along Oregon coast. • Recurrence interval is 300-500 yrs! January 1700 Cascadia Tsunami QuickTime™ and a GIF decompressor are needed to see this picture. (Source: K. Satake, http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/press/index_e.php) Where do Great Earthquakes occur? Rocks Sediments Tsunamigenic Slip Seismogenic Zone Coseismic Slip Aseismic Slip • Plate boundary mega-thrust Why do Great Earthquakes occur? Where can we study great earthquakes? Nankai Trough • Subduction of the Philippine Sea Plate beneath Eurasia. • Convergence rate: ~4 cm/yr. • Thick clastic-rich sediment section (hemipelagites and turbidites). Earthquake Recurrence • Nankai margin is subject to repeated large (M ~ 8) earthquakes. • Evidence for tectonic segmentation of the margin. • Earthquake recurrence ~180 yrs. -> There will be future earthquakes!! (Ando, 1975) Co-seismic Slip Zone (Bangs et al., 2004) Up-dip limit Recent Ocean Drilling & Surveys Toe of Muroto Transect NANKAI PRISM Frontal thrusts PROTO-THRUST ZONE Protothrusts NANKAI TROUGH Deformation front Trench Fill turbidites Decollement Proto-decollement Ocean Crust 1 km Prism Architecture Seismogenic Zone and Zone Coseismic Zone(J.C. Moore Aseismic Saffer, 2001) (after G.F. Moore et al., 2001) Up-dip limit • Décollement partitions the incoming section: - Accreted section vs. underthrust section. • Décollement steps down near the updip limit. Décollement Amplitude (Bangs et al., 2004) • Downdip decrease in décollement amplitude. • Suggests dewatering of underthrust section. Pore Fluid Pressures Seismogenic Zone Coseismic Zone (after G.F. Moore et al., 2001) Updip limit (J.C. Moore and Saffer, 2001) • Modeled pore fluid pressures are highest near up-dip limit. Seismic-Aseismic Transition -> Onset of Earthquakes • Coincident with onset of coseismic sliding: – – – – Out of sequence thrust. Step down in décollement. Reduced décollement amplitude. Increased pore fluid pressures. • Why? Something changes along décollement: – Frictional behavior: stable vs. unstable? – Loss of strength in underthrust sediments? – Something completely different? Future fault zone drilling may tell us….